The Youngstate State Penguins (14-5, 6-2 Horizon) battle the Green Bay Phoenix (2-17, 1-7) Thursday. Tip from the Resch Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Youngstown State vs. Green Bay odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Youngstown State beat Oakland 85-69 Saturday, covering as a 2-point road favorite. The Penguins have covered 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7. They are 12-5 against the spread (ATS) on the season. Youngstown State’s clear strength is offense, ranking 5th in the nation in points per game (84.9).
Green Bay is 0-11 on the road, but 2-4 at home. It is coming off a 74-53 home loss to Northern Kentucky as a 10-point home underdog. The Phoenix are 6-13 ATS on the season and just 2-4 ATS in their last 6, all of which were double-digit spreads.
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Youngstown State at Green Bay odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Youngstown State -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100) | Green Bay +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
- Against the spread (ATS): Youngstown State -15.5 (-110) | Green Bay +15.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Youngstown State at Green Bay picks and predictions
Prediction
Youngstown State 85, Green Bay 65
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no value on the moneyline of the top team in the Horizon League playing the 2nd-to-worst team as a -1400 favorite.
Against the spread
BET YOUNGSTOWN STATE -15.5 (-110).
The Penguins have been one of the best covering teams in the conference this season and are 6-2 ATS against conference opponents. The Phoenix are just 3-5 ATS against conference foes.
Similarly, while Youngstown State’s defense is far from great, the Phoenix have a major issue scoring points, ranking 358th in points per game (59.9). Being at home hasn’t helped much as they are just 2-4 ATS as the home team.
Youngstown State’s dynamic offense mixed with its ability to cover conference and road games makes this the best play of the game.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 147.5 (-110).
Youngstown State is 13-4 O/U while Green Bay is 12-7. This game should get out of hand early, and it wouldn’t be shocking for points to be added late as the tempo picks up. Green Bay has gone Over in 4 of its last 5, allowing at least 80 in 3 of those battles.
The Penguins have gone Over in 3 straight, scoring at least 80 in 3 of those and allowing at least 69 in all 3 as well. Given the recent trends, back the OVER 147.5 (-110).
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