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The Western Michigan Broncos (5-4, 4-1 MAC) and Bowling Green Falcons (5-4, 4-1) meet Tuesday at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Broncos enter with a 4-1 conference record, as they look for a win to keep alive their chances at a berth in the MAC Championship Game in Detroit on Dec. 7.
Western Michigan was tripped up 42-28 last week at home against the Northern Illinois Huskies for its first conference setback. They had won the previous 4 games, while covering in 3 of those outings. The Over has cashed in 5 in a row, and 7 of the past 8 contests.
For Bowling Green, it steams in with 3 consecutive victories, but the Falcons are just 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 contests. The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games, too.
In this series, BGSU has won the past 2 meetings, with Western’s last win at Doyt L. Perry Stadium coming in 2018. The Falcons hold a 3-2 ATS edge in the past 5 meetings, with the Under cashing in the past 3 meetings, and 5 of the past 6 in the series.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Western Michigan at Bowling Green odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 7:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Western Michigan +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Bowling Green -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Western Michigan +8.5 (-115) | Bowling Green -8.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Western Michigan at Bowling Green picks and predictions
Prediction
Bowling Green 34, Western Michigan 29
Moneyline
Bowling Green (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
Western Michigan (+260) has been playing good football, too, and this game should be surprisingly close.
AVOID.
Against the spread
Take WESTERN MICHIGAN +8.5 (-115) catching the points, as it should be able to keep this game within a single score.
Both teams are in a 4-way tie for first place in the MAC, and whomever wins becomes bowl eligible, so there is a lot on the line. This won’t be a blowout one way or the other, so back the underdogs to keep it close.
Over/Under
OVER 58.5 (-115) is a solid play in this MACtion on Tuesday night.
For the Broncos, it’s been all about the Over, while it’s all about the Under for the Falcons lately. Something’s gotta give.
Bowling Green has a respectable offense, and it should be able to hang in a high-scoring game with Western Michigan. QB Connor Bazelak has passed for 2,022 yards, 11 TDs and 4 INTs, so he can get it done when he has to. And don’t sleep on RB Terion Stewart of the Falcons, who can house it any time he touches the ball.
The Broncos have a strong passer in QB Hayden Wolff, and he has 16 TDs while completing 66.7% of his passes. And RB Jaden Nixon is a star, going for 847 yards, 7.3 yards per attempt and 12 rushing scores. That sounds good for points, right?
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