Teams that are Playoff locks if they win out
| Team | vs 1-10 | vs 11-25 | vs 26-40 | vs 41-80 | vs 81+ | SOS Range | Wins over
+.500 |
Off YPP
(rank) |
Def YPP
(rank) |
| Ohio State | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 5-25 | 7 | 6.9 (5) | 3.5 (1) |
The Buckeyes are almost unmatched in the combined metrics. Now the Buckeyes are also unmatched in resume as well. The SOS numbers are great, and both Indiana and FAU currently fall into the Top 40 range. People often ask “why play the game” when hearing that the Buckeyes could survive a loss this week and get in the Playoff. But look at this resume. Add a loss to it, and then compare it to any other one-loss resume on this board. No one else is even close to this, which is why Ohio State is essentially a Playoff lock at this point.
| Team | vs 1-10 | vs 11-25 | vs 26-40 | vs 41-80 | vs 81+ | SOS Range | Wins over
+.500 |
Off YPP
(rank) |
Def YPP
(rank) |
| LSU | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 3-40 | 7 | 7.6 (2) | 5.0 (28) |
LSU’s resume is excellent. Solid SOS, five Top 40 wins, and a whopping seven wins over teams with winning records. The defensive numbers are still improving, and LSU’s defense has always got the stops it needed when necessary. LSU is likely in with one loss, let alone undefeated. And, again, comparing this resume to other one-loss teams like Utah, Oklahoma, and Baylor shows exactly why.
| Team | vs 1-10 | vs 11-25 | vs 26-40 | vs 41-80 | vs 81+ | SOS Range | Wins over
+.500 |
Off YPP
(rank) |
Def YPP
(rank) |
| Clemson | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 5-0 | 60-90 | 4 | 7.0 (4) | 3.6 (2) |
Clemson’s resume is improving, but still awful by usual Playoff standards. Louisville and Wake Forest are both currently Top 40 wins, though I doubt the committee will quite view them that way. This resume has an ugly five cupcakes and bad SOS numbers, which won’t get significantly better even with a win over Virginia. Of course, the metrics show why Clemson is a top team. That probably won’t be enough to overcome this resume with a loss this weekend, though.
| Team | vs 1-10 | vs 11-25 | vs 26-40 | vs 41-80 | vs 81+ | SOS Range | Wins over
+.500 |
Off YPP
(rank) |
Def YPP
(rank) |
| Georgia | 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 20-40 | 7 | 6.1 (33) | 4.0 (3) |
This resume is very strong. The loss to South Carolina is bad, but is easily outweighed by a resume that is really only surpassed by LSU’s and Ohio State’s. It makes perfect sense that the committee ranked Georgia at No. 4, and the Bulldogs are a Playoff lock if they can beat LSU. If we get a bit of chaos, Georgia should be considered for the No. 4 spot for keeping it close against LSU. No other potential bubble team has a collection of wins this good.