Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (36-74) and Chicago Cubs (43-64) meet Monday at 8:05 p.m. ET to launch a 3-game series at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Cubs won 4 of 7 from the Nationals in 2021

The Nationals have struggled mightily of late. Washington has been outscored 45-17 in losing 5 straight games. The Nats are just 7-26 with a bloated 5.92 ERA in their last 33 games.

The Cubs got off to a good start in the 2nd half, but they head into this game coming off a 3-0 Sunday loss and a 2-6 mark in their last 8 games. Chicago has played well at home lately. The Cubs own a 2.77 ERA and an 11-9 record in their last 20 games at Wrigley.

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Nationals at Cubs projected starters

RHP Anibal Sanchez vs. RHP Keegan Thompson

Sanchez (0-4, 7.65 ERA) is making his 5th start after missing all of 2021 and the front half of this season with a neck injury. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 20 IP.

  • Owns a 3.18 ERA, 1.18 WHIP in 6 career starts at Wrigley Field
  • Has allowed a career home-runs-per-9 rate of 1.06, but early on has coughed up 2.70 HR/9 in 2022.

Thompson (8-5, 3.48 ERA) has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 93 IP in 22 games (14 as a starter).

  • Has appeared in 20 career games as a starter, posting a 4.54 ERA on an .810 OPS allowed. Has logged 34 games in relief, notching a 2.00 ERA on a .620 OPS.
  • Allowed 5 runs on 10 hits over 4 2/3 IP in his last start Tuesday at the St. Louis Cardinals).

Nationals at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:04 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Cubs -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-130) | Cubs -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Nationals 3

Money line

The Cubs (playing well at home, starter matchup, bullpen) are a lean, but look for a price of -185 or better.

Otherwise, STEER CLEAR.

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Run line/Against the spread

Washington is 1-9 across its last 10 series openers. The 9 losses have been by a combined 49 runs. And overall, the Nats play in few 1-run games.

The run line play on the home 9 is worth half a unit. BACK THE CUBS -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

A cooled-off inward breeze is tamping this total down, but the price on the OVER 7.5 (-120) is workable.

Both offenses have some growth potential in run scoring based on their quality of contact and support analytics.

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