Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Denver Nuggets (43-20) welcome the Utah Jazz (28-35) to Ball Arena Saturday. Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

The Nuggets beat the Boston Celtics 115-109 at home Thursday, covering as a 1.5-point underdog. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in those. Denver is 28-34-1 ATS on the season. It is led by C Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 26 points per game.

The Jazz lost to the Chicago Bulls 119-117 Wednesday, covering as a 4-point home underdog. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games yet are 3-2 ATS in that stretch. Utah is 35-28 ATS on the season and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. It is led by F Lauri Markkanen, who is averaging 23.1 points per game. He’s out for this one, though.

Jazz at Nuggets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Jazz +540 (bet $100 to win $540) | Nuggets -770 (bet $770 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +12.5 (-110) | Nuggets -12.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Jazz at Nuggets key injuries

Jazz

  • C Walker Kessler (foot) questionable
  • F Lauri Markkanen (quadriceps) out

Nuggets

  • C Nikola Jokic (arm) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Jazz at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 117, Jazz 105

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets are a far better side, and the Jazz will be without their leading scorer. That said, Denver isn’t worth backing at -770.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS -12.5 (-110).

Denver has rewarded bettors as of late. It has covered in 6 of its last 8 games and has covered in 3 of its last 5 at home. It has covered in 3 straight games as a favorite of 9 or greater.

The Jazz, on the other hand, are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. They have struggled heavily on the road and are just 13-18-1 ATS, the sixth-worst road-covering record in the NBA.

Considering those trends, back NUGGETS -12.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 227.5 (-108).

If there’s one thing both teams have done as of late, it is hit the Under. The Jazz have gone Under in 4 of their last 7 games and have scored 107 or fewer in 3 of those 7. The Nuggets have gone Under in 3 of their last 6 and have allowed Under 110 in 4 of those.

Denver has an extremely efficient offense but sits 27th in pace. It may not look to push the tempo. Without Utah’s leading scorer active, expect the road team to struggle scoring as well. LEAN UNDER 227.5 (-108).

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