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In a 3-round flyweight bout on the main card, Manel Kape and Bruno Silva battle Saturday at UFC on ESPN 63 at Amalie Arena in Tampa. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC on ESPN 63: Kape vs. Silva odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+. The main card begins at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN2/ESPN+.
Records: Kape (19-7-0) | Silva (14-5-2)
Kape is looking to rebound after a unanimous-decision loss against Muhammad Mokaev in late July at UFC 304. He has ended up going the distance in each of his past 3 fights.
The last time the Portuguese fighter was able to get a finish was a first-round KO/TKO against Zhalgas Zhumagalov Dec. 4, 2021, and he also had a first-round KO/TKO against Ode’ Osbourne at UFC 265 prior to that.
For Silva, he has 4 consecutive victories, all via finish, and he has not lost since a unanimous-decision loss to Tagir Ulanbekov in Oct. 2020.
The southpaw Kape has a 3-inch reach advantage against Silva, and he has a 4.44-to-3.32 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. The 2 fighters are nearly identical in significant strikes accuracy percentage. Silva has a 2.26 takedown average, and Kape has a slight 0.36-to-0.23 submission average advantage.
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UFC on ESPN 63: Kape vs. Silva odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list UFC odds. Lines last updated at 3:40 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Kape -390 (bet $390 to win $100) | Silva +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
- Total Rounds: 2.5 Rounds (Over: -196 | Under: +152)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -158 | No +124)
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UFC on ESPN 63: Kape vs. Silva picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Kape (-390) will cost you more than 3½ times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. Let’s get a little more specific.
Kape is a punching machine, but Silva (+310) has the ability to hang around. He has decent defense, and Kape will be working to use his reach advantage to keep Silva at a distance to try and avoid the Brazilian fighter getting him to the mat.
Kape knows what to do to wow the judges. Bet KAPE BY POINTS (+105) at near even-money on method of victory.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-158): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little on the expensive side, but it isn’t totally priced out of line.
Again, Kape has ended up going the distance in each of his past 3 bouts. Silva hasn’t made it to Round 3 in the past 4 fights, but this is a big step up in competition.
Over 2.5 Rounds (-196) is a little too expensive, costing you almost 2 times your potential return. Avoid that, and look to the distance prop instead.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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