In a middleweight bout on the main card, Jordan Wright and Dusko Todorovic meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 212 at UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC Fight Night 212: Wright vs. Todorovic odds, with expert picks and predictions.
The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m. ET.
Wright, a.k.a. “The Beverly Hills Ninja”, heads into this one on a 2-fight skid. Not only has he lost, but both setbacks were in the 1st round. He was submitted by Marc-Andre Barriault last time out in late April, and knocked out in Round 1 by Bruno Silva at UFC 269.
Todorovic would love to add to Wright’s woes. “Thunder” also suffered a Round 1 loss last time out against Chidi Njokuani in late May on the same card as the Wright-Barriault fight. Todorovic has lost 3 of his past 4 fights overall, too, including a pair of knockout losses.
Wright looks to use his 3-inch reach advantage to keep Todorovic at a distance. He has a 7.37-to-5.36 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and he also owns a 2.38-to-1.14 takedown average advantage.
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UFC Fight Night 212 Wright vs. Todorovic odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Wright +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Todorovic -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +160 | Under -230)
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UFC Fight Night 212 Wright vs. Todorovic picks and predictions
Records: Wright (12-3-0) | Todorovic (11-3-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
WRIGHT (+175) is a value play on the 2-way line, as he should be able to use his reach advantage to pick and choose his spots to move in.
Wright has struggled recently, and might be fighting to stick around in the UFC, needing a win. I expect to see a little desperation on his part after a pair of Round 1 losses. Todorovic is standing on a lot more firmer ground.
Over/Under (O/U)
No (-700): Fight to go the distance, and/or Under 1.5 Rounds (-230), are each too expensive, and there is no value playing either side.
PASS, and just stick to the 2-way line upset play.
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