In a featherweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Andre Fili and Daniel Pineda meet at UFC Fight Night 190 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 190 Fili vs. Pineda odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off on ESPN+ at 1 p.m. ET, with the main card starting at 4 p.m. ET.
Fili heads into this one with a huge physical advantage. He stands four inches taller than Pineda, and he had a five-inch reach advantage. In addition, he holds 2.50-to-1.55 takedown-average advantage, and 49.21-to-29.17 takedown-accuracy percentage lead.
Pineda was dropped by Cub Swanson last time out at UFC 256 Dec. 12, 2020. Each of his two fights since joining the UFC have ended via KO/TKO, with one win and one loss.
UFC Fight Night 190 Fili vs. Pineda: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:04 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Fili -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Pineda +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -120 | Under +100)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -105 | No -115)
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UFC Fight Night 190 Fili vs. Pineda: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Fili 21-8-0 | Pineda 27-14-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Fili (-225) would cost you more than two times your potential return, which is just too expensive. Fili has gone the distance in three straight fights, and in nine of his past 10 outings.
FILI ON POINTS (+175) is a much better play.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Pineda has had stoppages in each of his two UFC fights to date, including the KO/TKO loss to Swanson last time out. However, as mentioned above, I like Fili to win on points. Take YES (-105): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?
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