WNBA moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total – Page 2

Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun visit the Minnesota Lynx Tuesday in Game 2 of their best-of-5 WNBA semifinals. Tip from Target Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Sun vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Sun lead 1-0; Sun took regular-season series 2-1

The Sun enter on a 4-game win streak. They beat the Lynx 73-70 Sunday in Game 1, covering as 3.5-point road underdogs. G Marina Mabrey scored a game-high 20, while hitting 6-for-11 beyond the arc. Four of the Sun’s 5 starters scored in double figures. The team shot 41.3% from the field (31-for-75) and 40.9% (9-for-22) from 3 in the win.

The Lynx had a 2-game win streak with Sunday’s loss. F Napheesa Collier finished with team-highs with 19 points and 9 rebounds, while 3 of 5 Minnesota’s 5 starters scored in double figures. The team shot 41.5% (27-for-65) from the field and 25% (5-for-20) from 3 in the loss.

Sun at Lynx odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:35 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Sun +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Lynx -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sun +5.5 (-110) | Lynx -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Sun at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 87, Sun 80

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Lynx (-210) to win Tuesday.

Against the spread

BET LYNX -5.5 (-110).

While the Lynx fell Sunday as home favorites, expect them to bounce back Tuesday. They are 8-2 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games and 6-4 ATS in that span. Their offense, which has scored 101 or more points in 2 of their last 3 games, will be the deciding factor in Game 2 against a team that has scored more than 90 points just 1 time in its last 10 games.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 152.5 (-110).

The Sun have scored 87 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games while the Lynx have scored 101 or more in 2 of their last 3. While both teams play strong defense, as demonstrated by Game 1, they both have an array of scorers who will look to create opportunities in a critical Game 2. Expect a fast pace Tuesday leading to the Over hitting.

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Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty meet Tuesday for Game 2 of the best-of-5 WNBA semifinals at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Liberty lead 1-0; Liberty swept regular-season series 3-0

The Liberty took Game 1 of this best-of-5 series 87-77 Sunday, covering as 4-point favorites with the Over (162.5) cashing. They shot 50.0% (30-for-60) from the field, 42.1% (8-for-19) from behind the 3-point line and 82.6% (19-for-23) from the free-throw line.

F Breanna Stewart led the way with a game-high 34 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals and a blocked shot, while hitting 12-of-19 from the field. G Sabrina Ionescu added 21 points with three 3’s, 5 assists, 4 boards, 2 steals and a blocked shot. F Jonquel Jones had a double-double, posting 13 points with a game-high 12 boards.

The Aces hit 43.3% (29-for-67) from the field, 28.0% (7-for-25) from behind the arc and 80.0% (12-for-15) from the charity stripe.

C A’ja Wilson was her usual consistent MVP self, hitting 9-for-16 from the field, finishing with 21 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists and 2 blocked shots. G Kelsey Plum had a team-best 24 points with four 3-pointers, while G Jackie Young was good for 17 points.

Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Liberty -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces +4.5 (-110) | Liberty -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 164.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 84, Aces 77

Moneyline

If you like to play it safe, back the Liberty (-210) as the moderate favorites in Game 2. New York won all 3 meetings in the regular season, and it handled the 2-time defending champ Aces by double digits in Game 1.

The Liberty are stacked, and unless the Aces have an answer for B-Stew, it might be another long night for A’ja and Co.

Against the spread

If you’re a more conventional bettor, NEW YORK -4.5 (-110) is a strong play to get the job done by at least 5 points.

New York is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 meetings with Las Vegas, while 2-1 ATS so far in this postseason. Look for the Liberty to improve to 4-0 straight up in the playoffs, forcing the Aces into an 2-0 hole heading back to Sin City for Game 3.

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Over/Under

UNDER 164.5 (-110) is the lean for Game 2, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over cashed in Game 1 of this series, but the Under has hit in 3 of the 4 New York-Las Vegas meetings this season.

Despite Sunday’s Over result, the Under is still 11-6 in the past 17 games for the Liberty since Aug. 17.

For the Aces, the Under is 16-6-1 in the past 23 games dating back to July 10.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx Game 1 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun and the Minnesota Lynx meet Sunday for Game 1 of the best-of-5 WNBA semifinals. Tip-off at Target Center in Minneapolis is scheduled 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Sun vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Sun won 2-1

The Sun and Lynx had a spirited regular-season series, and all 3 games were decided by 5 points or less.

These teams met in the 1st round of the playoffs last season, with Connecticut shocking Minnesota in Game 3 in the Twin Cities, after the Lynx won in Game 2 to force it home for the decisive game. The road team has covered 5 straight meetings in this series, including the 2 most recent postseason matchups.

Connecticut won at home 83-82 in OT on May 23 as the Lynx covered as a 5.5-pont underdog. In the Twin Cities on July 4, Connecticut won 78-73 as a 3.5-point under, the largest margin of victory in the series. And, on Sept. 17, Minnesota won at Connecticut 78-76 as a 1.5-point ‘dog. The underdog and road team went 3-0 ATS in the 3 meetings.

The Sun polished off Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever in the 1st round in a 2-game sweep, going 1-0-1 against the spread (ATS), while splitting the Over-Under. The Under is 11-6 dating back to Aug. 18.

The Lynx went for 101 or more points in both 1st-round wins over the Phoenix Mercury, splitting 1-1 ATS, while easily cashing the Over in both outings.

Sun at Lynx odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:28 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Sun +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Lynx -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sun +4.5 (-110) | Lynx -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Sun at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 75, Sun 72

Moneyline

The Lynx (-210) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s too expensive for a standalone wager.

If you were to bet a multi-leg parlay, perhaps tossing in some NFL games, the WNBA playoff game and some MLB action on the final day of that regular season, then perhaps including Minnesota makes sense. But, by itself, AVOID.

Against the spread

The SUN +4.5 (-120) catching the points is a good idea. Again, all 3 regular-season meetings were decided by 5 or fewer points, and the road team covered in each of the battles.

Connecticut heads into the Twin Cities brimming with confidence, and Marina Mabrey was red-hot in the 1st round, going for 22.0 points per game (PPG) with 4.5 APG. She and DeWanna Bonner, who had 18.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG and 3.5 APG in the 1st round, will be key trying to keep the Sun in the game.

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Over/Under

UNDER 154.5 (-110) is the lean in Game 1. While, yes, the Over was 2-1 in the 3 regular-season meetings, the only game played in the Twin Cities resulted in an Under result.

Don’t go crazy, as Minnesota did hit triple digits in both games against Phoenix in the 1st round. However, Connecticut is a tremendous defensive team, and it allowed just 73.6 PPG in the regular season to rank No. 1 in scoring defense.

In addition, the total has gone low in 11 of the past 17 games for the Sun. Look for Connecticut’s defense to slow Minnesota down quite a bit.

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Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 1 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty meet Sunday for Game 1 of the best-of-5 WNBA semifinals at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Liberty won 3-0

Last season, the Aces and Liberty met in the WNBA Finals. Now, they must go through each other for the chance to play for another title. Las Vegas won its 2nd consecutive WNBA championship by ousting New York in 4 games last season.

The defending champs swept the Seattle Storm in the 1st round, splitting against the spread (ATS), while the Under was 1-0-1. Las Vegas averaged 80.5 points per game (PPG), while allowing 71.5 PPG.

The Aces have won 7 in a row since Sept. 11 in the regular season, and 6 of those victories came against playoff teams. The non-cover for the Aces in Game 2 against Seattle was rare, too, as Las Vegas is 10-1-1 ATS in the past 12 outings.

The Liberty swept the regular-season series with the Aces, including a 79-67 win Aug. 17 at Mandalay Bay to cover as 3.5-point underdogs, and a 90-82 victory as a 2.5-point underdog on June 15. In the only home game for New York, it eased by Las Vegas 75-71, but the Aces covered as a 9.5-point underdog. The Under cashed in all 3 meetings.

The Liberty swept the Atlanta Dream in the 1st round, but went 1-1 ATS and 1-1 Over-Under in those games. While the regular-season finale was meaningless with the No. 1 seed locked in, New York is still just 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in the past 5 games since Sept. 15. The Under is 11-5 in the past 16 outings.

Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:14 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Liberty -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces +4.5 (-120) | Liberty -4.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 82, Aces 79

Moneyline

The Liberty (-175) are just a little expensive on the moneyline in this series opener. While New York dominated the season series against the Aces (+145), Las Vegas is playing its best basketball of the season lately.

New York, on the other hand, took its foot off the gas a little bit down the stretch. It’s difficult to flip that switch back on, although I fully expect the Liberty to get it done at home. I think this game could very well come down to the final possession and free throws.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The ACES +4.5 (-120) know how to get it done at this time of the season.

How many times have you seen a team dominate the regular season, only to suffer a loss in the playoffs. It’s a difficult animal in the postseason, and no one know how to prepare for a championship run better than A’ja Wilson and the Aces.

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Over/Under

UNDER 163.5 (-110) is the lean in this game.

First off, the Under cashed in all 3 meetings in the regular season. In addition, the Under is 11-5 in the past 16 games for the Liberty since Aug. 17, a run which started with a trip to Las Vegas.

For the Aces, the Under is 1-0-1 in the postseasn, while going 16-5-1 in the past 22 games since July 10.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx Game 2 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx meet Wednesday for Game 2 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series. Tip-off from Target Center is 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Mercury vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Lynx lead 1-0; Lynx won regular-season series 3-1

The Mercury lost 102-95 in Game 1, but they gave the No. 2 seed all it could handle. Phoenix shot 50.0% (37-of-74) from the floor, and an amazing 51.9% (14-of-27) from behind the arc to hang around most of the game. If not for a dismal 63.6% (7-of-11) mark from the free-throw line, things could have gotten really interesting.

As it stands, Phoenix covered as a 10-point underdog as the Over (158.5) connected. Natasha Cloud was sensational, going for 33 points, 10 assist and 4 3-pointers, while Diana Taurasi turned back to the clock for 21 points and 5 triples.

Minnesota hit 49.3% (34-of-69) from the field, and just 41.7% (10-of-24) from downtown, so Phoenix was slightly better in those areas. But, the Lynx went 96.0% (24-of-25) from the free-throw line. Rebounding was exactly even, and Minnesota had 1 fewer turnover.

The Lynx were led by Napheesa Collier, who went for a game-high 38 points, while adding 6 rebounds, 4 assists and a blocked shot. She finished 11-of-19 from the field, and 13-of-14 from the charity stripe.

Mercury at Lynx odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:13 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mercury +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Lynx -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mercury +8.5 (-105) | Lynx -8.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mercury at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 89, Mercury 82

Moneyline

The Lynx (-450) will cost 4 1/2 times your potential return, if you want to be ultra safe and not worry about the points after the non-cover in Game 1. That’s not a recommended betting strategy, however, either as a standalone wager or a multi-leg parlay. It’s too much risk, and not enough reward.

PASS.

Against the spread

The MERCURY +8.5 (-105) are fighting to extend their season, as they try to get this best-of-3 series back to Phoenix for a decisive Game 3. The Merc are full of proud veterans, and this is a talented team.

Taurasi is a grizzled veteran who knows what it takes to win in the playoffs, as does Brittney Griner. Cloud is likely to take a step back after catching fire in Game 1, but Kahleah Copper had an off game, and she can easily go off. Don’t discount this team because of its sub-.500 regular-season record.

Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 games at home. It’s not hard to see it failing to cover again, but it’s hard to see it losing outright. The Lynx have just been too good in the 2nd half of the season, while the Merc has been disjointed and erratic.

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Over/Under

OVER 160.5 (-115) might be the best play on the board after Game 1.

These teams combined for 197 points on a total of just 158.5, comfortably cashing high with plenty of time to spare.

We should see a bit of a regression to the mean. However, the Lynx have cashed high in 4 in a row with Collier and Kayla McBride on the floor. That dynamic duo rested in the regular-season finale against Los Angeles with nothing to play for, so we’ll toss that game out.

The Mercury has gone high in 4 of the past 5 games since Sept. 13, and really, Seattle was resting players in the finale which went Under, too, so that game can be discarded, too. These are 2 teams ticking off a lot of Over results, and we should get another in Game 2.

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Indiana Fever at Connecticut Sun Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Indiana Fever at Connecticut Sun Game 2 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Indiana Fever and the Connecticut Sun play Game 2 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series Wednesday at Mohegan Sun Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Fever vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Sun lead 1-0; Sun won regular season series 3-1

The No. 3 seed Sun belted the No. 6 seed Fever 93-69 in Game 1, coasting to a cover as 6.5-point favorites as the Under (165.5) held on.

Connecticut shot 49.3% (36-of-73) from the field, including 50.0% (9-of-18) from behind the 3-point line. It also outrebounded Indiana at a 36-to-29 margin, while turning it over 3 times less. That’s a good recipe for victory.

Indiana hit 40.3% (27-of-67) from the field, and just 21.4% (6-of-28) on 3-pointers. Superstar Caitlin Clark struggled mightily against Connecticut’s suffocating defense, hitting just 4-of-17 from the field, including 2-of-13 from behind the arc. The Rookie of the Year was limited to 11 points, 8 assists, 4 rebounds, 3 steals and a blocked shot.

Clark was poked in the eye by Connecticut’s DiJonai Carrington, suffering some minor bruising, but she is fine and ready to go for Game 2.

Fever at Sun odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:02 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Fever +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Sun -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Fever +6.5 (-115) | Sun -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Fever at Sun picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 84, Fever 79

Moneyline

The Sun (-275) looks to cash out at Mohegan Sun, and move onto the 2nd round. However, risking nearly 3 times your potential return against the Fever (+230), and a player like Clark, is dangerous. Indiana is fighting to keep its season alive, so expect the Fever to put up a much better effort, playing with a lot of urgency.

AVOID.

Against the spread

INDIANA +6.5 (-115) is worth playing lightly in Game 2, as its season is on the line.

Connecticut -6.5 (-105) has 3 wins over Indiana by double digits this season, but after the 1st 2 victories, Indiana came back and kept the score within 4 points, including an outright win Aug. 28.

The Fever are desperate for a victory to get the series back to Indianapolis for a decisive Game 3. Obviously, Connecticut doesn’t want that. But with a sharpshooter like Clark, she could single-handedly get it done, or struggle mightily like she did in Game 1, and this could be a blowout. There is plenty of risk playing Indiana, but sit back, get your popcorn, and hope the streaky shooter catches fire.

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Over/Under

UNDER 163.5 (-105) is the lean in Game 2.

While Indiana cashed high in 7 of the final 9 regular-season games, the playoffs are different animal. The Fever saw tremendous defense thrown at them, and they handled it poorly.

The Under is 7-2 in the past 9 games for the Sun, while going 4-1 in the previous 5 outings at home. The Under is 5-2 in the past 7 meetings in this series, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces Game 2 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Storm and the Las Vegas Aces play Game 2 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series Tuesday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay Hotel and Casino. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Storm vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Aces lead 1-0; won regular-season series 3-1

The Aces picked up a 78-67 victory in Game 1 Sunday, cashing as a 9.5-point favorite as the Under (162) cashed.

Las Vegas shot 43.5% (30-of-69) from the floor, while going 38.9% (7-of-18) from behind the arc. The Aces were perfect from the free-throw line, too (11-of-11). As expected, C A’ja Wilson led the team with 21 points, while posting 8 rebounds, 5 blocked shots and 2 assists. G Tiffany Hayes had 20 points off the bench, including 2 triples.

Seattle shot just 36.8% (25-of-68) from the field, while going 25.0% (4-of-16) from behind the 3-point line. It was also perfect from the charity stripe (13-of-13).

Seattle actually outrebounded Las Vegas (40-3), but the Aces had only 8 turnovers, while the Storm had 13 miscues. G Jewell Loyd had an off game, though, going for just 6 points on 2-of-8 shooting.

Storm at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:51 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Storm +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Aces -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Storm +8.5 (-115) | Aces -8.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Storm at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 79, Storm 73

Moneyline

The Aces (-450) will set you back 4 1/2 times your potential return. That’s way too much risk for not enough return.

It’s tough putting a team away in an elimination game, and the Storm (+350) will give Las Vegas all it can handle. Loyd also won’t struggle like she did in Game 1. She rarely has back-to-back poor efforts, and she’ll work hard to try and force this series to a decisive Game 3.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The STORM +8.5 (-115) is worth a look in Game 2. Seattle did a good job in Game 1, but it wasn’t quite good enough. The biggest difference was that Loyd had trouble from the field, and she managed just 6 points. That won’t happen in a 2nd straight, especially with the season on the line.

Look for Seattle to keep things close in what could be a lower-scoring Game 2.

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Over/Under

UNDER 160.5 (-110) is a strong play in Game 2.

Both of these teams were perfect from the free-throw line in the series opener. That’s unlikely to happen again.

Seattle has cashed low in 7 of the past 9 games since Sept. 3, including the past 2 meetings with Las Vegas.

The Under is on a 8-1 run for the Aces since Sept. 3, while going 16-5 across the past 21 contests.

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Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty Game 2 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Dream and the New York Liberty play Game 2 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series Tuesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Dream vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Liberty lead 1-0; won regular-season series 3-1

The Liberty posted an 83-69 victory in Game 1 on Sunday. New York shot 43.3% (29-of-67) from the field, while hitting 34.8% (8-of-23) from behind the 3-point line and going 94.4% (17-of-18) from the free-throw line.

New York had 4 starters go for double-digit points, with rookie F Leonie Fiebich as the unlikely leader with 21 points on 7-of-8 shooting. She was 4-of-4 from behind the 3-point line, too. F Breanna Stewart posted 20 points with 11 rebounds and 3 blocked shots in 32 minutes.

The Dream was just 39.7% (27-of-68) from the field, 18.8% (3-of-16) from behind the 3-point line, and a dismal 63.2% (12-of-19) from the charity stripe. That was the difference, as it was actually just minus-1 in rebounding, while both teams blocked 5 shots with 14 turnovers.

Dream at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dream +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Liberty -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dream +12.5 (-105) | Liberty -12.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dream at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 82, Dream 73

Moneyline

The Liberty (-1000) will cost you 10 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. In other words, you would need to risk $100 for every $10 of profit, and that’s not a good long-term betting strategy.

The Dream (+650) played the Liberty pretty tough in Game 1, including in the rebounding, steals, blocked shots and turnovers categories. However, it was shooting that crushed the Dream. If they’re a little better, and the Liberty aren’t on fire, who knows? Perhaps we could have an upset in Game 2.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The DREAM +12.5 (-105) is a strong play in Game 2. It could very well be their final game, but Atlanta will go hard and make the Liberty -12.5 (-115) work for it.

A lot of the counting stats were fairly even in Game 1. Atlanta shouldn’t be as poor from the field, downtown and from the free-throw line as they were in the series opener, especially with its season on the line.

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Over/Under

UNDER 156.5 (-110) is the lean in Game 2. We have seen the Under cashed in each of the past 3 meetings in New York. The losing team in the past 5 meetings has gone for 75 or fewer points, too.

Atlanta will be playing its hearts out on defense, desperately trying to keep its season alive. Look for a lower-scoring battle.

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Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces Game 1 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Storm (25-15) take on the defending-champion Las Vegas Aces (27-13) Sunday in Game 1 of their best-of-3 series. Tip-off from Michelob ULTRA Arena is set for 10 p.m. (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Storm vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Aces won 3-1

The Storm come to town with G Jewell Loyd making it rain. She averaged a team-high 19.7 PPG with 4.5 boards, 3.6 dimes and 1.4 steals per game. She attempted nearly a half-dozen 3-pointers a game, which the Aces will have to respect. The Storm won 5 of 6 games to end the regular season.

The Aces won the last 3 meetings and covered in all of them. The last meeting was Wednesday with a 85-72 final in Seattle. C A’ja Wilson had 21 points and 7 boards. She averaged 26.9 PPG and 11.9 RPG in the regular season. The Aces closed out the season winning 9 of 10 games.

Storm at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Storm +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Aces -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Storm +9.5 (-105) | Aces -9.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 162.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Storm at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 85, Storm 75

Moneyline

The defending champs went through a lull in the middle portion of the schedule, but they are clearly hitting their stride at the right time. Wilson is still a dominant presence underneath, and she’s getting help from G Kelsey Plum on the outside. Plum has scored 14-plus points in 7 of 8 games. The Aces have won 9 of 10 against Seattle, and they’ll make it 10 of 11.

There’s too much juice on LV here. There is one particular prop I’m feelin. It’s KELSEY PLUM OVER 2.5 REBOUNDS (-155). She has 3+ boards in 5 of the last 6 games.

Against the spread

In winning 9 of 10 overall, the Aces went 9-0-1 ATS. The Storm went 6-4 in their last 10, but just 4-6 ATS. Vegas is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with Seattle.

Take the ACES -9.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

Three of the 4 meetings this season went Under, including cashing an Under at this total Wednesday with minimal sweat at 157.

Take the UNDER 162.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx Game 1 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx meet Sunday for Game 1 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series. Tip-off from Target Center is 5 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Mercury vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Lynx won 3-1

The Mercury finished 2 games under .500 at 19-21 during the regular season, but that was still good enough for the 7th seed. Phoenix managed a 9-11 record on the road, while going 0-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) is 2 meetings with the Lynx in Minneapolis. The Under cashed in each of those meetings in the Twin Cities, too.

Minnesota has dominated this series in recent years, going 8-2 SU and ATS in the past 10 meetings since 2022.

Phoenix wrapped up the regular season with 2 straight wins and covers on the road. That’s the good news. The bad news is that those victories were against non-playoff teams. The Mercury is just 2-13 SU and a dismal 1-13-1 ATS against playoff teams since June 22.

The Lynx fell 68-61 in the regular-season finale against the LA Sparks, but that was also a game where they rested key players, including star Napheesa Collier. Prior to that, Minnesota had won 6 in a row at home.

Mercury at Lynx odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:49 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mercury +390 (bet $100 to win $390) | Lynx -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mercury +9.5 (-105) | Lynx -9.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 158.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mercury at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 84, Mercury 71

Moneyline

The Lynx (-550) will cost you more than 5 times your potential return. In other words, you must risk more than $10 for every $2 in profit, which is way too much risk for not enough reward.

Over the long haul, that’s a terrible betting strategy, no matter how likely a victory looks.

PASS.

Against the spread

The LYNX -9.5 (-115) is a solid play at home against the Mercury +9.5 (-105) in Game 1. The fact Minnesota scooped up the No. 2 seed in the playoffs isn’t a mistake. This is a very, very good team. Collier and the offense can pile up the points, especially at home.

In 2 home meetings with the Mercury in the regular season, Minnesota won by an average of 18.5 points per game (PPG), with Collier posting 18.5 PPG and 12.5 RPG in those 2 meetings in the Twin Cities. Collier has 3 double-doubles against Phoenix this season, averaging 17.3 PPG, 11.3 RPG and 3.8 APG in 4 regular-season meetings.

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Over/Under

UNDER 158.5 (-105) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over-Under split in 4 regular-season meetings between these teams, including 1-1 in each team’s home game. However, Minnesota has cashed low in 5 of the past 6 home games, while going 6-3 in the past 9 outings to finish up the regular season.

For the Merc, the Over was 3-1 to close out the season, while the Over-Under went 3-3-1 in the final 7 on the road, so there isn’t a lot to glean there.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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