The Las Vegas Aces (24-2) travel to meet the New York Liberty (21-6) Sunday at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
The Aces enter with the best record in the WNBA and the Liberty have the 2nd-best record in the league and top mark in the Eastern Conference.
Las Vegas has won 8 straight games and clinched a playoff spot, going 6-2 against the spread (ATS) during the span. The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings and 6 of the previous 8 contests. The Aces are also 4-0 ATS in the past 4 games against teams with a winning record.
New York has won 3 straight contests while cashing the Under in each of those battles. However, the Liberty have really struggled against the number lately, going 3-9 ATS across the past 12 games overall. New York is 2-6 ATS in the past 8 at home and 1-7 ATS in the previous 8 against Western Conference foes.
The last time these teams met in Vegas, the Aces posted a 98-81 win as 6.5-point favorites as the Over (176) connected. The Aces have covered 22 of the past 29 meetings with the Liberty while going 10-4 ATS in the past 14 meetings in New York. The Over has cashed in 7 straight meetings, too.
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Aces at Liberty odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Aces -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Liberty +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Against the spread: Aces -4.5 (-115) | Liberty +4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 176.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions
Prediction
Aces 94, Liberty 85
Moneyline
The Aces (-210) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too much risk for not enough reward.
AVOID, and look to the spread instead.
Against the spread
The ACES -4.5 (-115) are worth a play in this potential WNBA Finals preview.
Las Vegas took care of New York in the first meeting on The Strip, winning by 17 points. While the Liberty +4.5 (-105) has been pretty strong straight up, New York has covered just 3 times in the previous 12 outings. In addition, the Aces have had the number of the Liberty over the long term, covering in 22 of the past 29 encounters.
Over/Under
OVER 176.5 (-110) is the lean, but only play a half-unit at best.
While the Over has dominated in this series, cashing in 7 consecutive meetings, the Under is 3-0 in the past 3 outings overall for the Liberty.
The Over has dominated for the Aces lately, going 6-0-1 in the past 7 against teams with a winning overall record. The Over is also 7-2 in their past 9 tries against Eastern Conference teams and 4-1 in the previous 5 outings on the road.
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