WNBA moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total – Page 15

Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Sparks (16-22) travel to meet the New York Liberty (31-7) Thursday at Barclays Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sparks vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Sparks look to keep their faint playoff hopes alive. Los Angeles is battling the Chicago Sky for the 8th and final playoff spot; the other 7 spots have already been clinched.

L.A. has done itself no favors lately, dropping 4 of the past 5 contests following a 6-game win streak from Aug. 6-25. The Sparks are just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) during the skid after having covered the previous 10 outings from July 27-Aug. 25.

The Commissioner Cup-winning New York Liberty are comfortably into the postseason, and they’re just a game back of the Las Vegas Aces for the top overall seed in the playoffs.

The Liberty streak in with 7 straight victories, while going a respectable 5-2 ATS during the span. The Over is 4-2 in the past 6 outings, too.

This is the 3rd and final meeting of the regular season. These teams met in a back-to-back set in SoCal July 30-Aug. 1, with the Liberty sweeping the set straight up, although the Sparks covered both outings. The Under also cashed in each of the contests.

Sparks at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Sparks +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Liberty -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sparks +12.5 (-110) | Liberty -12.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Sparks at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 86, Sparks 71

Moneyline

The Liberty (-900) has been ringing up plenty of victories lately, but New York will cost you 9 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

The Sparks (+600) haven’t been playing great lately, but they did play the Lib very tough in SoCal last month.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

The LIBERTY -12.5 (-110) failed to cover in either of the games in a back-to-back set with the Sparks earlier in the season, but things are much different right now.

New York is playing great basketball lately, winners of 7 in a row, while going 5-2 ATS during the span. Los Angeles is in the midst of a nosedive at the most inopportune time, going 1-4 SU/ATS across the past 5 games to put its playoff hopes on life support. It needs a win against a top-notch Liberty team, and it’s just not going to come close to happening.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 159.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly, as it could be a nail-biter.

The Under has cashed in 2 of the past 3 games for the Liberty, thanks mostly to the team’s defense. New York has allowed 69 or fewer points in those 2 Under results and the Under cashed in both games against the Sparks in Los Angeles earlier, too.

The Sparks might not be terribly consistent lately, but total bettors have enjoyed betting their games. L.A. has hit the Under in 4 of the past 5 outings, and 12 of the past 16 games overall, including that 2-game set vs. New York.

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New York Liberty at Dallas Wings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Liberty at Dallas Wings odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (30-7) wrap up a 2-game road trip against the Dallas Wings (20-17) Tuesday. Tip-off from College Park Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (CBSSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Wings odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty have registered 6 consecutive victories, including an 86-69 win at the Chicago Sky Sunday to open the brief road swing. New York covered that game as a 9-point favorite, has covered 4 games in a row and is 9-2 against the spread (ATS) across the past 11 regular-season games.

The Wings suffered a 97-84 loss in overtime against the visiting Indiana Fever Sunday, failing to cover as 9-point favorites. Dallas is now just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games overall. The Wings have been crushing the Over lately, as the total has gone high in 10-1 in their last 11 games.

Liberty at Wings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:13 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Wings +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -4.5 (-115) | Wings +4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 170.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Liberty at Wings picks and predictions

Prediction

Wings 89, Liberty 86

Moneyline

The WINGS (+180) are a strong play for the opportunity to nearly double up.

Dallas is just 3 games over .500 on the season but it has recorded victories against the top teams in the WNBA, including the Las Vegas Aces and the Liberty. The Wings beat the Liberty in New York 98-88 as 7.5-point underdogs on July 19.

While the Wings have failed to cover in 4 of the past 5 games overall, Dallas seems to save its best for the cream of the crop. Look for the Wings to fly high.

Against the spread

The WINGS +4.5 (-105) are a good play catching more than 2 buckets if you want a little insurance and don’t trust Dallas straight up.

While Dallas is just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games overall, it has won outright 4 of the past 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Wings are also 5-3 ATS in the past 8 contests against teams with an overall winning mark.

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Over/Under

The OVER 170.5 (-110) is the lean in Tuesday’s battle in the Metroplex.

The total has gone high in each of the 2 meetings between New York and Dallas this season, with the Wings averaging 95.5 PPG and the Liberty going for 95.0 PPG. Look for plenty of fireworks.

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Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Storm (11-25) make the 2nd stop on a 4-game road trip against the Las Vegas Aces (31-6) Saturday. Tip-off from Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Storm vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Storm might be eliminated from postseason contention, but Seattle hasn’t stopped fighting. It is coming off a 72-61 win in Los Angeles as a 7-point underdogs last time out as the Under (159.5) cashed. The win snapped a 3-game losing streak, and the cover ended an 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS) slide. The Under was also the first in 5 games for Seattle.

The Aces topped the visiting Washington Mystics last time out by an 84-75 score, although Las Vegas was unable to grab the cover for the 6th consecutive contest. The Under is 2-1 in the past 3 outings, too.

These teams last met in the Pacific Northwest, with the Aces pulling out a 79-63 win, while the Storm cashed at most shops as a 16.5-point underdog. The Under (171) also connected in that one. That was the closest pass for the Storm, as Seattle lost the first 2 meetings this season by 33 or more points.

Storm at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Storm +1000 (bet $100 to win $1000) | Aces -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Storm +16.5 (-105) | Aces -16.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 169.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Storms at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 91, Storm 71

Moneyline

The Aces (-2000) will cost you a pretty penny, as a bettor would need to risk $100 for every $5 of profit with a Las Vegas victory. There is just no reason to ever bet such a heavy moneyline favorite. Even if you were to include Vegas in a multi-team parlay ticket, betting such a strong favorite sucks the value right out of your ticket.

PASS.

Against the spread

The ACES -16.5 (-115) are a strong play laying the points on their home floor.

The Storm +16.5 (-105) has been eliminated from the postseason chase. While Seattle was impressive last time out in L.A., that’s against a lowly Sparks team, and not the top team in the WNBA. Las Vegas will step on the gas in the 2nd half, grabbing the easy win and cover.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 169.5 (-110) is the lean in this 4th meeting of the regular season.

While the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Storm, the Under is 5-1 in the past 6 games following a straight-up win, and 6-1 in the past 7 tries after a cover in the previous outing. The Under is also 4-1 in Seattle’s past 5 trips to The Strip.

For the Aces, while the Over has cashed in 6 of the past 8 tries against Western Conference teams, the total has gone low in 5 straight at home, while going 5-2 in the previous 7 when working on a day of rest.

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Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun (25-11) travel to meet the New York Liberty (28-7) Friday. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ION). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Sun head to Brooklyn looking to avenge a 95-90 overtime loss at Mohegan Sun Arena against the Liberty on Aug. 24. Connecticut did cover the 6-point number at most shops while cashing the Over (166.5).

Connecticut is a healthy 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 games, although it failed to cover a 14.5-point spread in Thursday’s 84-74 win over the Phoenix Mercury.

New York is flying high after topping the league-leading Las Vegas Aces yet again on Monday, winning 94-85 in Brooklyn as a 2-point favorite as the Over (174.5) cashed. The Liberty are now 7-2 ATS across the past 9 outings, while the Over has hit in 3 in a row.

Sun at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:54 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Sun +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Liberty -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sun +8.5 (-115) | Liberty -8.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -115) | U: -105)

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Sun at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 88, Sun 82

Moneyline

The Liberty (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive against a good team. The Sun (+275) played them tough in the most recent meeting, and the past 2 games have been decided by 8 or fewer points, although New York has won all 3 meetings this season.

PASS.

Against the spread

The SUN +8.5 (-115) might not win this one outright, but they’ll play the Liberty tough.

The Sun covered the most recent meeting on Aug. 24, a 5-point loss in overtime in Uncasville. Connecticut actually holds a 6-4 ATS edge in the previous 10 meetings despite going 1-2 ATS this season.

Connecticut is 3-1-1 ATS in the past 5 games overall, and 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 games against the Eastern Conference, while going 5-2-1 ATS in the previous 8 on the road.

New York is hot against the number, too, so be careful. It has covered 4 of the past 5 at home, and 8 of the past 10 overall. Still, this is a big number for 2 teams who know each other well.

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Over/Under

The OVER 161.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board in this Friday night battle in Gotham.

Connecticut has cashed the Over in 6 of the past 8 games against teams with a winning overall record, while New York has gone high in 9 of the past 10 against teams in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty are well rested, too, having last played Monday. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 for the Lib when playing on 3 or more days of rest.

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Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Mystics (17-18) travel to meet the Las Vegas Aces (30-6) Thursday. Tip-off from Michelob Ultra Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mystics vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Mystics are looking for their first 3-game win streak since June 16-22. Washington kicked off its 2-game streak with a 78-62 victory against Las Vegas Saturday as a 10-point underdog as the Under (170) cashed. The total has gone low in 3 in a row, and 5 of the past 6, for the Mystics.

The Aces were dropped 94-85 by the New York Liberty in a road game Monday night. Las Vegas is just 2-3 straight-up (SU) and 0-5 against the spread (ATS) across the previous 5 outings.

While Las Vegas lost the most recent meeting, the Aces thumped the Mystics 113-89 in the first meeting in Nevada on Aug. 11, covering a 17.5-point spread as the Over (171) connected.

Mystics at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mystics +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Aces -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mystics +9.5 (-110) | Aces -9.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 166.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Mystics at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 88, Mystics 76

Moneyline

The Aces (-500) will cost you 5 times your potential return, and that’s rather risky for a number of reasons. First off, Vegas is just 2-3 SU in the past 5 games overall, and second, one of those setbacks came in Washington Saturday. If anything, the Mystics (+360) are quite tempting for a chance to more than triple up.

However, the best course of action is to AVOID.

Against the spread

The ACES -9.5 (-110) is a solid play despite the fact they have failed to cover in each of the previous 5 outings.

The Mystics are just 2-6-1 ATS in the past 9 games overall, and a dismal 1-8 ATS in the past 9 games on the road. While Vegas has been skidding hard, it is 6-2 ATS across the past 8 games at home and has covered 5 of the past 7 meetings with the Mystics on The Strip.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 166.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly.

The total has gone low in 5 of the past 6 games overall for the Mystics, including last week’s upset of the Aces. The Under is also 5-1 in the past 6 games for Washington after a cover in the previous outing.

For the Aces, the Under has cashed in 4 in a row at home. However, the last game to go Over was the Mystics game on Aug. 11, so be careful.

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Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces (30-5) travel to meet the New York Liberty (27-7) Monday. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

These teams are getting pretty familiar with each other as they meet for the 3rd time in the regular season since Aug. 6. They also met in the Commissioner’s Cup final on Aug. 15 in Las Vegas.

New York won 99-61 in Brooklyn as a 4.5-point underdog as the Under (176.5) cashed on Aug. 6 and also won the Commissioner’s Cup game Aug. 15 in Vegas as a 7.5-point underdog as the Under (178) hit. Vegas exacted a little revenge on Aug. 17, winning 88-75 to cover a 7.5-point number as the Under (175.5) again cashed.

Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Liberty +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces -1.5 (-110) | Liberty +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 86, Aces 83

Moneyline

The LIBERTY (+100) pounded the Aces in the most recent meeting in Brooklyn. Las Vegas has been rather human since that humbling, going 6-3 straight-up over its last 9 contests and just 1-5 ATS in the past 6 games including the Commissioner’s Cup loss.

Against the spread

Playing the Liberty +1.5 (-110) makes very little sense unless you are convinced the Aces will win this game by exactly a point. If you feel New York is going to win, then just play the moneyline for a better value.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 173.5 (-110) is the best play on the board.

The Under has cashed in the previous 2 regular-season meetings and in the Commissioner’s Cup battle. The Under is also 5-2 in the past 7 games overall for the Aces, including the Cup game.

New York has also been going low, with the Under 8-3 across the past 11 games overall, including the Commissioner’s Cup. And remember, 3 of those Under results are against the Liberty just since Aug. 6.

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Las Vegas Aces at Washington Mystics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Las Vegas Aces at Washington Mystics odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces (30-4) travel to meet the Washington Mystics (15-18) Saturday. Tip-off from St. Elizabeth East Entertainment and Sports Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Mystics odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Aces picked up their 30th win of the season with a 94-87 victory against the Chicago Sky Thursday. Forward A’ja Wilson followed up her historic 53-point performance vs. the Atlanta Dream Tuesday with 18 points and 10 rebounds for the double-double. Vegas has won 6 of its last 7 games overall, although the Aces have failed to cover their last 3 outings.

The Mystics have dropped back-to-back games, and Washington is just 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in the previous 3 games and 1-6-1 ATS in the past 8 outings. That includes a 113-89 loss at Las Vegas on Aug. 11, as the Aces covered a 17.5-point spread as the Over (171) cashed.

Aces at Mystics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Mystics +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces -10.5 (-105) | Mystics +10.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 166.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Aces at Mystics picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 97, Mystics 78

Moneyline

The Aces (-550) will cost you 5 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. Las Vegas should be able to stop Washington, but over the long term, betting such heavy favorites will come back to bite you.

PASS.

Against the spread

LAS VEGAS -10.5 (-105) is the way to go.

The Aces spanked the Mystics by 24 points in the first meeting of the season on Aug. 11 at Mandalay Bay. Las Vegas matched a season-high with 113 points in the victory over Washington.

The Aces are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 games while playing on a day of rest. On the flip side, the Mystics are 1-6-1 ATS in the past 8 games overall, 1-3-1 ATS in the past 5 at home and 0-7 ATS in the past 7 against Western Conference foes.

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Over/Under

The OVER 166.5 (-110) is the lean, although the trends are all over the board for both sides.

While the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Las Vegas when playing on a day of rest, the Over has cashed in 17 of the past 22 games on the road for the Aces.

The Under is 7-1 in the past 8 games for the Mystics when playing on 3 or more days of rest, but the Over has connected in 4 straight games against Western Conference foes.

Go lightly.

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New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (25-7) travel to meet the Connecticut Sun (23-10) Thursday. Tip-off from Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

It’s been a great season for the Liberty so far, as New York has already clinched a playoff berth, while winning the Commissioner’s Cup. However, it leads the Eastern Conference by just 2 1/2 games over the Sun.

The Liberty have posted wins in 7 of the past 8 regular-season games, while covering 5 of the previous 6 outings. The Under is on a 7-1 run across the past 8 regular-season games, and 8-1 in the past 9 if you toss in the Commissioner’s Cup win over Las Vegas on Aug. 15.

The Sun won 68-64 last time out in Washington on Tuesday, pushing at most shops. The Sun is just 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS) across the past 5 games, with the Under hitting in each of the past 2 outings.

These 2 teams are the only ones in the East with a positive point differential. The Liberty won the first 2 battles this season, taking an 81-65 decision on May 27 in Brooklyn to cover a 6.5-point number as the Under (164.5) cashed, while winning 89-81 in Connecticut as 4.5-point favorites, while the Over (168.5) came through.

Liberty at Sun odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:41 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Sun +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -6.5 (-105) | Sun +6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Liberty at Sun picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 79, Sun 73

Moneyline

The Liberty (-250) is quite attractive straight up, since New York has won the first 2 meetings by an average of 12.0 points per game (PPG). However, risking 2 1/2 times your potential return on a road team isn’t the best course of action. That’s too risky, and over the long haul, it’s a losing proposition.

PASS.

Against the spread

NEW YORK -6.5 (-105) is the lean, ever so slightly. I expect this one to come down to free throws at the end to determine who covers. The good news for Liberty backers is that they’re No. 2 in the WNBA in free-throw percentage at 82.5%, while also ranking No. 2 in points per game (88.5), field-goal percentage (45.5%) and 3-pointer percentage (37.9%).

Connecticut +6.5 (-115) is a very good team, but it has yet to be able to solve the Lib straight up, or against the number, in the previous 2 meetings.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 165.5 (-110) is the play, but like the side, I’d do lightly on this one.

The Under has been dominating for the Liberty lately, cashing in 7 of the past 8 regular-season games, as well as the Commissioner’s Cup win in Las Vegas on Aug. 15.

Like New York, Connecticut has fill up the basket with points, averaging 82.9 PPG. However, the Sun has the best D in the WNBA, allowing just 78.7 PPG, while holding the opposition to 31.3% from behind the arc, good for 2nd in the league.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Las Vegas Aces at Atlanta Dream odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Las Vegas Aces at Atlanta Dream odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces (28-4) travel to meet the Atlanta Dream (16-16) Tuesday. Tip-off from Gateway Center Arena at College Park is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (CBSSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Dream odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Aces were stunned at home last time out as 16.5-point favorites on Saturday, falling 78-72 against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Under (170.5) cashed in for the 3rd consecutive game and has gone low in 5 of the last 7 games.

These teams just met at Mandalay Bay on Aug. 13, with the Aces coming away with an 86-65 win as 16.5-point favorites while the Under (176.5) comfortably cashed.

Atlanta halted a 3-game losing streak with a 78-67 victory over the Chicago Sky Friday as a 2-point favorite as the Under (162) hit. The Under has been on a tear for the Dream, cashing in 8 in a row and 15 of the past 16 games.

Aces at Dream odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100) | Dream +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces -15.5 (-110) | Dream +15.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 168.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Aces at Dream picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 89, Dream 79

Moneyline

Backing Las Vegas (-1400) will cost you 14 times your potential return, and that’s insane. You can’t play such a strong favorite, especially on the road, and especially since last time out should serve as a cautionary tale. The Aces were favored anywhere from -2000 to -3500 depending on the shop and Las Vegas laid a fat egg at home against L.A.

PASS.

Against the spread

ATLANTA +15.5 (-110) is the play at home as a double-digit underdog.

While Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS across the past 5 games when favored by double-digits — including the win over Atlanta at home — the Aces are 3-6 ATS in the past 9 on the road when favored by 9.5 or more points, including a 5-point win as an 11.5-point favorite at Atlanta back on June 2.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 168.5 (-110) is the lean, but go very lightly.

The Aces have cashed the Under in the past 3 regular season games, and 4 straight games if you count the Commissioner’s Cup game last Tuesday. That includes an Under result against Atlanta in the most recent meeting, too.

The Under has been on a tear for the Dream, cashing in 8 games in a row and 15 of the past 16 overall. Still, the Aces are the No. 1 scoring offense in the WNBA with 93.1 points per game, so it’s always risky going low in Vegas games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Los Angeles Sparks at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Sparks at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Sparks (12-18) visit the Las Vegas Aces (28-3) Saturday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sparks vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Sparks are working on a season-best 3-game winning streak, and Los Angeles has covered 7 consecutive games, including the past 6 as an underdog. The defense has been much better of late, and the Under has ended up hitting in 6 of the previous 8 outings.

The Aces bounced back from their Commissioner’s Cup loss to the New York Liberty Tuesday, picking up an 88-75 win over the Liberty Thursday in a game that counts toward the regular-season standings. Las Vegas has won and covered 4 straight outings, while going 6-1 ATS across the past 7 games.

These teams met in Los Angeles July 12, with the Aces coming away with a 97-78 win as 12.5-point favorites while the Over (170) connected. The teams met May 25-27 in a home-and-home set, as the Aces won both games while averaging 93.5 PPG. The Sparks split 1-1 ATS and Over/Under, while averaging 75.0 PPG in those 2 outings.

Sparks at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Sparks +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Aces -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sparks +17.5 (-115) | Aces -17.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 169.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Sparks at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 91, Sparks 76

Moneyline

There is never a reason to bet an overwhelming favorite like Las Vegas (-3000), especially when it will cost you 30 times your potential return. In other words, if you were to risk $100, your return would be a paltry $3.33. That’s nonsensical.

PASS.

Against the spread

LOS ANGELES +17.5 (-115) is extremely unlikely to pull off the giant upset and win outright, but it should be able to keep Las Vegas -17.5 (-105) within 17 points.

The Sparks are playing their best basketball of the season, winning 3 in a row outright, while cashing in 7 straight against the number. While Vegas is also hot, covering 6 of the past 7 regular-season games, the lean here is to the Sparks, as that’s a lot of points.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 169.5 (-115) is the lean in Saturday’s matinee action.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 games for the Aces, including 2 of the previous 3 when favored by double digits.

The Sparks have ticked off 6 Under results in the past 8 contests, while cashing low in 4 of the past 5 following a straight-up win, and 5 of the previous 7 following a cover.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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