Waterson Hill betting odds lines picks

UFC on ESPN+ 35: Ottman Azaitar vs. Khama Worthy odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 35 fight between Ottman Azaitar and Khama Worthy, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In a lightweight bout, Ottman Azaitar and Khama Worthy tangle at UFC on ESPN+ 35 Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 8 p.m. ET.

Azaitar (12-0) checks into this one against Worthy (16-6) three inches shorter and with a three-inch reach disadvantage. The switch-stance Moroccan fighter, nicknamed “Bulldozer,” represents the Jupps Fight Team. The 30-year-old made his UFC debut with a first-round KO/TKO against Teemu Packalen just 3:33 into his career at UFC 242. In 12 career professional victories, Azaitar has finished inside the distance 11 times, with the lone exception a unanimous decision win over Kevin Koldobsky at Brave Combat Federation – Brave 2: Dynasty back on Dec. 2, 2016.

Worthy has just two UFC level fights under his belt but is a perfect 2-0. He won his UFC debut with a KO/TKO of Devonte Smith at UFC 241 (Aug. 17, 2019), followed by a June 27 submission victory in Round 3 over Luis Pena on the Poirier-Hooker card. While both of Worthy’s UFC level fights have finished inside the distance, 18 of his 22 professional fights have also not needed the judges. He heads into this one on a seven-fight win streak, with his last loss a KO loss to Kyle Nelson at BTC 1: Genesis back in May of 2017.

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Ottman Azaitar vs. Khama Worthy betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:50 a.m. ET.

WORTHY (-139) is the more experienced fighter here, and he’ll push past Azaitar (+115). He has a nice three-inch reach advantage to keep Azaitar at arm’s length. Worthy can win it either by KO/TKO, submission or decision. Taking WORTHY BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+137) is a strong value on the 5-way line. In addition, getting round specific is a good idea. Bet for the fight to finish in both ROUND 2 (+270) and ROUND 3 (+480). Yes, you obviously can’t win both, but if the fight ends in either of those rounds, you’ll still be well ahead.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

UFC on ESPN+ 35 predictions (MMA Junkie)
Worthy wants to finish what he started (MMA Junkie)
MMA Junkie – The latest UFC/MMA coverage

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UFC on ESPN+ 35: Michelle Waterson vs. Angela Hill odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 35 fight between Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In the main event, Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill tangle in a women’s strawweight bout at UFC on ESPN+ 35 Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 8 p.m. ET.

Waterson (17-8) checks into this one as a slight underdog. She has a 2½-inch reach disadvantage, and while she has a 52.86 to 49.58 significant strike-accuracy percentage, Hill (12-8) is well ahead at 5.76 to 3.31 in significant strikes landed per minute. Waterson – a.k.a. “The Karate Hottie” – also has a 1.68 to 0.47 takedown average, 50.0 to 37.5 takedown-accuracy percentage and 1.05 to 0.16 submission-average advantage. Waterson lost her last two fights by decisions, falling May 9 to Carla Esparza at UFC 249 and to Joanna Jedrzejczyk in the main event on Oct. 12, 2019.

Hill – nicknamed “Overkill” – is looking to bounce back from a disappointing split-decision loss to Claudia Gadelha May 16 in Jacksonville, Fla. The defeat snapped a three-fight winning streak, her longest at the UFC level. Hill is an impressive puncher, and could be very successful as long as she can avoid going to the mat with Waterson. Hill is a perfect 5-0 via KO/TKO in 20 career pro fights, but she is 0-2 by way of the submission, and that’s an area of concern when backing the favorite.

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Michelle Waterson vs. Angela Hill betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:40 a.m. ET.

The punching machine HILL (-125) should overwhelm Waterson (+105), who likes to pick and choose her spots. The only concern with picking Hill over Waterson is her ability to avoid the canvas. She has never won by way of submission, and has lost twice by tapping out.

As far as getting specific, look for this fight to finish via HILL BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+120) on the method of victory. There is a tremendous chance this fight will go the distance, which is likely why the juice is so high. Yes (-313): ‘Will the fight go the distance?’ is almost a certainty, but at the same time, that’s just too expensive for my blood.