In the third and final round of 2022 World Cup qualifying, Canada plays the USA at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. The match is set to kick off at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Canada vs. USA odds and lines, and make our best World Cup qualifying bets, picks and predictions.
While the United States was given a pass to the final round, Canada had to earn its way. In its first match of the final round, Canada drew Honduras, a team that received an automatic bye to the last round as well.
The United States played El Salvador to kick off the final round and drew 1-1. Superstar F Christian Pulisic did not play but the team did have M Weston McKennie.
After a terrific Gold Cup campaign, GK Matt Turner received the nod to start for the USMNT in their first match. While this should be a close game, the United States is coming in as a strong favorite.
Canada vs. USA odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Canada +410 (bet $100 to win $410) | United States -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Draw +265
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -115 | U: -125)
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Prediction
United States 2, Canada 0
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the UNITED STATES (-165) despite the steep price. Now, the valuation may be shaken once the status of Pulisic is confirmed.
He’s the USMNT wonderboy. He tested positive for COVID-19 and is looking to regain his fitness. GK Zach Steffen, the typical starter, also has remained out.
With Barcelona D Sergiño Dest and Dortmund F Giovanni Reyna on the roster, the talent is there, and the USA should be able to expose Canada at least once.
This is a good value but could go into the -200 zone if Pulisic is announced to play. Then again, it could be a plus-money bet if he’s confirmed out. For now, it’s a risk, but one that, for half a unit, is a good play.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET on the UNDER 2.5 (-125) as the best value in this match. Both teams hit the Under in their first final-round match.
With Turner playing well and the United States having held up for most of the Gold Cup and against El Salvador, there’s a good chance Canada doesn’t get on the board.
Canada’s Gold Cup match with Mexico ended 2-1 on a 99th-minute penalty, but its two other knockout-stage matches went to the Under. Canada drew Honduras 1-1 with only 3 shots on goal.
Although star F Cyle Larin, the goalscorer against Honduras, should be active, I’d still expect the USMNT defense to get the best of Canada.
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