UFC on ESPN 63 betting odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC on ESPN 63: Manel Kape vs. Bruno Silva odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 63 odds between Manel Kape vs. Bruno Silva, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round flyweight bout on the main card, Manel Kape and Bruno Silva battle Saturday at UFC on ESPN 63 at Amalie Arena in Tampa. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC on ESPN 63: Kape vs. Silva odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+. The main card begins at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN2/ESPN+.

Records: Kape (19-7-0) | Silva (14-5-2)

Kape is looking to rebound after a unanimous-decision loss against Muhammad Mokaev in late July at UFC 304. He has ended up going the distance in each of his past 3 fights.

The last time the Portuguese fighter was able to get a finish was a first-round KO/TKO against Zhalgas Zhumagalov Dec. 4, 2021, and he also had a first-round KO/TKO against Ode’ Osbourne at UFC 265 prior to that.

For Silva, he has 4 consecutive victories, all via finish, and he has not lost since a unanimous-decision loss to Tagir Ulanbekov in Oct. 2020.

The southpaw Kape has a 3-inch reach advantage against Silva, and he has a 4.44-to-3.32 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. The 2 fighters are nearly identical in significant strikes accuracy percentage. Silva has a 2.26 takedown average, and Kape has a slight 0.36-to-0.23 submission average advantage.

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UFC on ESPN 63: Kape vs. Silva odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list UFC odds. Lines last updated at 3:40 p.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Kape -390 (bet $390 to win $100) | Silva +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
Total Rounds: 2.5 Rounds (Over: -196 | Under: +152)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -158 | No +124)

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UFC on ESPN 63: Kape vs. Silva picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Kape (-390) will cost you more than 3½ times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. Let’s get a little more specific.

Kape is a punching machine, but Silva (+310) has the ability to hang around. He has decent defense, and Kape will be working to use his reach advantage to keep Silva at a distance to try and avoid the Brazilian fighter getting him to the mat.

Kape knows what to do to wow the judges. Bet KAPE BY POINTS (+105) at near even-money on method of victory.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (-158): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little on the expensive side, but it isn’t totally priced out of line.

Again, Kape has ended up going the distance in each of his past 3 bouts. Silva hasn’t made it to Round 3 in the past 4 fights, but this is a big step up in competition.

Over 2.5 Rounds (-196) is a little too expensive, costing you almost 2 times your potential return. Avoid that, and look to the distance prop instead.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 63: Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 63 odds between Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Cub Swanson and Billy Quarantillo battle Saturday at UFC on ESPN 63 at Amalie Arena in Tampa. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC on ESPN 63: Swanson vs. Quarantillo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+. The main card begins at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN2/ESPN+.

Records: Swanson (29-14-0) | Quarantillo (18-6-0)

Swanson is looking to bounce back after a split-decision in late June against Andre Fili at UFC 303. He is 2-3 in the past 5 fights, while going 4-7 in the past 11 bouts. His past 2 fights have ended up going the distance, while the 4 bouts prior ended up via KO/TKO.

Quarantillo suffered a second-round submission loss to Youssef Zalal last time out in late March, while going 3-4 in the past 7 fights. In his past 9 fights, he has ended up going the distance 4 times.

The 41-year-old Swanson has managed just 4.67 significant strikes landed per minute to 7.36 for Quarantillo. The 36-year-old fighter has also managed to land 64.16% of those strikes, while posting a 1.24 takedown average and 1.11 submission average.

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UFC on ESPN 63: Swanson vs. Quarantillo odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list UFC odds. Lines last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Swanson +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Quarantillo -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
Total Rounds: 2.5 Rounds (Over: -144 | Under: +114)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -122 | No -104)

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UFC on ESPN 63: Swanson vs. Quarantillo picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

QUARANTILLO (-154) is a strong play as a moderate favorite against the aging veteran Swanson (+130).

Quarantillo has tremendous power, and he throws a ton of punches per minute, which also landing those strikes at a dizzying pace. In addition, he will go for takedowns, and he has a 1.11 submission average. He is 5-1 in his career via submission, and his specialty is the armbar or the rear-naked choke.

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (-104): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a good play at near-even money.

Swanson has gone the distance in each of his past 2 fights, but prior to that he had 4 bouts end via KO/TKO, winning 2 and losing 2 of them.

For Quarantillo, he has managed to go the distance just once in the past 4 fights, while needing the judges in just 4 of his 10 fights since arriving at the UFC level.

UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+114) at plus-money is worth a roll of the dice, too.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 63: Colby Covington vs. Joaquin Buckley odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 63 odds between Colby Covington vs. Joaquin Buckley, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round welterweight bout in the main event, Colby Covington and Joaquin Buckley battle Saturday at UFC on ESPN 63 at Amalie Arena in Tampa. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+. The main card begins at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN2/ESPN+.

Records: Covington (17-4-0) | Buckley (20-6-0)

Covington was stopped via unanimous decision last time out at UFC 296 in a championship bout against Leon Edwards. Covington has ended up going the distance in 3 in a row, and 8 of the past 10 bouts dating back to Dec. 17, 2016.

Buckley scored a third-round knockout against Stephen Thompson at UFC 307, and he has won 5 straight fights with 2 via unanimous decision and 3 KO/TKO victories. His last loss was Dec. 10, 2022, against Chris Curtis at UFC 282.

Buckley holds a 4-inch reach advantage, and the southpaw has a slight 4.13-to-3.88 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Covington is quite a bit more accurate on those strikes at 52.00% to just 39.64% for the left-hander. Covington has a 3.79 takedown average, too, while Buckley has managed just a 1.96 takedown average and 46.34% takedown accuracy percentage.

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UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list UFC odds. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Covington +198 (bet $100 to win $198) | Buckley -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Total Rounds: 4.5 Rounds (Over: -138 | Under: +108)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -124 | No -102)

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UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

COVINGTON (+198) is an intriguing pick for the chance to nearly double up.

Buckley (-240) has the reach advantage, and he is a punching machine. However, Covington has battled the best of the best in the division, and while he is 2-3 in the past 5 bouts, each of the setbacks were for a championship. He has never lost in a non-championship bout.

Buckley has won 3 of his past 5 fights via KO/TKO, but he doesn’t have the same quality of opponents Covington has.

COVINGTON BY POINTS (+310) for the chance to more than triple up is also worth a roll of the dice for the method of victory.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (-124): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is worth a look, and it won’t set you back very much.

Again, Covington has gone the distance in the past 3 bouts, and those are each 5-round fights, too. He has just 2 finishes in the past 10 fights since Dec. 2016.

OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-138) isn’t too pricey if you’d like a little bit of wiggle room in the event of a late Round 5 finish.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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