Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (52-53) start a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (49-56) Monday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Ranger Suarez is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Suarez is 5-3 with a 1.12 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 in 40 1/3 IP. All 27 of his appearances have come in relief.

  • Is expected to be a starter for the balance of the season after the team’s acquisition of RHP Ian Kennedy to serve as closer. Has logged six appearances of more than 2 innings but none since July 11.
  • His ERA is buoyed by a .188 batting average on balls in play and an 85.8% left-on-base rate.

RHP Josiah Gray is the projected starter for the Nationals. Gray is a rookie who came over from the Dodgers in the RHP Max Scherzer trade. He made his first Major League start on July 25.

  • Gray has coughed up 4 home runs and 6 ER in 8 IP through one start and one relief appearance. He walked 5 and struck out 13 across the two games.
  • Is a converted shortstop who has only been pitching full-time for a few years. Called up last month after clocking just 198 Minor League innings from 2018-21.

Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Nationals 5, Phillies 4

Money line (ML)

Washington is tough on left-handed pitching, recording a league-leading .811 OPS, and righties swing the Phillies around to the lesser side of their platoon splits with a .704 OPS.

Statcast quality-of-contact numbers peg Philly as being rather lucky in their run-scoring so far; the numbers for the Nationals swing the other way.

Philadelphia is just 5-8 since July 20 and is 1-4 in road games over that stretch. The Nats are 4-2 with an .862 OPS over their last six games.

BACK THE NATIONALS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the added juice in the run line prop.

Over/Under (O/U)

Washington puts up solid offensive numbers at home and is on a nice roll with the bats. Neither bullpen should scare off an Over bettor, and both could have used a day off and figure to be tired heading into this series.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-135).

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Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (51-51) battle the Toronto Blue Jays (54-48) Monday at 3:07 p.m. ET in what marks the opening game of a four-game set at Rogers Centre. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Eli Morgan is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-3 with a 7.47 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 over 31 1/3 IP spanning seven starts.

  • Rookie who has exhibited good control but hittable stuff through his first seven MLB starts. Yielded 3 or more runs in each outing.
  • Right-handed batters own a 1.008 OPS against him. A way-above-average 78% of Toronto’s plate appearances against right-handed pitchers are logged by right-handed bats.

LHP Robbie Ray is the projected starter for the Blue Jays. He is 9-5 with a 3.04 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 118 1/3 IP across 20 starts.

  • Allowed 3 home runs in a July 21 clunker against the Boston Red Sox but bounced back to allow just 1 run over 6 frames against the same BoSox squad Wednesday.
  • Has benefited from a .266 batting average on balls in play and a 90.8% left-on-base rate.

Indians at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Blue Jays -310 (bet $31 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +2.5 (-145) | Blue Jays -2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -135)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

Cleveland has been in a tailspin since late-June and is 10-20 over its last 30 games.

Toronto has been quite good in the second half, posting a robust .852 OPS while going 9-6 through 15 games.

PASS on a money line that looks to have true odds well-bracketed on both sides.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The 2-and-a-half-run play is worth a line watch. With Morgan posting some serviceable innings over his last 2 starts and Ray coming off a 108-pitch outing, there is some value in Cleveland +2.5 if you can get a price of -125 or better.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Blue Jays offense has been cranking out impressive performances and a recent Indians downturn with the bats is partially due to some BABIP shortage.

Peg some fade to Ray’s overall numbers and figure the Indians as having a fatigued bullpen which could’ve used a Monday off day. TAKE THE OVER 9.5 (-105).

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Summer Olympics Men’s Basketball: USA vs. Spain odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s USA vs. Spain odds and lines, with Summer Olympics Men’s Basketball picks, tips and best bets.

The quarterfinals of the Summer Olympics Men’s Basketball Tournament are here. USA and Spain play the second game of the four taking place overnight Monday into Tuesday morning. Tip-off will be at 12:40 a.m. ET at Saitama Super Arena. Below, we preview the USA vs. Spain odds and lines, and make our best Summer Olympics bets, picks and predictions.

Team USA got off to a nightmarish start in the tournament with an 83-76 loss to France but won its final two games of the group stage to advance to the quarterfinals. USA beat Iran 120-66 and the Czech Republic 119-84.

The script was flipped for Spain. It beat Japan 88-77 and Argentina 81-71 before a 95-87 loss to Slovenia Sunday.

USA and Spain finished second in Group A and C, respectively. The two countries are first and second, respectively, in the FIBA world rankings.

USA vs. Spain: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: USA -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Spain +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • Against the spread/ATS: USA -11.5 (-135) | Spain +11.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 180.5 (O: -115| U: -115)

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USA vs. Spain: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

USA 96, Spain 81

Money line (ML)

USA (-1000) reestablished itself as the best team in this tournament after its ugly start against France. Spain, led by NBA players PG Ricky Rubio, C Marc Gasol and PF Pau Gasol, started well but came up short in its toughest test of the tournament against Slovenia.

PASS on the chalky money line price and turn to the spread for proper value on the Americans.

Against the spread (ATS)

USA -11.5 (-135) is still a pricey play when needing to win by 12 or more points but it’s the top play for a winner. Rubio had his worst scoring performance of the tournament against PG Luka Doncic and Slovenia, and the Americans have the guard play to contain him again.

Team USA won back-to-back games by 54 and 35 points. The level of competition increases greatly in the quarterfinals against Spain but there’s quite a bit of room for error with the conservative line.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 180.5 (-115) if the play on the total. USA easily topped 100 points in each of its last two games, but Spain brings much better team defense to the table than either Iran or the Czech Republic. The Americans were held to just 76 points against the quality French side.

Spain has been relying heavily on defense, as it scored fewer than 90 points in all three games and held the opposition below 80 points in each of its two wins.

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Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (56-50) continue their 10-game road trip with the first game of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (64-42) Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Tropicana Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mariners vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mariners RHP Chris Flexen (9-5, 3.81 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 108 2/3 IP.

  • Flexen allowed 7 runs on 9 hits in only 4 innings in an 8-6 loss to the Houston Astros Tuesday his last time out.
  • The Mariners are 13-6 this season when he starts.

Rays RHP Michael Wacha (2-2, 4.79 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 71 1/3 IP.

  • Wacha lasted 3 2/3 innings and allowed 5 runs on 11 hits in a 5-1 loss at the Mariners June 18.
  • He has pitched more than 5 innings only three times this season.

Mariners at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-140) | Rays -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Rays 6, Mariners 5

Money line (ML)

The Mariners swept the Rays in a four-game series in Seattle in June; however, they are 23-27 on the road this season. They have lost two of the first three games of their current road trip and Flexen has lost his last two starts.

The Rays are 34-20 at home and have won four straight games. They’ve won nine of their last 12 games and are 36-29 against teams at or above .500.

Take the RAYS (-190).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mariners are 59-47 ATS overall and 28-22 ATS on the road. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and failed to cover the spread in their last two games. They have not gone more than two games without covering the spread since failing to do so in six straight May 17-23.

The Rays are also 59-47 ATS overall but are 27-27 ATS at home. They are 3-1 ATS in their last four games but are 0-4 ATS against Seattle.

Take the MARINERS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under (O/U)

Tropicana Field’s Over percentage this season is 49.1%.

Five of the Mariners’ last six games, and 11 of their last 12 road games, finished with 9 or more runs.

Three of the last four, and eight of the last 12, games for the Rays had totals of 9 or more runs.

Two of the four games so far in the season series had 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-135).

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PLAY: Men’s Olympic Basketball Pick’em Contest – USA vs. Spain

Test your Men’s Olympic Basketball knowledge with our free USA vs. Spain pick’em contest for Tuesday’s quarterfinal matchup in Tokyo.

Team USA’s Men’s Olympic Basketball squad plays a quarterfinal game against Spain Tuesday. Tip-off will be at 12:40 a.m. ET. Want in on the action? USA TODAY has you covered with a free-to-play pick’em contest for each of Team USA’s games in Tokyo.

Here’s how to get a piece of the action:

Each game has an entirely new set of questions giving you a daily chance for victory. Need some help on which picks to make? Check out our Summer Olympics odds, picks and predictions.

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PLAY: Monday’s BaseballHQ.com MLB Pick’em Contest – 8/2

Test your baseball knowledge with our free MLB Pick 8 pick’em contest for Monday, Aug. 2.

Ready to show off your baseball knowledge? Test out your MLB prognosticating skills with BaseballHQ.com‘s daily MLB Pick 8 contest. Monday’s game starts with the 3:07 p.m. ET first pitch between the Cleveland Indians and Toronto Blue Jays.

Here’s how to get a piece of the action:

Each game has an entirely new set of questions giving you a daily chance for victory. Need some help on which picks to make? Check out our MLB odds, picks and predictions.

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Summer Olympics Women’s Soccer: Canada vs. USA odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Canada vs. USA odds and lines, with Summer Olympics Women’s Soccer picks, tips and best bets.

In a semifinal match at the Summer Olympics Women’s Soccer tournament, the USA takes on Canada. The match will be held at Ibaraki Kashima Stadium and kickoff is slated for 4 a.m. ET Monday. Below, we preview the Canada vs. USA odds and lines, and make our best Summer Olympics bets, picks and predictions.

The United States is the top-ranked women’s national team with Canada coming in as the eighth-best team.

After a thrilling penalty shootout victory over the Netherlands, the United States enter the semifinals with confidence following a tougher-than-expected Group Stage round for the 2019 World Cup champs.

After finishing second in Group E with a win and two draws, Canada took down Brazil on penalties in the quarterfinals. The winner of Canada and USA will take on the winner of Sweden and Australia for the gold medal.

Canada vs. USA: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 2:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Canada +420 (bet $100 to win $420) | USA -1 (bet $160 to win $100) | Draw +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -105 | U: -130)

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Prediction

USA 2, Canada 1

Money line (ML)

BET on the USA (-160) as it’s the more skilled and deeper side. The USWNT should also be riding high off a terrific victory, one which should’ve given GK Alyssa Naeher all the confidence in the world.

With the attacking prowess of F Megan Rapinoe and F Alex Morgan, the United States should be able to break down Canada.

It won’t be an easy match, but having an experienced squad with many of the same faces that won the World Cup, the USWNT should find a way to come out on top.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 2.5 (-105) as Canada gave up a goal in three of its four matches. The United States gave up at least 2 goals in two of its four games. Both teams have skilled attackers as well.

Canada has F Christine Sinclair, one of the most talented forwards in the world. Canada has averaged a goal per game while the USWNT has averaged two per game.

Neither team has shown enough defensively to warrant anything other than betting the over, especially the United States, which allowed 6 goals through four matches.

The Over is the best value on the total but put only a half unit on it.

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CONCACAF Gold Cup: USA vs. Mexico odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s USA vs. Mexico odds and lines, with CONCACAF Gold Cup picks and predictions.

The CONCACAF Gold Cup final is upon us, and it’ll be Mexico taking on USA Sunday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the USA vs. Mexico odds and lines, and make our best CONCACAF Gold Cup bets, picks and predictions.

The USA beat Mexico 3-2 in the CONCACAF Nations League final almost two months ago; however, none of the three USMNT scorers will be playing Sunday. To get here, the USA took down Jamaica 1-0 in the quarterfinals and then Qatar 1-0 in the semifinals. Mexico beat Honduras 3-0 then defeated Canada 2-1.

USA vs. Mexico: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: USA +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Mexico +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Draw +210
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +145 | U: -180)

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Prediction

Mexico 2, USA 1

Money line (ML)

BET on MEXICO (+125) as it’s the more talented side.

Many of the young USMNT players aren’t in Gold Cup action. The USA managed to take down Qatar and Jamaica but won both games just 1-0.

USA should be able to get on the board, but the Mexican attack will test the American backline, one that could falter against the best offensive side it has played in the Gold Cup.

Without many key players on the USA side and Mexico is led by F Rogelio Funes Mori and F Orbelin Pineda. Both have had high levels of success so far this tournament, so I’d expect Mexico to find a way to break down the US and take the Gold Cup trophy.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” on the OVER 2.5 (+145) as the best value at plus-money.

The Mexican offense has been solid, scoring at least 2 goals in three of its last four matches. Mexico hit the Over in three of five matches in the Gold Cup.

The USA hit the Over just once in five matches, but playing against the best attack it has seen, it could be a different story in the final.

With F Daryl Dike attacking and M Cristian Roldan distributing, the USMNT scored in each of its five matches. Mexico has two of the top-10 scorers in the tournament.

Bet the Over but only for half a unit.

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Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

After winning two of the first three games of the series, the Colorado Rockies (46-59) hope to pick up a road series win over the San Diego Padres (60-47) Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies LHP Austin Gomber (8-5, 3.69 ERA) makes his 18th start of the year. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.

  • He is facing the Padres for the fourth time this season. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.47 through 19 1/3 innings against them.
  • He won each of his last five decisions.

Padres RHP Reiss Knehr (0-0, 4.91 ERA) makes his second-ever start in the majors. He walked 4 and struck out 3 with 2 earned runs allowed through 3 2/3 innings against the Rockies in his MLB debut.

  • His major league debut was July 9 against the Rockies. He lasted only 3 2/3 innings but the Padres won 4-2.
  • He was 6-2 with a 3.66 ERA over 13 starts with Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso.

Rockies at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Padres 5, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

The Rockies, with two wins in a row this series over the Padres, no longer have the worst road record in the majors, although they are tied for the fewest road wins with 13. It is the second time all season they have won two consecutive road games. Their only road series win was over the Padres just before the All-Star break.

Despite two losses in a row at Petco Park, the Padres have the second-most home victories this season. While Knehr might not go deep into the game, their bullpen has an MLB-best 2.94 ERA. They have not lost three straight home games since being swept by the Milwaukee Brewers in April.

Take the PADRES (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Rockies have improved to 23-29 ATS on the road having gone 7-2 ATS on their current road trip.

The Padres are only 27-30 ATS at home this season and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.

Considering the season-long performance of both teams goes against the most recent trends, it is bound to correct itself.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 52% of games at Petco Park this season went Over the projected total.

Four of the Rockies’ nine games on this road trip had 9 or more runs scored and four of the Padres’ last 11 games have had a total of 9-plus runs.

Only four of the 15 games this season between the two teams had 9 or more runs.

Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (59-47) and Los Angeles Angels (52-52) finish a four-game AL West set Sunday at 4:07 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Daulton Jefferies is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics. The 25-year-old is making his second career start.

  • Allowed 5 ER in 2 IP in his MLB debut against the Texas Rangers last September.
  • Recorded a 5.19 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over 59 IP across 12 starts at Triple-A Las Vegas this year.

LHP Reid Detmers is the projected starter for the Angels. The 22-year-old is making his MLB debut.

  • Recently recalled from Triple-A Salt Lake where he made just one start after logging a 3.50 ERA over 12 starts (54 IP) at Double-A Rocket City.
  • Just one year removed from pitching at the University of Louisville; he was the No. 10 selection in the 2020 MLB June Amateur Draft.

Athletics at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Angels -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+145) | Angels +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Angels 6, Athletics 4

Money line (ML)

In a series with box scores like those of the 1910s, the Athletics won two of the first three games. All 3 contests were shutouts.

A struggling Oakland offense owns a .647 OPS over its last 29 games. The Angels own a .628 OPS over their last 12 games.

For Sunday, peg the Angels as the side with the most value. Los Angeles is 4-1 over its last five home-series finales, and they have the more talented starter on the mound. A perceived A’s edge in relief pitching is very much due to a .272 batting average on balls in play and a 10.1% rate of fly balls landing as home runs.

Oakland is closing out a 10-game road trip.

BACK THE ANGELS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

STEER CLEAR of the juice-filled run-line action.

Over/Under (O/U)

Warm day, wind out. Despite its recent struggles, Los Angeles has a top-five offense at home. Add in a fade of the Oakland bullpen, and BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-105).

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