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Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Rams odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Rams odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Broncos (4-10) visit the Los Angeles Rams (4-10) on Christmas as they square off Sunday afternoon in Week 16. Kickoff from SoFi Stadium will be at 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. Rams odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Broncos have been one of the NFL’s most disappointing teams this year, ranking 32nd in points scored (218). They’ve wasted a dominant defense, which is 3rd in points allowed (253), getting very poor play out of QB Russell Wilson in his 1st season in Denver. In the last 6 games, the Broncos are just 1-5 with their only win against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 15.

The Rams are currently in the midst of 1 of the worst post-Super Bowl seasons ever, tying the record for the most losses by a defending champion – coincidentally with the 1999 Broncos. QB Matthew Stafford, WR Cooper Kupp and WR Allen Robinson are among the players out for the year, while DT Aaron Donald is unlikely to play due to a high ankle sprain. The result? the 31st-ranked scoring offense in football.

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Broncos at Rams odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Broncos -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Rams +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Against the spread (ATS): Broncos -3 (-116) | Rams +3 (-104)
Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -109 | U: -111)

Broncos at Rams key injuries

Broncos

OL Calvin Anderson (ankle) questionable
LB Randy Gregory (knee) questionable
WR Kendall Hinton (hamstring) out
RB Latavius Murray (foot) questionable
OL Dalton Risner (shoulder, back, foot) questionable
WR Courtland Sutton (hamstring) questionable
FS K’Waun Williams (wrist, knee) questionable

Rams

C Brian Allen (calf) out
DL Marquise Copeland (ankle) out
DT Aaron Donald (ankle) out
WR Ben Skowronek (calf) out
QB John Wolford (neck) out

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Broncos at Rams picks and predictions

Prediction

Broncos 17, Rams 13

Moneyline

This is an evenly matched game between 2 bad teams. The Broncos have the edge at QB with Wilson over the Rams’ Baker Mayfield, but just barely. Defensively, Denver is also marginally better than the Rams.

As poorly as the Broncos have been playing, they have more to work with on their current roster because Los Angeles has more injuries than any team in football. I would LEAN BRONCOS (-170) in this one.

Against the spread

The Broncos are 6-8 ATS this season compared to the Rams’ 4-8-2 ATS record. They’re only laying 3 points against arguably the worst offense in football, which is now without its starting center and another starting receiver.

I like the BRONCOS -3 (-116) to cover the spread and win by at least a field goal because it’s going to be a real challenge for the Rams to score more than 1 TD against this Denver defense.

Over/Under

Not only do the Broncos and Rams rank 32nd and 31st in points scored, but they’re also the 2 best red zone defenses in football. So if/when these teams do reach the red zone, they’ll struggle to turn those possessions into TDs. Therefore, we could get a bunch of field goals.

The Over/Under is only 36.5 points, but I still think it goes UNDER (-111) that number. Combined, the Under is 20-8 in the Rams and Broncos’ 28 games this season.

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NFL Prop Bets Week 16: Finding modest overs on a wintery Christmas slate

Wherein we trust Travis Kelce in the cold (smart!) and also Darius Slayton and Jauan Jennings (uh…)

Week 15 continued our winning ways and was a Jonathan Taylor injury away from 6-1. Our hit rate remains over a wildly unsustainable — but nicely profitable — 67 percent. It’s even better in the unofficial leans section, which haven’t been as hot lately but are still cashing at an 80 percent clip.

Week 16 provides a few more opportunities and a caveat. We’ve seen teams fall flat on their faces late this season. Now several of those same squads are working through a holiday weekend. The capacity for Christmas shenanigans is high, even after a shenanigan-filled weekend (thanks, Colts and Patriots!).

Here’s who I like to leave some presents in our betting accounts in the season’s antepenultimate week. Official plays are in bold.

Geno Smith OVER 15.5 rushing yards. Smith has hit this total in six of his last seven games and the the Chiefs rank sixth-to-last in rushing yards given up to opposing QBs. Factor in Tyler Lockett’s absence and the likelihood Seattle will be trailing early on a cold day and you’ve got a recipe for a handful of Smith scrambles.

Travis Kelce OVER 74.5 receiving yards. The Seahawks give up more receiving yards to tight ends than all but two other teams in 2022 and more than 14.5 yards per TE catch. Pair this up with Kelce’s longest reception OVER 21.5 yards.

Darius Slayton OVER 47.5 receiving yards. We’re back on Slayton after two underwhelming weeks thanks to a promising matchup against the Vikings’ 27th-ranked pass defense and the likelihood the Giants, who have a playoff spot on the line, will be playing from behind for much of the afternoon.

Gus Edwards OVER 36.5 rushing yards. He’s averaged better than six yards per carry over his last two games and now gets the league’s 26th-ranked rush defense. JK Dobbins’ number is a little higher at 56.5, but we cashed on these two before halftime last week. Might as well stack them up again: JK Dobbins OVER 56.5 rushing yards.

Jauan Jennings OVER 28.5 receiving yards. He’s hit this total in four of his last five games and now gets to operate against a top-heavy Commanders secondary. He played a season-high 54 snaps last week in Deebo Samuel’s absence and should improve on the five targets he had vs. the Seahawks.

Joe Burrow OVER 259.5 passing yards. His total has dropped thanks to frigid temperatures in Foxborough. But the Patriots’ secondary is a mess right now and this is the least disciplined team in Bill Belichick’s history. If you can get value betting against New England, take it.

Last week: 5-2 (.714)
Season to date: 69-33 (.676)

Rhode Island Scumbag NFL Locks, Week 16: Back to betting against Aaron Rodgers

Rodgers’ Packers are only a 3.5-point underdog on the road in Miami. That’s a lot of respect for a team that’s earned none.

There’s a new rule in Scumbag Land — a place where I assume Michelob Ultra flows freely, the bad beat jackpots are incredible and the idea of a Connecticut casino with a rooftop helipad is real life and not just a Safdie brothers fantasy. Whenever the Rhode Island Scumbag and I agree on a lock, you need to fade it with extreme prejudice.

For the third straight week, our resident prognosticator and I saw eye to eye one what we thought was one of the best bets of the week. And for the third straight week, it crashed and burned. In this case it was the Minnesota Vikings, who rallied back from a 33-0 deficit to win … but not cover the spread oddsmakers had set for them in a 39-36 overtime classic.

Since we both lay out our bets independently and then combine them for this column, there’s no telling whether it will happen again. But if it does, know that we have mushed that line for the rest of the betting public. Wager on the opposite side, collect your payout, and thank us for being doofuses later.

Week 15 started about as poorly as possible. I gave out Minnesota -4 as my first play and before I was on my second beer of the day, it was already 33-0. We almost salvaged a win there, but I think the fact the we even came close changed the trajectory for our betting weekend and we ended up going 2-1 to finish with a winning week.

This week I’m sticking to the degenerate’s creed. There are some very tempting road favorites this week (Cincinnati and Detroit) but I’m not laying it on the road.

Straight-up NFL picks, Week 16: Road winners and a de facto playoff game for the Jaguars and Jets

Jaguars-Jets on Thursday night is a de facto playoff eliminator. Eagles-Cowboys isn’t, but it’s gonna be fun — even without Jalen Hurts.

Week 16 of the NFL season will parse down a playoff field where only five teams — the Houston Texans, Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals — have been eliminated from the postseason. That means plenty of opportunities for needy teams in a slate filled with road underdogs.

That starts on Thursday night with a de facto playoff game between the New York Jets and Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars have rallied from 2-6 to make waves in the fecund water park kiddie pool that is the AFC South. The Jets, on the other hand, have slid in the opposite direction and now have to rely on Zach Wilson to reverse those fortunes. That’s a big ask — and it’s got our three-man panel split on the outcome of Week 16’s first game.

That’s one of only three games in which our experts didn’t see eye-to-eye. A do-or-die game between the ugly offenses of the New Orleans Saints and Cleveland Browns is a concern. So is a tragic showdown between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams that once looked like a possible Super Bowl preview but instead is a battle between two putrid teams who don’t even own their upcoming top five draft picks.

Here’s our full slate of picks for Week 16, with explanations below.

Game	Christian	Robert	Charles
Jaguars at Jets	Jets	Jaguars	Jaguars
Bills at Bears	Bills	Bills	Bills
Falcons at Ravens	Ravens	Ravens	Ravens
Seahawks at Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs
Giants at Vikings	Vikings	Vikings	Vikings
Saints at Browns	Browns	Saints	Browns
Bengals at Patriots	Bengals	Bengals	Bengals
Texans at Titans	Titans	Titans	Titans
Lions at Panthers	Lions	Lions	Lions
Commanders at 49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers
Eagles at Cowboys	Cowboys	Cowboys	Cowboys
Raiders at Steelers	Steelers	Raiders	Raiders
Packers at Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins
Broncos at Rams	Broncos	Broncos	Rams
Buccaneers at Cardinals	Bucs	Bucs	Bucs
Chargers at Colts	Chargers	Chargers	Chargers

Last week:	11-5	11-5	12-4
Year to date:	141-81-2	140-82-2	127-95-2

And here are those selections in a better-formatted screenshot of our actual picks sheet, which unfortunately struggles to translate to our editing software.

First look: Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Rams odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Rams Week 16 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Denver Broncos (4-10) and Los Angeles Rams (4-10) square off in 1 of 3 Christmas Day games in Week 16. Kickoff from SoFi Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we look at Broncos vs. Rams odds from Tipico Sportsbook; check back for all our NFL picks and predictions.

The Broncos snapped a 5-game losing skid with a 24-15 victory over the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday. Denver has already been eliminated from playoff contention, falling well short of expectations this year after acquiring QB Russell Wilson from the Seattle Seahawks in an offseason trade. The Broncos are currently last in the AFC West and rank last in the NFL in points scored (218) this season.

Also see: All Week 16 odds and lines

The Rams have been equally disappointing, going just 1-7 in their last 8 games since the Week 7 bye and losing 24-12 to the Green Bay Packers on Monday Night Football at Lambeau Field in Week 15. The Rams are still without QB Matthew Stafford and WR Cooper Kupp, while DT Aaron Donald remains a question mark due to an ankle injury of his own.

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Broncos at Rams odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Broncos -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Rams +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Broncos -2 (-110) | Rams +2 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -109 | U: -111)

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2022 betting stats

ML: Broncos 4-10 | Rams 4-10
ATS: Broncos 6-8 | Rams 5-8-1
O/U: Broncos 3-11 | Rams 5-9

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Broncos vs. Rams head-to-head

The Rams and Broncos have only faced each other 14 times in their history, with the Rams going 9-5 in those contests and outscoring the Broncos 305-298. The most recent meeting was in 2018 when the Rams picked up a 23-20 road win at the Broncos.

The Rams were 7-point favorites in that game, so the Broncos covered the spread. In fact, the underdog has covered in each of the last 4 meetings between these teams, including 3 outright wins.

The total has gone Under in 3 of the last 4 games between the Rams and Broncos, as well.

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Before MNF, Packers open up as underdogs vs. Dolphins in Week 16

The Packers haven’t finished Week 15, but Matt LaFleur’s team will be slight underdogs when they go on the road to play the Dolphins in Week 16.

The Green Bay Packers haven’t finished Week 15, but Matt LaFleur’s team will be slight underdogs when they go on the road to play the Miami Dolphins in Week 16.

At most sportsbooks, the Packers opened as 4.5-point road underdogs to the Dolphins. Tipico Sportsbook has the Packers as a 4.0-point underdog, with an over/under of 46.5 points.

The Packers play the Los Angeles Rams on “Monday Night Football” to finish Week 15 and are going into the game as touchdown favorites. Green Bay needs a win to keep its season alive entering the final three weeks of the year.

In almost any realistic scenario, the Packers will also need an upset win over the Dolphins to have a chance at making the postseason.

The Packers are 5-8 straight up and 5-8 against the spread this season. The Dolphins are 8-6 and 7-7 against the spread.

Miami has lost three straight games after an 8-3 start. The Dolphins were underdogs in two of the three games but lost as a favorite to the Chargers two weeks ago. Like the Packers, the Dolphins are fighting for a playoff spot, but Miami is in a much better position in the AFC than Green Bay in the NFC – which makes sense given each team’s current record.

Oddsmakers still like Green Bay’s chances. Despite a decent advantage in the win-loss column, the Dolphins aren’t being pegged as big-time favorites on Christmas Day.

The outcome of Monday night will likely have some influence on the betting line for Week 16. Packers Wire will provide an update should it arise before Week 16.

Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Rams (4-9) and Green Bay Packers (5-8) wrap up Week 15 on Monday Night Football. Kickoff from Lambeau Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines lines around the Rams vs. Packers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Rams are looking to make it 2 wins in a row after stunning the Las Vegas Raiders 17-16 last week, taking the lead for the first time in the game with 10 seconds remaining. The Rams haven’t won back-to-back games since Weeks 2 and 3, struggling through the season after winning the Super Bowl. The offense has been a major issue, as they entered the weekend tied for last in total yards (3,679) and 29th in points scored (218).

The Packers are only 1 game better than the Rams right now but their playoff hopes are still alive, although they likely need to win out. Green Bay was on its bye in Week 14 but the Packers beat the Chicago Bears 28-19 in their last game before getting a week off. The Packers rank 15th in total offense (4,493) and 18th in total defense (4,520) this season.

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Rams at Packers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 2:41 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rams +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Packers -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Rams +7 (-105) | Packers -7 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 39 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Rams at Packers key injuries

Rams

C Brian Allen (knee) questionable
DT Aaron Donald (ankle) out
CB David Long Jr. (groin) out

Packers

OT David Bakhtiari (knee, abdomen) questionable

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Rams at Packers picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 21, Rams 13

Moneyline

With the Packers (-320) being overwhelming favorites against the Rams, the money line isn’t all that appetizing from a betting perspective. There’s no value here.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Rams and Packers are two of the worst teams against the spread this season, with the Rams going 4-7-2 ATS and the Packers only being 5-8 ATS to match their outright record. Both teams covered the spread in their most recent games, but this is a matchup that favors the much-healthier Packers.

In frigid temperatures, the Packers are much better built to move the ball on offense with the tandem of RB Aaron Jones and RB A.J. Dillon. I think they’ll run the ball well enough to cover the spread, with Los Angeles’ offense struggling to put up points once again.

BET PACKERS -7 (-115).

Over/Under

The Rams haven’t scored more than 23 points since Week 6, struggling painfully on offense all season — even when QB Matthew Stafford was healthy. Now with QB Baker Mayfield under center and still learning the offense, the playbook probably isn’t completely opened up yet.

This should be a low-scoring game between two teams that will likely try to run the ball on a night where throwing it could be a challenge. Bet the UNDER 39 (-108).

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NFL Prop Bets Week 15: The Ravens are gonna rush for 300 yards

Baltimore’s maddening running back management? Not a problem if you take Gus Edwards AND JK Dobbins to hit their overs.

We kept rolling last week thanks to AJ Brown (and a hot tip from The Ringer’s Ben Solak, who is great at what he does and certainly deserves a follow). Brown squeaking past his over and crushing his “longest reception” number turned a good week into a banger and kept us rolling into the final four weeks of the regular season.

Again, this is where I warn you a plus-67 percent hit rate cannot last. There’s value in finding rising players oddsmakers haven’t quite caught up with yet, but the September lines of attainable overs and unreseasonable lines are long gone. This exercise gets tougher as data accumulates. After 13 games per team, we’ve got a fine pile of numbers to sort through — and make the kind of lines that help sportsbooks across the globe profitable.

That said, here are Week 15’s official plays in bold.

Matt Ryan UNDER 254.5 passing yards. I understand the Vikings’ pass defense is … not great. But Ryan hasn’t come within 10 yards of this total in any of his last five games, including four with Jeff Saturday as his coach. He’s played some good passing defenses in that stretch, but also the Raiders (32nd in pass defense DVOA) and Titans (28th).

J.K Dobbins OVER 47.5 rushing yards. Dobbins made his presence felt in a big way in his return in Week 14, running for 120 yards on 15 carries. He’s got another week of conditioning under his belt and now gets the league’s 30th-ranked rushing defense. I look forward to this bet falling apart when he gets out-snapped by Gus Edwards in John Harbaugh’s platoon of talented, yet fantasy-untrustable running backs.

Gus Edwards OVER 36.5 rushing yards. At least one of these Ravens RB props will hit — and there’s a reasonable chance they both do, given the state of Cleveland’s run defense and Baltimore’s passing offense.

Jonathan Taylor OVER 16.5 receiving yards. The Vikings give up the fifth-most receiving yards to tailbacks and an average of 7.8 yards per catch. Taylor’s had four targets and three receptions in each of his last three games.

Dawson Knox OVER 26.5 receiving yards. It was a wintery mix in Buffalo last week and Knox led the Bills in targets, receptions and receiving yards. The forecast for Saturday night? 25 degrees, light wind and between one and three inches of snow. On top of that, the Dolphins allow more receptions to opposing tight ends than anyone but the Arizona Cardinals. Pair this up with OVER 2.5 catches.

Chris Olave OVER 59.5 receiving yards. He’s hit this total in four of his last five games. Now he gets Atlanta’s 29th-ranked pass defense.

Last week: 5-2 (.714)
Season to date: 64-31 (.674)

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Rhode Island Scumbag NFL Locks, Week 15: Backing the Vikings (when it doesn’t matter)

Let’s regroup after a tough week and go back to what works: home underdogs in divisional games and the Vikings when it doesn’t matter.

Last week, I wondered aloud whether it was time to trust the Seattle Seahawks, who were a meager 3.5-point favorite against the Carolina Panthers at home. The football gods answered in resounding fashion, crafting a game in which Sam Darnold barely registered through the air and it did not matter. Carolina ran for 223 yards and the final 30-24 score failed to reflect how badly Seattle botched things.

This was endemic of a horrible betting week for myself and our resident handicapper, the Rhode Island Scumbag. We threw out five NFL picks between us. One hit; the New England Patriots at -1 thanks in large part to Kyler Murray’s ACL deciding enough was enough early in the first quarter. This string of ineffective Sundays has us both reeling. While we’re both on the sunny side of .500, neither one of us has hit that coveted 55 percent win percentage that makes this whole exercise profitable.

Which means it’s time for a change. The Scumbag System ™ has run out of gas; its brief life as a betting phenomenon has changed the way sportsbooks set lines forever and now we must adjust. This is absolutely what happened and we will not be taking questions on the matter, thank you.

What a terrible week for the Rhode Island Scumbag [Ed. note: Things are either really good or really bad if he’s referring to himself in the third person. This is the latter]. That week was so awful, that I’m actually taking the rest of the season off.

I’m going to regroup, watch the games from a different lens and then be ready to hammer the playoffs with a full bankroll intact. I am NOT going to chase two bad weeks of losses by having a third losing week. Sometimes when you’re a degenerate, you get too close to the action and can’t really see the game of football for what it is. You only focus on the spread, total and props that you are sweating.

That’s … surprisingly reasonable! But just because he’s not betting doesn’t mean we don’t have recommendations for you. You know, if you still trust us after a grim couple of weeks.

Straight-up NFL picks, Week 15: Lions-Jets? In a game with playoff implications? In December?

Week 14 was a bad week for iffy NFL playoff contenders. We don’t see Week 15 as much of a get-right weekend, either.

Week 14 saw home favorites falter and erstwhile contenders crumble into dust.

Now Week 15 threatens to turn those bad games into genuine tailspins. The tail end of the 2022 regular season is loaded with vital divisional and conference matchups that will ultimately decide this winter’s 14-team playoff field. The New York Giants and Washington Commanders will wage a rematch of their Week 13 draw in a game that will likely send the winner to a Wild Card bid and the loser to a better draft position. The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks will decide who is truly in control of the NFC West: Brock Purdy or Geno Smith.

And the Detroit Lions and New York Jets will meet in a game with wide-ranging postseason implications. In the middle of December!

That left us with a tough slate to parse but plenty of unanimous decisions among our three-man panel. Only three of Week 15’s 16-game schedule created any division among our ranks — Lions-Jets, Titans-Chargers and Rams-Packers. I’ll dive into my reasoning on two of those games below.

Here’s our full lineup of straight-up, moneyline picks for Week 15.

Game	Christian	Robert	Charles
49ers at Seahawks	49ers	49ers	49ers
Colts at Vikings	Vikings	Vikings	Vikings
Ravens at Browns	Ravens	Ravens	Ravens
Dolphins at Bills	Bills	Bills	Bills
Chiefs at Texans	Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs
Falcons at Saints	Saints	Saints	Saints
Giants at Commanders	Commanders	Commanders	Commanders
Lions at Jets	Jets	Lions	Lions
Cowboys at Jaguars	Cowboys	Cowboys	Cowboys
Steelers at Panthers	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers
Eagles at Bears	Eagles	Eagles	Eagles
Cardinals at Broncos	Broncos	Broncos	Broncos
Bengals at Buccaneers	Bengals	Bengals	Bengals
Titans at Chargers	Titans	Chargers	Chargers
Patriots at Raiders	Raiders	Raiders	Raiders
Rams at Packers	Packers	Rams	Packers

Last week:	8-5	9-4	7-6
Year to date:	130-76-2	129-77-2	115-91-2

And here are those selections in a better-formatted screenshot of our actual picks sheet, which unfortunately struggles to translate to our editing software.