Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Stars (5-2-0) visit the Boston Bruins (3-3-1) Thursday. Puck drop from TD Garden is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Stars vs. Bruins odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of season. Bruins won 2-0 last year.

Dallas fell 4-2 against Buffalo Tuesday while failing to cover as a -146 road favorite. C Tyler Seguin and D Thomas Harley each found the back of the net in the loss while RW Evgenii Dadonov had 2 assists.

Boston has lost back-to-back games after being shut out 4-0 against Nashville Tuesday and failing to cover as a +126 road underdog. It returns home Thursday for the first time in 10 days.

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Stars at Bruins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Bruins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars -1.5 (+220) | Bruins +1.5 (-275)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Stars at Bruins projected goalies

Casey DeSmith (1-1-0, 1.53 GAA, .941 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Jeremy Swayman (2-2-1, 2.77 GAA, .911 SV%)

DeSmith was awesome in his first start of the season, stopping all 25 shots Seattle fired his way. He stopped 23 of 26 in a 3-2 loss to the Washington Capitals in his 2nd start.

Swayman has been fluid to open the season for the Bruins. He ranks 21st in GAA and 17th in SV%. After starting the season with back-to-back wins, he has lost each of his last 3 starts while allowing 9 goals in that span.

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Stars at Bruins picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 4, Bruins 3

Moneyline

BET STARS (-115).

While each of Dallas’ losses have come on the road, its offense is going to be what will carry it to victory Thursday. The Stars have scored 11 goals combined in their last 4 games while allowing just 10 in their last 6 total. Boston has scored just 1 goal total in its last 2 games while scoring 2 or fewer goals in 3 of its last 5 games.

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the moneyline in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 5.5 (-120).

The Bruins have allowed 2 or more goals in each of their last 4 games including 3 or more in 3 of the 4. They have scored 3 or more in 2 of their last 4 and hit the Over in 4 of their 7 games. Dallas has scored 8 goals in its last 3 games combined while allowing 8 in that span.

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Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Stars (4-1-1) take on the Boston Bruins (5-1-0) Tuesday at TD Garden. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Stars vs. Bruins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Dallas looks like it could be this year’s breakout team in the Western Conference as it has gotten elite goaltending. The biggest question is whether it has enough offense or can acquire it during the season to make a deep run.

The Stars suffered their 1st loss in regulation Monday, falling 4-2 at the Ottawa Senators, with backup G Scott Wedgewood taking his 2nd loss in as many starts.

Boston has gotten off to a great start as well, aided by the fact that this is its 5th home game in 7 games. RW David Pastrnak has picked up where he left off with 4 goals and 6 assists to start the year.

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Stars at Bruins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Bruins -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars +1.5 (-190) | Bruins -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -101 | U: -120)

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Stars at Bruins projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (4-0-0, 1.25 GAA, .959 SV%, 0 SO) vs. Linus Ullmark (4-0-0, 2.23 GAA, .929 SV%, 0 SO)

The 23-year-old potential Vezina candidate Oettinger has given up just 5 goals on 121 shots to start the year. He had a 2.53 GAA and .914 SV% in his second season last year, and the early indications point to a big step forward in 2022-23. He was great in his only start against the Bruins last year, stopping 25 of 26 shots en route to a 6-1 victory.

Ullmark has been good as well, stopping 130 of 140 shots over his first 5 games. He’ll have to hold off 23-year-old G Jeremy Swayman to keep the lion’s share of the starts, but Ullmark has vastly outplayed him on the young season. Ullmark had a rough game against Dallas last year, allowing 4 goals on 15 shots before he was pulled.

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Stars at Bruins picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 3, Bruins 2

Moneyline

Dallas will be tested here on the back end of a back-to-back in the finale of a 4-game road trip. It’s early in the season, and they should have the legs to overcome a physical Bruins team. Oettinger gives Dallas a chance to sneak one out, potentially in overtime.

Take the STARS (+125).

Puck line/Against the spread

There’s too much juice on the Stars +1.5 (-190). However, what I can recommend is that the Bruins don’t get to Oettinger for 4 goals in regulation. Dallas’ 2.0 goals allowed per game is tops in the league, so take BRUINS UNDER 3.5 TOTAL GOALS IN REGULATION (-140).

Over/Under

I love the Under here, and I think it should be and probably will nerf to 5.5 before puck drop. As mentioned, the Stars aren’t giving up many goals. Boston is 3rd in the league with 4.3 goals per game, but they’ve posted 5 goals in 4 straight games, but only one of them featured legit netminders.

The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in Boston and 7-2 across their last 9 overall. Take the UNDER 6.5 (-115).

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