Tag: San Diego Padres betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (26-34) close out a 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (37-23) Sunday. First pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Padres have taken 2 of 3 games to lead the season series 2-1. San Diego will be in Colorado next weekend for 3 games.

The Rockies won the second game of their Saturday doubleheader against the Padres 6-2 after San Diego beat them 9-0 on Friday and 2-1 in the first game Saturday. The Rockies are 3-3 on their current 7-game road trip.

The Padres’ loss Saturday snapped a 4-game winning streak. They have won 7 of their last 9 games.

Rockies at Padres projected starters

RHP German Marquez vs. LHP Blake Snell

Marquez (2-5, 6.49 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 61 IP.

  • The Rockies have won the last 2 starts by Marquez.
  • Has allowed 3 or more ER in each of his last 10 starts.

Snell (0-3, 5.68 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 19 IP.

  • The Padres have lost all 4 of Snell’s starts this season.
  • In 5 career starts against the Rockies, Snell is 2-0 with a 3.42 ERA over 26 1/3 innings.

Rockies at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Padres -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-130) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rockies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Rockies 6

Money line

The Rockies are 10-18 on the road this season. Only 3 teams have fewer road wins in the majors.

The Padres are 17-12 at home, but have won only 6 of their last 11 home games.

With both starters not shutting down opponents, it should be a close game.

I like the Padres to win but the price is right on the edge of being not worth the play. PASS and go with the spread and the total.

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Run line/Against the spread

Despite their 10-18 overall record on the road, the Rockies are 14-14 ATS on the road this season. Three of their last 4 losses have been by only 1 run.

The Padres are 10-19 ATS this season at home.

I LEAN ROCKIES +1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

Two of the 3 games in this series have had 8 or more runs.

Eight of Marquez’s 11 starts this season have finished with 8 or more runs.

Five of the Padres’ last 7 games have had 8 or more runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (-112).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (25-32) open a 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (35-22) Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This will be the first matchup between the two teams this season. The Rockies won the season series 11-8 last year but were 4-6 in San Diego.

The Rockies finished the first leg of their 7-game, 6-day road trip by taking 2 of 3 games from the San Francisco Giants. They lost 4 straight games heading into that series.

The Padres won the final 2 games of their 3-game series against the New York Mets to pick up a series win and have won 5 of their last 6 contests.

Rockies at Padres projected starters

RHP Chad Kuhl vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Kuhl (4-2, 3.17 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 54 IP.

  • The Rockies have lost 5 of his last 6 starts, although he personally is 1-2 in those 6 starts.
  • Has posted a 1.62 ERA through 16 2/3 IP in his last 3 starts.
  • Tossed 6 scoreless frames in his last start in a 3-1 loss to the Atlanta Braves last Friday.

Musgrove (6-0, 1.64 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 66 IP.

  • Has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in any start this season. The Padres are 9-1 in his starts.
  • Threw 8 innings with 0 earned runs and 1 hit at the Milwaukee Brewers last time out last Friday.
  • Has given up only 1 earned run in his last 21 innings.

Rockies at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Padres -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-110) | Padres -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rockies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Rockies 2

Money line

PASS on the money line.

The Padres have been dominant with Musgrove and he is rolling, having allowed only 1 run in his last 3 starts.

San Diego is only 15-11 at home but Colorado is 9-16 on the road. Only 3 teams have fewer road wins in all of baseball, so a Padres win seems almost certain, but it isn’t worth the action at -250.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Rockies are 27-30 ATS and the Padres are 32-25 ATS overall. The Rockies are 12-13 ATS on the road and the Padres are 9-17 ATS at home. Only 2 teams have fewer covers at home.

The Padres have won 7 of Musgrove’s 10 starts by at least 2 runs and their last 5 wins have been by at least 2 runs.

The Rockies’ last 2 losses were only by 1 run but their previous 4 defeats were by multiple runs.

Both pitchers are playing well, but the Rockies have the second-worst bullpen ERA in the majors at 4.95.

Take the PADRES -1.5  (-110).

Over/Under

Five of Musgrove’s last 6 starts have had fewer than 8 runs.

Six of Kuhl’s last 7 starts and 8 of 10 overall have had totals of fewer than 8 runs.

Half of the Padres’ last 10 games have had 7 or fewer runs.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-115).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (38-19) host the New York Mets (33-22) Tuesday at Petco Park for the 2nd of their 3-game series with the first pitch scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

N.Y. jumped on San Diego SP Blake Snell by scoring 3 runs in the top of the 1st inning and never looked back, winning the series opener 11-5. Mets 3B Eduardo Escobar hit for the cycle and SP Carlos Carrasco went 7 innings, allowing just 2 earned runs on 5 hits and 0 walks with 10 strikeouts.

Monday’s Mets-Padres meeting was their 1st of the season. The Mets won the 2021 series 4-3 with a plus-5 run differential.

Padres at Mets projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Walker is 3-1 with a 2.88 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 40 2/3 IP over 8 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 2-0 Thursday at the Los Angeles Dodgers with 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 2 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Padres: One start, a 4-3 loss in San Diego June 3 with 5 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 7 H, 4 BB and 2 K.

Darvish is 4-3 with a 4.03 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 60 1/3 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 5-2 Wednesday at the St. Louis Cardinals with 7 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 4 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Mets: One start, a 4-3 home win vs. N.Y. June 3 with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 5 K.

Padres at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-205) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Mets 3

Money line

LEAN PADRES (-130).

Darvish has better pitching peripherals than Walker and 4 of Darvish’s 6 pitches have a minus-run value (RV) whereas just 1 of Walker’s 6 pitches has a minus-RV, according to Statcast.

Darvish has been a lot sharper at home. Darvish is 2-1 at home with a 1.71 ERA (5.82 road ERA), 0.68 WHIP (1.41 road WHIP) and 5.0 K/BB rate (2.3 K/BB rate on the road).

I cannot fully get behind San Diego’s ML because New York’s lineup is far more productive vs. right-handed pitching than the Padres. In fact, San Diego’s lineup is 24th in wRC+ (86) and 26th in wOBA (.286) against righties, according to FanGraphs.

LEAN PADRES (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Padres -1.5 (+165) is a no-go because they are 5-13 RL as home favorites and I wouldn’t bet San Diego’s ML and N.Y.’s RL even though the Mets +1.5 (-205) are 9-3 RL as road underdogs.

PASS.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

The Over 7.5 (-120) has taken some sharp money hence it being pricier than the Under and N.Y. is 7-3-2 O/U as road underdogs, which explains the “lean.”

But, these teams have a combined 5-12 O/U when these starters get the nod, the Padres are 6-11-1 O/U as home favorites and Petco Park is 27th in park factor, aka it’s extremely pitcher-friendly.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (37-19) head to Petco Park Monday to start a 3-game series with the San Diego Padres (33-21) at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York is 8-2 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, which includes a split of a 4-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday-Sunday.

San Diego is 5-5 SU in the last 10 but won the last 3 of a 4-game series at the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday-Sunday.

Season series: First meeting – the Mets won last year’s season series 4-3 despite being outscored 23-18.

Padres at Mets projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. LHP Blake Snell

Carrasco is 6-1 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 57 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: 5-0 home win vs. the Washington Nationals Wednesday behind 5-scoreless IP, 4 H, 5 BB and 5 K
  • Never faced San Diego in 13-year career

Snell is 0-2 with a 4.80 ERA (15 IP, 8 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 8 H, 2 HR, 8 BB and 18 K in 3 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-2 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
  • 2021 vs. the Mets: 1-1, 2.45 ERA (11 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 4 BB, 14 K in 2 starts

Padres at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:41 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Padres -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+165) | Padres +1.5 (-205)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Mets 2

Money line

BET 1 unit on the PADRES (-117).

The Mets are just 9-9 SU vs. lefty starters and their lineup ranks 16th in wRC+ (104), 15th in wOBA (.310) and 23rd in hard-hit rate (27.3%) against left-handed pitching, per FanGraphs.

Also, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game in the betting market with the presumed sharp money being on San Diego’s ML. More money is on the Padres, while more bets have been placed on the Mets, according to Pregame.com.

Since professional bettors put up more dough than your average Joe, let’s follow the money. BET PADRES (-117).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Padres are 7-16 RL at home, while the Mets -1.5 are 19-10 RL on the road. I wouldn’t bet San Diego’s ML and New York’s RL.

PASS.

Over/Under

BET 1 unit on UNDER 7.5 (-120).

These teams are a combined 4-9 O/U when these starters take the hill, the Padres are 6-16-1 O/U at home and Petco Park has the lowest park factor – meaning it’s the most pitcher-friendly venue in the MLB.

Also, there’s a line freeze in the betting market with a majority of the action on Over 7.5 (-105), but the total hasn’t budged off the opener, according to Pregame.com. This suggests oddsmakers are confident in their price and willing to take more pro-Over money.

Go the other way and BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (32-21) wrap up their 4-game series with the Milwaukee Brewers (33-22) Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego beat Milwaukee 4-0 Saturday thanks in part to Padres LHP MacKenzie Gore‘s 6-inning, 10-strikeout, 3-hit, scoreless gem and a 2-run homer by IF Jake Cronenworth.

The season series is tied 3-3 but San Diego has a plus-7 run differential. Sunday’s Padres-Brewers game is their regular-season head-to-head finale.

Padres at Brewers projected starters

RHP Mike Clevinger vs. LHP Eric Lauer

Clevinger is 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA (14 IP, 5 ER), 11 H, 1 HR, 5 BB and 15 K over 3 starts vs. the Cleveland Guardians, Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies.

  • Never faced the Brewers before

Lauer is 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 50 2/3 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 8-7 loss at the Cubs with 4 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 5 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 6 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Padres: One start — a 2-1 home loss May 26 — with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K.

Padres at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-205) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Brewers 3

Money line

BET the PADRES (+105) because they are more productive at the plate against lefties than the Brewers vs. righties and Clevinger is pitching better than his basic numbers indicate while Lauer is pitching worse.

San Diego’s lineup has more runs scored per 9 (5.2-4.9), a better wRC+ (112-105), wOBA (.326-.322) and BB/K rate (0.50-0.36) vs. left-handed pitching than Milwaukee’s against righties.

Clevinger’s FIP (.300) is lower than his ERA and his K%, home run rate (HR%), hard-hit rate, exit velocity (EV) and groundball rate are all better than the MLB average. While Lauer’s FIP (3.80) is higher than his ERA and his HR%, EV, groundball rate and hard-hit rate are below the MLB average.

When this game opened to the betting public Saturday, most of the money was on San Diego whereas a majority of the wagers placed were on Milwaukee initially (per Pregame.com). Typically it’s wise to follow the money since “sharps” put up a lot more dough than recreational bettors.

BET 1 unit on the PADRES (+105).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Padres +1.5 (-205) is way too expensive and I’m not confident enough in San Diego outright to take the alternate RL. Milwaukee is 6-2 RL as an underdog, which also rules out San Diego’s alternate RL.

PASS.

Over/Under

PASS.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the 6 Padres-Brewers meetings this season, San Diego is 7-8-1 O/U as a road underdog and Milwaukee is 11-12 O/U as a home favorite. However, this is a sharp total and both lineups hit well vs. their opponent’s respective pitch handedness.

PASS.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (33-20) host the San Diego Padres (30-21) Friday at American Family Field for the 2nd game of their 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Brewers lead the season series with the Padres 3-1 and Milwaukee has a plus-4 run differential in those meetings.

Milwaukee stole the series opener 5-4 Thursday with a 4-run bottom of the 9th-inning rally featuring a bases-clearing 3-run triple by Brewers 3B Jace Peterson.

Padres at Brewers projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Musgrove is 5-0 with a 1.86 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 58 IP across 9 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 4-2 home loss vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday with 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 7 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Brewers: 0-1 with a 1.54 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 19 K over 2 starts.

Burnes is 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 64 2/3 IP across 10 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 8-0, Sunday at the St. Louis Cardinals with 7-scoreless IP, 2 H, 1 BB and 11 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Padres: One start — a 4-1 win in San Diego May 24 — with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 5 K.

Padres at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Brewers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-180) | Brewers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Padres 2

Money line

RISK 1 unit on the BREWERS (-160) instead of betting 1 unit because of the price.

However, Milwaukee is the correct side here because Burnes is better than Musgrove, the Brew Crew’s lineup hits righties better than San Diego’s and Milwaukee’s bullpen is more reliable.

Musgrove is a shoo-in for this summer’s MLB All-Star game but Burnes is the reigning National League Cy Young winner and his stuff is just as nasty this year.

The Brewers are 24-10 vs. righty starters and rank 10th in wRC+ (108), 5th in wOBA (.327) and 6th in hard-hit rate (32.8%) against right-handed pitching, according to FanGraphs. While the Padres are 17-16 vs. righties with an 86 wRC+ (25th), .286 wOBA (27th) and 27.4% hard-hit rate (25th).

If your standard unit is $100 then bet that on the BREWERS (-160) to earn a $62.50 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Brewers -1.5 (+145) are a respectable 11-10 RL as home favorites but the Padres +1.5 (-180) are 12-2 RL as road underdogs with a plus-2.7 RL margin.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 6.5 (-107) since there are 2 alphas on the mound Friday and most of the trends are Under-friendly, including the Under cashing in 11 of the past 15 Padres-Brewers matchups.

However, this total feels sharp and a majority of the betting public will probably be on the Under as well, which kills its value.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (30-20) head to American Family Field Thursday to start a 4-game series with the Milwaukee Brewers (32-20) at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego is 4-6 straight up (SU) over the last 10 games and was just swept in a 3-game series at the St. Louis Cardinals earlier this week.

Milwaukee just lost back-to-back games to the Chicago Cubs, including the rubber match of their 3-game set, but the Brewers are 6-4 SU in the last 10.

The Brewers beat the Padres 5-2 in last year’s season series and had a plus-6 run differential in those meetings.

Padres at Brewers projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Manaea is 2-3 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 56 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Friday’s 4-3 home win vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates with 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 5 K.

Milwaukee hasn’t officially announced a starter but Houser is projected to get the nod Thursday. He’s 3-5 with a 3.69 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 8-3 Saturday at St. Louis with 4 IP, 5 ER (8 R), 9 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 1 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Padres: 0-0 in 2 starts with a 1.86 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 3 BB and 6 K.

Padres at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Brewers -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Brewers 3

Money line

BET the PADRES (-108) because they’ve been moved from a plus-money payout on the opener up to the current price by early sharp action and the Brewers (-112) struggle to hit lefties.

Per Pregame.com, more than 75% of the cash is on Milwaukee, but the line is moving toward San Diego. This reverse line movement is suspicious because common sense tells us oddsmakers would adjust the prices according to the market movement.

The Brewers are 8-10 SU vs. lefty starters and their lineup ranks 27th in wRC+ (84) and 22nd in wOBA (.291) against left-handed pitching, per FanGraphs.

BET 1 unit on the PADRES (-108).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Padres -1.5 (+145) are 8-6 RL as road favorites but struggle against right-handed pitching while the Brewers +1.5 (-180) are 6-2 RL as underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-120) because most of the trends point to a lower-scoring affair, the Brewers struggle vs. lefties and the Padres can’t hit righties. Per FanGraphs, San Diego’s lineup ranks 24th in wRC+ (86), 27th in wOBA (.286) and 28th in hard-hit rate (26.7%) vs. right-handed pitching.

Also, San Diego is 0-6-2 O/U in the last 8 games and 0-4-1 O/U in the last 5 games vs. teams with a winning record and Milwaukee is 0-4 O/U in the last 4 games vs. teams with a 60.0% winning rate or better. The Under has cashed in 4 of the last 5 Padres-Brewers meetings.

San Diego’s ML is my favorite bet in this game but there’s value on the UNDER 8.5 (-120).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

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San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (30-18) continue their 3-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals (27-21) Tuesday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is set for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

St. Louis won the series opener 6-3 Monday with a bulk of the damage done with a pair of 2-run home runs from Cardinals 1B Paul Goldschmidt and 2B Nolan Gorman. 

Season series: Cardinals lead 1-0

Padres at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Adam Wainwright

Snell is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA (9 IP, 6 ER), 6 H, 2 HR, 5 BB and 12 K in 2 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 1 HR, 2 BB and 7 K in 4-1 home setback to Milwaukee Brewers May 24
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 0-0, 2.57 ERA (7 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in one 2017 start – an eventual 6-4 road loss while pitching for the Tampa Bay Rays

Wainwright is 5-4 with a 3.12 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 52 IP across 9 starts.

  • Last start: 4-3 home loss Thursday vs. Milwaukee Brewers with 5 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 2 K
  • 2021 vs. the Padres: 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA (10 IP, 8 ER), 15 H, 3 HR, 3 BB and 4 K in 2 starts

Padres at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cardinals -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Cardinals -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Cardinals 4

Money line

BET a three-fourths unit on the PADRES (+105) because this line is suspiciously low considering starting the pitching matchup and how well the Cardinals (-130) hit lefties.

Roughly 90% of the action is on St. Louis, according to Tipico Sportsbook,  but, if anything, the line has moved toward San Diego. Common sense says oddsmakers would adjust the line according to the market movement so the opposite happening raises red flags.

This line freeze is even more suspect because the Cardinals rank 1st in wRC+ vs. left-handed pitching at 137 (the 2nd-place team has a 121 wRC+), 1st in wOBA and 5th in BB/K, according to FanGraphs.

Wainwright has awesome basic numbers but grades in the 23rd percentile in chase rate, 1st percentile in whiff rate and in the 40th percentile or worse in expected batting average, wOBA and slugging percentage slash line, per Statcast.

Wainwright’s most used pitch is a curveball and Padres 1B Eric Hosmer has a plus-7 run value (RV) vs. curveballs and 3B Manny Machado has a plus-4 RV.

If Wainwright has to be extra cautious with Hosmer and Machado in the middle of San Diego’s order, then the rest of the Padres batters should get hittable pitches.

Snell hasn’t looked great in his first 2 starts, but his fastball velocity and spin rate are still elite. He should get back to his “top-of-the-rotation” form soon.

Finally, San Diego is 8-4 as a road underdog.

BET PADRES (+105) FOR 0.75 UNITS.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

San Diego +1.5 (-200) is out of my price range, but it should cash. The Padres are 10-2 RL as road underdogs.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-105) only because San Diego’s ML is my favorite bet in this game.

San Diego is 14-10-1 O/U on the road, St. Louis is 15-8-2 O/U at home and the head-to-head series is 5-1-1 O/U in the last 7 meetings.

Also, Busch Stadium is more hitter-friendly (ranking 12th in park factor) and the weather forecast is predicting temperatures in the high-80s with double-digit mph winds blowing out to right-center field.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

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San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (30-17) host the San Diego Padres (26-21) Monday at Busch Stadium for the 1st of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Memorial Day game is their first meeting this season. Each team won 3 games in last year’s season series, but the Padres had a plus-5 run differential in those meetings.

San Diego won the rubber match of a 3-game set with the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-2 in extra innings Sunday. The Padres are 7-3 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

St. Louis split its last 2 series — a 4-gamer vs. the Milwaukee Brewers and a back-to-back with the Toronto Blue Jays, both at home. The Cardinals are 6-4 SU in the last 10.

Padres at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Nick Martinez vs. LHP Packy Naughton

Martinez is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 39 2/3 IP over 7 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last start: No-decision in 3-2 home win vs. the Milwaukee Brewers May 23 with 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 5 K.
  • 2022 road splits: 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA (14 IP, 3 ER), 12 H, 3 BB and 17 K over 2 starts and 1 bullpen outing.

Naughton is 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 8 K in 1 start and 5 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Lost 5-3 at home vs. the Baltimore Orioles May 10 with 3 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 2 K.

Padres at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:31 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Cardinals -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+155) | Cardinals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 8, Cardinals 5

Money line

BET the PADRES (-103) because their lineup is a lot more productive vs. left-handed pitching than the Cardinals (-117) are against righties and Naughton is working as an opener for a “bullpen day” but St. Louis’s relief pitching isn’t very reliable.

San Diego is 13-4 SU against lefty starters and ranks 8th in wRC+ (113), 9th in wOBA (.326) and 2nd in BB/K rate (0.55), according to FanGraphs. St. Louis is 21-17 SU vs. righty starters with a 99 wRC+ (ranked 14th), .305 wOBA (18th) and a 27.0% hard-hit rate (26th).

Also, St. Louis’s bullpen is 29th in both FIP (4.34) and contact rate (78.1%), 23rd in hard-hit rate (40.6%) and 21st in exit velocity (89.2 mph), per FanGraphs.

BET 1 unit on the PADRES (-103).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the PADRES -1.5 (+155), if at all, based on the previous analysis and San Diego is 8-5 RL as road favorites and the Cardinals +1.5 (-190) are just 5-5 RL as home underdogs.

But, I wouldn’t go too heavy on San Diego’s RL because the Padres have played in 16 one-run games already this season, including 6 in their last 10 games.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 8.5 (-135) because MLB games have been higher scoring across the league and the weather forecast is predicting temperatures in the mid-to-high-80s with a double-digit mph wind blowing out to left-center field.

Also, St. Louis is 7-3 O/U as home underdogs, San Diego is 9-4 O/U as road favorites and Padres-Cardinals is taking respected money on the OVER 8.5 (-135) hence the price.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-25) open a 3-game road series against the San Diego Padres (28-16) Friday. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Padres nickname odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Padres lead the season series 2-1.

The Pirates were off Thursday and are coming off a 2-1 series win over the Colorado Rockies. However, they have lost 6 of their last 9 games.

The Padres lost 2 of 3 contests against the Milwaukee Brewers in their last series but have won 7 of their last 10 games. They have been a very average 11-9 at Petco Park.

Pirates at Padres projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Quintana (1-2, 2.43 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 40 2/3 IP.

  • Had his shortest outing in his last start as he allowed 5 runs (2 earned) on 7 hits over 3 2/3 innings in a 5-4 loss vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 6 of his 8 starts this season.

Manaea (2-3, 4.04 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 49 IP.

  • Took a no-decision in a 7-6 loss at the Pirates April 30 with 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 6 K.
  • Has allowed 3 or more runs in each of his last 5 outings.

Pirates at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Pirates +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Padres -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Pirates at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Padres 4

Money line

Manaea has been very hittable in recent weeks, while Quintana has been fantastic this season.

If there is a game the Pirates can steal in this series, it would be Friday’s contest.

Pittsburgh is 5-3 with Quintana on the mound and won 3 of his last 4 outings.

The Padres have lost 4 of Manaea’s last 5 starts.

I like the upset tonight.

Take the PIRATES (+175).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates are 20-23 ATS on the season. They have covered the spread only 3 times in their last 10 games.

The Padres are 24-20 ATS overall this season but are the league’s second-worst team against the spread at home at 6-14 ATS.

The money line is the best value for the Pirates but if you aren’t confident enough in an outright win for Pittsburgh, the line here is still worth it.

Take the PIRATES +1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

Manaea’s last 5 starts have all had 8 or more runs.

Four of the Pirates’ last 6 games have had more than 7 runs.

Two of the 3 games the two teams played in Pittsburgh had more than 8 runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (+112).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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