Boston Red Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (11-10) play the 2nd contest in a 3-game interleague series against the Milwaukee Brewers (14-6) Saturday. First pitch at American Family Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 1-0; Milwaukee won the regular-season series 2-1 in 2022.

The Red Sox scratched out a 5-3 win in Friday’s series opener behind RHP Nick Pivetta. Boston trailed 3-2 through 5 innings but pushed 3 runs across in the 6th and 7th innings, and closer RHP Kenley Jansen slammed the door for his 4th save.

The Brewers saw a 4-game win streak snapped with the loss. Milwaukee is still 5-2 on its home field so far. The Brew Crew are also 3-1 in interleague games this season, too.

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Red Sox at Brewers projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. LHP Wade Miley

Whitlock (1-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 12 IP.

  • Allowed just 1 ER on 3 H and 2 BB with 5 K across 7 IP for his first victory of the season against the Los Angeles Angels Sunday
  • Worked 2 scoreless innings of relief against the Brewers last season, striking out 1 batter while picking up a hold on July 31, 2022

Miley (2-1, 1.50 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 18 IP.

  • Allowed just 4 H with 0 BB and 8 K across 7 scoreless IP in a 1-0 road victory against the San Diego Padres last time out on Sunday
  • Won his only previous home start, allowing 5 H with 0 BB and 3 K across 6 scoreless IP on April 4 against the New York Mets

Red Sox at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Red Sox at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-125) are a strong play at home, as they look to bounce back after the series opener loss.

Milwaukee is 6-0 in the past 6 games following a loss, while going 8-2 in the past 10 interleague home games despite Friday’s loss. It is also 6-2 in the past 8 against winning teams while going 9-1 in the past 10 in Game 2 of a series.

Run line/Against the spread

The BREWERS -1.5 (+155) failed to cover in Friday’s game, but Milwaukee is 6-1 straight up in its last 7 as a favorite and is 4-1 on the run line in the past 5 when favored. If you like Milwaukee to win, you should like it to win on the run line, too.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (+100) is worth a look in Game 2.

The line was also 8.5 Friday, and the Under just came in with 8 total runs on the board.

The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 interleague games for the Red Sox while going 5-2-1 in their previous 8 interleague road outings.

The Under has cashed in 4 in a row at home for the Brewers and is 14-5 in their last 19 in Game 2 of a series.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Boston Red Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (10-10) open a 3-game set with the Milwaukee Brewers (14-5) Friday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: first meeting; Milwaukee won 2 of 3 games in Boston last season.

The Red Sox beat the Minnesota Twins 11-5 Thursday to take the series 2-1. Boston ran up 6 runs in the 3rd inning without a home run and let 10-1 through 5 frames. The Sox have won their last 2 series since being swept in a 4-game set at the Tampa Bay Rays from April 10-13.

The Brewers completed a 3-game sweep of the Seattle Mariners with a 5-3 victory Wednesday, doing all their damage in the 7th inning. Milwaukee has been on a tear to start the season, with series sweeps of the Mariners and the New York Mets (April 3-5) and just one lost series when it dropped 2 of 3 games at the Arizona Diamondbacks (April 10-12).

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Red Sox at Brewers projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Pivetta (0-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 4th start of the season. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 14 IP.

  • Allowed 6 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 4 K over 4 IP in a no-decision vs. the Los Angeles Angels Saturday

Peralta (2-1, 3.18 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 17 IP.

  • Allowed 5 ER on 9 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 5 IP at the San Diego Padres Saturday
  • Has a .200 BA vs. left-handed batters but with just 8 K against 6 BB

Red Sox at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:58 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Brewers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-135) | Brewers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Red Sox at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games and 5-1 at home this season. They are also 9-4 off a win this year.

But Milwaukee (-175) is a bit too steep, so it’s best to PASS and look to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers have only been home favorites in 4 of their 6 games at AmFam Field despite their impressive record, but they covered the spread in 3 of those outings. Boston has covered the run line just once in 4 tries as a road underdog.

BET BREWERS -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

The Brewers allow the 3rd fewest runs per game and Boston has struggled to score in interleague play dating back to last season, cashing the Under in 4 of their last 5 contests vs. the National League.

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ethan Matthew on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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