Tag: Rays Orioles odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (53-45) and Baltimore Orioles (49-49) meet Thursday for the final game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rays lead series 8-7

The Rays eked out a 6-4 victory in 10 innings Wednesday, posting their first win in the first 3 games thanks to a 2-run game-winning double by Randy Arozorena. That got Colin Poche off the hook for the loss after blowing the save in the 9th.

The Orioles lost RHP Tyler Wells to lower back discomfort in the 5th inning, but received decent bullpen help and forced extras thanks to a solo homer from Jorge Mateo in the 9th.

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Rays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Ryan Yarbrough vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

The Rays haven’t named an official starters but Yarbrough (0-5, 5.61 ERA) is expected to make his 8th start and 11th overall appearance. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 through 43 1/3 IP.

  • Is 0-3 with a 5.27 ERA with a .319 opponent batting average in 27 1/3 IP in 3 road starts and 3 road appearances.
  • All 7 HR he has allowed this season has come in road games.
  • Has no record with 8 K and 0 HR allowed across 9 1/3 IP in a start and a relief appearance vs. Batimore this season.

Lyles (6-8, 4.79 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.

  • Is 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA and just 1 HR allowed in 48 IP in 8 home starts, while allowing 15 HR in 64 2/3 IP in 12 road outings.
  • Has managed an 0-2 record with a 12.91 ERA with 3 HR allowed in 7 2/3 IP across 2 road starts vs. TB.

Rays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Orioles -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+155) | Orioles +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 7, Rays 5

Money line

The ORIOLES (-115) are worth playing on the road in this getaway day finale. Lyles has been shaky all season, but he has managed to keep the ball in the park at home. The Rays (-105) punched him around pretty good in 2 starts in St. Petersburg, but he and Baltimore will get revenge in this one.

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Run line/Against the spread

It’s pricey, but the ORIOLES +1.5 (-190) are worth playing lightly in this finale. The winning margin has been 2.7 runs per game in the first 3 outings of this series, and there is no reason to believe the Baltimore bats won’t come alive against Yarbrough and the bullpen of Tampa Bay.

Over/Under

The OVER 9.5 (+110) is again the play Thursday.

We needed some late-inning heroics, and all those cheers you heard were from Over bettors when Mateo forced extras, tied 4-4, with a total of 8.5.

The Over has connected in 6 of the last 7 games against AL East teams for the Rays while going 7-2 in their past 9 against a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Over has hit at a 7-2-1 pace across the Orioles’ past 10 games while hitting at a 13-4-1 clip in their past 18 vs. AL East teams.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (52-45) and Baltimore Orioles (49-48) meet Wednesday for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 7-7

The Rays dropped the first 2 games of this series, and need to win the final 2 outings just to salvage a split. Tampa Bay has lost 4 straight games overall.

The Orioles outscored the Rays 10-4 combined Monday and Tuesday. Baltimore has posted 4 or more runs in 10 of its last 11 games.

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Rays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. RHP Tyler Wells

Rasmussen (6-3, 3.13 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 77 2/3 IP.

  • Is 3-3 with a 4.15 ERA, .285 opponent batting average with 32 K across 39 IP over 9 road outings.
  • Is 1-0 with a 2.29 ERA across 19 2/3 IP through 4 starts in July — his best monthly ERA of the season.

Wells (7-6, 3.69 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.

  • Has struggled with a 1-2 record, 5.23 ERA and .250 opponent BA with 20 K across 20 2/3 IP through 4 starts in July.
  • Is an awful 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA through 12 IP across 3 starts against the Rays in 2022.

Rays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+133) | Orioles +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Orioles 3

Money line

The RAYS (-125) have come up empty in Charm City so far in this series, but the Orioles are sure to struggle with Wells on the bump. He has had his issues against Tampa Bay this season.

Tampa Bay has lost the first 2 in this series but remains 11-4 across its last 15 inside the AL East.

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Run line/Against the spread

The RAYS -1.5 (+133) are worth a look on the run line despite the fact they have won just 3 of the last 9 against the Orioles. Two of the last 3 wins for Tampa Bay against Baltimore are just by 1 run, too, so tread lightly.

Over/Under

The OVER 7.5 (-130) is the play in Game 3 of the series.

The Over has hit in 5 of the last 6 games against AL East teams for the Rays while going 6-2 in their last 8 against a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Over has cashed at a 6-2-1 clip across the Orioles’ last 9 games while going 12-4-1 in their last 17 vs. AL East teams.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (35-28) limp into Oriole Park at Camden Yards Friday to start a 3-game series with the Baltimore Orioles (28-37). First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tampa is 4-6 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games with 2 straight road series losses with the latest being a 3-game sweep at the New York Yankees.

Baltimore is 5-5 SU in the last 10 and has split 2 consecutive 4-game road series heading into Friday vs. the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays.

The Rays lead the season series with the Orioles 4-2 and have a plus-13 run differential in those meetings.

Rays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Shane Baz vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Baz lost his season debut Saturday at the Minnesota Twins 6-5, lasting just 2 1/3 innings, giving up 5 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 3 BB and 2 K.

  • This is Baz’s 5th career start and 1st against the Orioles.

Kremer (1-1, 3.86 ERA) won his 2nd outing of the year Sunday in Kansas City with 5 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 4 H, 2 BB and 2 K vs. the Royals.

  • Lost his 1st outing 3-2 at home vs. the Cleveland Guardians June 5, with 3 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB and 3 K  in 4 1/3 IP.
  • 2021 vs. the Rays: One start, a 10-1 home loss May 20 with 3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 4 BB and 3 K.

Rays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Orioles +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+105) | Orioles +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Rays 4

Money line

PASS. 

The Rays (-160) are 28-7 SU vs. the Orioles over the last 3 seasons and this could be a buy-low spot for Tampa because it was just swept by the Yankees and Baz was chased early in his 1st start back from the injury list.

But, there’s no shame in losing to the Yankees the way the Bronx Bombers are playing and Baz’s stuff looked good vs. the Twins, he just lost the strike zone against a quality Minnesota lineup.

Also, Kremer’s basic and advanced pitching numbers vs. the Rays are brutal. Kremer has a .351/.456/.588 expected batting average, wOBA and slugging percentage slash line with a 5.0 K% and 95.6 mph exit velocity in 20 plate appearances vs. current Tampa hitters (per Statcast).

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Run line/Against the spread

BET 0.75 units on the ORIOLES +1.5 (-130) since only 2 of the 6 Rays-Orioles meetings have been decided by 1 run.

However, the Rays could be hungover from playing the Yankees and this is a much more profitable spot for the Orioles. Tampa is just 1-1 SU and RL as -150 road favorites or greater and that 1 loss was against Baltimore May 22.

The Orioles are 14-7 RL at home vs. right-handed starters with a plus-26.1% return on investment.

The ORIOLES +1.5 (-130) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-120).

The weather forecast is predicting hitter-friendly conditions of temperatures in the low-90s and 15 mph winds blowing out to right-center field. Also, both starters are working back from injuries, the Rays are 9-6-2 O/U as road favorites and the Orioles are 14-12-1 O/U as home underdogs.

It’s only a LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-120) since I prefer Baltimore’s RL and both bullpens are actually very impressive. Tampa’s bullpen-prowess is somewhat obvious but Baltimore’s bullpen is 3rd in WAR, per FanGraphs.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (16-24) host the Tampa Bay Rays (23-16) Saturday at Camden Yards for the second game of their 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Baltimore beat Tampa in the series opener Friday 8-6 with an extra-inning, walk-off, 2-run home run by 2B Rougned Odor in the bottom of the 13th.

The Orioles have won back-to-back games, both with walk-off homers, but are just 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Rays are 5-5 in their last 10 and have won their last two series.

Rays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Jeffrey Springs vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Springs is 1-1 with a 1.66 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP over 3 starts and 8 relief appearances.

  • Last start: No-decision in 3-0 home win vs. the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday with 4 2/3-scoreless IP, 4 H, 0 BB and 2 K.

Bradish is 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 21 1/3 IP across 4 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 6-2 at home vs. the New York Yankees Monday with 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 6 K.

Rays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:49 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 2

Money line

BET RAYS (-135).

Springs has nasty stuff and has been one of the best left-handers in the AL thus far. According to Statcast, Springs grades 90th percentile or better in chase rate (99%), expected ERA (95%), expected wOBA (95%) and barrel rate (90%).

Also, Baltimore’s lineup ranks 25th in wRC+ (83), 26th in wOBA (.280) and 27th in BB/K rate (0.28), per FanGraphs.

Bradish grades in the 38th percentile in chase rate, 37th percentile in hard-hit rate, 21st percentile in barrel rate and 8th percentile in exit velocity.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Rays  -1.5 (+120) don’t offer a big enough payout considering they are just 5-5 RL as road favorites, while the Orioles are 13-5 RL as home underdogs.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” to the Under 8.5 (-125) because Baltimore’s lineup should struggle vs. Springs and the Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 head-to-head meetings.

However, the Over has cashed in 8 of their last 10 meetings in Baltimore, the Rays are 3-0-1 O/U in their last 4 as road favorites and the Orioles are 5-1 O/U in their last 6 games as home underdogs.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (23-15) head to Oriole Park at Camden Yards to start a 3-game set with the Baltimore Orioles (15-24) at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tampa won its second straight series by taking the rubber match of a 3-game set at the Detroit Tigers Wednesday 6-1. The Rays are 5-5 overall in their last 10 games.

Baltimore snapped a 6-game losing streak and prevented a 4-game sweep by the New York Yankees with a 9-6 win Thursday.

Season series: Tampa swept Baltimore April 8-10 and the Rays had a plus-11 run differential in those 3 meetings.

Rays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Jalen Beeks vs. RHP Tyler Wells

Beeks makes his 1st start since 2019 and will most likely serve as an opener for Tampa’s bullpen day Friday.

  • He is 1-0 with a 1.72 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 4 BB and 17 K in 9 games out of the bullpen.

Wells is 1-3 with a 4.18 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 28 IP over 7 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 5-1, at the Detroit Tigers Sunday with 4 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Rays: Loss, 8-0, April 10 at Tampa with 1 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 2 K.

Rays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Orioles +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Rays 5

Money line

LEAN ORIOLES (+115) because Tampa’s bullpen has been subpar this year due to the absence of some elite arms, and there’s heavy reverse line movement (RLM) in Baltimore’s direction.

Baltimore’s bullpen has a better ERA, FIP, WAR and home runs allowed per 9-inning rate than the Tampa’s (per FanGraphs).

According to Pregame.com, more than 80% of the cash is on the Rays (-140) but Tampa’s ML has been lowered from a -150 opener.

This RLM is particularly interesting because the Rays’ lineup raked Wells in his 2022 debut, and the market is betting that’ll happen again. By dropping the price, the oddsmakers are essentially daring bettors for more Tampa action.

That said, the Rays are 27-5 overall vs. the Orioles over the past 3 seasons so I wouldn’t go heavier than a half-unit on the ORIOLES (+115).

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ORIOLES +1.5 (-145) only because I don’t love this price, but Baltimore is 12-5 RL as home underdogs with a plus-1.5 RL margin, and the Rays -1.5 (+120) are 11-17 RL as favorites with a minus-1.1 RL margin.

Again, Tampa’s bullpen isn’t as solid this season as years prior (yet) so the ORIOLES +1.5 (-145) could sneak in the backdoor in the late innings.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-122) because the total has been steamed up by a sharp line movement despite the Under being 5-1-1 in the last 7 Rays-Orioles meetings, Baltimore being 0-5 O/U in Wells’ last 5 starts and Tampa is 0-7-2 O/U in its last 9 AL East games.

Also, the weather forecast is predicting temperatures in the mid-to-high-80s with a slight wind blowing out to right-centerfield. Hotter weather typically favors hitting that’s why Overs have been cashing at a higher rate since the start of the season.

The OVER 8.5 (-122) is my favorite play in the Rays-Orioles game Friday.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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