Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Ottawa Senators (10-14-1) and Dallas Stars (14-7-5) meet Thursday at American Airlines Center in Dallas. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Senatorsvs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Senators were piped 5-2 at home by the Los Angeles Kings Tuesday, snapping a modest 2-game win streak. Despite the lopsided loss, Ottawa is still a respectable 4-2 in the last 6 games, including 3-1 in the last 4 against Western Conference clubs.

The Stars were paddled at home by the Toronto Maple Leafs Tuesday, getting shut out by Matt Murray and the visitors 4-0. Dallas has been feast or famine from an offensive perspective, going for 4 or more goals in 5 of the last 7 games, while posting 1 or no goals in the other 2 outings.

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Senators at Stars odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Senators +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Stars -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Senators +1.5 (-150) | Stars -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Senators at Stars projected goalies

Cam Talbot (4-7-0, 2.83 GAA, .907 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (9-3-3, 2.54 GAA, .916 SV%, 2 SO)

Talbot was pounded for 5 goals on just 14 shots before getting pulled midway through the 2nd period on Tuesday against the visiting Kings. The goal total matched his season-worst effort Nov. 8 at home against the Vancouver Canucks.

On the road, Talbot is 4-2-0 with a 2.19 GAA and .928 SV% in 6 starts, as opposed to 0-5-0 with a 3.48 GAA and .888 SV% in 5 home outings.

Oettinger was on the short end of a 4-0 loss to the Maple Leafs last time out, allowing 3 goals on 28 shots. He has allowed 7 goals on 44 shots since a 31-save shutout against the Anaheim Ducks to open the month last Thursday.

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Senators at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 3, Senators 1

Moneyline

The Stars (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward. Even though Oettinger is solid at home, there is a lot of risk based on Talbot’s crazy road splits, too.

AVOID, and look to the puck line instead.

Puck line/Against the spread

The STARS -1.5 (+125) are worth playing on a half-unit bet. In all 14 of its wins this season, Dallas has won by 2 or more goals. So if you like the Stars to win, you should like them to cover the puck line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-105) is a strong play in this final game of the NHL evening.

The Under has dominated for the Sens lately, going 10-2 in the last 12 games overall, and 6-0 in the last 6 games on the road. The Under is also 13-6-1 in the last 20 games against teams with a winning record, too.

The Under has hit at a 4-1 clip in the last 5 games overall for the Stars, while also going 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in this series.

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