Orioles Yankees odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 2

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (32-17) and New York Yankees (30-21) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 3-2

Baltimore earned a 9-6 come-from-behind victory Wednesday. The Orioles have scored 5-plus runs in each of their last 6 games since breaking out of a mid-May mini-slump.

The Yankees are still 8-3 over their last 11 home games despite Wednesday’s setback. New York has banged out an .873 OPS in the Bronx over that stretch.

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Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Gibson (5-3, 4.27 ERA) is tabbed for his 11th start. He has logged a 1.36 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 59 IP.

Current New York batters own an aggregate .901 OPS against him
Swinging strikes and ground balls are down from previously established career norms

Schmidt (2-4, 6.00 ERA) is tabbed for his 11th start of the season. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 45 IP.

Has held opponents to 2 runs or fewer in 3 of his last 4 starts
Has scuffled against lefty bats (.937 OPS allowed), and Baltimore bats a higher-than-average percentage from that side against right-handers
Has been hurt by a .386 batting average on balls in play (BABIP)

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Orioles +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Yankees -132 (bet $132 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-172) | Yankees -1.5 (+142)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

Peg the Orioles’ won-loss record as being a few games too rich. Baltimore is a fade candidate in games where the opponent is likable or Baltimore is fade-able in the pitching match-up.

Schmidt’s line desreves better. The Yankee righty has been hurt by the high overall BABIP, a low 62.7% left-on-base rate and a high 15.7% home runs/fly balls figure.

There is a risk because Schmidt does not have a long track record of sub-4.00 ERA pitching — especially as a starter — but with the Baltimore bullpen likely overrated and the Yankees offense coming around of late, the price on the home nine does offer some value here.

BACK THE YANKEES (-132).

Run line/Against the spread

Respecting Gibson’s ability to get deep enough in games here, and the possibility Schmidt falters against the Baltimore bats swinging from the left side. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over 8.5 was a solid play Wednesday, and there is some overall lean toward more run-scoring in this series.

However, Schmidt’s prognosis and an inward breeze in the weather forecast — and a higher hurdle in this game — make for conflicting inputs.

PASS.

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (31-17) and New York Yankees (30-20) meet Wednesday in a 7:05 p.m. ET game at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 3-1

Baltimore is continuing a tough AL East road trip that opened with a 3-game sweep at the Toronto Blue Jays. The Orioles led Tuesday’s series opener 4-0 before eventually falling 6-5 in 10 innings.

The Yankees got a 9th-inning, game-tying HR from OF Aaron Judge Tuesday. The New York captain has hit 8 homers in his last 9 games. As a team, the Yanks have bashed 35 HR over their last 16 games.

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Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Wells (3-1, 2.94 ERA) is lined up for his 9th start. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 52 innings across 9 games.

Current Yankees batters own an aggregate .579 OPS against him, but has allowed 9 R over his last 11 IP against New York
Logged a 4.25 ERA in 23 starts last season

Cortes (4-2, 5.21 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 48 1/3 innings.

Owns a 0.90 ERA over his last 5 starts against the Orioles
Since 2021, owns a 2.57 ERA and 0.95 WHIP at home

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+132)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Mostly on a fade-Wells lean, the Yankees are the preferred side here. Wells has had the good fortune of a .163 batting average on balls in play. Cortes and the Yankees at home — with some solid momentum — would be worth some partial-play action at -140 or better.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. The better value is closer to the current pricing on the ML.

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Over/Under

For the most part, we’re fading the pitching all around here, both starters and both bullpens, for a 2nd straight night. Wells has more problem areas of note. But Baltimore hits left-handers quite well (.769 OPS) and that’s a red X in the Cortes column.

Baltimore’s road offense has been solid this season. The Yankees went into this series with an .834 OPS over their last 14 games.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (31-16) and New York Yankees (29-20) meet Tuesday in a 7:05 p.m. ET game at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 2-1

Baltimore is continuing a road trip that opened with a 3-game sweep at Toronto. The Orioles are 9-3 over their last 12 games. Their .776 road OPS ranks 4th in the league.

The Yankees are back at home after a 6-1 road trip comprised of 4 games at Toronto and 3 at Cincinnati. New York pitching clocked a whiff-laden 1.96 ERA over that trip.

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Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Gerrity Cole

Bradish (2-1, 3.90 ERA) is lined up for his 8th start. He’s posted a 1.3 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 32 1/3 innings.

Owns a 3.86 ERA in 2 career starts against New York (2022)
Has allowed just 1 ER over his last 12 2/3 IP
Threw a season-high 94 pitches in his last start on Wednesday

Cole (5-0, 2.01 ERA) is tabbed for his 11th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings

Has a 3.00 ERA across his last 5 starts against Baltimore
Since 2021, owns a 2.82 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at home

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Orioles +154 (bet $100 to win $154) | Yankees -184 (bet $184 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-144) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Yanks are a lean, but the price is a bit high.

Run line/Against the spread

Peg the Yankees being a couple ofgames under their “should-be” record and the opposite being the case for the Orioles. With a likable Over, getting home side by with a 2-run cushion is the lean. But a suggested value point here is +125 on the play. If the Yankee side of the run line brings less return, PASS.

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Over/Under

Fading the pitching all around here, both starters and both bullpens. Cole has benefited from some generous rates around the margins. The same goes perhaps a bit less so for Bradish but he’s coming off the relatively high pitch count. Both bullpens have benefited from high left-on-base rates and figure to be sporting artificially depressed ERAs.

Baltimore’s road offense has been strong. The Yankees own an .834 OPS over their last 14 games.

BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-114).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (81-77) and New York Yankees (97-60) clash in a Sunday showdown to close out their 3-game series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 12-6

Baltimore snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 2-1 win in Friday’s lid-lifter. But the Yankees countered with a Saturday victory, and the Orioles have now lost 4 of their last 5. With fading pitching numbers, Baltimore is 10-16 since Sept. 4. The Orioles own a 5.20 ERA over that span.

The Yankees have struggled for much of the 2nd half, but the AL East champs have turned things around of late. New York is 10-2 in its last 12 games and is 18-6 since Sept. 4. In that latter set of games, the Yanks have outscored opponents 141-84.

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Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez

Bradish (4-7, 5.11 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.

Allowed 7 runs in 2 1/3 IP Tuesday at Boston Red Sox; had logged a 1.64 ERA over his previous 6 starts
Allowed 11 base runners and 4R in 4 1/3 IP vs. Yankees on May 16

Chi Gonzalez (0-1, 6.87 ERA) has appeared in 6 games, making 4 starts. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP.

Expected to be called up from Triple-A for this start — for a game which the Yankees consider to be in jeopardy because of inclement weather on the eastern seaboard
Joined New York on a minor-league deal at the end of August and posted a 3.63 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 22 1/3 innings over 5 starts at Triple-A Scranton
His 18 1/3 IP this season were with the Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers. Owns a 5.72 ERA, 1.49 WHIP across 280 career minor league innings.

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.

Money line: Orioles +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Specific pitchers aside, Baltimore is a general fade based on the club overperforming its base indicators over much of the season. Bradish, however, does have some play to his numbers, and with the Yankees playing this game sort of like part of a doubleheader due to the weather concerns, Baltimore is a lean.

PASS on the current tag. Consider the Orioles at +140 or better.

Run line/Against the spread

STEER CLEAR: almost too much gray area all the way around to make any iffy favorite-money bet in this matchup.

Over/Under

The weather is pushing this total lower. And that weather is calling for a stiff inward breeze working against hitters,

But in Baltimore-New York games, the Over is 37-18 in the last 55 meetings at Yankee Stadium. And there continues to be some baked-in Over lean when the analytics of both bullpens and offenses are weighed in.

The price is right here: BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (81-76) and New York Yankees (96-60) meet for a Saturday matinee in the 2nd of a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 11-6

Baltimore snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 2-1 win in Friday’s lid-lifter. Orioles pitching allowed just 4 hits and 2 BB while striking out 13 batters. And that from a pitching staff that had been tagged with a 6.96 ERA and 1.70 WHIP over its previous 6 games.

The Yankees struggled for much of the second half until they started playing better ball earlier in September. New York is 9-2 over its last 11 games and is 17-6 since Sept. 4.

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Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Austin Voth vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Voth (5-3, 4.19 ERA) has appeared in 40 games, making 16 starts. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 96 2/3 IP.

Has clocked a 2.31 ERA over his last 7 starts
Has registered a 2.78 ERA as a starter and an 8.17 ERA as a reliever

Cortes (11-4, 2.56 ERA) makes his 29th start of the season. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 151 IP.

Has allowed 1 run or less in each of his last 3 starts
Owns a 0.78 ERA and 37K across 23 career IP against Baltimore (2021-22)

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Orioles +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Yankees -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+102)
Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 3

Money line

The Orioles are a case of prices maturing and being out too far over talent. That makes for good profits in September fading. However, that’s not the case here with this juice-drowned pricing: PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Similar to Friday’s analysis in this corner: the Over is the best play, the one offering the most value.

In a high-scoring environment, NEW YORK -1.5 (+102) is the side with the most value. But for a 2nd straight day, there is no ringing endorsement of any of the sides, mostly due to some overcooked Yankee pitching on the schedule.

Over/Under

The forecast calls for another cooler day and a double-digit breeze in the aid of the pitchers. Rain is also in the forecast.

But with some fade lean to the pitching in this contest, BACK THE OVER 6.5 (-130).

In Baltimore-New York games, the Over is 36-18 in the last 54 meetings at Yankee Stadium.

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (80-76) and New York Yankees (96-59) meet Friday night at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 11-5

Baltimore has lost 3 straight games and 5 of its last 6. Orioles pitching has been tagged with a 6.96 ERA and 1.70 WHIP over that stretch. Baltimore is 1-3 on a current road trip that opened at the Boston Red Sox. The Orioles had been exceptional away from home through much of the late summer (17-12 across 29 road games from July 12-Sept. 18).

The Yankees had struggled for much of the second half until they started playing better ball earlier in September. The Yanks are 9-1 over their last 10 games and are 17-5 since Sept. 4. At Yankee Stadium, New York is 8-0 with a .904 OPS over its last 8 games.

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Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Domingo German

Lyles (11-11, 4.55 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 172 IP.

Owns a 3.47 ERA at home but a 5.56 mark on the road
Has clocked a 6.86 ERA over his last 4 starts (5 home runs allowed in 19 2/3 IP)
Facing the Yanks for a 6th time this season (4.71 ERA)

German (2-3, 3.30 ERA) has appeared in 13 games (12 as a starter). He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 62 2/3 IP.

Owns a 2.89 ERA over his last 7 starts
Recently shuttled back and forth from the bullpen and has only thrown 117 pitches and 7 2/3 IP since Sept. 11

Orioles at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+122)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 4

Money line

Run line/Against the spread

New York plays at home with the benefit of an off day, while Baltimore played at Boston Thursday. But there is also a bit of fade-German-and-Yankee-pitching in the equation as well.

In a high-scoring environment, NEW YORK -1.5 (+122) is likely the side with the most value.

Over/Under

The forecast calls for a cool evening in the Bronx and a light breeze helping the hurlers, but the lean for this 1st game of the series is on the OVER 7.5 (-120).

Both bullpens are in fade territory: they carry expected ERA figures higher than what has been presented to the world over the last 5 months. The Yankees ‘pen is sort of coming together late with pitchers returning from injury. A clunker inning here and there would be no surprise. German’s lack of work lately adds some risk to the run-prevention side of the equation.

Add in the surging New York offense, and shading the contest to get to a double-digit run total makes sense. In the last 7 Baltimore-New York games, the winning club has scored 6 runs or more 6 times and the Over is 36-17 in the last 53 meetings at Yankee Stadium.

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (18-26) and New York Yankees (30-13) put a lid on a 3-game series Wednesday. The AL East contest at Yankee Stadium is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 8-4.

The Orioles and Yankees split the first 2 games of this series. The O’s coughed up a 5-3 lead in an eventual 7-6 loss in 11 innings Tuesday.

New York snapped a 3-game losing streak with the victory. The Bronx Bombers are 16-7 at Yankee Stadium, but banged-up New York pitching owns a pedestrian 4.60 ERA on the club’s current homestand.

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. LHP JP Sears

Wells (1-3, 4.41 ERA) makes his 9th start of the season. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 32 2/3 IP.

Has allowed 2 runs in 9 IP against the Yankees this season.

Sears made 2 appearances New York early in the season (2 scoreless IP). Was sent down to Triple-A Scranton in mid-April.

Posted a 1.25 ERA and 0.60 WHIP through 21 2/3 IP across 4 starts and 2 relief appearances with Scranton.
Draws a Baltimore nine that owns a league-worst .313 slugging percentage against southpaws.

Orioles at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:25 a.m. ET.

Money line: Orioles +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Yankees -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Orioles +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+102)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 3

Money line

PASS. Figure true odds as being lost in the expansive canyon between these tags.

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Run line/Against the spread

A Yankees depth advantage and a decent price make for the lean here: TAKE NEW YORK -1.5 (+102).

Over/Under

Twelve previous games against each other make for lots of familiarities. and both bullpens could use a day off.

The Yankee offense has been above-average at home, and that’s been through the tougher sledding alongside a .270 batting average on balls in play.

THERE IS SOME SLIGHT VALUE ON THE OVER 8.5 (-107). More conservative bettors, however, may want to hold off for a +100 or better.

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (18-25) and New York Yankees (29-13) meet for the middle game of a 3-game series Tuesday. The battle at Yankee Stadium is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 7-4.

The Orioles took 2 of 3 games from the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend and won Monday’s series opener 6-4. Baltimore has won 4 of its last 5 contests.

The Yankees have lost 4 of their last 5 games. New York went 12-1 at home from April 14-May 21 but is 0-3 in the Bronx since.

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

LHP Bruce Zimmermann vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

Zimmermann (2-2, 3.48 ERA) owns a 1.26 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 41 1/3 IP over 8 starts this season.

Facing the Yankees for the 2nd time in a week and the 4th time this season. Allowed 5 runs in as many innings at home against them Thursday.
Owns an ERA of 6.00 across 4 all-time starts vs. the Yanks (2021-22).

Montgomery (0-1, 3.35 ERA) is tabbed for his eighth start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 40 1/3 IP.

Allowed 3 R in 5 IP vs. Baltimore Thursday. Current Orioles own an aggregate .755 OPS against him.
Has allowed just 4 home runs this season and has yielded hard contact on just 20.5% of balls in play.

Orioles at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Orioles +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Yankees -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Orioles +1.5 (-105) | Yankees -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 4

Money line

PASS. There is a lot of juice to wade through with these prices.

Run line/Against the spread

Baltimore has hung tough in recent games against the Tampa Bay Rays and these Yankees. ORIOLES +1.5 (-105) is a decent play against a New York club dealing with some injuries and illness.

Over/Under

Both starters have some fade energy due to a bit of good fortune on some rates around the margins. The Baltimore offense has been hampered by a .247 batting average on balls in play with runners in scoring position, and the Yankee bullpen is not surrounded by the same halo of can-do-no-wrong it was a couple of weeks back.

THERE IS SOME SLIGHT VALUE ON THE OVER 8.5 (+100).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (17-25) visit the New York Yankees (29-12) for a 3-game series beginning Monday. The series opener at Yankee Stadium is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 7-3.

The Orioles are coming off a 7-game homestand that opened with 4 games against these Yankees (New York won 3 of 4) and ended with Baltimore taking 2 of 3 games from the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Yankees are coming off a 2-1 series loss at home to the Chicago White Sox. New York was swept in both ends of a Sunday doubleheader; the Yanks scored just 1 run in the long day at Yankee Stadium.

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Lyles (2-4, 4.11 ERA) has posted a 1.39 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 46 IP across 8 starts.

Owns a 6.08 road ERA since 2020.
Facing the Yankees for a 4th time this season (4.76 ERA, 3 BB, 15 K in 17 IP).

Cole (4-0, 2.89 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 43 2/3 IP.

Owns a 1.67 ERA and a tidy .539 OPS over his last 5 starts.
Has notched a 1.13 ERA across his last 5 starts against the Orioles.
Owns a 2.78 Yankee Stadium ERA since coming to the Yankees in 2020.

Orioles at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:52 a.m. ET.

Money line: Orioles +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Yankees -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Orioles +2.5 (-135) | Yankees -2.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Orioles 2

Money line

It takes a certain level of bankroll to pull it off, but the lean here is on New York as a fair play on a price less than -300. PASS OTHERWISE, although a Yankees ML, Orioles +2.5 RL, and Under sets up as an option to pursue if all the prices fall the right way.

Run line/Against the spread

Baltimore has hung tough in recent games against the Tampa Bay Rays and these Yankees. ORIOLES +2.5 (-135) is worthy of attention with the Under perhaps being the best play in this one.

Over/Under

Cooler New York temps, a scuffling-of-late Yankee offense, and the forecast of an inward breeze from left field get added to some quality pitching.

THERE IS SOME SLIGHT VALUE ON THE UNDER 7.5 (-110).

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (78-57) host the Baltimore Orioles (42-92) Sunday for the finale of their three-game series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the rubber match after New York took the series opener 4-3 in extra innings Friday and Baltimore evened the series with a 4-3 victory Saturday.

Season series: Yankees lead 9-6.

LHP Keegan Akin gets the nod for the Orioles. Akin is 2-8 with a 6.90 ERA (75 2/3 IP, 58 ER), 1.65 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 13 starts and seven relief appearances.

Last outing: Win, 4-2, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 5 K Tuesday at the Toronto Blue Jays.
Road splits: 1-5 with a 7.46 ERA (41 IP, 34 ER), 1.78 WHIP and 1.8 K/BB in eight starts and four bullpen outings.
vs. Yankees on the current roster (35 PA): 2.83 FIP with a .219 batting average (BA), .246 wOBA, .378 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 17.1 K% and 88.0 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Corey Kluber takes the mound for the Yankees. Kluber is 4-3 with a 3.61 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 11 starts.

Last outing: No-decision in New York’s 8-7 loss at the Los Angeles Angels Monday with a stat line of 4 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 6 K.
Kluber is 2-0 this year against Baltimore with a 3.55 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 13 H, 4 BB and 11 K in two starts.
vs. Orioles on the current roster (39 PA): 4.05 FIP with a .257 BA, .340 wOBA, .422 xSLG, 23.1 K% and 84.8 mph EV.

Orioles at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.

Money line: Orioles +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Yankees -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-108) | Yankees -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 1

Money line (ML)

PASS even though New York is clearly the right side because Yankees (-340) is way out of my price range. This is even too expensive to throw into a money line parlay.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” YANKEES -2.5 (-112) for a half unit because New York holds a significant edge in the three most important phases of the game.

The Yankees are top seven against left-handed pitching in advanced hitting metrics such as wRC+, wOBA and BB/K. Also, New York’s bullpen is ranked atop several advanced pitching metrics while Baltimore’s pitching staff has been drilled this season.

That said, the Yankees are just 26-36 ATS as a home favorite and the Orioles have beaten New York six times in 2021.

Over/Under (O/U)

This ought to be a slump-buster game for a Yankees lineup that has struggled for a week now. New York’s lineup is ranked 23rd in wRC+ and wOBA and 25th in WAR. However, Akin’s career pitching peripherals against the Yankees are solid though and New York’s bullpen can be trusted if it’s a close game late.

Furthermore, the Yankees are 24-35-3 O/U as a home favorite and the Orioles are 30-35-3 O/U as a road underdog. On top of that, the Under could also function as a hedge for our wager on New York’s run line.

“LEAN” UNDER 9.5 (-108) for a half unit.

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