Tag: Oakland Athletics odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (76-52) visit the Oakland Athletics (70-59) Saturday for the third game of their four-game series at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 15-8 with Gerrit Cole picking up a victory Saturday as the Yankee lineup smacked 4 home runs in the 8-2 win.

Season series: Yankees lead 4-1.

LHP Nestor Cortes Jr. is on the rubber for the Yankees. Cortes is 2-1 with a 2.56 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in seven starts and eight relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 10-2, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 7 K Aug. 20 vs. the Minnesota Twins.
  • Road splits: 1-1 with a 3.23 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.21 WHIP and 3.9 K/BB in four starts and three bullpen outings.
  • Starter splits: 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.04 WHIP and 4.0 K/BB.

RHP Frankie Montas is Oakland’s projected starter. Montas is 9-9 with a 3.84 ERA (143 IP, 61 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 25 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 9 K in Oakland’s 2-1 loss to the San Francisco Giants Sunday.
  • Home splits: 4-6 with a 4.00 ERA (78 2/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.27 WHIP and 4.6 K/9 in 14 starts.

Yankees at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Athletics -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+155) | Athletics +1.5 (-205)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

Yankees 5, Athletics 2

Money line (ML)

I’m going to roll with the hot hand and “LEAN” for a half unit on the YANKEES (+102). Cortes has been one of the Yankees’ unsung heroes in this recent hot streak as New York has won in six of Cortes’ last seven starts and he’s allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in all six of those Yankees wins.

The A’s have lost eight of their last 10 games and their lineup ranks 20th in wRC+, 23rd in wOBA and 18th in BB/K in the past two weeks whereas the Yankees are in the top 10 in each of those metrics.

Oakland is just 5-6 overall as a home favorite when Montas gets the start with a -21.0% return on investment (ROI) and an average score of 3.6-4.2.

On the other hand, New York has won all three road starts Cortes has made as an underdog with victories against the three current division leaders in the AL.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. The Yankees are 20-25 ATS as road favorites and Oakland is 10-7 ATS as a home underdog. The Athletics also have the stronger overall ATS record and have covered 6 of their last 9 games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-102) for a tiny wager if at all because I much prefer New York’s money line than the total.

That said, both teams play more to the Under in their location-based situational trends and these teams have a combined 13-19 O/U record when these starters are on the mound. The Under has cashed in Cortes’ last five starts against a team with a winning record.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (67-58) visit the Oakland Athletics (70-55) Monday to begin a three-game set at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mariners vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle prevented a three-game sweep by the Houston Astros with a 6-3 extra-innings victory Sunday and has won seven of the last 10 games.

Oakland dropped the last two of a three-game interleague set with the San Francisco Giants this past weekend and is just 3-7 over the past 10 games.

Season series: Mariners lead 6-4.

LHP Marco Gonzales makes his 18th start for the Mariners. Gonzales is 5-5 with a 4.10 ERA (94 1/3 IP, 43 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K Wednesday at the Texas Rangers.
  • Gonzales is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 7 H, 3 BB and 10 K in two starts against Oakland this season.

RHP Paul Blackburn makes his second start for the A’s. Blackburn lost his first outing at the Chicago White Sox 3-2 Wednesday with a stat line of 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 3 K.

Mariners at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Athletics -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-175) | Athletics -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Mariners 4, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the MARINERS (+115) for a half unit because they have the edge in starting and bullpen pitching.

For instance, Blackburn only gets the nod because A’s starting RHP Chris Bassitt is on the IL after taking a line drive off the head. Also, Gonzales is 2-0 in August with a 0.67 ERA (27 IP, 2 ER) and 21/4 K/BB.

Furthermore, Oakland’s lineup has been mediocre at home (23rd in wOBA and 14th in wRC+). On top of that, the A’s are just 5-7 with a minus-21.5% return on investment in home games against lefty starters as -140 favorite or less.

Lastly, I’m cool with fading the market with Seattle because the Mariners are just 3 games back of the A’s in the AL Wild Card standings, but I don’t think the betting public is hip to how feisty the Mariners are.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Even though Seattle has been money as an underdog this year with a 62.9% cover rate at 61-36 ATS, we still have to PASS on the Mariners +1.5 (-175) because their implied win probability is 63.64% at this price point. Maybe I’d lay it with Seattle’s run line if it were priced south of -160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for a quarter unit because the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Under while the average Joe is betting the Over (according to Pregame.com)

In addition, Mariners are 5-12 O/U when Gonzales is on the mound, and the A’s are 4-8 O/U at home when facing a left-handed starter as a -140 favorite or lower.

However, my hesitancy is due to the slight “reverse line movement” we are seeing in the betting market. Despite more money being on the Under, the Over has the higher vig, which is a red flag.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (70-50) host the Oakland Athletics (68-52) for the third game of their four-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 14-2 including the White Sox’s 9-0 victory Tuesday. Athletics starting RHP Chris Bassitt exited in the 2nd inning Tuesday after taking a line drive off the face and will need to undergo surgery, although he has been released from hospital.

Season series: White Sox lead 2-0.

LHP Cole Irvin makes his 24th start for the A’s. Irvin is 8-11 with a 3.52 ERA (135 1/3 IP, 53 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-6, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K at the Texas Rangers Friday.
  • 2021 road splits: 4-6 with a 3.30 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.18 WHIP and 4.3 K/BB in 11 starts.

RHP Lance Lynn gets the start for the White Sox. Lynn is 10-3 with a 2.26 ERA (119 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 21 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 7 K in Chicago’s 9-8 victory over the New York Yankees Thursday.
  • 2021 home splits: 6-2 with a 2.13 ERA (76 IP, 18 ER), 0.92 WHIP and 4.6 K/BB in 13 starts.
  • vs. A’s on the current roster (181 PA): 4.66 FIP with a .286 batting average, .382 wOBA, .415 expected slugging percentage, 22.7 K% and 89.4 mph exit velocity.

Athletics at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | White Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics +1.5 (-140) | White Sox -1.5 (+111)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Athletics 1

Money line (ML)

Chicago’s advantage in the three most important phases of baseball (starting and bullpen pitching and hitting) are baked into the White Sox (-190) price, which I don’t see much value in betting outright.

Since -180 money line favorites have consistently cashed for backers in the second half of the year in the last five seasons, I’ll slightly “LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-190) but would rather pair it up with another favorite in a money line parlay.

Furthermore, Chicago’s lineup ranks in the top 8 against left-handed pitching in wRC+ and wOBA. Also, the White Sox have the fourth-best winning percentage at home and are 21-12 vs. lefty starters this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Oakland is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog hence the A’s +1.5 being -140 despite being a pretty sizeable underdog on the money line.

Given the options, I’d prefer to just stick with Chicago in a money line parlay or just put a tiny wager on the White Sox to win outright.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for 1 unit because we are getting “sharp line movement” towards the Under as Athletics-White Sox opened with a 9-run total but has been steamed down to the current number.

Also, these teams have a combined 16-26 O/U record when these starters take the mound and each team plays more to the Under in their location-based situational trends.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (68-51) continue their four-game road series against the Chicago White Sox (69-50) Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the series opener 5-2 as the White Sox bullpen locked down the victory with 1 H, 1 BB and 9 K across 4 IP.

Season series: White Sox lead 1-0.

RHP Chris Bassitt is Oakland’s projected starter. He is 12-3 with a 3.06 ERA (150 IP, 51 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 24 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 17-0, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 6 K Thursday at the Cleveland Indians.
  • Second half stats: 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA (32 IP, 8 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 5.8 K/BB.
  • vs. White Sox on current roster (54 PA): 2.13 FIP with a .231 batting average (BA), .240 wOBA, .371 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 18.5 K% and 90.5 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Reynaldo Lopez is on the bump for the White Sox. He is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA (20 IP, 3 ER), 0.75 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through two starts and eight relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 1-0 loss to the Minnesota Twins Wednesday.
  • vs. Athletics on current roster (69 PA): 3.07 FIP with a .230 BA, .280 wOBA, .461 xSLG, 26.1 K% and 86.6 mph EV.

Athletics at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+140) | White Sox +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Athletics 4, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ATHLETICS (-115) for a half unit because Oakland has a significant edge in the starting pitching duel and in hitting.

In this spot, I’d prefer to take the A’s First 5 Innings money line considering the White Sox have much better relief pitching; however, Tipico offers a three-way line so we could lose instead of chop if Oakland and Chicago are tied after the fifth inning.

A’s batters are first in both wRC+ and BB/K, second in wOBA and ninth in hard-hit rate this month.

Furthermore, Oakland is 22-14 as a road favorite, Bassitt is 8-0 through 14 road starts and Chicago is just 3-4 as a home underdog despite being an exceptional home team this season.

Another cause for the “lean” is we are seeing “reverse line movement” in the betting market as Oakland’s money line is seeing roughly 75% of the action but Chicago’s money line is getting pricier. It’s a red flag whenever the sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Athletics -1.5 (+140) because I “lean” to Oakland’s money line but I’m not confident enough to lay it with the A’s.

However, Oakland is 20-16 ATS as a road favorite while Chicago is 3-4 ATS as a home underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for a half unit because the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Under whereas the public is on the Over, according to Pregame.com.

Nearly 60% of the money is on the Under while roughly 70% of the action is on the Over, but the oddsmakers have responded to the money column as the total has been steamed down from the 9-run opener to the current number.

My assumption is this movement is based on Bassitt being a fringe AL Cy Young contender and Chicago’s bullpen is one of the best units in baseball. On the other hand, both lineups rake so I’m not crazy about the Under in this spot.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (61-47) travel up to the Bay Area to start a two-game interleague series with the Oakland Athletics (60-47) Tuesday at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

LHP Blake Snell is San Diego’s projected starter. He is 4-4 with a 5.44 ERA (84 1/3 IP, 51 ER), 1.61 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 over 19 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 10-4, with 4 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 4 BB and 1 K against the A’s at home Wednesday.
  • 2021 road stats: 1-3 with an 8.02 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 2.02 WHIP and 1.4 BB/K rate through 11 starts.

LHP Sean Manaea makes his 22nd start for the A’s. He is 8-6 with a 3.01 ERA (122 2/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 10-4, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB and 9 K against the Padres Wednesday.
  • 2021 home stats: 4-2 with a 3.34 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.25 WHIP and 5.4 K/BB rate across 11 starts.

Padres at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Athletics -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-150) | Athletics -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Athletics 4, Padres 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ATHLETICS (-180) for a half unit because Oakland’s lineup scores more runs per nine innings against left-handed pitching than San Diego’s and ranks higher in both wRC+ and wOBA against lefties. Also, Snell has been awful on the road this season and was roughed up by the A’s last week.

Snell has a 5.97 FIP, 6.7 K-BB% and .415 opponent wOBA on the road, compared to a 3.19 FIP, 20.5% K-BB% and .271 wOBA at home. Furthermore, Snell’s Fangraphs game scoreof 15 for his previous start against the A’s was his second-worst of the season.

On the other side, Manaea’s game score of 81 in his previous start against San Diego was his third-best of the season and his 1.25 xFIP was his best mark this year.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because I need better than Athletics -1.5 (+120) to bet against a San Diego team that has the fourth-best cover rate as a road underdog at 10-3 ATS and a share of the best cover rate in interleague play at 9-2 ATS.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+105) for a half unit.

Snell has bounced back nicely from terrible starts a couple of times earlier this year and both bullpens have been awesome since the All-Star break.

Oakland’s bullpen has the second-best FIP in the second half of the season and San Diego’s bullpen has the best xFIP and SIERA.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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