Nuggets Cavaliers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (41-18) face the Cleveland Cavaliers (38-23) on Thursday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Cavaliers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets defeated the Dallas Mavericks 118-109 as 6.5-point home favorites the Wednesday before the All-Star break. Denver owns the best record in the Western Conference and is 5 games ahead of the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Cavaliers lost 118-112 as 2-point road underdogs to the Philadelphia 76ers last Wednesday. Cleveland has still won 8 of its last 10 games and is the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference.

Denver won the 1st meeting with Cleveland on Jan. 6, covering as 5.5-point home favorites in a 121-108 victory where the 221.5 Over connected.

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Nuggets at Cavaliers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Cavaliers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +2.5 (-108) | Cavaliers -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Nuggets at Cavaliers key injuries

Nuggets

F Aaron Gordon (rib) out
G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable

Cavaliers

G Ricky Rubio (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Cavaliers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 116, Nuggets 111

Moneyline

With how well they perform at home, the CAVALIERS (-140) are the pick here, although betting the spread offers better value. Cleveland is 25-6 at home while Denver is 14-14 on the road.

Against the spread

CAVALIERS -2.5 (-112) is the ideal choice in this game. The Nuggets won’t have Gordon to help defend the Cavaliers’ talented frontcourt duo of F Evan Mobley and C Jarrett Allen.

The Cavaliers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and are 20-10-1 ATS at home.

Over/Under

BET OVER 223.5 (-108).

While the Cavaliers play at the slowest pace in the NBA, both of these teams are top 10 in offensive rating. Denver is also making 51.2% of its shots (best in the NBA) while Cleveland converts 48.9% of its shots (5th-best).

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Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-30) host the Denver Nuggets (42-28) Friday at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Denver has won back-to-back road games — 114-110 at the Philadelphia 76ers Monday and 127-109 at he Washington Wizards Wednesday. The Nuggets are 6-2 straight up (SU) and 4-4 against the spread (ATS) in the last two weeks.

Cleveland has lost 3 of its last 4 games, which includes a 118-114 loss at home to the Sixers, pushing as 4-point home underdogs. The Cavs are 3-4 SU, but 4-2-1 ATS in the last 14 days.

The Cavs clobbered the Nuggets 99-87 in Cleveland Oct. 25, outscoring Denver in 3 of 4 quarters and outperforming it in all “four factors”.

Nuggets at Cavaliers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Nuggets -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Cavaliers +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
Against the spread: Nuggets -2.5 (-120) | Cavaliers +2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Nuggets at Cavaliers key injuries

Nuggets

PG Jamal Murray (knee) out
PF Michael Porter Jr. (back) out

Cavaliers

C Jarrett Allen (finger) out
F Dean Wade (knee) out

[tipico]

Nuggets at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Cavaliers 110

Money line

BET the NUGGETS (-155) because these teams are much different compared to when they met earlier this season.

For instance, the Cavaliers were much healthier with an injured Allen and SG Collin Sexton both in the starting 5 and former backup PG Ricky Rubio was giving Cleveland good minutes before his season-ending injury.

On the other hand, the Nuggets are 12 games above .500 despite missing two key contributors because Nikola Jokic has increased his production and usage throughout the season.

Jokic has been even more dominant this season than last year when he won the MVP. He could really own the paint in this matchup since Cleveland is sans Allen and Mobley is still a rookie.

Furthermore, Denver’s win probability based on the money line is 60.8% and the Nuggets are 12-4 SU as road favorites while the Cavs are 3-9 SU as home underdogs.

The bottom line is the NUGGETS (-155) win this game more than 61% of the time.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the NUGGETS -2.5 (120) because they should win by margin, but I much prefer Denver’s money line (ML).

Also, the Nuggets are percolating and the Cavs are struggling. According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Denver has a plus-5.5 adjusted net rating (ranked 10th) the last two weeks while Cleveland has a minus-2.0 adjusted net rating (ranked 17th).

Denver’s ML is my favorite wager in this game but the NUGGETS -2.5 (-120) is the right side here.

Over/Under

PASS because I prefer the Over 224.5 (-115) since the first Nuggets-Cavaliers meeting went Under the total by 34.5 points.

But, a vast majority of the market is backing the Over, which has steamed the total up from a 221-point look-ahead line, according to Pregame.com.

Since we’d be getting the worst of the number and following the herd, I have no choice but to PASS.

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Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Denver Nuggets (15-13) stop by the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off at the Cleveland Cavaliers (10-19) Friday. Below, we analyze the Nuggets-Cavaliers NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

What started out as a promising season for Cleveland (8-7 in the first 15 games) turned into a dumpster-fire year with the Cavaliers shopping around league-leading rebounder big Andre Drummond. After winning Feb. 1, the Cavs have lost eight consecutive games and haven’t covered in 11 straight.

Denver have dropped back-to-back games following a three-game winning streak, which started with a 133-95 mopping of the Cavs Feb. 10 and wrapped up with an impressive 122-105 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers.

Nuggets at Cavaliers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Cavaliers +275 (bet $100 to win $275)
Against the spread/ATS: Nuggets -8.5 (-110) | Cavaliers +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Nuggets at Cavaliers: Key injuries

Nuggets

PF JaMychal Green (shoulder) probable
SF Will Barton (personal) out
SG Gary Harris (thigh) out
PF Paul Millsap (knee) out

Cavaliers

PG Matthew Dellavedova (concussion) questionable
C Andre Drummond (team decision) out
PF Kevin Love (calf) out
PF Larry Nance (finger) out
SF Taurean Prince (ankle)

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Nuggets at Cavaliers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 122, Cavaliers 111

Money line (ML)

PASS on the money line since a Nuggets straight-up win is too expensive. As bad as the Cavs are right now, Cleveland winning wouldn’t even be the biggest upset this week.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Slight lean on NUGGETS -8.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit partially as a play on Denver, but also against Cleveland.

The Cavs are injured and checked out. Drummond is shelved until he’s traded and their leading-scorer, guard Collin Sexton, has a minus-29 net rating in his career vs. the Nuggets. Cleveland is bad in most areas and needs Sexton to get buckets in order to keep these games against good teams tight.

The Nuggets are 9-1 overall with the highest spread differential and the highest net efficiency vs. bottom 10 offenses, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Furthermore, Cleveland is just 0-5 ATS this season when spotted 7.5-9.5 points. Even the banged-up Nuggets have enough bodies to roll the Cavs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Cleveland went Under the total by a half-point in its last game at the Golden State Warriors, but four straight Overs cashed prior. A major reason is the Cavs having the worst defensive rating and allowing the most points in the paint this month.

However, they do score roughly eight points more per game at home, and the Over is 5-1-1 in Cavaliers last seven games as a home ‘dog.

TAKE OVER 225.5 (-105) for a half-unit.

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Also see:

MVP Race: Rudy Gobert enters the Top 10 (Hoops Hype)
Nuggets at Cavaliers: Lineups, injury reports and broadcast info for Friday (Rookie Wire)

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