Tag: nfl odds

49ers trail only 1 team in updated Super Bowl odds

The 49ers are favorites to return to the Super Bowl, but they’re not favored to win it.

The 49ers have perhaps the best roster in the NFL. That still isn’t enough to get them to the top of the early Super Bowl odds from BetMGM.

San Francisco is the favorite to make the Super Bowl out of the NFC, but they trail the Kansas City Chiefs as the favorite to win the whole thing.

Here’s what the updated odds look like with last season’s Super Bowl participants far outpacing the field. Via BetMGM:

Chiefs: +600
49ers: +650
Ravens: +1000
Lions: +1200
Bills: +1400
Bengals: +1400
Eagles: +1400

While the 49ers may have an overall better roster than Kansas City, it’s hard to fault any book that puts the Chiefs over San Francisco since the 49ers have yet to beat them in the regular season or postseason since Kyle Shanahan took over as the 49ers head coach. Kansas City also won the Super Bowl last season and improved its roster at its weakest position — wide receiver.

Alas, the 49ers will enter 2024 with a better roster again, but they’ll be trying to overcome the dreaded Super Bowl hangover while simultaneously trying to figure out how to knock off Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

The key for San Francisco will be staying up near the top of these odds even as the season ebbs and flows. A substantial dip would signal some kind of catastrophe. As long as they’re winning and healthy, they’ll be among the favorites to hoist a Lombardi Trophy. They just need to get over the hump.

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Marvin Harrison still overwhelming favorite to be 1st receiver drafted

He is -700 to be the first receiver drafted this week.

The 2024 NFL draft begins in a few days and the betting lines and odds for some of the picks have not changed much.

The wide receiver class is talented and there are three players who could all be the best one.

However, only one is viewed by sportsbooks as the likely first receiver off the board.

According to BetMGM Sportsbook, that is Ohio State’s Marvin Harrison Jr., who has mostly been connected to the Arizona Cardinals.

Harrison is the heavy favorite to be the first receiver drafted at -700 odds. Those odds are such they aren’t really worth a wager, as you would win only $1.42 for every $10 wagered. He has 87.5% implied odds of being the first receiver taken.

The other receivers are LSU’s Malik Nabers at +350 and Washington’s Rome Odunze at +3000.

Even at +350, that is only 22.22% implied odds, more than 60% less likely to be the first receiver selected than Harrison.

Draft analysts have said many times that there are teams who like Nabers or Odunze more than Harrison, but the betting markets aren’t swayed.

The first team likely to take a receiver are the Arizona Cardinals, who own the fourth pick. Harrison figures to be the pick and the first non-quarterback to be drafted.

Is betting on Harrison worth it? Not really, but it also isn’t worth betting anyone else at this point because of Harrison’s odds.

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Listen to the latest from Cards Wire’s Jess Root on his podcast, Rise Up, See Red. Subscribe on Apple podcasts or Spotify.

 

PODCAST: Projected win totals, Jonathan Gannon at annual league meeting

Jess Root and Seth Cox talk win totals and what Jonathan Gannon at the annual league meeting in Orlando.

DraftKings Sportsbook released projected win totals for the entire NFL and the league held its annual league meeting, where Arizona Cardinals head coach Jonathan Gannon spoke with reporters.

Cohost Seth Cox and I discuss the Cardinals’ projected win total and why it is a good line, and then we go over what we think of other totals around the NFL, including which ones we think are good bets.

After that, we discuss a variety of things that Gannon spoke about — Greg Dortch, Zaven Collins and the health of a few players coming off injuries.

Enjoy the show!

Enjoy the show with the embedded player above or by subscribing to the show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favorite podcast platform, so you never miss a show. Make sure as well to give it a five-star rating!

Times and topics:

(1:00) The Cardinals’ projected win total

(18:06) Projected win totals, good and bad bets for other NFL teams

(42:43) Jonathan Gannon’s comments on injuries, Zaven Collins, Greg Dortch and more

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Cardinals’ projected win total only up slightly over 2023

The Arizona Cardinals have a projected win total of 6.5 for 2024, with only four teams with lower projections.

DraftKings Sportsbook released projected win totals for all 32 NFL teams on Monday. A year after the Arizona Cardinals, depending on the sportsbook, either had the lowest or were tied for the lowest projected win total, they have not improved much in terms of projection in 2024.

Last year, they opened at 5.5 projected wins and fell to 4.5 across the board.

In 2024, DraftKings has the Cardinals listed with 6.5 projected wins, with even -110 odds for the Over and the Under, essentially saying that the Cardinals are statistically as likely to have 6 or fewer wins than 7 or more.

Three other teams — the Las Vegas Raiders, New York Giants and Minnesota Vikings — have the same projected win total but with varying odds for the Over and Under.

Only four teams have a lower projected win total. The Tenessee Titans and Denver Broncos are at 5.5, while the Carolina Panthers and New England Patriots are at 4.5.

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Listen to the latest from Cards Wire’s Jess Root on his podcast, Rise Up, See Red. Subscribe on Apple podcasts or Spotify.

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Could the Falcons sign WR Calvin Ridley in free agency?

The Falcons are now the betting favorites to sign wide receiver Calvin Ridley in free agency….

Even after adding offensive weapons in the first round of three consecutive drafts, the Atlanta Falcons still need some help at wide receiver. Fortunately, there will be plenty of good options available in both the NFL draft and free agency this year.

In our latest mock draft, we have the team selecting Washington wide receiver Rome Odunze in the first round. However, some NFL oddsmakers have their money on a different receiver coming to Atlanta this offseason.

The Falcons are currently the betting favorites to sign Calvin Ridley in free agency, followed by the Chiefs, Jets, Bills and Steelers.

  1. Falcons: +200
  2. Chiefs: +500
  3. Jets: +700
  4. Bills: +800
  5. Steelers: +1000

Even though the former first-round pick had a solid year for the Jaguars — 76 catches for 1,016 receiving yards and eight touchdowns — Jacksonville is not expected to sign him to an extension. While this doesn’t mean they won’t re-sign him, it’s unlikely to happen before the new league year begins on March 13.

By allowing him to enter free agency, the Jaguars would risk losing Ridley, but they would have to give Atlanta a second-round pick if they extend him before March 13.

The Falcons are guaranteed to get a third-round pick from Jacksonville, and it would be that much sweeter if they also bring Ridley back to Atlanta. The team is already considered the favorite to trade for Bears quarterback Justin Fields.

Broncos are the betting favorites to draft quarterback Bo Nix

Oddsmakers have the Broncos (+260) listed as the betting favorites to draft quarterback Bo Nix in April.

The Denver Broncos hold the 12th overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft and many pundits believe the team will target a quarterback at that spot.

Oddsmakers project Denver as the most likely landing spot for Oregon quarterback Bo Nix, a top-five QB prospect in this year’s class. The Broncos (+260) have the best odds to draft Nik, according to FanDuel.

The next-closest teams are the Minnesota Vikings (+470), who hold pick No. 11, and the Las Vegas Raiders (+550), who hold pick No. 13. Oddsmakers clearly feel that Nix will be in the mix to go off the board between the 11th and 13th picks.

Denver is expected to move on from Russell Wilson this offseason, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see the team use a first-round pick on a QB. Nix has been a popular choice for the Broncos in mock drafts, and Pro Football Focus has dubbed him an “ideal option” for Sean Payton’s offense.

The 2024 NFL draft will be held from April 25-27 in Detroit.

Hat tip to BettingOdds.com. These FanDuel odds might not be available depending on your location. 

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Super Bowl 59 odds and the NFC West

The 49ers are the favorites while the rest of the NFC West are long shots.

The Kansas City Chiefs were crowned Super Bowl champions on Sunday with their 25-22 overtime win over the San Francisco 49ers. That meant on Monday betting odds for Super Bowl LIX would be available.

The Arizona Cardinals are long shots but, unlike a year ago, do not have the longest odds in the league.

What are the odds of the teams in the NFC West?

Let’s have a look, according to odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

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Ranking all 32 teams (including the Broncos) by their odds to win the next Super Bowl

The Broncos have +10,000 odds to win the next Super Bowl, third-worst in the NFL.

Well, oddsmakers certainly aren’t feeling confident about the Denver Broncos following the 2023 season.

After the Broncos went 8-9 in new coach Sean Payton’s first season, Denver has been given +10,000 odds to win Super Bowl LIX next season, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. That’s tied for the third-worst odds in the league, only above the Tennessee Titans (+15,000) and Carolina Panthers (+25,000).

This marks a big contrast from last February when the Broncos were given (+3,000) odds to win the 2023 Super Bowl, tied for ninth-best in the NFL. Following the Russell Wilson fallout last season, Denver is expected to make a quarterback change this spring.

With uncertainty at the quarterback position, the Broncos not being considered a Super Bowl contender is not surprising. But to be listed among the three worst teams in the league seems to be a bit harsh.

Elsewhere in the AFC West, the Kansas City Chiefs (+750) have the second-best odds in the league, above the Los Angeles Chargers (+2,500), Denver and Las Vegas Raiders (+10,000, tied with the Broncos).

Here’s a look at every NFL team’s odds to win the next Super Bowl.

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Super Bowl LVIII

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Super Bowl LVIII sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the Vegas odds for Super Bowl LVIII.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Super Bowl LVIII

OFF = No odds currently listed.

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Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Conference Championships

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Conference Championships sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the Vegas odds for the Conference Championships.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Conference Championships

OFF = No odds currently listed.

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