New York Knicks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 2

New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (21-18) will take on the Toronto Raptors (16-22) on Friday at Scotiabank Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Raptors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Knicks defeated the San Antonio Spurs 117-114 on Wednesday despite failing to cover as 10-point favorites at home. New York brings a 3-game winning streak ahead of its visit to Toronto.

The Raptors lost 104-101 in overtime to the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday as they failed to cover as 5.5-point favorites at home. Toronto has lost 4 of its last 5 games.

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Knicks at Raptors odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Knicks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Raptors -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +3.5 (-102) | Raptors -3.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Knicks at Raptors key injuries

Knicks

F RJ Barrett (finger) out

Raptors

F Otto Porter Jr. (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Raptors picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 113, Raptors 109

Moneyline

Even though they are the underdogs on the road, give me the KNICKS (+145) to secure the win. New York has been the much better team recently and G Jalen Brunson being back is a massive difference for the Knicks.

Against the spread

Considering I took New York to win outright, KNICKS +3.5 (-102) is how I’m betting on the spread in this game. The Raptors are struggling to find ways to win.

The Knicks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a win. Meanwhile, the Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Over/Under

OVER 219.5 (-108) is where I’m leaning in this game despite both of these teams being in the bottom 8 in pace. The recent trends show that there is some value in taking the Over in this contest.

The Knicks are 7-2 to the Over in their last 9 games overall. Also, the Raptors have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.

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New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (18-17) go up against the San Antonio Spurs (11-23) on Thursday at AT&T Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Spurs odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Knicks lost 126-121 at the Dallas Mavericks in overtime Tuesday but covered as 5.5-point underdogs. New York had a 9-point lead with 33 seconds remaining Tuesday but couldn’t close it out and has now lost 4 games in a row.

The Spurs were defeated 130-114 by the Oklahoma City Thunder Tuesday as they fell short of covering as 6.5-point road underdogs. San Antonio has lost 3 of its last 4 games.

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Knicks at Spurs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Knicks -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Spurs +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks -4.5 (-115) | Spurs +4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Knicks at Spurs key injuries

Knicks

F RJ Barrett (finger) out
G Jalen Brunson (hip) questionable

Spurs

F Keldon Johnson (back) questionable
G Devin Vassell (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 122, Spurs 114

Moneyline

Go ahead and AVOID the moneyline in this game due to a lack of value. While I wouldn’t recommend taking New York (-190) to win straight up, I’m fine with including it to win in a parlay at the current odds.

Against the spread

KNICKS -4.5 (-115) is an enticing bet in this game with both teams struggling recently. Even though Barrett is out and Brunson is questionable, New York should still be able to win by at least 5 points.

The Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.

Over/Under

Despite both teams being banged up, OVER 228.5 (-115) appears to be the correct way to bet the total. This will be a pace-up game for the Knicks as the Spurs play at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA.

Both of these teams have hit the Over in each of their last 5 games overall. The Over is also 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Knicks and the Spurs in San Antonio.

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Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (15-16) are set to take on the New York Knicks (17-13) on Tuesday at Madison Square Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Knicks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Warriors defeated the Toronto Raptors 126-110 on Sunday to cover as 6-point underdogs on the road and snap a 3-game losing streak.

The Knicks came away with a 109-106 victory over the Indiana Pacers on Sunday to cover as 1-point underdogs on the road. New York takes a 7-game winning streak into Tuesday’s game.

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Warriors at Knicks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:44 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Knicks -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +5.5 (-120) | Knicks -5.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Warriors at Knicks key injuries

Warriors

G Stephen Curry (shoulder) out
F Jonathan Kuminga (knee) probable
G Klay Thompson (knee) probable
F Andrew Wiggins (adductor) out

Knicks

F Obi Toppin (leg) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Knicks picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 116, Warriors 108

Moneyline

Just AVOID the moneyline in this game with the Knicks being favored against a shorthanded Warriors team. The odds for New York to win aren’t worth taking straight up, but it’s fine adding the Knicks to win to a parlay.

Against the spread

KNICKS -5.5 (+100) is an intriguing wager due to the Warriors not having a couple of their key contributors. Curry and Wiggins are out while Golden State will rely on Thompson and G Jordan Poole for the majority of the team’s offensive production.

The Knicks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and they are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Meanwhile, the Warriors are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games, all on the road.

Over/Under

Even though the Warriors have struggled on the road and they are shorthanded on Tuesday, OVER 220.5 (-115) is where I’m leaning in this game. The Knicks have been playing good basketball recently and we can get some garbage-time points from the Warriors to hit the Over.

The Warriors have hit the Over in each of their last 4 games.

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New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (14-13) will travel to face the Chicago Bulls (11-15) on Wednesday at the United Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Bulls odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

New York is on a 4-game winning streak after beating the Sacramento Kings 112-99 on Sunday and covering as 2.5-point favorites at home.

The Bulls lost 123-122 to the Atlanta Hawks in overtime on Sunday, but covered as 3.5-point underdogs on the road. Chicago has lost 4 of its last 6 games.

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Knicks at Bulls odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Knicks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Bulls -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +4.5 (-115) | Bulls -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Knicks at Bulls key injuries

Knicks

G Jalen Brunson (foot) questionable
F Obi Toppin (leg) out

Bulls

G Lonzo Ball (knee) out
G Alex Caruso (back) probable
G Ayo Dosunmu (pelvic) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Bulls picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 114, Bulls 109

Moneyline

Given how both of these teams have been playing recently, KNICKS (+145) is an intriguing wager at the current odds. New York has won 6 of its last 10 matchups against Chicago.

Against the spread

KNICKS +4.5 (-115) is where I’m going in this game considering that I’m taking New York to win straight up. The Knicks have been playing solid recently, though, if Brunson is out, then the spread will likely go in favor of the Bulls more.

The Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games and the Knicks have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games.

Over/Under

All signs point toward UNDER 224.5 (-105) being the ideal choice in this game. The Knicks and the Bulls have reached 225-plus points only twice in the last 10 meetings.

The Knicks have hit the Under in each of their last 6 games while the Bulls are 6-1-1 to the Under in their last 8 home games. Also, the Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between New York and Chicago.

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Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (13-11) take on the New York Knicks (11-13) Wednesday at Madison Square Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Knicks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks suffered a 121-114 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday as they failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites at home. Atlanta was on a 2-game win streak before the defeat but has lost 4 of its last 6 games.

The Knicks defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 92-81 on Sunday to cover as 2.5-point home underdogs. New York has also lost 4 of its last 6 games.

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Hawks at Knicks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Knicks -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +1.5 (-105) | Knicks -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Hawks at Knicks key injuries

Hawks

F John Collins (ankle) out
F De’Andre Hunter (hip) out

Knicks

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Knicks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 114, Knicks 108

Moneyline

I’ll take the HAWKS (+105) on the road despite their recent struggles. There has been some drama surrounding G Trae Young recently, so I expect him to have a productive outing.

Against the spread

Being that I took Atlanta to win on the road, HAWKS +1.5 (-105) is where I’m going in this game. The Knicks had lost 4 straight home games before beating the Cavaliers on Sunday.

While the Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record, the Knicks are 1-7-1 in their last 9 games following a win.

Over/Under

UNDER 233.5 (-115) appears to be the ideal wager in this game considering the recent trends. Atlanta is 23rd in true shooting percentage and New York is 27th.

The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the Hawks and the Knicks in New York, and it is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall.

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New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (9-11) go up against the Detroit Pistons (5-17) Tuesday at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Pistons odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Knicks suffered a 127-123 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies Sunday as they fell short of covering as 2-point underdogs. New York has lost 4 of its last 5 games, including back-to-back losses to Memphis Sunday and the Portland Trail Blazers Friday.

The Pistons lost 102-94 to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday as they pushed as 8-point underdogs at home. Detroit has lost 8 of its last 10 games and the Pistons have also lost 2 straight contests to the Cavaliers Sunday and the Phoenix Suns Friday.

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Knicks at Pistons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Knicks -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pistons -+170 (bet $100 to win $170)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks -4.5 (-120) | Pistons +4.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Knicks at Pistons key injuries

Knicks

G Immanuel Quickley (knee) questionable

Pistons

F Marvin Bagley III (illness) questionable
F Bojan Bogdanovic (knee/ankle) questionable
G Cade Cunningham (shin) out
G Jaden Ivey (knee) questionable
C Isaiah Stewart (toe) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 111, Pistons 103

Moneyline

Even though I expect the Knicks to win on the road, PASS on the moneyline in this contest. Taking New York (-200) straight up wouldn’t be worth the risk considering the lack of a profit you’d make if it secures a victory.

Against the spread

KNICKS -4.5 (-120) appears to be the ideal choice in this game given the current state of these squads. The entire starting lineup for the Pistons is either out or questionable to play Tuesday.

The Knicks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 matchups with the Pistons. On top of that, New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road meetings with Detroit.

Over/Under

With the Pistons likely being shorthanded, UNDER 225.5 (-115) is where I’m leaning in this game. While New York is 15th in offensive rating, Detroit is 25th.

The Knicks have gone Under in each of their last 5 games against a team with a losing home record. The Under is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the Knicks and the Pistons in Detroit.

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Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (4-3) take on the New York Knicks (3-3) Wednesday at Madison Square Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Knicks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks are on a 2-game losing skid with losses to the Milwaukee Bucks Saturday (123-115) and Toronto Raptors Monday (139-109). G Trae Young has terrorized the Knicks in his last 9 games against them, averaging 34.8 points per game in that span, including a 45-point performance in his last outing in New York.

The Knicks are also on a 2-game losing skid after falling to the Cleveland Cavaliers 121-108 Sunday, failing to cover as 3.5-point road underdogs. New York has won all 3 of its home games thus far, however, those games were against the Detroit Pistons, the Orlando Magic and the Charlotte Hornets.

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Hawks at Knicks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:07 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Knicks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +2 (-108) | Knicks -2 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Hawks at Knicks key injuries

Hawks

G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
F Onyeka Okongwu (shoulder) questionable

Knicks

G Quentin Grimes (foot) questionable
F Cam Reddish (non-COVID illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Knicks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 119, Knicks 114

Moneyline

Give me the HAWKS (+105) on the road looking to end a 2-game losing skid. Once again, New York is undefeated at home this season, but the teams it’s beaten have a combined record of 6-17.

Against the spread

Considering that I took Atlanta to win outright, HAWKS +2 (-108) is where I’m going in this game. The trio of Young, G Dejounte Murray, and F John Collins should have plenty of success against the Knicks.

Over/Under

OVER 232.5 (-108) is the ideal wager in this game despite the Under being 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in New York. The Hawks have hit the Over in each of their last 5 games overall.

Meanwhile, the Knicks have hit the Over in 5 of their first 6 games this season.

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Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (22-18) head to the Big Apple Wednesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game with the New York Knicks (20-21) at Madison Square Garden. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Bulls odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas has won six consecutive games (5-1 ATS) with the most recent being a 113-99 beatdown of the Chicago Bulls as 2-point home favorites Sunday.

Over the past two weeks, the Mavs have the second-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-16.2 points per 100 possessions and the second-best spread differential at a plus-10.4 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

New York has won three of its past four games, including the latest, which was a 111-96 waxing of the San Antonio Spurs Monday as 7.5-point home favorites.

In the last 14 days, the Knicks are 4-3 overall, 4-3 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the 17th-ranked non-garbage time net rating at minus-1.2 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 12 breakdown

Mavericks at Knicks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Knicks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-108) | Knicks +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mavericks at Knicks key injuries

Mavericks

PF Kristaps Porzingis (health and safety protocols) out

Knicks

C Taj Gibson (wrist) questionable
C Nerlens Noel (reconditioning) questionable
PG Kemba Walker (knee) questionable
PG Derrick Rose (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Knicks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 103, Mavericks 98

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Knicks (+110) because I like their spread and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread.

However, I cannot get there with the Knicks outright because I’d like New York’s money line to be priced north of +150. It might get there before tip-off since money is pouring in on Dallas.

But, at the moment, PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the KNICKS +2.5 (-112) for a half-unit because this feels like a trap spot for the Mavericks -2.5 (-108), who are seemingly cheap given how well they’ve played recently and how inconsistent New York has been at home.

Furthermore, Dallas has been terrible in clutch situations, which is defined by a game that has a 5-point margin entering the final five minutes. In those situations, the Mavs are 7-11 SU with the worst net rating (minus-31.6).

Granted, the Knicks aren’t much better (11-11 SU) with the 22nd-ranked net rating at a minus-10.5.

That said, in this game priced as a coin-flip, I “LEAN” to the KNICKS +2.5 (-112) since the Mavs are terrible late in games.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 204.5 (-108) since Dallas plays at the second-slowest pace in the NBA and New York plays at the slowest pace.

Also, both teams have a below-average offensive effective field goal percentage (eFG%) and an above-average defensive eFG%.

Plus both teams play more to the Under in non-conference games and in their location-based splits.

Lastly, there’s some reverse line movement headed south of the total. According to Pregame.com, nearly 85% of the action is on the Over, but the Mavericks-Knicks total has been lowered from the 206.5-point opener.

It should be a red flag whenever we see sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper. And for what it’s worth, the UNDER 204.5 (-108) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Boston Celtics at New York Knicks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Celtics at New York Knicks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Celtics (18-20) play the first game of a back-to-back set with the New York Knicks (18-20) Thursday at Madison Square Garden with a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Celtics vs. Knicks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Boston had its two-game win streak snapped Wednesday when the Celtics lost to the San Antonio Spurs 99-97 as 7.5-point favorites.

The Celtics are 2-4 straight-up (SU), 2-4 ATS and 3-3 O/U over the past two weeks with the 19th-ranked non-garbage time net rating at minus-0.1 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

New York broke a two-game losing skid Tuesday by defeating the Indiana Pacers 104-94 as a 3.5-point home favorite.

The Knicks are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS and 2-5 O/U in the last 14 days with the 16th-ranked non-garbage time net rating at plus-0.7 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

The Celtics-Knicks are 1-1 in two meetings this season with the home team winning and covering both games and the Over cashing in each contest.

Celtics at Knicks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Celtics -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Knicks +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Against the spread (ATS): Celtics -1.5 (-115) | Knicks +1.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 207.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Celtics at Knicks key injuries

Celtics

None.

Knicks

C Nerlens Noel (reconditioning) questionable
PG Kemba Walker (knee) out
PG Derrick Rose (ankle) out

Celtics at Knicks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 108, Celtics 101

Money line

BET the KNICKS (+102) because I think homecourt makes the difference between these otherwise similar teams.

New York’s defensive efficiency has regressed year-over-year but the Knicks still do a good job of defending what the Celtics do frequently, which is mid-range shooting.

Boston’s All-Star wings Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown like to operate in the mid-range and in isolation, but New York has the third-best defensive field goal percentage versus mid-range jumpers, per CTG.

The Knicks are also much deeper or at least get a lot more production from their bench, and typically role players perform better at home.

New York’s bench scores fifth-most points per game (38.1 PPG) and has the second-best plus/minus whereas Boston’s bench scores third-fewest PPG.

Finally, there’s a line freeze in the betting market as roughly 70% of the money is on the Celtics but the line hasn’t budged off the opener according to Pregame.com. It seems like oddsmakers are comfortable with taking more pro-Boston bets.

BET the KNICKS (+102).

Against the spread

PASS unless New York’s spread goes north of +2.5 then I’d sprinkle the Knicks outright and bet New York plus the points heavier.

However, at the current number, the Knicks +1.5 (-107) just doesn’t provide enough insurance for our money line wager.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 207.5 (-107) as a fade of the extreme line movement with this total. The Celtics-Knicks look-ahead total was set at 212 and has already been steamed way down.

The sharp money is apparently hitting the Under 207.5 (-115) but I don’t like either side of the total enough to wager on it.

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Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (14-23) travel to the Big Apple Tuesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the New York Knicks (17-20) at Madison Square Garden. Below, we look at the Pacers vs. Knicks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Indiana has lost four straight with the most recent being a 108-104 loss at the Cleveland Cavaliers Sunday, pushing as a 4-point road underdog.

The Pacers are 1-5 straight-up (SU), 2-3-1 ATS and 3-3 O/U over the past two weeks with the 24th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-5.5 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

New York has lost back-to-back road games at the Oklahoma City Thunder 95-80 on New Year’s Eve and at the Toronto Raptors 120-105 Sunday.

The Knicks are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS and 2-5 O/U in the last 14 days with the 12th-best adjusted net rating at plus-1.8 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

These teams split the first two meetings of the season with the home team winning and covering both.

Pacers at Knicks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Pacers -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Knicks -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +1.5 (-112) | Knicks -1.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Pacers at Knicks key injuries

Pacers

SG Jeremy Lamb (health and safety protocols) out
PG Caris LeVert (health and safety protocols) out
PG Malcolm Brogdon (health and safety protocols) out
SG Chris Duarte (health and safety protocols) out
SF Kelan Martin (health and safety protocols) out
C Goga Bitadze (health and safety protocols) out

Knicks

C Mitchell Robinson (reconditioning) questionable
PG Derrick Rose (ankle) out
PF Julius Randle (health and safety protocols) out
C Nerlens Noel (health and safety protocols) out
PG Kemba Walker (knee) out

Pacers at Knicks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 105, Pacers 101

Money line

BET the KNICKS (-117) because Indiana’s absences loom larger than New York’s. The Pacers are missing three of their top-four players in terms of adjusted on/off net rating in LeVert, Lamb and Brogdon (CTG).

While the absence of Randle definitely lowers New York’s ceiling in the long term, Randle hasn’t made a big difference thus far.

Randle ranks in the first percentile of adjusted on/off net rating for forwards at minus-19.5 points per 100 possessions (CTG) and his replacement in the starting 5 — PF Obi Toppin — grades in the 97th percentile in adjusted on/off net rating at plus-16.9 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

Furthermore, Kemba’s and DRose’s injuries have led to the emergence of rookie Knicks PG Miles McBride and the increased usage of Knicks SG Alec Burks.

McBride has only clocked 111 minutes of action but he grades in the 99th percentile of point guards in on/off net rating at plus-26.5 points per 100 possessions and Burks grades in the 79th percentile of wings in adjusted on/off net rating at plus-6.0 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

Indiana has also been awful on the road this season. The Pacers are 3-14 SU and 7-10 ATS on the road with the 21st-ranked adjusted net rating and 26th-ranked spread differential (CTG).

BET the KNICKS (-117).

Against the spread

PASS since New York’s money line is only 9 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Knicks -1.5 (-108). There’s no point in fussing with the spread when the money line is this cheap comparatively.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 206.5 (-112) for a half-unit because most of the trends suggest this will be a low-scoring game and both teams play at a bottom seven pace.

Indiana has gone Under the total in eight of its past nine as a road underdog and New York has gone Under the total in its last four games as a favorite and four of the past five games overall. Both teams are also missing key ball handlers that help each side get into their offensive sets.

My hesitation with the UNDER 206.5 (-112) is that it feels too easy.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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