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The Nevada Wolf Pack (3-9, 0-6 Mountain West) and No. 21 UNLV Rebels (9-2, 5-1) meet Saturday. Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Nevada vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Nevada has dropped 5 games in a row. It was eliminated from bowl eligibility when it lost at Boise State Nov. 9, despite a 28-21 fight to easily cover as a 22.5-point underdog. The defense has been better lately after a rough start to conference play, and the Under is 2-0 in the past 2 outings.
For UNLV, it has won 3 in a row since a 29-24 loss to Boise State in Vegas Oct. 25. Last week’s cover at San Jose State halted a 3-game non-cover skid, but it is still just 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in the past 7 outings. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 5 games for the Rebels.
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Nevada at UNLV odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nevada +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | UNLV -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Nevada +17.5 (-110) | UNLV -17.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nevada at UNLV picks and predictions
Prediction
UNLV 30, Nevada 21
Moneyline
UNLV (-900) will cost you 9 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward in this rivalry game in the Silver State.
The Rebels have won the past 2 meetings, including 45-27 last season in Reno, and 27-22 in the most recent meeting in Las Vegas Nov. 26, 2022.
The records might not be particularly close, but this game could be very close for most of the day, so be careful.
PASS.
Against the spread
Back NEVADA +17.5 (-110), as it is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 meetings in this series, including a 37-19 outright win at UNLV -17.5 (-110) in 2020. The Wolf Pack have a slight 6-4 ATS advantage in the past 10 games in this series since Nov. 29, 2014, including a 4-1 ATS advantage in the past 5 trips down south to Vegas.
UNLV covered as a road favorite at San Jose State Nov. 22, but it is just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 games and 2-5 ATS across the past 7 outings.
Over/Under
UNDER 55.5 (-110) is the lean, but be careful not to get too carried away.
The total went low for the Rebels last week in the Bay Area, while the Under holds a slight 3-2 edge in the previous 5 outings.
For Nevada, the Under has cashed in 2 in a row for the first time since Sept. 7-14, while holding a slight 3-2 edge in the past 5 contests.
The Over and Under have alternated in the past 5 in the series, with the Under cashing both times in Vegas. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 meetings at UNLV.
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