Minnesota Twins betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 24

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (45-37) meet the AL Central rival Chicago White Sox (38-39) Monday at Guaranteed Rate Field for the start of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET . Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota is 6-4 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, but lost its last outing to the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 Sunday.

Chicago is 5-5 SU in the last 10, but completed a 3-game weekend road sweep of the San Francisco Giants with a 13-4 blowout victory Sunday.

The Twins lead the season series 3-0 and have a plus-10 run differential in those meetings.

Twins at White Sox projected starters

RHP Dylan Bundy vs. RHP Johnny Cueto

Bundy is 4-4 with a 4.71 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 65 IP over 13 starts.

Last start: No-decision in Minnesota’s 7-6 loss at the Cleveland Guardians Wednesday with 5 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 1 BB and 1 K.
2022 vs. the White Sox: One start, a 9-2 win April 23 with 5 scoreless IP, 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K.

Cueto is 2-4 with a 3.33 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 54 IP over 8 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Last start: Won 11-4 Tuesday at the Los Angeles Angels with 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 3 HR, 1 BB and 5 K.
2022 home splits: 0-3 with a 5.48 ERA (23 IP, 14 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 4 HR and 7.0 K/9 in 3 starts and 1 bullpen outing.

Twins at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:21 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | White Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | White Sox -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Twins at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 7, Twins 4

Money line

BET the WHITE SOX (-130) because they’ve been steamed up from -120 opening favorites and Bundy struggles both on the road and pitching on 5 days rest.

Bundy is 2-3 on the road with a 6.41 ERA (2.10 home ERA), 0.94 WHIP (1.53 home WHIP) and 7 HRs allowed (3 HRs allowed at home). Also, Bundy is 0-3 with a 5.25 ERA (12 IP, 7 ER), 11 H, 4 BB and 9 K when pitching on 5 days rest.

Furthermore, the Twins are 2-6 SU on the road with Bundy on the bump with a minus-49.9% return on investment (ROI). The White Sox are 6-3 SU when returning home after a 5-game or longer road swing with a plus-18.6% ROI.

BET 1 unit on the WHITE SOX (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+155), if at all, because this is a chunky payout, Chicago is 6-3 RL in home games following a 5-game or longer road stand with a plus-33.2% ROI and the Twins +1.5 (-190) are 3-5 RL in Bundy road starts with a minus-26.2% ROI.

However, the White Sox’s ML is my favorite look in this game because Chicago is just 7-18 RL as home underdogs.

Over/Under

PASS.

There’s more money in the betting market on the Under 9.5 (-115) but more bets are placed on the Over 9.5 (-107), according to Pregame.com, which leads me to believe the Under is the sharper play.

Also, Chicago’s lineup has struggled against right-handed pitching and Minnesota is 0-4 O/U in the last 4 games vs. righty starters.

But I just cannot get down on the Under because both starters are bottom-of-the-rotation guys and Twins-White Sox is 5-1-1 O/U in their last 7 meetings in Chicago.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (35-44) and Minnesota Twins (45-36) finish their 3-game series Sunday at Target Field with 1st pitch at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 4-2.

Minnesota became the first AL team to have back-to-back walk-off losses followed by back-to-back walk-off wins. Saturday’s 4-3 win came on a Jose Miranda single. Friday’s 3-2 win also featured a 2-run 9th-inning rally.

The Orioles have not been swept in a series since May and they will need a strong outing to prevent it Sunday. Baltimore’s pitchers have been surprisingly good in the first 2 games of this series. RHP Spenser Watkins gave up 1 run in 6 IP Friday and RHP Jordan Lyles gave up 1 run in 6.1 IP Saturday.

The Twins, who are 25-17 at home, have struggled to generate offense and will face a tough matchup in the finale.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. LHP Devin Smeltzer

Wells (6-4, 3.23 ERA) will make his 16th start this season. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 69 2/3 IP.

Last start against the Twins: No-decision with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 2-1 loss May 2.
Has a 5-1 record with 2.19 ERA in his last 7 starts.

Smeltzer (4-1, 2.86 ERA) to make his 10th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision in 3-2 loss at Cleveland June 28 with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K.
His 2.86 is lowest ERA in his 4-year career

Orioles at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:28 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Home -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: -105)

Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Twins 4

Money line

LEAN ORIOLES (+145)

The Orioles have played their best baseball against the AL Central going 5-2 in their last 7. They also play much better against left-handed starters, where they bat .291 when they put the ball in play.

Earlier this season they prevented the Twins from winning 3 in a row by scoring 9 runs of 12 hits. And now they are bringing in their best pitcher in Wells.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ORIOLES +1.5 (-140)

If we are betting Baltimore to win then the +1.5 insurance is a no-brainer. The Orioles have covered in every game this series, and should have won both outright. They now cover 63.3% of the time this season.

Over/Under

Both pitchers have low strikeout percentages — Wells at 15.5% and Smeltzer at 15.8%. Both are career lows so expect the OVER (-130), especially since the Twins and Orioles are in the top half of extra-base percentage. Also the Over has hit in each of the last 5 home games for the Twins when the total is set between 7.0-8.5.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (35-43) and Minnesota Twins (44-36) continue their 3-game series Saturday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 3-2

Minnesota took Friday’s opener 3-2 thanks to CF Byron Buxton’s walk-off, 2-run homer in the bottom of the 9th. The two clubs split a 4-game series in Baltimore May 2-5.

Until Baltimore lost 2 of 3 at Seattle Monday through Wednesday, the O’s hadn’t lost a series since June 5, going 3-0-3 in 6 series. The run included a 1-game series win vs. the Chicago Cubs (the 2nd game was postponed by rain).

The Orioles have had trouble on the road where they own a meager .395 win percentage at 17-26. RHP Spenser Watkins, Friday’s starter, gave up 1 run in 6 IP but came away without a decision.

With Friday’s dramatic victory, Minnesota turned the tables after losing back-to-back games at Cleveland on walk-off homers Wednesday and Thursday. The Twins, who are 24-17 at home, have been riding their starting pitchers, who have allowed more than 3 runs just once in the past 10 games.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Lyles (4-7, 4.94 ERA) makes his 16th start this season. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 85 2/3 IP.

Last outing: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-3 setback at the Chicago White Sox June 26
Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 4.76 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts, including a no-decision last season (5 IP, 3 ER)
Tied with Toronto’s Jose Berrios, formerly of the Twins, for the most hits (97) allowed in the American League

Gray (4-1, 2.17 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 49 2/3 IP.

Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 11-1 rout at Cleveland June 27
Career vs. Orioles: 6-5, 4.53 ERA (57 2/3 ER, 29 ER) in 11 starts – last faced O’s in 2018 when he went 4-1 in 5 outings
2.17 is lowest ERA in his 10-year career
Walked just 1 batter in last 3 starts after brief stint on injured list

Orioles at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:54 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Orioles +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Twins -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-112) | Twins -1.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Orioles 3

Money line

LEAN TWINS (-230) – but don’t bet more than 1.5 units. At this -230 price, BET 1.495 UNITS to PROFIT 0.65 UNITS.

It’s definitely more expensive than I like, but Gray is Minnesota’s best pitcher in the rotation. Plus, the Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

The Twins also have IF/DH Luis Arraez, who leads the AL in batting average (.343) and on-base percentage (.421). On top of that, the left-hand hitting Arraez is batting .373 with a .453 OBP against right-handed starters.

Run line/Against the spread

Although Minnesota is the better team on paper, Baltimore covers a league-best 62.8% against the run line, going 49-29.

AVOID these lines unless you like the Orioles +1.5 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+105)

The O/U line is a bit high. The Orioles hit the Under in 9 of their last 11 games, including cashing Under tickets the last 3 times the line was 8.5.

As for the Twins, the Under is 3-7 in their last 10 games. Plus, Gray has been dominant lately.

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (35-42) and Minnesota Twins (43-36) lift the curtain on a 3-game set at Target Field in Minneapolis. Friday’s opener is slated for an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

The Orioles are 1-3 in their last 4 games. They are continuing a 10-game road trip that included series against the Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners. Baltimore is 8 games under-.500 (17-25) on the road overall, but the O’s have found a solid stride of late. With solid pitching at the forefront (2.27 ERA since June 16), they are 8-5 over their last 13 road games.

The Twins are coming off a disappointing 5-game set at Cleveland. Minnesota won 2 of the first 3 games, but then coughed up late leads in Games 4 and 5, which were both eventual walk-off wins for the Guardians.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Spenser Watkins vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Watkins (1-1, 5.14 ERA) has made 9 starts. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 35 IP.

Second-year pitcher has a 6.93 ERA in 89 2/3 career IP.
Missed a few weeks in late May and early June due to a forearm injury. Returned June 25 and allowed just 1 unearned run in 5 IP vs. the White Sox.

Ryan (6-3, 3.20 ERA) has logged a 1.12 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 59 IP in 11 starts.

Has run into a few home runs of late and owns a 5.74 ERA in his last 15 2/3 IP.
Is a fly-ball pitcher who has benefited from a low 7.8% rate of hits in the air leaving the ballpark.

Orioles at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:37 a.m. ET.

Money line: Orioles +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Twins -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Orioles +1.5 (-117) | Twins -1.5 (-103)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Orioles 4

Money line

Figure the true odds as being sunk in the wide gap between these prices. AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The Twins have been the victims of some tough losses of late. Look for a bounce-back here.

Minnesota’s .434 OPS against righties ranks 2nd in the league. The home side likely has the better bullpen, although surface stats favor Baltimore.

TAKE MINNESOTA -1.5 (-103).

Over/Under

Fading both starting pitchers and the Baltimore bullpen and noting the bump the Minnesota offense gets a) at home and b) against right-handed pitching, the OVER 9.5 (+100) is the way to go.

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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (43-35) and Cleveland Guardians (38-34) wrap up their 5-game series on Thursday afternoon. First pitch at Progressive Field is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 5-5.

Minnesota is 4-2 across its last 6 games. The Twins let a 10th-inning 6-3 lead slip away in an eventual 7-6 loss Wednesday.

Cleveland continues a homestand that opened with 3 straight losses to the Boston Red Sox. The Guardians are 2-6 in their last 8 games.

Twins at Guardians projected starters

RHP Chris Archer vs. RHP Shane Bieber

Archer (2-3, 3.14 ERA) owns a 1.22 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 57 1/3 IP in 14 starts.

Tossed 5 scoreless frames in his last outing and owns a 1.57 ERA, 0.91 WHIP over his last 5 starts.
Owns a 2.76 ERA on the road.
Averaging 70 pitches per start.

Bieber (3-4, 3.07 ERA) is tabbed for his 15th start. He has a 1.2 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 85 IP.

Has a 2.51 ERA in his last 5 starts against Minnesota.
Has gone 8 straight starts without allowing more than 3 runs. Has notched a 2.41 ERA and 10.1 K/9 in those 8 games.

Twins at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 a.m. ET.

Money line: Twins +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Guardians -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Twins +1.5 (-155) | Guardians -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Twins at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Twins 4

Money line

There are several crisscrossing value indicators for and against both sides in this series. PASS. The better value here is on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

Archer’s line has been aided by a .233 batting average on balls in play. Look for the Guardians to close out this marathon set with a win by multiple runs.

BACK CLEVELAND -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-115). Peg both bullpens as fatigued, and add in some fade-Archer lean and a warmed-up, wind-blowing-out forecast for this afternoon game.

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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (43-34) and Cleveland Guardians (37-34) continue their 5-game series on Wednesday at Progressive Field with the 1st pitch set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Minnesota leads 5-4.

The Twins and Guardians split a Tuesday doubleheader after Minnesota won Monday’s opener 11-1. Minnesota is 4-1 with a 1.43 ERA in its last 5 games.

Cleveland continues a homestand that opened with 3 straight losses to the Boston Red Sox. The Guardians are 1-6 with a lowly .553 OPS in their last 7 games.

Twins at Guardians projected starters

RHP Dylan Bundy vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Bundy (4-4, 4.80 ERA) owns a 1.28 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 60 IP in 12 starts.

Has allowed just 2 runs on 8 hits in his last 14 IP.
Excels against lefty bats (.224 batting average allowed 2020-22) and is facing a Cleveland lineup whose left-handers pound right-handed pitchers (league-best .883 OPS).

Quantrill (4-4, 3.76 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 76 2/3 IP.

Owns a 2.87 ERA, 1.05 WHIP in his last 5 starts at home.
Has benefited from a .275 batting average on balls in play and a home-runs-on-fly-balls rate of 8.5%.

Twins at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Twins -105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Guardians +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Twins at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Guardians 4

Money line

There are several crisscrossing value indicators for and against both sides in this series. The edge for Wednesday’s matchup is on the TWINS (-105) due to some fade-Quantrill indicators and the tightened bullpens after Tuesday’s double-dip. The latter brings in some lean on Cleveland’s bullpen being somewhat overvalued in general.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. The Minnesota money-line play makes for the best side in this one.

Over/Under

With fade leanings against Cleveland and a warmed-up day in Northeast Ohio, the OVER 8.5 (-115) offers some leverage. The double-barreled bullpen fatigue plays into this play as well.

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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (41-33) and Cleveland Guardians (36-32) swing into a 5-game series on Monday night. The opener at Progressive Field is slated for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 3-3. Cleveland took 2 of 3 at Minnesota last week.

The Twins just completed a 3-3 home stand which included a 1-2 mark against the Guardians. Minnesota is 3-1, allowing just 4 total runs, in its last 4 games.

Cleveland continues a home stand that opened with 3 straight losses to the Boston Red Sox. After logging 5.08 runs per game and an 11-2 record from June 8-22, the Guardians have scored just 8 total runs in losing their last 4 games.

Twins at Guardians projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Gray (3-1, 2.53 ERA) is tabbed for his 10th start of the season. The veteran righty owns a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 42 2/3 IP.

Facing Cleveland for a 2nd straight start and 3rd time in his last 6 outings. He has allowed 5 ER in 8 1/3 IP against the Guardians this season.
Has been a tremendous road pitcher over his career (.631 OPS allowed, 3.21 ERA).

McKenzie (4-5, 3.51 ERA) has clocked a 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 74 1/3 IP in 13 games (12 starts)..

Allowed 3 HR among 9 hits and 6 runs in 4 1/3 IP in his last start Wednesday against these Twins.
Owns a 2.76 ERA at home, but has only thrown 16 1/3 IP at home and is making just his 2nd start on the banks of the Cuyahoga River since May 7.

Twins at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Guardians +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Run line (RL): Twins -1.5 (+130) | Guardians +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Twins at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Guardians 3

Money line

Overall, both teams are in the fade category in terms of their actual versus expected winning percentages, and they have similar offense and pitching shortcomings and points of over-value. PASS, on the money line, and tread lightly for the series.

Run line/Against the spread

TWINS -1.5 (+130) is the way to go in this one. Again, the lean is small.

Minnesota has been quite good on the road. Gray excels away from home. And McKenzie has clocked a lofty 5.74 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Twins.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 across Cleveland’s last 7 games. And its 5-3 in the last 8 Cleveland-Minnesota contests.

The pitching on both sides is fade-worthy here. So are both offenses, but to a slightly lesser degree. The Over 7.5 is WORTH A PLAY at -125 or better. Hold out for a workable price.

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Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (31-40) gear up against the Minnesota Twins (39-33) Saturday in the 2nd of a 3-game set at Target Field. First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Colorado leads 1-0 after winning by that tally Friday night.

Someone pulled the plug Friday night because 2 pitchers with ERAs near or above 5 combined to throw 13 2/3 innings and allow 1 run. Rockies OF Charlie Blackmon plated the only run of the game in the 6th inning as the Rockies earned a rare shutout on the road.

Minnesota had just 3 hits and were 0-for-3 with runners in scoring position. The Twins have lost 4 of 5 but still have a share of 1st place in the AL Central. They have scored just 1 run in the last 2 games combined.

Something has to start clicking Saturday. OF Byron Buxton (knee) is battling patella tendinitis in his right knee, but he struck out as a pinch-hitter Friday. He has been nursing the injury since spring training, and they plan to give him routine days off to manage it. His AB Friday was a good sign he may play Saturday.

Rockies at Twins projected starters

RHP Antonio Senzatela vs. RHP Chris Archer

Senzatela (3-3, 4.42 ERA) makes his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 53 innings.

Has been really good with a 2.50 ERA and 6.5 K/9 the last 3 starts
Actually worse on the road: 0-2, 6.75 ERA, 1.78 WHIP vs. 3-1, 3.52 ERA, 1.75 WHIP at home

Archer (1-3, 3.44 ERA) makes his 14th start of the season. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 52 1/3 innings.

Not going deep into games, but he hasn’t given up more than 3 ER in last 7 GS
Averaged 64 pitches per start over last 4 GS
Current Rockies hitting .257 in 37 plate appearances lifetime

Rockies at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-130) | Twins -1.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Rockies at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Rockies 3

Money line

The books can certainly feel a Minnesota turnaround as they’re heavy favorites Saturday after checking in at -160 Friday.

There’s no chance of rain and a 16 mph gust of wind blowing out to right-center. The bats should come alive, but we’re not going to pay -180. I’d much rather take TWINS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-160).

Run line/Against the spread

The Twins are 31-41 on the run line this year and 15-23 at home.

There are 3 factors that make me lean toward them: Senzatela’s not good away from Coors; the Twins have scored 1 run the last 2 days and are due; and the wind blowing out will help them more.

It’s just a lean, but LEAN TWINS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

The wind blowing out really makes this dicey.

The Under is 3-0-1 in the Rockies’ last 4 against the AL Central. That same record applies to the Twins’ last 4 against NL teams below .500. The Under is 6-0-2 in the Twins’ last 8 interleague games at home.

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-112).

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Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (30-40) head to the Twin Cities to face the Minnesota Twins (39-32) Friday in the 1st of a 3-game set at Target Field. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: This is their first meeting of the season and first meeting since the 2017 season. The Twins lead the all-time series 8-7.

Colorado has been hot and cold. The Rockies were swept by the Cleveland Guardians, they swept the San Diego Padres and were just swept by the Miami Marlins. Colorado is 11-22 on the road. Its road splits are well-documented. The Rockies have a .239/.297/.338 slash line as opposed to a .279/.347/.452 slash line at home.

Minnesota is also struggling, just 4-6 in the last 10. OF Byron Buxton has already tied a career high with 19 homers in just 193 at-bats. His .228 BA and .312 OBP are horrendous though.

Rockies at Twins projected starters

RHP German Marquez vs. RHP Dylan Bundy

Marquez (3-5, 6.16 ERA) makes his 14th start on the season. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and a 8.1 K/9 in 73 IP.

Has a 6.70 ERA at home and is not much better on the road with a 5.34 ERA. Has 12 BB in 28 2/3 innings on the road.
Has allowed 3+ ER in 11 of last 13 starts.

Bundy (4-3, 5.17 ERA) makes his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 54 IP.

Won last start vs. Arizona Diamondbacks June 18 with 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K.
Completely different pitcher at home with a 2.29 ERA as opposed to 6.82 ERA on the road.
His K/9 is a career low and 1 strikeout lower than last season. His 4-seam fastball is 1.4 mph slower than last season at 89.3 mph.

Rockies at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:03 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rockies +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-150) | Twins -1.5 (+122)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Rockies at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Rockies 3

Money line

There is a 29% chance of rain on a 90-degree day. The wind is blowing to left at 12 mph, which could make some fly balls interesting. The Twins are 21-16 at home and should cruise in this series. The Twins’ line went up slightly overnight, but the TWINS (-160) is still within our price range.

Run line/Against the spread

The Twins need to make a statement after losing 4 of 6 and falling into a tie in the division. You don’t think of offense when you think of Minnesota, but they’re 9th in MLB in BA and 6th in OPS. 1B Luis Arraez, in the midst of a breakout season with a .349 BA, should continue to force the issue on the Rockies’ 28th-ranked defense. He’s hitting .378 the last 30 days. We’ll LEAN TWINS -1.5 (+122).

Over/Under

This is a pretty high number to try to forecast on 2 teams that haven’t played each other in 5 years. If anything I’d shade a little to the Under, but there are trends going in both directions. PASS.

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Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (35-28) continue their 3-game series with the Minnesota Twins (38-31) Wednesday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cleveland won the series opener 6-5 Tuesday thanks to an RBI single in the top of the 11th inning by Guardians 2B Andres Gimenez. The season series is tied 2-2, but Minnesota has a plus-4 run differential in those meetings.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Triston McKenzie vs. RHP Sonny Gray

McKenzie is 4-5 with a 2.96 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 70 IP over 11 starts and 1 bullpen outing.

Last start: Won 4-2 Thursday at the Colorado Rockies with 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 6 K.
2022 vs. the Twins: One start, a 3-1 loss in Minnesota May 15 with 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 4 K.

Gray is 3-1 with a 2.09 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 38 2/3 IP over 8 starts.

Last start: No-decision in Minnesota’s 5-0 win at the Seattle Mariners Wednesday with 5 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
2022 vs. the Guardians: One start, a no-decision in Minnesota’s 12-8 home win May 13 with 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 8 K.

Guardians at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Guardians +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-155) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Guardians 3

Money line

RISK 1 unit the TWINS (-165) instead of betting 1 unit because of the price.

The Twins are the play because they are more profitable in these spots, their lineup hits right-handed pitching better than the Guardians, Gray has more impressive advanced pitching numbers vs. Wednesday’s opponent than McKenzie and the line is headed in Minnesota’s direction.

The Twins are 12-4 overall as home favorites vs. right-handed starters with a plus-19.8% return on investment (ROI) and are outscoring opponents by 2 runs per game. The Guardians are 4-9 as road underdogs vs. righty starters with a minus-23.1% ROI and are being outscored by 1.5 runs per game.

Also, Minnesota’s lineup outperforms Cleveland’s vs. right-handed pitching in wRC+ (114-106), wOBA (.325-.315), ISO (.166-.151) and hard-hit rate (34.5-26.3%), according to FanGraphs.

Furthermore, Gray has a .237/.307/.411 expected batting (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line with a 29.0 K%, 88.6 mph exit velocity (EV) and 7.2° launch angle (LA) in 69 plate appearances (PA) vs. active Guardians hitters, per Statcast.

McKenzie has a .265/.372/.548 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line with a 27.0 K%, 90.3 mph EV and 16.3° LA in 63 PA vs. current Twins hitters.

Finally, the public is mostly split on who’ll win this game but the sharper bettors are staking Minnesota, which has been steamed from a -145 ML opener up to the current number, according to Pregame.com.

If your standard unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the TWINS (-165) to earn a $60.61 profit instead of betting $165 to win $100.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN to the TWINS -1.5 (+125) based on the previous analysis and Minnesota is more profitable on the RL in these situations than the Guardians +1.5 (-155). However, it’s only a “lean” to Minnesota’s RL because we are paying a pretty penny on the ML.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110) only because Minnesota’s ML is my preferred play. But, Guardians-Twins are 3-7 O/U in their last 10 meetings and have a combined 7-12 O/U record when these starters get the nod.

Also, there’s more money on the UNDER 8.5 (-110) whereas more bets have been placed on the Over 8.5 (-110), per Pregame.com. Typically, you want to follow the money when it’s counter to the public since professional bettors put up a lot more dough than your average Joe.

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