Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (0-7) open a 3-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals (3-4) Thursday. First pitch at Busch Stadium is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Cardinals and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cardinals won 4-3 last season

The Marlins lost in embarrassing fashion Wednesday, a 10-2 defeat to the Los Angeles Angels in Miami. Entering Thursday, only Miami and the New York Mets — who have played 3 fewer games — remain winless. The Over is 6-1 in Marlins games this season.

The Cardinals battled back in their quest to sweep the San Diego Padres Wednesday but lost 3-2, falling as (+142) road underdogs. LHP Zack Thompson walked 4, allowed 3 stolen bases and served up a HR in the loss.

Marlins at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Weathers (0-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 7 H and 2 BB with 5 K in 4 IP in his debut vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday.

  • The 24-year-old was having a strong spring (2 ER in 13 2/3 IP) until his last spring training start against St. Louis March 15; he allowed 4 ER on 7 H in 4 1/3 IP
  • 2023 road splits: 1-5, 5.82 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 28 ER — 8 HR), 25 BB, 33 K in 8 starts.

Lynn (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 4 scoreless innnings in his debut at the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday.

  • The 36-year-old is back with St. Louis; he won a World Series with it in his 2011 rookie season
  • Is 4-3 in 10 career games vs. Miami with a 5.48 ERA through 46 IP; his highest ERA vs. any opponent

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Marlins at Cardinals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Cardinals -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Marlins +1.5 (-156) | Cardinals -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Marlins at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Marlins 2

Moneyline

INCLUDE IN A ML PARLAY.

This is a lot of juice to lay on its own, but I certainly understand fading a Marlins team that isn’t playing well behind its pitching, according to manager Skip Schumaker. If you like the MINNESOTA TWINS (-152) at home with Pablo Lopez on the mound vs. the Cleveland Guardians, pairing CARDINALS (-154) with Twins ML pays out +173.

Run line

BET CARDINALS -1.5 (+130).

Lynn was solid out the gate vs. a tough L.A. lineup, stranding 3 in the 1st inning with 3 straight strikeouts. His 1st start wrapped up early after a 40-minute weather delay, and he finished with scoreless innings and 5 K’s.

With no weather issues to contend with Thursday, expect Lynn to shut down Marlins bats before turning it over to a solid (so far) Cardinals bullpen.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-104).

The Marlins bullpen has coughed up a league-high 6 HRs thus far, but they could catch some breaks at Busch Stadium, as it ranks as a top-10 HR-depressing ballpark. Plus, Miami’s offense has only hit 4 HRs thus far, tied for the fewest in the National League.

The 2024 Marlins lineup lacks punch without Jorge Soler in the heart of the order, and CF Jazz Chisholm Jr. (.130 AVG), 2B Luis Arraez (.185 AVG), OF Avisail Garcia (.167 AVG) and SS Tim Anderson (10 strikeouts in 26 at-bats) are off to rough starts.

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Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (33-40) wrap up their 3-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals (43-34) Wednesday at Busch Stadium with the 1st pitch scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

St. Louis won the 1st two games of this series 5-1 Monday and 3-0 Tuesday. Both teams are 5-5 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

The Cardinals lead the season series with the Marlins 4-1 and St. Louis has a plus-12 run differential in those meetings.

Marlins at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Andre Pallante     

Alcantara is 7-3 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 106 1/3 IP over 15 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 5-3 Friday at home vs. the New York Mets with 7 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 6 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 4 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Cardinals: One start, a no-decision in Miami’s 2-0 home loss April 20 with 8 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K.

Pallante is 2-3 with a 2.03 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 18 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Lost 3-0 Friday at home vs. the Chicago Cubs with 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 home splits: 2-2 with a 2.57 ERA (28 IP, 8 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 3 HR and 5.5 K/9 in 2 starts and 10 relief appearances.

Marlins at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Marlins -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cardinals +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Marlins at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Cardinals 2

Money line

BET the MARLINS (-125) because they’ve taken heavy sharp action,  Alcantara is money in these spots and Miami’s lineup is more productive vs. right-handed pitching.

Miami’s ML opened at -105 but has been steamed up to the current number because roughly 85% of the cash is on the Marlins, according to Pregame.com.

Also, Miami is 6-1 SU with a plus-55.6% return on investment (ROI) as road favorites with Alcantara on the bump since the beginning of last season.

Furthermore, Miami’s lineup outperforms St. Louis’s against right-handed pitching in several advanced metrics such as wRC+ (110-106), wOBA (.321-.316), hard-hit rate (28.1-27.7%) and runs per 9 (4.90-4.61).

BET 1 unit on the MARLINS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN MARLINS -1.5 (+135) since they are 6-1 RL with a plus-66.0% ROI in the aforementioned circumstances and Miami has a much more reliable bullpen than the Cardinals +1.5 (-170).

I’d prefer to put an extra quarter-unit on Miami’s ML than sprinkle on the RL but there’s a little value in the MARLINS -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+105) only because the Over 7.5 (-130) appears to be the sharper play based on the pricing.

But, there’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market with more cash being on the Under and more bets placed on the Over, per Pregame.com. Since sharps put up a lot more dough than your average Joe so it’s wiser to follow the money column of the betting splits.

It’s only a LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+105) because Miami’s ML is my favorite look in Marlins-Cardinals.

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Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (33-38) head into Busch Stadium Monday to start a 3-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals (41-34) at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Miami prevented a 3-game series sweep by the New York Mets with a 3-2 win Sunday, but the Marlins are 5-5 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

St. Louis lost the rubber match of their 3-game set with the Chicago Cubs 6-5 in extra innings Sunday and the Cardinals are just 4-6 SU in their last 10.

The Cardinals lead the season series with the Marlins 2-1 and St. Louis has a plus-1 run differential in those meetings.

Marlins at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Adam Wainwright    

Lopez is 5-3 with a 2.61 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 82 2/3 IP over 14 starts.

  • Last start: Won 7-4 at home vs. the Colorado Rockies Wednesday with 7 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 4 H, 3 BB and 6 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Cardinals: One start, a 5-0 home win April 21 with 7 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 0 BB and 9 K.

Wainwright is 5-5 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 84 IP over 14 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in St. Louis’ 5-4 win at the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday with 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 7 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Marlins: Won 5-1 April 19 in Miami with 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 6 K.

Marlins at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:57 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cardinals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-200) | Cardinals -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Marlins at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, Cardinals 3

Money line

BET the MARLINS (+110) for 1 unit because they have a 3-phase edge over the Cardinals (-135) in starting and relief pitching and hitting. Also, the presumed sharp side of the market is backing Miami while the public is taking St. Louis.

Lopez grades higher than Wainwright across the MLB in chase rate, whiff rate, expected ERA, and expected batting average, wOBA and slugging percentage slash line, according to Statcast.

Also, Miami’s lineup outranks St. Louis’ vs. right-handed pitching in several advanced hitting stats including runs per 9 (5.03-4.58), wRC+ (111-105), wOBA (.323-.315), ISO (.165-.147) and hard-hit rate (28.1-27.5%), per FanGraphs.

Finally, more than 70% of the money is on Miami whereas roughly 70% of the bets placed are on St. Louis per VegasInsider.com, which is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario. Typically, it’s wiser to follow the cash column since professional bettors put up a lot more dough than your average Joe.

BET the MARLINS (+110).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Marlins +1.5 (-200) is properly priced since Miami is 20-9 RL as road underdogs and the Cardinals -1.5 (+160) are just 12-14 RL as home favorites. The bottom line is the Marlins +1.5 (-200) is just out of my price range and Miami’s ML is my favorite look in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120) because the Marlins are 7-0 O/U in Lopez’s last 7 starts on 4 days of rest and 22-19-1 O/U as underdogs while the Cardinals are 14-10-2 O/U as home favorites. It’s only a “lean” since I prefer Miami’s ML.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (29-36) open a three-game series on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals (32-33) Monday evening. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 ET at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Braxton Garrett is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 5.1 BB/9 in 7 IP over one start and one relief appearance. In his one start this season, he allowed two runs on five hits in four innings.

RHP Adam Wainwright is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 4-5 with a 4.03 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 73 2/3 IP over 12 starts. Wainwright has six quality starts this season. He is 6-2 in his career against the Marlins.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Marlins at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Cardinals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-135) | Cardinals -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Marlins 4

Money line (ML)

The Marlins have won four of their last six games but lost eight of nine games on their last road trip. They are 13-22 on the road this season.

The Cardinals are only 16-15 at Busch Stadium this season. They have lost nine of their last 10 games overall and went 1-5 on their last homestand.

They have won two of the last three starts for Wainwright.

Take the CARDINALS (-175).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Miami is 34-31 ATS this season and 18-17 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in three of their last four games.

The Cardinals are 33-32 ATS and 15-16 ATS at home. They have only covered the spread in one of their last 10 games.

I expect a St. Louis win, but it will be a one-run game. Take the MARLINS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Cardinals are 33-28-3 O/U this season and 11 of their last 15 games have gone Over the projected total. Seven of the last 12 for the Marlins have gone Over.

Take OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (29-36) open a three-game series on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals (32-33) Monday evening. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 ET at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Braxton Garrett is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 5.1 BB/9 in 7 IP over one start and one relief appearance. In his one start this season, he allowed two runs on five hits in four innings.

RHP Adam Wainwright is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 4-5 with a 4.03 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 73 2/3 IP over 12 starts. Wainwright has six quality starts this season. He is 6-2 in his career against the Marlins.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Marlins at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Cardinals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-135) | Cardinals -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Marlins 4

Money line (ML)

The Marlins have won four of their last six games but lost eight of nine games on their last road trip. They are 13-22 on the road this season.

The Cardinals are only 16-15 at Busch Stadium this season. They have lost nine of their last 10 games overall and went 1-5 on their last homestand.

They have won two of the last three starts for Wainwright.

Take the CARDINALS (-175).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Miami is 34-31 ATS this season and 18-17 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in three of their last four games.

The Cardinals are 33-32 ATS and 15-16 ATS at home. They have only covered the spread in one of their last 10 games.

I expect a St. Louis win, but it will be a one-run game. Take the MARLINS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Cardinals are 33-28-3 O/U this season and 11 of their last 15 games have gone Over the projected total. Seven of the last 12 for the Marlins have gone Over.

Take OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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