Tag: Mariners Royals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Seattle Mariners (36-30) and Kansas City Royals (39-26) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Kansas City leads 3-2

The Mariners have dug themselves into a 2-0 hole this series after losing 8-4 Saturday while failing to cover as -127 road underdogs. Seattle lost 10-9 on Friday.

Kansas City trailed 3-2 before scoring 5 runs in the 5th and 6th to take control. RHP Alec Marsh got the win (5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 8 K) as the Royals won their 3rd consecutive game.

Mariners at Royals projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. LHP Cole Ragans

Kirby (5-5, 4.05 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 73 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 4-3 win over Oakland Tuesday
• Career vs. Kansas City: 1-0, 2.77 ERA (13 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 2 starts

Ragans (4-4, 3.21 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 73 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 4-3 win over San Diego Sunday
• Career vs. Seattle: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (1 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 relief appearance

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Mariners at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:12 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Royals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+165) | Royals +1.5 (-200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

LEAN ROYALS (-115).

Kansas City is 3-0 in its last 3 games and is also 3-0 in its last 3 home games. The Royals are 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. Seattle.

This is only a lean because Seattle is 6-4 in its last 10 while KC is only 4-6 in its last 10 and because the Mariners are 7-3 in their last 10 matchups with the Royals.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

No value here. Stick to the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-105).

The Over has hit in the 1st 2 games of the series. For Kansas City, the Over is 4-1 in its last 5 home games and 6-4 in its last 10 overall. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 Royals-Mariners meetings in KC.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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The Kansas City Royals (37-26) welcome the Seattle Mariners (36-28) to Kauffman Stadium Friday for the opener of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

The Mariners have been on a roll, winning 9 of their last 11 games. However, they are just 15-17 on the road this season. Seattle is coming off a 3-0 win over the Oakland A’s Thursday, closing that 3-game series with 2 wins. Seattle’s recent success has helped it surge to 1st in the AL West. It is 31-33 against the spread (ATS).

The Royals are 22-10 at home, the 4th-best record in the MLB. They have struggled as of late, losing 7 of their last 10 and falling to 2nd in the AL Central. Kansas City beat the Cleveland Guardians 4-3 Thursday, closing as a +149 underdog. The Royals are 38-25 ATS, the best run-line record in the majors.

Mariners at Royals projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. LHP Daniel Lynch IV

Miller (5-5, 3.18 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 70 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 9-0 home win against the Los Angeles Angels Saturday
• 2024 road splits: 1-3, 4.37 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 8 HR, 6.4 K/9 in 5 starts
• Career vs. Royals: 0-0, 6.75 ERA (4 IP, 3 ER), 1.75 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 in 1 starts

Lynch IV (0-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.75 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 12 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 2 K in a 7-6 road loss to the Minnesota Twins on May 30
• 2024 home splits: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP, 0 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 0 HR, 10.8 K/9 in 1 start
• Career vs. Mariners: 0-0, 1.93 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 2.14 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 1 start

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Mariners at Royals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:29 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mariners -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+126) | Royals +1.5 (-152)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 6, Mariners 4

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+110).

The Mariners have been playing well, but that success hasn’t translated to when they’re away from home. Seattle is 3-5 straight up over their last 8 games, and it is 2-3 in Miller’s last 5 starts.

The Royals have up 7 runs in Lynch IV’s last start, but he had a strong outing, allowing just 2 in 5 IP. Kansas City is 8-2 over its last 10 games and has been dominant at home.

Expect that to continue and back ROYALS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The run-line doesn’t have much value here.

The Royals (-152) are too expensive as a run-line underdog, although that is the preferred play over the Mariners (+126), who are too risky to take as a road favorite.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-110).

The Royals have gone 11-5 O/U in their last 16 games and 4-2 O/U in their last 6. They also went over on Lynch IV’s most recent start.

The Mariners have hit the Over in 2 of their last 6, but they have topped the total in 5 of Miller’s last 6 starts. They have allowed 26 runs in Miller’s last 5 starts.

Couple the recent performance from both teams when this specific pitcher is starting and back OVER 9 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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The Seattle Mariners (65-55) and Kansas City Royals (39-83) meet Thursday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 2:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

Seattle won 6-5 Wednesday as a -200 road favorite to take a 2-1 series lead. The game was tied at 4 heading into the 8th inning when the Mariners took a lead thanks to a sacrifice fly RBI from OF Teoscar Hernandez and an RBI single from OF Julio Rodriguez in the top of the 9th sealed the deal.

The Mariners have won back-to-back games and are 7-3 in their last 10 and 31-27 on the road. The Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 and 23-39 at home on the year.

Mariners at Royals projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. LHP Angel Zerpa

Kirby (10-8, 3.11 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 144 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 9 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 1-0 home loss Saturday vs. Baltimore Orioles
• First career start vs. Kansas City

Zerpa (1-1, 7.71 ERA) makes his 1st start and 5th appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 2.9 K/9 through 9 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 4 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 K in a 12-8 home win Friday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
• First career start vs. Seattle

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Mariners at Royals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:34 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mariners -235 (bet $235 to win $100) | Royals +194 (bet $100 to win $194)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (-126) | Royals +1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Mariners at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 7, Royals 4

Moneyline

PASS. 

I like the Mariners (-235) to win here but the price tag is far too steep. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARINERS -1.5 (-126).

The Mariners have won 7 of their last 10 meetings with the Royals. Seattle is also 7-3 in its last 10 overall, a much better mark than Kansas City’s 3-7 record through its last 10 outings. The Mariners are also 4-1 in Kirby’s last 5 starts with 3 of those victories coming by 2 or more runs.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-118).

The Over is 3-2 in Seattle’s last 5 games and is 3-1 in Kansas City’s last 4 games and 6-4 in its last 10. The Over has also cashed in the last 4 Seattle-Kansas City matchups and is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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