LSU vs Arkansas Prediction Game Preview

LSU vs Arkansas game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 11 game on Saturday, November 12

LSU vs Arkansas prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 11, Saturday, November 12


LSU vs Arkansas How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 12
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: LSU (7-2), Arkansas (5-4)
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LSU vs Arkansas Game Preview

Why LSU Will Win

So how did LSU do this? How did it bounce back from a horrible performance in the 40-13 home loss to Tennessee to rip off three straight including a blowout over Ole Miss and a win over Alabama?

The running game got working again.

The offensive line has been a problem in pass protection, but it’s grinding away well enough to control the clock and let everything work from there. It’s not just the total yards; it’s about the yards per carry.

LSU is 6-0 when averaging 4.7 yards per carry or more – including against Bama and Ole Miss – and 2-2 when it doesn’t. It couldn’t get anything working on the ground against the Vols, and it showed.

Arkansas doesn’t get gouged all that often, but it’s 1-3 when allowing over four yards per carry.

On the flip side …

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Why Arkansas Will Win

Run, run, run.

LSU did a fantastic job against the excellent Ole Miss ground attack, and it was been able to beat Florida after getting run over and held on against Alabama despite allowing 4.6 yards per carry. However, it’s playing with fire.

The Arkansas running game might have been stopped cold against Liberty last week – a season-low 144 yards – but when the ground game rolls, the team wins.

Again, like LSU, it’s about the yards per carry going 4-1 when running for five yards or more and 5-2 when averaging over four yards per pop. If this is about who’s more effective on the ground, the Hogs have the advantage.

And then there’s this …

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What’s Going To Happen

Just how much does the game time matter?

It might seem trivial, but sometimes certain teams feed off of routine and energy. LSU is used to playing prime time games and is a totally different animal when it gets to feed off the jacked up Death Valley crowd at night. It played one early game all season long.

The lone noon game was at home against Tennessee in a stunningly low-energy 40-13 loss. Granted, the team on the other side had almost everything to do with that, but the team has been different later in the day and at home.

This is the fourth noon kickoff for the Hogs going 2-1. That won’t be enough to pull off the win over the red-hot Tigers, but it’ll be enough to help make this a strong fight.

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LSU vs Arkansas Prediction, Line

LSU 34, Arkansas 30
Line: LSU -3, o/u: 63.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
LSU vs Arkansas Must See Rating (out of 5): 4
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LSU vs Arkansas Prediction, Game Preview

LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction and game preview.

LSU vs Arkansas prediction and game preview.


LSU vs Arkansas Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 21
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
Network: SEC Network

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LSU (2-3) vs Arkansas (3-3) Game Preview

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Why LSU Will Win

Arkansas is vastly improved from the disaster of the last few years, but there are still glaring holes that need fixing over the rest of the season, if not next year, too.

The offensive line isn’t keeping anyone out of the backfield. The skill parts have been able to function, but anyone with a halfway decent pass rush is able to live behind the line and slow things down against an attack that stinks on third downs and is last in the SEC in time of possession.

For all of its faults, LSU leads the conference in tackles for loss with a steady enough pass rush to be a problem. The overall defense might be struggling, but the front line is disruptive.

Why Arkansas Will Win

LSU is just freaking weird.

There’s still more than enough talent to be decent, but everyone left the party and what’s left is a whole mess of parts that just aren’t coming together and clicking.

QB Myles Brennan is likely out for the year, but TJ Finley has big-time upside to build around. He needs time to work, he needs a running game to help the cause, and the entire offense needs the defense to stop getting bombed on so there’s not so much pressure.

How many times did Arkansas throw for over 200 yards last year? A bunch, but it was all in September – the O failed to get there over the last seven games. This year’s offense has yet to throw for fewer than 200.

Feleipe Franks been terrific, the defense is taking the ball away as well as any team in the conference, and unlike LSU, the parts are meshing just well enough to be competitive against everyone but the Floridas and Georgias of the world.

2020 LSU isn’t in that world.

What’s Going To Happen

Last year LSU was favored by over 40 points against the Hogs, and now …

The game against Alabama last week didn’t happen, and it didn’t matter.

LSU’s offense will work well enough to make this a fun shootout, but Arkansas is getting back head coach Sam Pittman, it’s been good at home, and it’ll come up with the late rally to pull this off. Franks will be the difference – he won’t make the mistakes that LSU’s backfield will.

CFN Experts Picks, Predictions: Week 12

LSU vs Arkansas Prediction, Line

Arkansas 41, LSU 38
Bet on LSU vs Arkansas with BetMGM
LSU -2.5, o/u: 63.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3

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