Here’s how to approach drafting Joe Mixon in fantasy football leagues

A pragmatic approach to drafting the embattled Mixon in fantasy football.

It has been an eventful offseason off the field for Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon, who had an arrest warrant issued for aggravated menacing on Feb. 2, only to have the charges dropped and then later reinstated. The process is still ongoing, but it immediately introduces some uncertainty into the veteran’s outlook for 2023, as the NFL could elect to weigh in with disciplinary action at any point, regardless of how the legal process plays out. Or, conversely, they could decide to wait until after the season and/or impose no penalties at all.

While the possibility of a suspension hangs over Mixon, it’s by no means the only issue fantasy owners should consider heading into this season. Age and mileage are also becoming concerns. Mixon turns 27 in July, and he is entering his seventh year in the league. His durability to this point has been admirable, appearing in at least 14 games five times, and posting 270 or more touches in four of those campaigns, but it may be catching up with him.

To that end, Mixon is coming off his least effective full season since his rookie year, collecting 814 yards and seven touchdowns on 210 carries (3.9 YPC). If you omit 2020, when injuries limited him to six games, that’s well below his per-season averages of 269 carries, 1,170 yards (4.4 YPC), and 8.7 TDs from his previous three campaigns.

On the positive side, Cincinnati dramatically upgraded the offensive line this spring with the signing of Orlando Brown at left tackle, which moved Jonah Williams to the right tackle spot.

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Mixon became a more frequent option for QB Joe Burrow, who targeted the veteran back 75 times last year, which was fourth-most on the team, resulting in a career-high 60 receptions, 441 yards, and a pair of touchdowns. Those opportunities in space are a good way to get the ball in Mixon’s hands while mitigating the pounding backs take on straight runs. Any pathway to exceeding expectations in 2023 likely involves continued high involvement in the passing game, and that’s dubious if Ja’Marr Chase doesn’t again miss multiple games.

Another factor potentially working in Mixon’s favor is a lack of options, at least proven ones. With last year’s RB2 Samaje Perine joining the Denver Broncos, the depth chart features Day 3 draft picks like Chris Evans (2021), Trayveon Williams (2019), and rookie Chase Brown. Clearly, the Bengals hope one of them will emerge to assume the role Perine filled so ably last year, but no one on that list looks like an immediate challenger for Mixon’s spot as starter.

Fantasy football outlook

Head coach Zac Taylor swears Mixon’s future is in Cincinnati, and they’ve made no clear moves to suggest that isn’t the case. Until and unless that changes, whether by player acquisition or league discipline, Mixon appears aligned to serve as the primary back in Cincinnati once again, which gives him viable midrange or low-end RB2 value. Brown is the ADP consensus handcuff and is, at least at this point, a must-draft insurance policy.

Fantasy footballers will lose Ja’Marr Chase for multiple weeks

Where to turn after losing Chase in fantasy football?

ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase (hip) will miss four to six weeks of action, barring a new prognosis as he seeks multiple opinions on how best to move forward. Stash Chase on your bench or IR spot.

If the Bengals opt to place him on the Reserve/Injured list, Chase will miss meetings with Cleveland, Carolina, Pittsburgh and Tennessee — robbing fantasy football gamers of matchups with three top-six opponents when using data from the last five weeks of play.

Cincinnati should send more work toward the two most obvious options in Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, but Mike Thomas and Hayden Hurst should garner upticks in action.

No one is going to step in to replace Chase outright. What makes this worst for fantasy owners is the timing of it all since waivers processed already in the vast majority of leagues, presumably picking clean the positional wealth. Therefore, any high-quality replacement is likely to come via trade or from within one’s roster personnel.

If you’re looking just to get by for a few weeks playing the matchups and need a warm body in a lineup, consider checking your waiver wire for the likes of Marvin Jones, Darius Slayton, Mack Hollins, Marquise Goodwin, Kalif Raymond, Sammy Watkins, the aforementioned Thomas, and Olamide Zaccheaus. It won’t be pretty, but that’s what we have to deal with given the dire circumstances.

Fantasy Football: 5 QB-WR duos to consider stacking in 2022

Stacking QBs and WRs from the same team can help you double up on points in fantasy football.

If you start Joe Burrow in fantasy football, a 25-yard touchdown pass could net you 5.25 points. If you also start Ja’Marr Chase and he catches Burrow’s TD pass, that could add 9.5 points for a total of 14.75 points on one play.

It’s called stacking, adding a quarterback and wide receiver from the same team hoping to double up on points when they connect for a completion or — even better — a touchdown.

Here are five QB-WR duos to consider stacking in fantasy football this season.

Fantasy football injury outlook: QB Joe Burrow, Bengals

Where does Burrow stand in his recovery process?

Considering that Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (appendix) entered camp last year coming off a torn ACL that had halted his rookie campaign 10 games in, the news that the ascending superstar had undergone an appendectomy in late July feels like a minor inconvenience. Still, it’s another setback physically for a young quarterback who already suffered two knee injuries, including a sprained MCL during the team’s Super Bowl loss to the Los Angeles Rams.

Head coach Zac Taylor indicated the surgery went “smoothly,” but as of yet there has been no timeline given by anyone within the organization — Burrow’s father, Jim, said that his son would be back “in a few weeks” during a podcast appearance earlier this week, for whatever that’s worth. He did some light throwing on Monday, Aug. 8, which represented his first time picking up a ball since the surgery, and offensive coordinator Brian Callahan indicated that Burrow was feeling better.

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For comparison, Rams quarterback John Wolford had the same procedure done on Aug. 6, 2021, and he was practicing in full by Aug. 19. While Burrow won’t hit that mark, there appears to be no concern about the speed of his recovery. With their Week 1 meeting against the Pittsburgh Steelers still more than a month away, it seems unlikely that the LSU alum will miss games because of it.

Although the team would doubtlessly like to have Burrow in camp, notching reps and knocking the rust off, bear in mind his top three receivers from last season all return, and the team played into February — both of which work in his favor. Even a week or two of preparation leading into their meeting with the Steelers should be adequate to get Joe Shiesty ready to roll.

Fantasy football outlook

Coming off a breakout sophomore season, Burrow appears poised to join the game’s elite signal callers. Given there is no long-term concern following his surgery, there’s no reason to reassess Burrow’s value as less than a midrange QB1 for 2022.

Aaron Rodgers vs. Joe Burrow: Which QB should you be drafting?

Is the reigning, back-to-back MVP ready to take a back seat to the third-year pro?

Comparing Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow prior to the 2021 season would have seemed like a lopsided exercise in futility. But, Burrow led the Cincinnati Bengals to the Super Bowl to make the conversation much more realistic, despite Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers posting a league-best 39 wins over the past three seasons.

So, who has the better 2022 fantasy prospects? Let’s look at their pros and cons.

Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Aaron Rodgers

Pros

  • Not just a four-time MVP winner, but he has won the last two (2020, 2021)
  • He has thrown 85 touchdown passes the last two seasons – the most in any two-year stretch of his career.
  • Rodgers is incredible at protecting the ball and not throwing ill-advised passes. Over the last four seasons, he has thrown 2,223 passes and just 15 interceptions – an average of one pick per every 148 passes.
  • While not much of a rusher in fantasy terms, he has scored six rushing touchdowns over the last two seasons – the most in any two-year span in the last decade.

Cons

  • The trade of Davante Adams takes away his unquestioned top target. Over the last four seasons (57 contests), Adams was targeted 614 times – almost 11 times a game.
  • Not only did Rodgers lose Adams as his primary weapon, the Packers also allowed Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Equanimeous St. Brown to walk in free agency – two players who had a long history learning with Rodgers.
  • Entering his age-39 season in a young man’s game
  • He hasn’t been the developer of young wide receivers at nearly the same rate as his predecessor Brett Favre. Rodgers is notorious for not trusting rookies.

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Credit: Sam Greene/Cincinnati Enquirer-USA TODAY NETWORK

Joe Burrow

Pros

  • Has made incredible progress in just two NFL seasons, making his first Super Bowl appearance in just his second season. His success demonstrates the potential for another significant jump in his maturation process. Still learning the game, as he increases his quarterback IQ, the game will slow down for him.
  • He has three of the most dynamic young receivers in the league with Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd.
  • The Bengals have a balanced offensive attack and can run Joe Mixon 20 times per game to take the pressure off Burrow to be the focus of the offense at all times.
  • Cincinnati upgraded its offensive line with the additions of center Ted Karras, right guard Alex Cappa and right tackle La’el Collins.
  • Displayed good consistency last season, completing more than 70 percent of his passes has averaged 39 pass attempts a game in his career. With that many attempts consistently, good things will happen.

Cons

  • Whether it was the fault of his offensive line or holding the ball too long, Burrow was sacked a league-high 51 times. He has been sacked 83 times in 26 NFL career starts.
  • He has already suffered one significant injury, and until the on-paper upgrades along the line show it on the field, Burrow will continue to be a quarterback fantasy owners have to fear will miss time due to injury.
  • He threw 14 interceptions last season, just one fewer than Rodgers has thrown in the last four years combined.
  • Although he didn’t show too many ill-effects from the significant leg injury he suffered in 2020, his rushing attempts bottomed out. As a rookie, he averaged 3.7 rushing attempts a game. In 2021, he dropped to 2.5 attempts. His rushing yards also took a hit, dipping from 14.2 yards a game to 7.4 yards a game.

Fantasy football outlook

Rodgers (ADP 6:06) is a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but he has the weakest supporting cast of receivers at any point during his career. Without his security blanket in Adams, he has to count on lesser receivers to get the job done.

Burrow (ADP 5:10), on the other hand, has young dynamic weapons who are only getting better with time. Because of that, if he stays healthy, Joe Burrow is the better fantasy quarterback option in 2022.

Fantasy football team previews: AFC North

A team-by-team fantasy football outlook from the AFC North.

The 2022 fantasy football draft season is starting to heat up now that we’ve gone through the height of free agency and all of the chosen rookies have been assigned to their professional home cities.

The landscape has changed a great deal for many franchises after a whirlwind offseason, and our divisional preview series will help you stay on top of all of the changes to date.

AFC divisional previews

East | North | South | West

NFC divisional previews

East | North | South | West

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 16

Risers and fallers of the late-stage fantasy football season

At the start of the 2021 season, I made the bold prediction that I thought all four teams in the NFC West had the potential to finish the season with winning records, which is why I was bullish on drafting fantasy players from the division. Barring the Seattle Seahawks running the table, that isn’t going to happen, but another division has stepped up to live out the big talk I had for the NFC West.

The AFC North has found itself in a situation where all four teams control their own destiny to win the division and make the playoffs in the final three games. All four teams have looked dominant at times and awful at others, but their fantasy players are all filling up playoff lineups. When you’re fighting for a fantasy championship you need to have all your players in games that mean something. It would appear every game the teams from the AFC North play from here on through are going to have playoff implications, which is all fantasy owners can ask for with titles on the line.

Here is the Week 16 Fantasy Football Market Report:

Fantasy Football Risers

RB D’Onta Foreman, Tennessee Titans

When the Titans lost Derrick Henry, the organization’s first idea was to dust off Adrian Peterson. After three weeks, they gave up on that theory and went to Plan B. Foreman was signed in the days after Henry went down and, over the last three games, he has looked a little like the franchise – and played like him as well. In those three games, he has rushed 54 times for 264 yards and a touchdown – topping 100 yards in two of them and scoring a TD in the other. He won’t make fantasy owners forget Henry, but he likely won’t be a journeyman after this season.

WR Russell Gage, Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons have been an offense in transition. Future Hall of Famer Julio Jones was allowed to leave. Calvin Ridley left the team for personal issues. All-World Kyle Pitts has been up and down. The most consistent player over the last month has been Gage. He has help keep the Falcons’ dim playoff hopes alive over the last four games, catching 29 passes for 347 yards and two touchdowns. He has become a go-to flex option and still is affordable in daily play as he makes his case moving forward on a Falcons team in transition.

RB Craig Reynolds, Detroit Lions

You don’t look to Detroit for fantasy players, especially in the playoffs, but Reynolds is making the most of his opportunity. The Lions are his fourth team in three years, and he has been little more than a practice squad live body. But with D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams both down, he has been thrust into the mix against a pair of good defenses (Denver and Arizona). He has responded with 37 carries for 195 yards. Like Foreman and Gage, Reynolds is making his statement to his current team and the rest of the league that he has the skills to be a factor in the NFL.

QB Mac Jones, New England Patriots

The rookie QB hasn’t been flashy and doesn’t bring a lot in the run game, but he has started putting together some solid fantasy numbers. In huge games with playoff implications against the Cleveland Browns, Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts, he has thrown for seven touchdowns and, in the last two of those games, he has 310 and 299 passing yards. They aren’t the kind of numbers that have him in fantasy playoff lineups, but his stock is on the rise heading into 2022.

RB Tony Pollard, Dallas Cowboys

The time share between Ezekiel Elliott and Pollard is getting less all the time. Pollard has 119 carries to Zeke’s 201, but Pollard’s rushing average (5.7 yards) is 1.4 more than Elliott’s (4.3), and he had a better rushing average in eight of the last nine games both have played. Anyone who has Elliott isn’t going to bench him, but the Cowboys are consistently getting more yardage out of Pollard. As games increase in importance, he may be seeing even time as the Cowboys season gets more intense and impactful with each coming week.

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Fantasy Football Fallers

WR Amari Cooper, Dallas Cowboys

Few players run as hot and cold as Cooper. Over the last seven games, he has played in five of them and, in those games, he has just 15 catches for 188 yards and one touchdown. An average of three catches for 37 yards over five games (technically seven) isn’t what fantasy owners bought into, and there has to be legitimate concern about continuing to play him with a fantasy season on the line.

QB Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

With all the weapons Burrow has, huge numbers are expected every week. Over his last six games, he has accounted for just eight touchdowns (six passing, two rushing) and has thrown for 190 yards or less in three of his last five games. Considering that he never had fewer than two touchdowns in his first eight games and 20 TD passes in those contests, his drop-off has been pronounced. He isn’t the must-start player he was the first half of the season.

WR Mike Williams, Los Angeles Chargers

Through his first five games of the season, Williams was averaging 95 yards and scored six touchdowns, making him one of the breakthrough players of the early season. However, in his last nine games, he has more than 61 receiving yards just twice, less than 50 yards in five of them, and has scored just one touchdown. The Chargers offense has been lighting things up, but Williams hasn’t been a part of it enough to warrant staying in fantasy lineups.

TE Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins

It’s been the tale of two seasons for Gesicki. He is among a growing number of fantasy tight ends those of whom without one of the Big 3 are looking to step up and make a statement to be a TE that plays every week. Over his first seven games, Gesicki had three games with 85 or more receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns. Over his last seven games, he has fallen flat, registering 54 or fewer receiving yards in every game and scoring no touchdowns. Considering Miami has gone a six-game winning streak in that stretch, it has become apparent that the Dolphins don’t need Gesicki to come up big for them to win.

WR Kenny Golladay, New York Giants

The fact Golladay hasn’t scored a touchdown for the Giants after signing a big free-agent contract is bad enough, but his production has completely flat-lined. In his first four games, he was productive, catching 17 passes for 282 yards. In his last seven games, he has caught just 14 passes for 195 yards and no TDs – an average of just two catches for 28 yards a game, which not only will get you benched on a fantasy team, it will get you waived.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 6

Fantasy football risers and fallers entering Week 6.

Perhaps at no time during the 2021 season has having bench depth been more important to fantasy football owners. At a time when the bye weeks start depleting rosters, injury news (especially at running back) is causing a great gnashing of teeth for fantasy owners.

Owners gripe that there isn’t fantasy depth at running back on draft day, much less when players start dropping like flies. We’ve already seen promising fantasy prospects like Cam Akers, J.K. Dobbins, Travis Etienne, Raheem Mostert and David Montgomery for the season. We’ve already seen Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs and Chris Carson and Clyde Edwards-Helaire missing time.

The bad news is we’re only five weeks into an 18-week season and, if history has taught us anything, the hits are going to keep on coming.

Fantasy football risers

RB James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars

There is a lot to love about Robinson. It’s rare when you have an underdog “Rocky” type story, but Robinson has become that with two coaches who clearly didn’t believe in him. As a rookie last year, he got his shot only because the marriage with Leonard Fournette died an ugly death and he was cut a week before the start of the 2020 season. Robinson became the first undrafted rookie in NFL history to run for 1,000 yards. How did the Jags show their appreciation? The signed Carlos Hyde in free agency and used a first-round on Travis Etienne. Thanks a lot. After a brief time split, the Jags went back to Robinson in Week 3. In the three games since, he has rushed 51 times for 315 yards and has scored four touchdowns. He’s no longer a cute story. He’s a legitimate RB1 and nobody acknowledges it.

WR Emmanuel Sanders, Buffalo Bills

The Sanders signing had all the appearances of a Randall Cobb sort of deal. He’ll be the third guy in the wide receiver room and that will be that. Nobody got Manny down with that scenario. Through five games with an explosive pass offense, Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley have combined to score one touchdown. Sanders had four – in the last three games, where he has caught 13 passes for 222 yards and become the deep threat Diggs was last year. He’s still technically the No. 3 guy (No. 4 if you include Dawson Knox and his recent adventures), but Sanders is making it almost impossible for fantasy owners to keep him out of their weekly lineups.

RB Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns

Few people respect the skills of Nick Chubb more than I do. That’s what made the Browns signing of Hunt so strange. Anyone who has Chubb likely doesn’t have Hunt as his handcuff, because Hunt is simply too talented to be available for handcuffing without having invested two picks on Cleveland RBs inside of the first five rounds. Chubb is still the main guy in the offense – in the last three games, he has rushed 63 times for 345 yards and one touchdown. Under ordinary circumstances, that would be death for the No. 2 guy. Hunt is the Browns’ leading receiver and, in the last three games, he has rushed 36 times for 211 yards and four touchdowns. At a time when running backs need to add touchdowns to the mix to win weeks for fantasy owners, Hunt is the rare breed who gets that done as a runner and receiver while clearly not being the No. 1 RB option with his team.

QB Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Let’s be clear on this: Nobody is discussing Burrow in the MVP conversation. But, if you don’t have a Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Justin Herbert or Tom Brady on your roster providing the back-breaking numbers that help win you a week, you’re looking for consistency. Out of the gate in 2021, few have been as consistent as Burrow. He has thrown two or more touchdowns in every game and has topped 260 passing yards in three of those. He likely is a No. 2 QB on most rosters, but his consistency is his payoff. He has never left anyone who put him in their lineup empty-handed. That’s a skill savvy owners without the sexy QB names thrive on.

RB James Conner, Arizona Cardinals

This is a tough one to heartily endorse if not for the numbers. Connor is averaging just 3.2 yards a carry, but he has become the skinny version of Jerome Bettis of late-Steelers vintage. Back then, Fast Willie Parker is running between the 5s and Bettis bellyflops into the end zone for a quick six. Chase Edmonds and Kyler Murray are the main attractions in the Cardinals run game, but, when it gets to the goal line, Conner is the one calling for choppers. Over his last three games, his rushing average is brutal, but the bottom line is that he has rushed 39 times for 122 yards and five touchdowns. Look at how many RB1s have five rushing touchdowns. It’s a short list.

Fantasy football fallers

WR A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans

In the season opener, Brown caught four passes for 49 yards and a touchdown. It’s hard to imagine that has been the high-water mark this season. His owners have played him three times since. In those three games, he has caught six passes for 81 yards and no touchdowns. Granted, anyone taking a Titans receiver understands Derrick Henry is going to have his days. But, even with the arrival of Julio Jones, in more cases than not, Brown was acquired to a fantasy roster as a WR1. He hasn’t lived up to that … even a little bit.

RB Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders

Jacobs was drafted as an RB2, unless you’re in a six-player league or avoided the position with your first two selections. He’s missed a game along the way and has scored three touchdowns, which is his only saving grace. In the three games he has played, he has rushed just 38 times for 122 yards and caught 10 passes for just 42 yards. If not for his three TDs, he would be a complete bust. Even with them, he isn’t worthy of being a guaranteed start every week.

WR Odell Beckham Jr., Cleveland Browns

OBJ missed the first two games of the season, but in the three he has been back – without Jarvis Landry in the last two – he has been a liability. Last weekend, the Browns put up a ton of production. It didn’t include Odell. In his last two games, he has four catches for 47 yards. That’s it. He hasn’t been a good fit since he came to Cleveland, and nothing has changed.

RB David Johnson, Houston Texans

Johnson has lived off of 2016 more than anyone. When he had his breakout season in Arizona, he became a “made man” in the fantasy community. He still has fantasy cred in some circles, but it’s time to call it. His only touchdown came in Week 1 (a reception) and, through five games, he has 31 touches for 255 yards. Mark Ingram has 70 touches. It’s time to admit defeat where defeat is obvious. The J-Train has seen its last run.

WR Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks

In the first two weeks of the season, Lockett had 12 catches for 278 yards and three touchdowns. In the three games since, he has 13 catches for 117 yards and no touchdowns. In that same period, DK Metcalf has 15 receptions for 270 yards and four touchdowns. Oh, and by the way, Russell Wilson isn’t coming back anytime soon. Think Geno Smith is going to produce the kind of numbers that make Lockett a must-play? Not the recipe for success that was manifested in Week 1 and 2. Penthouse to outhouse in a hurry.

Fantasy football draft: Where to target Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow

Analyzing Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow’s 2021 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

After tearing his ACL in Week 11 last season, Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow is set to become one of the best fantasy football quarterbacks in the NFL in his sophomore season. Below, we look at Joe Burrow‘s 2021 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Burrow came out of LSU as one of the top collegiate prospects of all time.

His rookie season should’ve been considered a success as Burrow showed his potential, but strapped behind one of the worst offensive lines in football, he was limited in what he could do.

In the offseason, the Bengals signed veteran OT Riley Reiff and added the draft’s best wide receiver in Ja’Marr Chase. Combine that, and the ultra-accurate Burrow should have a field day in Year 2.

Joe Burrow’s ADP: 49.37

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com)

Burrow consistently being taken as the 13th quarterback is criminal. Few, including the likes of Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts and Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill, offer more upside.

Burrow should be a mid-tier QB1. As a rookie, Burrow ranked 16th among quarterbacks in terms of fantasy points per game. He should be expected to build on that in his second season.

He’s typically the third Bengals player taken in drafts, behind RB Joe Mixon and Chase. Burrow has gone as high as No. 10 and as low as No. 176. The higher bracket of where Burrow is being taken is in two-QB leagues while the lower end is in smaller, redraft leagues.

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Joe Burrow’s 2020 stats

Games: 10

Passing yards: 2,688

Touchdowns: 13

Interceptions: 5

Rushing yards: 142

Rush. Touchdowns: 3

Where should you take Joe Burrow in your fantasy football draft?

In a 12-team standard league, you can wait until the seventh round to take Burrow. If you’re bullish on the quarterback like I am, you won’t let him slip past the sixth. In two-QB leagues, he should be a second- or third-round pick.

He shouldn’t go in the first wave of quarterbacks, but he could lead the second wave, a group likely headlined by Tom Brady and Tannehill. Given what he was able to do last year, coupled with a strengthened offense in Cincinnati, Burrow should be able to exceed expectations.

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