In an 8-round cruiserweight bout, Jake Paul and Anderson Silva meet Saturday at Diamond Desert Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Paul vs. Silva odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.
The YouTube star Paul (5-0) steps into the ring looking for a 6th win to start his boxing career. The 25-year-old – nicknamed “The Problem Child” – has recorded 4 KO victories and 1 split-decision win against Tyron Woodley.
Paul is coming off a KO victory over Woodley in a rematch last December. Now, he finally gets the chance to face boyhood favorite Spider Silva.
This will be the 4th fight for Paul against a former MMA fighter, and Silva might be the most formidable. Silva dropped Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. via split decision in June 2021, and he is coming off a KO victory over Tito Ortiz last time out.
Paul vs. Silva odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:21 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Paul -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Silva +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
- Over/Under: 6.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +102)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +115 | No -175)
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Paul vs. Silva picks and predictions
Records: Paul (5-0, 4 KOs) | Silva (3-1, 2 KOs)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
It isn’t wishful thinking as there are a lot of people out there who cannot stand these fights and want the YouTube star Paul (-280) to get his come-uppance.
Me? I am not a hater.
OK, I was at first. Originally, this fight looked like it was going to be a joke. I caught the Paul-Nate Robinson fight on the undercard of the farcical Tyson-Roy Jones Jr. “bout.”
But since then, Paul has taken defeated Ben Askren and Woodley twice. Those are legit fighters, who have trained in combat sports all of their lives.
So, I was wrong about Paul initially. As a famous cinematic fighter once said, “If I can change, and you can change. We all can change.”
Paul has legit punching power and Silva will feel it. But “Spider” is tremendous defensively and will not errantly walk into one of those devastating punches.
Paul (-280) gets it done, but he isn’t a value play laying more than 2.8 times your potential return.
PASS on a 2- or 3-way line bet, and take PAUL BY DECISION (+245) in method of victory for a much better value.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (+115): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is a pretty decent value as Silva isn’t going to get knocked out. While I am not saying this is not a serious fight, let’s just say Paul’s ride isn’t over yet, and there is still more money left to be made in the future.
If you think this is all a joke, and want to see Paul get dropped, Saturday is not your day.
Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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