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The Indiana Hoosiers (2-5, 0-4 Big Ten) travel to face the No. 10 Penn State Nittany Lions (6-1, 3-1) Saturday. Kickoff from Beaver Stadium is set for noon ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Indiana vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Indiana has lost 3 consecutive games, the last being a 31-14 setback as a 6-point underdog vs. the Rutgers Scarlet Knights on Saturday. Coach Tom Allen said redshirt freshman QB Brendan Sorsby, who started in the loss to Rutgers, will starts vs. the Nittany Lions. He has completed 51.1% (45 of 88) of his passes for 420 yards, 3 TDs, and 0 INTs on the season.
Penn State was handed its 1st defeat of the season in Saturday’s 20-12 loss at the Ohio State Buckeyes, failing to cover as a 4-point underdog. The Nittany Lions had their worst offensive showing of the year in the loss, only gaining 240 total yards of offense and converting on just 1 of 16 on 3rd downs.
Penn State is No. 10 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports
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Indiana at Penn State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:58 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Indiana +2000 (bet $100 to win $2000) | Penn State -7000 (bet $7000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +32.5 (-110) | Penn State -31.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Indiana at Penn State picks and predictions
Prediction
Penn State 42, Indiana 14
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nittany Lions will pick up the win here, but a -7000 favorite is never worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
LEAN INDIANA +32.5 (-110).
Penn State has yet to beat a Big Ten opponent by 31.5 points or more this season, and I’m not sure they’ll do it here. I like the Nittany Lions to dominate here, but I see the starters being pulled before the 4th quarter, which will make it difficult for Penn State to cover the margin. I expect Penn State to come out hot after the loss to Ohio State, but 32.5 points feels like a stretch here.
Over/Under
BET OVER 46.5 (-110).
Indiana has allowed its last 3 Big Ten opponents to put up 30-plus points; allowing 31 to Rutgers, 52 to Michigan, and 44 to Maryland. The Nittany Lions have scored at least 30 points in 6 of their 7 games, including in all of their wins. Penn State has a dominant defense that will force turnovers and provide great field position. Look for Penn State to carry the load scoring-wise, propelling this game to hit the Over number of 46.5.
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