Illinois vs Purdue Prediction Game Preview

Illinois vs Purdue game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 11 game on Saturday, November 12

Illinois vs Purdue prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 11, Saturday, November 12


Illinois vs Purdue How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 12
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Purdue (5-4), Illinois (7-2)
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Illinois vs Purdue Game Preview

Why Purdue Will Win

So how did Michigan State do it?

How did it solve the Illinois defense, ball control style, and all that’s going into one of the biggest surprises in the 2022 college football season?

It bent but didn’t break – scoring 23 straight points after getting down 7-0 – and it made the Illini press more than they wanted to.

The Spartans hit their passes, and Purdue has to get throwing and put points on the board out of the gate.

The offense sputtered against Iowa in last week’s 24-3 loss – nothing worked – but as long as Aidan O’Connell is hitting over 60% of his passes like he normally does this should be interesting.

Illinois lost two games. Those were the two times it allowed the opposing passing games to connect on more than 53% of their throws.

But …

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Why Illinois Will Win

That’s easier said than done.

Purdue has hit a bit of a wall.

Wisconsin allowed O’Connell to hit his passes, but they didn’t really go anywhere. Iowa took out the middle man and didn’t even allow him to complete the throws.

Even with the tough loss to Michigan State, Illinois is still the best in the nation in pass defense, No. 1 in scoring defense, No. 1 in interceptions, and No. 1 in first downs allowed.

Basically, the Purdue offense fits what Illinois likes to do.

Michigan State can hit a few deep shots and pushes its passing game further. Purdue dinks and dunks, and Illinois will take it.

The completion percentage will be there for the Boilermakers, but it won’t mean what it usually does.

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What’s Going To Happen

Can Purdue get out to a hot start and make Illinois open things up?

Not quite, but it’ll make things interesting.

The Illinois ground game doesn’t have to dominate, but it has to be part of a balanced attack that should be able to control the clock and the tempo. That’s Purdue’s game – it’s great in the time of possession battle – but it won’t be good enough offensively on third downs to get control.

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Illinois vs Purdue Prediction, Line

Illinois 24, Purdue 20
Line: Illinois -6.5, o/u: 44.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5
Illinois vs Purdue Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5
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Illinois vs Purdue Prediction, Game Preview

Illinois vs Purdue prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, September 25

Illinois vs Purdue prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, September 25


Illinois vs Purdue How To Watch

Date: Saturday, September 25
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
How To Watch: BTN
Record: Illinois (1-3), Purdue (2-1)
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Illinois vs Purdue Game Preview


Why Illinois Will Win

So what does Illinois have to do to get into a positive groove?

The win over Nebraska was fun, but it’s been a rough stretch since then with three straight losses in three different ways. It’s not a coincidence, though, that the one win came on the biggest rushing day of the year.

It’s not like the Illini ripped through Nebraska – just 167 yards – but they were effective. Even with fewer than four yards per carry, the season-high 48 carries set the tone.

The Purdue run defense has been fine, but it gave up three touchdowns to Oregon State and got hit with a couple of big plays against the Irish. Illinois has to own the clock and the tempo – it has to grind for its groove.

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Why Purdue Will Win

The passing game keeps on working.

The Boilermakers were able to throw for well over 300 yards in the first two games, and they almost got to 300 last week against the Irish. The two interceptions, though, turned fatal.

This might not be an even team overall, but the offense can beat Illinois at the game it needs to play. No, it’s not going to run, but it can control the clock and own the time of possession battle.

Illinois has no shot of winning if it doesn’t always have the ball. Purdue should be able to dink and dunk to its heart’s content on the Illini secondary.

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What’s Going To Happen

Purdue can’t make mistakes. As long as it doesn’t turn the ball over and doesn’t hand Illinois a slew of easy scoring chances, it’ll be okay.

Illinois is last among the Big Ten teams in sacks allowed per game on one side and total defense on the other. It’ll keep this close, but Purdue won’t turn the ball over enough to lose this.

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Illinois vs Purdue Prediction, Line

Purdue 34, Illinois 24
Line: Purdue -11, o/u: 53
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 2

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