Houston Astros odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 4

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Texas Rangers at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Texas Rangers (48-61) and the Houston Astros (71-40) square off in the middle contest of a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rangers vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead 9-3

The Rangers equaled the Astros in the hits category in the series opener Tuesday but were on the short end of a 7-5 loss as the Over connected.

The Astros bounced back from a 1-0 loss in the series finale in Cleveland for a 7-spot. Houston has posted 6 or more runs in 4 of the previous 6 outings.

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Rangers at Astros projected starters

RHP Glenn Otto vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Otto (4-8, 5.31 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 78 IP.

Has posted a 2-4 record with a 4.02 ERA with a sparkling .221 opponent batting average across 40 1/3 IP over 8 road starts.
Is 0-1 with a 3.48 ERA across 10 1/3 IP in 2 starts against the Astros in 2022.

Verlander (15-3, 1.73 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 0.85 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 130 IP.

Is 4-0 with a 0.68 ERA with 29 K and a .179 opponent BA across 26 2/3 IP across his past 4 outings.
Has posted a 2-0 record with 0.69 ERA and .208 opponent BA with 16 K across 13 IP in 2 starts against the Rangers this season.

Rangers at Astros odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rangers +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Astros -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +2.5 (-130) | Astros -2.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rangers at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 7, Rangers 1

Money line

The Astros (-320) would cost you over 3 times your potential return on the money line. Over the long term that’s a terrible betting strategy, as one could go 3-1 betting that type of line 4 times and still be in the red.

AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread

The ASTROS -2.5 (+105) are worth a roll of the dice laying the runs, as Verlander has just been that good this season. The Houston offense should be able to get to Otto early and provide its Cy Young candidate with more than enough offensive support.

Over/Under

The OVER 7.5 (-110) is worth playing rather lightly.

Sure, Verlander has allowed next to nothing lately, and the Under is 7-1 across his past 8 starts — the Rangers won’t be able to do much against him. However, the Astros offense should be able to get to Otto, perhaps even taking care of the Over on their own.

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New York Yankees at Houston Astros Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (64-28) and Houston Astros (59-32) meet Thursday at Minute Maid Park for the first game of a doubleheader. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Astros Game 1 odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Series tied 2-2

The Yankees took 2 of 3 win from the Boston Red Sox prior to the All-Star break, although New York limped to the end of the first half with just a 3-5 record in the last 8 outings.

The Astros alternated losses and wins across the final 6 games prior to the break. Houston lost 4-3 Sunday in the most recent outing, but the Astros haven’t lost consecutive games since a 3-game skid from June 8-11.

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Yankees at Astros projected starters

RHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Cristian Javier

Montgomery (3-2, 3.26 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 inc102 IP.

Has a 1-2 record, 3.19 ERA with 38 K in 48 IP in 9 road starts.
Is 0-2 with a 2.86 ERA with a .212 opponent batting average and 26 K across 28 1/3 IP in 5 daytime outings.

Javier (6-5, 3.22 ERA) makes his 14th start, and 18th appearance overall. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 12.9 K/9 in 78 1/3 IP.

Is 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA and .180 OBA with 46 K in 46 IP in 8 home starts.
Has allowed just 7 ER, 13 H and 10 BB with 22 K and a .160 OBA across 24 1/3 IP in 4 daytime starts with no wins or losses.

Yankees at Astros odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:27 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Yankees +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Astros -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+160)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Yankees at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Yankees 3

Money line

The ASTROS (-125) will be playing their first doubleheader of the season. The Yankees (+102) have posted a 2-2 record in the opener of a double dip so far this season.

Houston beat New York behind Javier on June 25 in the Bronx, winning 3-0. Look for the Astros to do it against at home.

Run line/Against the spread

The Yankees +1.5 (-200) will cost you over 2 times your potential return if you don’t trust them straight up and want a little insurance. It’s not a recommended play. Just roll with the Astros straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-120) is the play.

The Yankees have several players scrambling back from Los Angeles after appearing in the All-Star Game Tuesday. The Astros also had a handful of representatives. There wasn’t a lot of rest happening during the break. Expect the bats to be sluggish in this double dip opener.

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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (57-29) and Los Angeles Angels (38-50) play the second contest of a 3-game set Wednesday at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead series 8-3

The Astros picked up the narrow 6-5 victory in the series opener Tuesday, as Houston continues to dominate the season series against its AL West rivals.

The Angels are in a tailspin, going just 1-5 in their last 7 against divisional opponents, while going just 6-16 in the previous 22 games at home.

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Astros at Angels projected starters

RHP Cristian Javier vs. RHP Shohei Ohtani

Javier (6-4, 3.01 ERA) makes his 13th start and 17th overall appearance. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 through 74 2/3 IP.

Is 2-1 with a 3.56 ERA with a .207 opponent batting average with 41 K in 30 1/3 IP across 5 starts and 2 bullpen appearances on the road.
Has managed a 1-0 record, 0.73 ERA and .146 OBA with 21 K in 12 1/3 IP across 1 start and 2 relief appearances vs. LAA in 2022.

Ohtani (8-4, 2.44 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 through 81 IP.

Has posted a 4-2 record, 2.13 ERA and .184 OBA with 58 K across 42 1/3 IP in 7 home starts.
Is 1-1 with a 0.84 ERA and .135 OBA with 21 K across 10 2/3 IP in 2 starts vs. HOU this season.

Astros at Angels odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:30 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Angels -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-210) | Angels -1.5 (+170)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Astros at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 3, Astros 2

Money line

The ANGELS (-130) are a decent play behind the two-way star Ohtani, especially working at home.

The Halos are a bit of a risky play considering the fact they’re 1-6 in the past seven games against AL West opponents. However, it’s all about Ohtani when he is on the bump. The Angels have struggled overall, but they have won 5 straight starts when Ohtani toes the slab.

Run line/Against the spread

The Astros +1.5 (-210) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s expensive if you want some insurance. Just play Houston straight up if you like them, although I certainly do not with Ohtani on the bump.

AVOID.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-125) is a strong play with Javier and Ohtani on the hill. Both of these pitchers put up a lot of donuts.

We saw the Over hit in Tuesday’s game, as the Angels blew a 4-run lead in the bottom of the 7th inning. Runs will be at more of a premium in this one.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (6-4) head to Minute Maid Park Monday to start a 3-game series with American League West rival Houston Astros (5-4). First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. creamed the Texas Rangers 8-3 Sunday in their 4-game set finale for a third consecutive victory after dropping the series opener. But, Angels CF Mike Trout exited Sunday’s game with an injury after being hit by a pitch in the 5th inning. X-rays were negative on his left hand, but he’s likely to sit out due to swelling.

Houston lost the rubber match of a 3-game series in Seattle Sunday, 7-2, and the Astros were outscored by the Mariners 18-7.

Season series: Houston leads 3-1. The Astros have outscored the Angels 20-10.

Angels at Astros: Projected starters

RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. RHP Luis Garcia

Lorenzen (1-0, 1.50 ERA) had a quality start in his victory last Monday versus the Miami Marlins. He went 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 7 K in L.A.’s 6-2 win.

The Angels converted Lorenzen to a starter when signing him this past offseason after Lorenzen worked out the bullpen for the Cincinnati Reds from 2016-21.

Garcia (0-0, 0.00) earned a no-decision Tuesday in Houston’s 2-1 victory at the Arizona Diamondbacks despite pitching 4 scoreless frames with 2 H, 2 BB and 1 K.

2021 vs. Angels: 1-2 with a 4.10 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.56 WHIP and 5.8 K/9 over 4 starts.
vs. Angels on the current roster: 9.66 FIP with a .328 batting average, .449 wOBA, .633 expected slugging percentage, 13.7 K% and 91.5 mph exit velocity in 73 plate appearances.

Angels at Astros odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Angels +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-160) | Astros -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 6, Astros 4

Money line

LEAN to the ANGELS (+125) as L.A.’s bats have been red-hot to start the season, and Garcia has struggled against the Angels.

Furthermore, L.A.’s lineup ranks third in WAR, fourth in wRC+ and sixth in wOBA thus far (per FanGraphs) whereas Garcia’s scary pitching splits versus the Angels are written above.

It’s only a LEAN to the ANGELS (+125) because I prefer L.A.’s first 5-inning RL as my favorite bet.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET the ANGELS +0.5 (-105) FIRST 5 INNINGS RL because of Garcia’s aforementioned struggles versus L.A., and I’m high on Lorenzen as a starter.

Lorenzen signed with the Angels this past offseason because he’s a native Southern Californian, and L.A.’s front office offered him a starting rotation spot. Lorenzen’s pitching peripherals out of the bullpen were stellar, and he could be a middle-of-the-rotation starter for the Angels.

Also, I feel stronger about L.A.’s first 5-inning RL than its full-game ML because relief pitching has been a weakness for the Angels to start 2022.

TAKE the ANGELS +0.5 (-105) FIRST 5 INNINGS RL.

Over/Under

PASS since most of the market is on the Under, which is why the total is ticking down from the 9-run opener.

However, I’m staying away from the Under there might be some recency bias with that because the Under is 3-1 in the first 4 Angels-Astros meetings this year, and I’m higher on both teams’ lineups than their pitching staffs.

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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros meet American League West rival Los Angeles Angels on Opening Day Thursday at Angel Stadium with the first pitch set for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Houston won the season series last season 13-6, more than doubling the Angels in runs scored 117-58.

The Astros won the AL West last season with a 95-67 and lost the World Series 4-2 to the Atlanta Braves.

The Angels had yet another disappointing season in 2021, finishing 77-85, 18 games behind the Astros and going Under their projected season win total for a fourth consecutive year.

Astros at Angels: Projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Shohei Ohtani

Valdez is on the mound Opening Day for Houston after going 11-6 in 2021 with a 3.14 ERA (134 2/3 IP, 47 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 22 starts.

2021 vs. Angels: 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 12 H, 12 K and 8 BB in 2 starts.
vs. Angels on the current roster: 4.67 FIP with a .290 batting average (BA), .348 wOBA, .443 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 16.8 K% and 88.9 mph exit velocity (EV) in 113 plate appearances (PA).

Ohtani is making his first Opening Day start. He won the 2021 AL MVP as L.A.’s best starter while hitting the third-most home runs in the league (46). Ohtani was 9-2 in 23 starts last season with a 3.18 ERA (130 1/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9.

2021 vs. Astros: 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 13 H, 11 K and 1 BB in 2 starts.
vs. Astros on the current roster: 2.95 FIP with a .283 BA, .326 wOBA, .343 xSLG, 24.1 K% and 85.1 mph EV in 58 PA.

Astros at Angels odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:06 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Astros +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Angels -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-200) | Angels -1.5 (+160)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Astros at Angels prediction and picks

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 3

Money line

GIMME the ASTROS (+102) as a fade against the Angels (-125) as a favorite and since the presumed sharp side of the market is backing Houston.

According to Pregame.com, roughly 60% of the cash is on the Astros but a slight majority of the bets placed are on the Angels. Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the money when it’s counter to the public because sharps wager more money than your average Joe.

It feels like most casual bettors will take L.A. here since it’s at full strength and Ohtani is on the mound. However, the Angels snapped an 8-year Opening Day losing streak in 2021 so it’s typically profitable fading L.A. early on.

Furthermore, L.A.’s lineup struggled last season even when Mike Trout was healthy. Trout’s final game of 2021 was May 17 and up until then the Angels batters ranked 23rd in WAR, 27th in both hard-hit rate and EV. On the other hand, Houston’s lineup has been the best in the AL in recent seasons.

BET ASTROS (+102).

Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the ASTROS -1.5 (+165) ALTERNATE RL because Houston won by at least 2 runs in 12 of its 13 victories over L.A. last season and this payout is chunky enough to throw some change at.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” to the Over 8.5 (-130) because of all the firepower in both dugouts and it’s going to be a hot night in Anaheim so the ball could jump. But, a vast majority of the market is betting the Over as well and I don’t like following the herd in sports betting.

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Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (91-64) and Oakland Athletics (84-71) close out their three-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oakland Coliseum is slated for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The A’s have won the first two games of the series with the first being a 14-2 rout Friday and the second being decided by a walk-off RBI double from CF Starling Marte in Oakland’s 2-1 win Saturday.

Season series: Astros lead 9-6.

RHP Jake Odorizzi is Houston’s projected starter. Odorizzi is 6-7 with a 4.22 ERA (96 IP, 45 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 21 starts and one relief appearance.

Last outing: No-decision in Houston’s 15-1 victory at the Texas Rangers with 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 1 K. Odorizzi exited early with a sprained foot and missed his last start while on the injured list.
Road splits: 4-4 with a 4.70 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.23 WHIP and 2.6 K/BB in 12 starts.
vs. A’s on the current roster (102 PA): 3.58 FIP with a .194 batting average, .238 wOBA, .413 expected slugging percentage, 18.6 K% and 86.9 mph exit velocity.

RHP Paul Blackburn gets the nod for the A’s. Blackburn is 1-3 with a 5.17 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 across seven starts.

Last outing: Loss, 5-2, with 4 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 5 K Tuesday vs. the Seattle Mariners.
Home splits: 0-1 with a 4.67 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 22 H, 3 BB and 14 K over four starts.

Astros at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:08 a.m. ET.

Money line: Astros -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Athletics -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+133) | Athletics +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Prediction

Astros 8, Athletics 5

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ASTROS (-117) because, between starting and relief pitching, I’d give Houston the edge and the Astros have the much more productive lineup.

Oakland’s bullpen has the second-worst ERA in September and the fourth-worst WAR. Also, Blackburn has an ERA higher than 5 over his last seven starts and Odorizzi has a sub-3 ERA in his last seven outings.

On top of that, Houston has a better record in division games, against right-handed starters and is 35-26 overall as a road favorite while Oakland is only 7-12 as a home underdog.

Furthermore, the Astros clearly have the best lineup in road games. Houston’s lineup ranks first in wRC+, wOBA, BB/K and hard-hit rate away from home.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the payout for Houston’s money line isn’t steep enough considering the Astros are just 29-32 ATS as road favorites and the A’s are 12-7 ATS as home underdogs. Also, three of the last four Astros-Athletics meetings have been decided by a single run.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (+105) for a small wager because of the Oakland bullpen’s aforementioned struggles this month, Houston’s hitting prowess on the road and the Astros having a 13-6 O/U when Odorizzi gets the start.

Additionally, the Over has cashed in 12 of the last 17 Astros-Athletics meetings and eight of the last nine in Oakland.

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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (89-61) meet the Los Angeles Angels (72-78) Tuesday for the second game of their four-game series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Houston took the series opener Monday 10-0

Season series: Astros lead 11-5.

RHP Jose Urquidy takes the mound for the Astros. Urquidy is 7-3 with a 3.38 ERA (90 2/3 IP, 34 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 18 starts.

Last outing: Win, 7-2, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 6 K Wednesday at the Texas Rangers.
Urquidy earned a no-decision in Houston’s 9-1 home win over L.A. May 12 with a stat line of 3 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 4 K.
vs. Angels on the current roster (19 PA): 5.39 FIP with a .421 batting average, .460 wOBA, .567 expected slugging percentage, 15.8 K% and 85.1 mph exit velocity.

RHP Packy Naughton is on the hill for the Angels. Naughton is 0-2 with a 4.32 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 19 H, 8 BB and 11 K across three starts and two relief appearances in his rookie season.

Astros at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:47 p.m. ET.

Money line: Astros -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Angels +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Against the spread/ATS: Astros -2.5 (+105) | Angels +2.5 (-130)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Prediction

Astros 8, Angels 3

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Astros (-230) because they are clearly the right side since it’s September so Houston is ramping up for the postseason and L.A. is planning offseason vacations.

However, the Astros are just a little too expensive for an outright win and I’m hesitant to include them in a parlay because of their price as a road favorite.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the ASTROS -2.5 (+105) for a tiny wager because their lineup ranks in the top 3 of wOBA, wRC+ and WAR this month whereas L.A.’s lineup is dead-last in each of those metrics for Sept.

Furthermore, this is a “pros” and “joes” play with both sides of the market laying it with the Astros, which has caused sportsbooks to increase Houston’s money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (+105) because the “pros” and “joes” are on the Over as well and have steamed the total up from the 9-run opener.

Also, the Astros-Angels have played to the Over in 10 of their last 14 meetings in L.A., Houston is 10-5 O/U when Urquidy gets the start and the Astros are 39-24-4 O/U against AL West teams.

I’d feel stronger about the OVER 9.5 (+105) if L.A.’s lineup wasn’t a complete no-show over the past three weeks.

However, as we saw Monday, the Astros are dialed in at the plate and the Angels’ bullpen is weak enough that Houston can push this game Over the total itself.

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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (72-77) host the Houston Astros (88-61) Monday for the start of their four-game series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead 10-5.

LHP Framber Valdez is Houston’s projected starter. Valdez is 10-5 with a 3.26 ERA (116 IP, 42 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 across 19 starts.

Last outing: Win, 10-5, with 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 5 BB and 6 K vs. the Angels Sept. 10 in his only 2021 appearance against L.A.
vs. Angels on the current roster (73 PA): 4.72 FIP with a .270 batting average (BA), .331 wOBA, .355 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 20.5 K% and 87.3 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Jaime Barria is on the rubber for the Angels. Barria is 2-3 with a 4.93 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 across nine starts and two relief appearances.

Last outing: No-decision in L.A.’s 3-1 loss at the Astros Sept. 12 with 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 6 K.
Barria is 0-1 against Houston this season with a 5.14 ERA (7 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 5 BB and 7 K in two starts.
vs. Astros on the current roster (134 PA): 6.53 FIP with a .308 BA, .410 wOBA, .453 xSLG, 20.9 K% and 89.0 mph EV.

Astros at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.

Money line: Astros -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Angels +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (-135) | Angels +1.5 (+110)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 5

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Angels (+175) because I like them on the run line, L.A. has a winning record both at home and against lefty starters and the line hasn’t moved much from the opening number despite one-sided action on the Astros.

However, Houston is 44-22 vs. AL West foes, is playing much better baseball than Los Angeles at the moment and the Angels’ roster is probably starting to make offseason plans while the Astros are ramping up for postseason baseball.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the ANGELS +1.5 (+110) for a tiny wager – if at all – because I much prefer the Over than a side in this contest.

That said, L.A.’s hitting splits against left-handed pitching are around league average and Valdez only got a win over the Angels in their last meeting because of enormous run support. In fact, Valdez’s FIP vs. L.A. Sept. 10 was his highest of the year for any start and his EV was the fourth-highest.

Houston holds an edge in the three most important phases of the game but that’s accounted for in the pricing and the ANGLES +1.5 (+110) is the only way I’d play it. Again, I much prefer the total in this game.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 8.5 (-135) because neither starter has looked good against their respective opponent and L.A.’s bullpen has really struggled this month. The way I envision this game playing out is the Angels get an early lead on Valdez then the Astros storm back vs. an L.A. bullpen that’s in the bottom 10 of xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% in September.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Houston Astros at San Diego Padres odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (79-56) tangle with the San Diego Padres (72-64) Sunday for the finale of their three-game series at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the series rubber match. San Diego picked up a 10-2 win Saturday after Houston beat the Padres 6-2 Friday.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2.

RHP Luis Garcia is Houston’s projected starter. Garcia is 10-6 with a 3.23 ERA (128 1/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 23 starts and two relief appearances.

Last outing: No-decision in Houston’s 4-3 victory at the Seattle Mariners Monday with a stat line of 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 6 K.
Road splits: 4-3 with a 4.85 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.37 WHIP and 2.9 K/BB in 12 starts.

RHP Chris Paddack gets the nod for the Padres. Paddack is 7-6 with a 4.98 ERA (97 2/3 IP, 54 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 20 starts and one relief appearance.

Last outing: No-decision with 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 5 K in San Diego’s 7-5 victory at the Arizona Diamondbacks Monday.
Home splits: 3-4 with a 6.59 ERA (42 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.68 WHIP and 3.8 K/BB in nine starts and one bullpen outing.

Astros at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Astros -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+145) | Padres +1.5 (-180)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Padres 5, Astros 3

Money line (ML)

BET 1 unit on the PADRES (-110) because we are a huge “line freeze” in the betting market and this is just a better spot for San Diego.

According to the early-morning action report at Pregame.com, more than 90% of the cash wagered was on the Astros, but oddsmakers didn’t touch Houston’s money line.

Furthermore, Garcia is a lot less effective on the road than at home and the Padres are 12-5 overall in interleague games while the Astros are just 7-9.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though it would be great to have some insurance for our San Diego money line wager. However, the Padres +1.5 (-180) needs to be south of -150 before I’d wager on them.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-107) for a tiny wager because there’s a little “reverse line movement” in the betting market as roughly 90% of the money bet in the early-morning action report is on the Over according to Pregame.com. However, oddsmakers have brought the Astros-Padres total down from the flat-9 opener.

It’s a red flag whenever the House makes the more popular side cheaper. This suggests sportsbooks want more pro-Over wagers because the oddsmakers think their projected total is sharp.

However, since my handicap of the Astros-Padres is mostly just a “contrarian play” against a market barreling into the Over, I’m not confident enough to bet a lot on the Under.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Houston Astros at San Diego Padres odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (79-55) meet the San Diego Padres (71-64) Saturday for the second game in their three-game series at Petco Park with the first pitch scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Houston took the series opener 6-3 Friday after scoring a combined 3 runs in the top of the 8th and 9th innings.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

LHP Framber Valdez is Houston’s projected starter. He is 9-4 with a 2.91 ERA (105 IP, 34 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 over 17 starts.

Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 7 K Saturday at the Texas Rangers.
Valdez took a no-decision in San Diego’s 10-3 victory in Houston May 28 with a stat line of 4 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
- vs. Padres on the current roster (24 PA): 7.20 FIP with a .063 batting average (BA), .288 wOBA, .294 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 16.7 K% and 85.4 mph exit velocity (EV).
2021 road stats: 5-3 with a 3.10 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.11 WHIP and 2.9 K/BB through eight starts.

RHP Joe Musgrove is on the rubber for the Padres. He is 9-8 with a 2.85 ERA (148 1/3 IP, 47 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 25 starts and one relief appearance.

Last outing: Complete-game win, 5-0, 3 H, 2 BB and 9 K at the Los Angeles Angels Aug. 27.
2021 home stats: 5-4 with a 2.36 ERA (76 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 0.98 WHIP and 4.9 K/BB across 13 starts.
vs. Astros on the current roster (36 PA): 2.58 FIP with a .219 BA, .246 wOBA, .309 xSLG, 11.1 K% and 86.2 mph EV.

Astros at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Astros -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Padres -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+155) | Padres +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Padres 4, Astros 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the PADRES (-112) for a half unit as a “contrarian play” against a slight majority of the market that’s backing the Astros. The pro-Houston money has caused sportsbooks to make San Diego’s money line cheaper.

That said, Musgrove has been a lot more effective at home compared to his road starts, the Padres are 39-23 as home favorites, 23-15 against lefty starters and 11-5 in interleague games.

Furthermore, this is the cheapest San Diego has been as a home favorite with Musgrove on the mound and the Padres are 8-4 in this spot with an average line of -189.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though I’d love some insurance on San Diego’s money line since it’s an underdog on the run line; however, Padres +1.5 (-190) is far too expensive considering they are just 2-7 ATS as a home underdog this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-120) for a half unit because I’m expecting another impressive outing from Musgrove, San Diego’s bullpen has been an elite unit all year, Padres bats struggle against left-handed pitching and Houston’s relief pitching has been the best in baseball since the All-Star break.

However, the presumed “sharp” money is backing the Over while the public is betting the Under and, typically, it’s wiser to follow the money rather than the crowd in sports gambling.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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