Florida vs Tennessee Prediction, Game Preview

Florida vs Tennessee game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 4 game on Saturday, September 24

Florida vs Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 4, Saturday, September 24


Florida vs Tennessee How To Watch

Date: Saturday, September 24
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Florida (2-1), Tennessee (3-0)
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Florida vs Tennessee Game Preview

Why Florida Will Win

Outside of one massively bad throw against Kentucky, the Gators aren’t hurting themselves. Considering things haven’t been all that smooth, winning the mistake game will be everything in this.

They’re not getting hit with a slew of penalties, there’s been just one lost fumble, and overall the team is net even in turnover margin.

On the other side, Tennessee has only turned it over three times, but the 24 penalties are too many, the special teams have been a tad shaky, and the Gators will be the first true test talent-wise.

The offensive line has been strong, the running game has been great, and now the team has to do what it does best. Get the dangerous runners in space, be more about grinding than trying to be sensational, and hit the Tennessee defense hard.

Yeah, the Vols have been strong so far defensively – playing Ball State and Akron will do that. Pitt was able to run a little bit, but it tried to win the game through the air. That was a problem when starting QB Kedon Slovis got hurt.

However …

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Why Tennessee Will Win

You have thrown as many touchdown passes as your 2022 Florida Gators have.

Yes, the running game has been strong, and yes, Anthony Richardson will be an interesting NFL draft pick, but the passing attack has been wildly inconsistent at best, disastrous at worst, and if the Vols can hold up against the run, everything should be fine.

The Florida offense is getting all of the attention, but the defense is the biggest problem. It’s the worst in the SEC at third down spots, the run D just got hammered by USF, and there’s not enough of a pass rush to bother the Vol backfield.

Tennessee QB Hendon Hooker has been fantastic, the passing game has yet to throw a pick, and if there’s some semblance of balance – running the ball wasn’t an issue against the MAC teams – Florida’s offense won’t be able to keep up.

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What’s Going To Happen

There’s been a lot of bending without breaking from the Florida defense.

As bad as it has been at times, it’s been able to get the job done. It’s not totally fair to blame the Kentucky loss on the Richardson pick six, but if he doesn’t throw that, it’s a different game.

Florida will hold up just enough to keep this close, but the inability to get much out of the passing game will be too much to overcome. Tennessee won’t go off, but it’ll get out with the win it’s been waiting for since 2016.

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Florida vs Tennessee Prediction, Line

Tennessee 30, Florida 23
Line: Tennessee -11, o/u: 62.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Florida vs Tennessee Must See Rating (out of 5): 4

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Florida vs Tennessee Prediction, Game Preview

Florida vs Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, September 25

Florida vs Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, September 25


Florida vs Tennessee How To Watch

Date: Saturday, September 25
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Florida (2-1), Tennessee (2-1)
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Florida vs Tennessee Game Preview


Why Tennessee Will Win

The Vols are rebuilding, but in a slight surprise, the defense hasn’t been all that bad. It’s great against the run, good at getting into the backfield and it’s been great on third downs.

But in this, it’s about whether or not Joe Milton – coming back from an injury – or Hendon Hooker and the passing game can get going against a Florida secondary that held its own against Alabama, but isn’t a rock.

It’s also about whether or not …

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Why Florida Will Win

Tennessee turns the ball over.

The Vol run D stats are a bit misleading. Pitt can run a bit, but Bowling Green and Tennessee Tech weren’t going to do much on the ground. Florida won’t take many chances, because it doesn’t have to.

The formula for this is easy. Run the ball, keep running it, control the clock, and wait for the Vols to make a mistake.

Tennessee is awful in the time of possession battle – that’s sort of by design with its fast attack that keeps things moving. The Gators should be able to grind it out offensively, and for a defense that doesn’t take the ball away a ton – just three times so far – getting at least two takeaways would tip the scales.

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What’s Going To Happen

Just how beaten up emotionally and physically is Florida after that wonderful battle against Alabama?

If anything – from all indications – the team was charged up by that now that it knows it can hang with the elite of the elite.

The Gators are also catching a break with Milton likely starting – Hooker is the better option. Hooker won big games like this at Virginia Tech, and Milton 1) never won big battles at Michigan and 2) isn’t accurate enough to pull this off.

It’ll take a little while to get going, but Florida will have the ball for over 35 minutes as it grinds its way to a win.

Florida vs Tennessee Prediction, Line

Florida 38, Tennessee 17
Line: Florida -20, o/u: 63
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3

5: Muhammad Ali film by Ken Burns
1: Dear Evan Hansen

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Florida vs Tennessee Prediction, Game Preview

Florida Gators vs Tennessee Volunteers prediction and game preview.

Florida vs Tennessee prediction and game preview.


Florida vs Tennessee Broadcast

Date: Saturday, December 5
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Network: CBS

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Florida (7-1) vs Tennessee (2-5) Game Preview

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Why Florida Will Win

Tennessee isn’t moving the ball at all.

The defense isn’t amazing, but it’s also not getting any help. The Vol offense was able to connect on 60% of its third down chances against Auburn, but that’s an outlier. In general so far, the Vols have been a total disaster on third downs – they’re last in the SEC in conversions – and the defense isn’t doing its part, either.

That all leads to the other big problem – time of possession. Florida can strike quickly, but keeping Kyle Trask and company off the field as much as possible is a must. For all of the flash and dash, the Gators are terrific when it comes to ball control, there aren’t a ton of turnovers outside of a few high-profile Trask misfires, and then there’s the offense.

It’s relentless.

Trask hasn’t thrown a pick in either of the last two games, he’s up to 36 touchdown passes hitting 71% of his throws, and the big plays keep on coming. Trask has improved his completion percentage over each of the last five games, but …

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Why Tennessee Will Win

Tennessee has the pass rush to be an issue.

The Gator offensive front is doing an outstanding job in pass protection, but Tennessee is decent at generate enough of a push behind the line to be a problem. Not having star pass rusher Kivon Bennett around doesn’t help, but the D is consistent at getting into the backfield.

For all of the offensive problems, it came up with its first 200 rushing yard, 200 receiving yard game of the year in the loss to Auburn a few weeks ago, RB Eric Gray is quietly cranking out a big season with three 100-yard days in the last four, and it all has to start working.

The Florida defense has started to looked great lately, but going against Vanderbilt and Kentucky had a lot to do with that. However …

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What’s Going To Happen

The Florida D was good against Georgia and others, too.

Like Alabama’s defense, the Gators suffer a wee bit perception-wise after playing Ole Miss early – the game at Texas A&M didn’t help – but they really are good enough on that side of the ball to at least hold serve.

Tennessee keeps on trying, but it’s not having any real luck over the five-game losing streak, and now it’s about to get hit hard by Trask and the Florida O that gets through this, deals with LSU, and then will be off to the SEC Championship.

Florida vs Tennessee Prediction, Line

Florida 37, Tennessee 17
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Florida -17.5, o/u: 62.5
ATS Confidence out of 5:

Must See Rating:

5: Gangs of London
1: Hillbilly Elegy

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