Daily Fantasy: The one Chiefs player you need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings

Chiefs running back Darrel Williams could be a daily fantasy sports sleeper in Week 1.

Can’t wait to get daily fantasy football rolling after a long offseason? Thursday has quite the matchup for you. The Kansas City Chiefs begin their title defense at home on Thursday Night Football against the Houston Texans at 8:20 p.m. on NBC.

As the case often is with the Chiefs in recent memory, there are options all over their roster in terms of fantasy. There’s big-play potential in Tyreek Hill at wide receiver, and of course, quarterback Patrick Mahomes seems to always pay dividends.

But the thing the really helps in all forms of fantasy football is an ability to find a sleeper. Mahomes will certainly bring production against the Texans, but his $7,400 salary on your team (roster limit: $50,000) is a big chunk of change.

Instead, there’s a tempting sleeper option that can be found in KC’s backfield: Darrel Williams. He’s not the starter for the Chiefs – that’s rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire – but rolling the dice on the No. 2 running back in Week 1 could pay dividends.

Edwards-Helaire is among the most-expensive backs at $7,000. Williams is a worthwhile selection at $4,200 against the Texans. He has short-yardage ability which could pay off, against a defense that allowed the sixth-most points to running backs in fantasy football last season (452.8 total). Considering the COVID-19 offseason, Edwards-Helaire might be slowly brought along as well, giving Williams more early-season opportunities.

Receiver options for the Chiefs could make a difference, but the Texans attempted to address that area of their defense, bringing in Bradley Roby and Vernon Hargreaves this offseason. Williams is much more of a low-risk, high-reward option.

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Daily Fantasy: The one Browns player you need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings

The Browns committed dollars and draft picks to players to help their running game. Expect Nick Chubb to be the benefactor of that in Week 1.

The 2020 NFL season is upon and the Cleveland Browns will open up against a familiar foe in what should be a physical AFC North confrontation against the Baltimore Ravens.

With the fantasy football season in full swing, this opening week matchup presents some challenges in deciding what one player on Cleveland’s roster to hitch your wagon to in Week 1 on the road in Baltimore.

The Browns — led by Chubb’s 1,494 rushing yards — averaged nearly 119 rushing yards per game last season, the 12th-highest mark in the league. And that was with mediocre-at-best play from their tackles. During the offseason, former Eagles executive and new Browns GM, Andrew Berry, addressed that issue. He signed former All-Pro tackle in Jack Conklin in March, then drafted Alabama product Jedrick Wills Jr. at No. 10 overall to help establish a culture of dominance in the trenches. With that goal set in stone, Chubb has to be your fantasy player this week.

Kareem Hunt got a new contract, but Chubb is the engine that’ll make the Browns offensive train move and he’s already feasted on the Ravens, battering Baltimore to the tune of 183 total yards and three touchdowns in a Week 4 meeting on the road.

With the pandemic impacting offseason work and OTAs, the one thing the Browns will be able to do once they step off the bus is run the ball and look for Chubb to get the bulk of the carries early on and often.

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Daily Fantasy: The one 49ers player you need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings

There’s one 49ers player you need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings.

The one San Francisco 49ers player that your need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings is RB Raheem Mostert.

The 49ers are going with a three-headed monster at the running back position, leaning on Tevin Coleman, Jerrick McKinnon and Raheem Mostert. Typically, fantasy experts would tell you to avoid a backfield like this at all costs, but with this specific group, it’s pretty easy to discern what’s going to happen. San Francisco doesn’t technically have a player considered the starter among these three, but someone will inevitably be listed as the starter on the depth chart. Our own Kyle Madson anticipates that Coleman will get the starting job, but he’ll yield most of the touches to Mostert.

In 2019, Mostert didn’t get his first carry until Week 4 of the 2020 season, but by the end of the regular season, he’d racked up 11 total touchdowns and averaged 58.3 yards per game. They’re not going to make the mistake of failing to utilize this weapon again, especially after they signed him to a new deal.

San Francisco averaged just 237 passing yards per game in 2019, but they were No. 2 in the league in average rushing yards per game at 153.5. They’ll face an Arizona Cardinals defense in Week 1 which allowed on average 120 rushing yards per game to opponents in 2019.

At $5,800, Mostert falls just outside of the top 20 running backs in terms of cost in DraftKings during Week 1. I’d wager that he has a good chance to get off to a hot start against a Cardinals defense that ranked in the bottom of the league in rushing yards allowed last season.

Daily Fantasy: The one Texans player you need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings

Texans running back Duke Johnson could be a daily fantasy sports sleeper in Week 1.

The Houston Texans will face the Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL’s season opener on Thursday, Sept. 10 at 7:20 p.m. CT on NBC. The game features two explosive offenses and several fantasy football stars.

For the Texans, quarterback Deshaun Watson should have a good game, but he’s an expensive quarterback ($6,900) in DraftKings’ daily fantasy salary cap challenge (roster limit: $50,000). With an average of $5,555 available per player in the cap challenge, splurging on Watson would leave you with limited options at other positions.

Houston’s new running back, David Johnson, will make his debut against Kansas City but he also has a costly cap hit ($6,000). Johnson’s cost seems to be based more on name recognition than actual performance, making him a poor play in DFS.

The Texans player to start this week could be fellow running back Duke Johnson, who has an affordable cap hit of $4,500. David is listed as the starter on Houston’s depth chart but Duke seems like a much better value.

Duke could serve as the Texans’ primary receiving back this year after catching 44 passes for 410 yards and three touchdowns last season. KC had the fifth-highest scoring offense in the NFL last season and Houston might have to throw often to stay in Thursday’s game.

When the Texans faced the Chiefs in the Divisional Round of the Playoffs last season, Watson threw 52 passes and Duke led the team’s backfield with five receptions. He also got limited work in the ground game with one rush.

Duke Johnson will share touches with David Johnson but his low cap hit makes him an intriguing option for Week 1.

Daily Fantasy: The one Titans player you need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings

Titans tight end Jonnu Smith could be a DFS sleeper in Week 1.

The Tennessee Titans will go on the road in Week 1 to face the Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football on Sept. 14. The game, televised on ESPN, will feature several notable fantasy football options.

For the Titans, running back Derrick Henry is the big name in fantasy, but he has an expensive price tag ($7,900) in DraftKings’ daily fantasy salary cap challenge (roster limit: $50,000). With an average of $5,500 available to spend on each player, it’s probably not worth splurging on Henry.

When Tennessee faced Denver in Week 6 last year, Henry was limited to just 28 rushing yards on 15 carries. Henry will likely have a better game in Monday’s season opener but his DFS cap hit it too big to justify.

Instead, fantasy owners should consider playing tight end Jonnu Smith.

Denver’s defense allowed the sixth-most receptions to tight ends last season (90) and the fourth-most yards (974). The Broncos only allowed three touchdowns to TEs in 2019 but that might have been more of a coincidence than an intentional effort to lock down tight ends in the red zone.

The Broncos’ top coverage linebacker, Mark Barron, has a hamstring injury and might not play in Denver’s season opener. If Barron doesn’t suit up in Week 1, the Broncos’ defense might struggle to cover TEs even more than usual.

Titans tight ends totaled five catches for 76 yards in a 16-0 loss to Denver last season. With Delanie Walker no longer part of the team, Smith has emerged as the No. 1 tight end on Tennessee’s depth chart and he could be a DFS sleeper in Week 1 with an intriguing matchup against the Broncos.

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Daily Fantasy: The one Chargers player you need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings

Chargers quarterback Tyrod Taylor could be a daily fantasy sports sleeper in Week 1.

The Los Angeles Chargers are starting a new era in 2020, doing so against another team turning the page as well. The Bolts open their season in Cincinnati against the Bengals on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. on CBS.

Don’t let these new faces on the field steer you away, either. There are profitable fantasy options in this one for the Chargers, namely under center.

Starting the post-Phillip Rivers era for the Bolts is Tyrod Taylor. While finding himself in and out of the starter role during his career, Taylor has a chance to produce a cost-efficient season opener for your daily fantasy team with a salary of only $5,600.

The focal point of the Bengals’ offseason centered around quarterback Joe Burrow. Fixing an entire roster isn’t going to happen overnight. Plus, Burrow and other additions made by Cincy won’t do much to help a defense that allowed the fourth-most yards last year, 393.7 per game.

The knee-jerk reaction here might be to use the Chargers’ backfield to attack the NFL’s worst run defense in 2019 with running back Austin Ekeler. However, Ekeler has a DraftKings salary of $7,000 (roster limit: $50,000). Savings can be found in Taylor ($5,600).

Not only does Taylor have strong short-options in Ekeler through the air, don’t forget about receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. In Taylor’s spell as a starter with the Bills, he mixed in his very-profitable mobility with a good deep ball. In 2016, he had a 101.5 passer rating on 129 deep passes. Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn, who spent 2016 with the Bills offense and Taylor, won’t forget that.

Not to mention, the Bengals did allow the ninth-most fantasy points to QBs a year ago.

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Daily Fantasy: The one Raiders player you need to start in Week 1 on DraftKings

Raiders running back Josh Jacobs could be a daily fantasy sports sleeper in Week 1.

The Raiders start the Las Vegas era in their franchise history about as far away from their new home as one could imagine. The Carolina Panthers host the Raiders at 1 p.m. on Sunday on CBS.

When searching for a reliable daily fantasy football option here, finding a loophole or two can pay off. But not overthinking things can work just as well and as long as the Raiders do that on the field, you’ll be happy you did the same in fantasy.

Heading from out west to the East Coast, handing the ball to running back Josh Jacobs is the easiest and smartest play for the silver and black against the Panthers. Carolina turned the page on head coach Ron Rivera and Cam Newton this offseason, turning the keys over to Matt Rhule and Teddy Bridgewater, respectively.

Tough to imagine those two making much of an impact on the defensive front for Carolina, though. Jacobs isn’t the most cost-efficient running back you’ll find this week on DraftKings as his salary is $6,800 (roster limit: $50,000). But signs point to that being a smart investment.

Jacobs had a stellar 1,000-yard rookie season and is now healthy. He’s facing a Panthers defense that was the NFL’s worst run defense last year, which also allowed the league’s most points to running backs in fantasy (510.4). The Panthers did make efforts to improve their D-line, but primarily with a pair of rookies in Derrick Brown and Yetur Gross-Matos. They’ll need to adjust to the pro game and Jacobs should exploit that.

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Fantasy Football Roundtable: Season-long staff predictions

Several of our staff members dish on their favorite picks and predictions for the 2020 NFL season.

The Huddle’s main “voice” comes through the keyboard of David Dorey, whether it be with his sleepers and value picks, or through his in-depth rankings and game previews.

In today’s exercise, we see how Dorey’s favored selections across an array of fantasy topics matches up with The Huddle regulars. Let’s see if we can form any kind of consensus, and even if we cannot, it is always fun to have a snapshot of differing opinions.

2020 fantasy football and NFL staff predictions

NFL MVP?

David Dorey: Dak Prescott
Cory Bonini: Russell Wilson
Ken Pomponio: Patrick Mahomes
Harley Schultz: Patrick Mahomes
HC Green: Russell Wilson

Fantasy football MVP?

DMD: Saquon Barkley
CJB:
Raheem Mostert
KP:
Saquon Barkley
HS:
Patrick Mahomes
HCG:
Christian McCaffrey

Fantasy football Offensive Rookie of the Year?

DMD: Clyde Edwards-Helaire
CJB:
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
KP:
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
HS:
Joe Burrow
HCG:
Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Must-have sleeper?

DMD: T.Y. Hilton
CJB:
Diontae Johnson
KP:
Antonio Gibson
HS:
Jack Doyle
HCG:
Justin Jackson

Must-have breakout player?

DMD: Cam Akers
CJB:
DK Metcalf
KP:
Raheem Mostert
HS:
Preston Williams
HCG:
Diontae Johnson

Favorite late-round flier?

DMD: James Washington
CJB:
Hunter Renfrow
KP:
Preston Williams
HS:
Miles Boykin
HCG:
Gardner Minshew

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Biggest bust?

DMD: Todd Gurley
CJB:
Kenyan Drake
KP:
David Johnson
HS:
Mike Evans
HCG:
David Johnson

Divisional winners?

DMD: Patriots, Ravens, Titans, Chiefs, Cowboys, Vikings, Saints, Seahawks
CJB:
Bills, Steelers, Colts, Chiefs, Eagles, Packers, Saints, Seahawks
KP:
Bills, Steelers, Colts, Chiefs, Cowboys, Lions, Buccaneers, 49ers
HS:
Bills, Ravens, Colts, Chiefs, Cowboys, Vikings, Buccaneers, Seahawks
HCG:
Bills, Ravens, Colts, Chiefs, Eagles, Packers, Saints, Seahawks

Most surprising turnaround team (bad to good)?

DMD: Colts
CJB:
Dolphins
KP:
Lions
HS:
Lions
HCG:
Colts

Most surprising drop-off team (good to bad)?

DMD: Bills
CJB:
Vikings
KP:
Patriots
HS:
49ers
HCG:
Vikings

AFC Champion?

DMD: Chiefs
CJB:
Steelers
KP:
Chiefs
HS:
Chiefs
HCG:
Ravens

NFC Champion?

DMD: Saints
CJB:
Seahawks
KP:
Cowboys
HS:
Cowboys
HCG:
Saints

Super Bowl Champion?

DMD: Saints
CJB:
Seahawks
KP:
Chiefs
HS:
Chiefs
HCG:
Ravens

If Mike Evans misses the Bucs’ Week 1 game, there’s one important name fantasy owners need to know

Is it Scotty Miller SZN?

If fantasy owners don’t know the name Scotty Miller already, here’s your introduction.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers coach Bruce Arians told the media on Wednesday that star wideout Mike Evans has a “soft tissue injury” that kept him out of practice and made him “day to day.”

That’s not great with Sunday’s Week 1 game against the New Orleans Saints looming, and we know that soft tissue injuries can sometimes linger.

That brings us to who you should look at on the waiver wire if Evans is out. And Miller — a sixth-round pick out of Bowling Green in the 2019 draft — has all kinds of upside.

There’s already been chatter about Miller from none other than Tom Brady himself. From last month’s NBC Boston story:

“He’s just another great, consistent, dependable, trustworthy player,” Brady said Friday. “Everything we talk about, he retains, and he takes it to the next practice. He’s displaying things and he’s showing to everybody that he deserves a big role.

“You can trust where he’s going to be, he makes the plays when they come his way. He’s really been fun to work with and fun to see grow from the day that I got here.”

Chemistry is a big deal with the new guy under center. Then there’s his speed. Check this out!

And then this from last season:

Because it’s Week 1, you probably already have a backup receiver lined up in case Evans is out. But if you’ve got a bench spot to spend, I like rolling the dice on Miller over Justin Watson, with all that Brady praise pushing it over the top.

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Fantasy football free-agent forecast: Week 1

Which players should you check for on the waiver wire before the season starts?

Be sure to check the wire for the following players, provided your league’s settings permit acquisitions before Week 1. Depending on how early your league drafted, its bench depth, and a few other factors, the availability of these players is bound to vary.

This week, we’ll keep it short and sweet since so many leagues either waited until the last minute this year or don’t offer a waiver period prior to Week 1. Some of the more obvious inclusions have been left out for leagues that may have drafted in July or even earlier.

In that event, a few options, such as Bryce Love, Adrian Peterson, J.D. McKissic, Steven Sims — okay, basically just current or former Washington players — may now have value they didn’t a month ago. Fortunately, and this is an obvious byproduct of having little on-field activity this summer, it was an extremely light year for injuries. Fingers crossed that trend doesn’t immediately reverse course once the real thing begins.

5 fantasy football waiver wire picks before Week 1

Free-agent recommendations refer to 12-team league formats, unless specifically stated. FAAB $ amounts are based on a $100 budget.

1) RB James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars: Despite possibly being a one-week whiff, gamers should add the rookie back if for no other reason than to get ahead of the curve. Should he either have the bulk of the backfield touches or show a pulse, he’ll be rostered immediately after Week 1 by your competition. Chances are, even with a lackluster Week 1 effort, Robinson will see reps for several weeks, unless Devine Ozigbo stands out. RB Ryquell Armstead will be on the COVD-19 list for some time, his coach said.

Available: 76 percent
FAAB: <$15

2) WR Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas Raiders: The shoulder injury suffered by veteran receiver Tyrell Williams means he’ll need season-ending surgery. This move likely forces Jon Gruden to play rookie first-round pick Henry Ruggs III on the outside rather than in the slot, thus freeing up more work for Renfrow. Ruggs is expected to play flanker, which allows him to move around the field, and he could rotate at times into the slot, pushing Renfrow outside. The second-year Clemson product is the elder statesman of this receiving corps and deserves a look in PPR leagues after a strong closing of his rookie campaign.

Available: 44 percent
FAAB: $2-4

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3) TE Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings: The veteran has a history of posting fantasy stats in spurts, often making him a frustrating player. In 2020, the offense, at least early on, could ask more of him than usual. Gary Kubiak takes over as the new playcaller and has a history of involving the position. Rookie WR Justin Jefferson has to learn a pro system on the fly after the pandemic destroyed the normal offseason routine. The Green Bay Packers lost linebacker Blake Martinez in the offseason, and Pack rated as a neutral defense vs. the position prior to seeing their best coverage ‘backer defect. Rudolph has a chance at sneaking into the end zone this week and is an intriguing flier if your normal starter has a tough matchup.

Available: 67 percent
FAAB: $1-2

4) QB Gardner Minshew, Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags have no running game to speak of entering the year, and the second-year quarterback could be forced into plenty of pass-heavy scripts. He’s a fringe QB1 based on volume alone, but it won’t be pretty some weeks, so treat him as a matchup play. Versus the Indianapolis Colts this week, Minshew is best left in reserve. In the off-chance he exceeds expectations, Minshew will cost a little more next week.

Available: 48 percent
FAAB: $1

5) RB Lynn Bowden Jr., Miami Dolphins: The Las Vegas Raiders spent a third-round pick on Bowden and still opted to trade him a few months later, which doesn’t sound great, but he has a chance to contribute in Miami. The Dolphins have a fragile Matt Breida and an underwhelming Jordan Howard leading the way, so Bowden could be used as a satellite player if something happens to Breida. In leagues that have deep benches, he’s worth a look for a few bucks as a stash-and-hold speculative buy.

Available: 89 percent
FAAB: $0

Next week, our typical format will return full of player recommendations of all types. Best of luck in Week 1, and hopefully your players stay healthy!