Tag: Dodgers Padres odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) and San Diego Padres (54-56) meet Saturday for game 2 of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 8:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-1

Los Angeles won 10-5 as +114 road underdogs in the series opener Friday. San Diego led 3-1 after 7 innings, but L.A. scored 5 runs in the 8th and 3 more in the 9th to win a 6th straight in the head-to-head series.

The Dodgers have won 4 straight, are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and are 29-25 on the road this season.

The Padres, who are 29-26 at home, had a 2-game win streak snapped with Friday’s loss. They are 5-2 in their last 7 and 6-4 in their last 10.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Michael Grove vs. LHP Blake Snell 

Grove (2-3, 6.75 ERA) is slated to make his 12th start of the season — and 15th appearance. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 9-0 home loss to Cincinnati Reds Sunday
  • 2023 road stats: 1-1, 8.85 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 2.21 WHIP, 5.8 K/9
  • Never faced Padres before — made MLB debut May 15, 2022

Snell (8-8, 2.50 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 119 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER (1 unearned), 4 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 5-3 home win vs. Texas Rangers Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 7-4, 2.58 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 12.6 K/9
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-2, 2.61 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 11 starts

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-150) | Padres -1,5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 1

Moneyline

LEAN DODGERS (+135).

As mentioned, Los Angeles has dominated San Diego this season, winning 6 in a row. Plus, the Dodgers are 3-1 the last 4 times they faced Snell in a regular-season contest.

Snell is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA (21 IP, 9 ER) and 1.24 WHIP in those 4 starts, including 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER) and a 1.00 WHIP in 2 starts this season.

Look for the DODGERS (+135) to continue their hot streak vs. the Padres Saturday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I’m confident the Dodgers will cover the run line, but at +1.5 (-150), the juice eliminates the value. Bet the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 7-2 in the Padres last 9 games, 4-1 in Snell’s last 5 starts, and 4-0 in Snell’s last 4 starts vs. the Dodgers — which includes a 2022 playoff game.

Prior to Friday’s opener cashing an Over ticket — thanks to the Dodgers’ late runs — the Under was 6-0 in the previous 6 head-to-head meetings.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-45) and San Diego Padres (54-55) meet Friday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-1

Los Angeles won 8-2 as a -271 home favorite Thursday to complete a 3-game sweep of the Oakland Athletics. The Athletics only came close to the Dodgers once in that game, when they trailed 2-1 in the top of the 6th, but the Dodgers were quick to answer. Los Angeles scored 4 runs in the bottom of the 6th to take an insurmountable 6-1 lead. The Dodgers have won 3 straight and are 28-25 on the road this season.

San Diego won 11-1 as a -186 road favorite Wednesday vs. the Colorado Rockies to win the series 2-1. The Padres jumped out to a 3-run lead by the 3rd inning and the Rox were never in the game from that point. San Diego has won back-to-back games and is 6-4 in their last 10 games overall and 29-25 at home on the year.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Miller (6-2, 4.37 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 59 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 6-5 home loss last Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • First career start vs. San Diego

Darvish (8-7, 4.53 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 107 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 4-0 home win Saturday vs. Texas Rangers
  • Career vs. Los Angeles (regular season): 4-5, 2.36 ERA (68 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 through 11 starts

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-190) | Padres -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 3, Padres 2

Moneyline

LEAN DODGERS (+105).

The Padres are the slightly hotter team but the Dodgers have dominated them lately. Los Angeles has won 5 straight vs. San Diego and both teams are 3-2 in their starters’ last 5 starts overall. The Dodgers are also solid on the road while the Padres are mediocre at home.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Dodgers +1.5 (-190) to cover here but that line is simply not worth the juice when you can get them on the moneyline at plus money. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Under is 8-2 in San Diego’s last 10 games and 2-1 in Darvish’s last 3 starts. The Under is also 6-0 in the last 6 Los Angeles-San Diego meetings.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (20-14) visit the San Diego Padres (18-16) Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. Sunday’s first pitch from Petco Park is at is 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Padres took the series opener 5-2 Friday. OF Fernando Tatis Jr. homered twice, including a 2-run shot as part of a 3-run 5th inning to lead the Padres to victory. San Diego has won 5 of its last 7 games.

The Dodgers bounced back with a 2-1 win Saturday. RHP Dustin May tossed 6 scoreless innings and 3B Chris Taylor’s 4th-inning 2-run homer was enough offense to win. Los Angeles has won 7 of its last 8 games.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Julio Urias vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Urias (4-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 39 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 2 or fewer ER in 5 of his 7 starts
  • 6-1 with 2.19 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 10 starts and 5 relief appearances in his career vs. Padres

Musgrove (1-0, 10.80 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 1 BB and 9 K through 8 1/3 IP.

  • Was chased after 3 1/3 IP in his last outing, allowing 7 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 3 K to the San Francisco Giants on April 29
  • 0-6 with 4.04 ERA in 9 career starts vs. Dodgers

Dodgers vs. Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+155) | Padres +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

If Urias’ last start indicates how he will pitch on Sunday, it will be a rough game for the Padres.

The key for the Padres is getting to 5 runs. They are 10-0 in the last 10 games they have scored 5 or more runs.

Opponents have scored fewer than 5 runs in 5 of Urias’ 7 starts.

I like the Dodgers for the win, but they usually win games by more than 1 run, so the spread is the better bet here.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Sixteen of the Dodgers’ 20 wins this season are by 2 or more runs.

Eleven of the Padres’ 16 losses are by at least 2 runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+155).

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Over/Under

The last 9 games between the 2 teams have not had more than 8 total runs.

The Padres’ last 4 games have not had more than 8 runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-14) continue their road trip and face the San Diego Padres (18-15) in the 2nd of their 3-game series. Saturday’s first pitch is 8:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 1-0.

The Padres took the series opener Friday night 5-2 as OF Fernando Tatis Jr. homered twice, including a 2-run shot as part of a 3-run 5th inning to give the Padres the lead. They have won 2 in a row and 5 of their last 6 contests.

The Dodgers’ loss ended a 6-game winning streak. They are 9-3 in their last 12 games.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Dustin May vs. LHP Blake Snell

May (3-1, 3.15 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 34 1/3 IP.

  • Got the win in last outing, allowing 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB with 4 Ks in 5 IP vs. Cardinals
  • 1-4 with 3.88 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 10 appearances (7 starts) vs Padres

Snell (1-4, 5.28 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 29 IP.

  • Got first W of season in 8-3 victory vs, Reds, allowing 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB in 6 IP with 7 Ks
  • 1-1 with 2.50 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 9 career starts vs. Dodgers

Dodgers vs. Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-185) | Padres -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers are only 7-8 on the road this season, but the Padres have not been overwhelming at home at 10-9.

The Padres are 1-5 in Snell’s starts this season.

The Dodgers are 3-3 in May’s starts but have won his last 2 outings.

They are 1-1 as underdogs this season.

BET DODGERS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

Expecting a straight-up win by the Dodgers, no need to bet the pricey run line.

The Dodgers are 1-1 ATS as underdogs and the one win was outright.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The last 3 starts for May have all had totals of at least 10 runs.

Three of Snell’s 6 starts have had 9 or more runs.

Friday’s game snapped a 4-game streak of 9 or more total runs for the Dodgers.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-13) begin a 3-game series against the San Diego Padres (17-15) on Friday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; the Dodgers won 14 of 19 games against the Padres in 2022.

The Dodgers defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 10-6 on Wednesday, outscoring the Phillies 36-11 in the 3-game series. Los Angeles has strung together 6 straight wins and has won 8 of its last 10 contests.

The Padres beat the Cincinnati Reds 7-1 Wednesday to win the series 2-1. San Diego has won 4 of its last 5 games and 7 of its last 10.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Kershaw (5-1, 1.89 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 38 IP.

  • Has pitched at least 6 innings in each of his first 6 starts
  • Has allowed 1 ER across 20 IP over his last 3 starts
  • Boasts a 23-9 record with a 2.03 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 9.6 K/9 in 45 career starts against the Padres

Darvish (1-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 30 IP.

  • The only 3 home runs he’s given up this season came in his last start vs. the San Francisco Giants on Apr. 30. in Mexico City
  • Owns a 3-5 record with a 2.47 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and 11.9 K/9 in 10 career starts against the Dodgers.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+145) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

With Kershaw pitching at a Cy Young level right now, I’ll back the DODGERS (-115) on the road in Friday’s NL West tilt.

Run line/Against the spread

DODGERS -1.5 (+145) has good value with Kershaw’s dominant pitching and considering that Los Angeles’ bats are in a great rhythm right now. The Dodgers have won 26 of the last 38 meetings with the Padres and we only need them to win by 2 runs to cover the run line.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (+100) is how I’d bet on the run total with Kershaw and Darvish having career success in this matchup. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.

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NLDS Game 4: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Game 4 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Saturday evening for Game 4 of their NL Division Series. First pitch from Petco Park is slated for 9:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Best-of-5 series: Padres lead 2-1
Regular-season series: Dodgers won 14-5

NL West champion Los Angeles – winner of 111 regular-season games – took the NLDS opener but has dropped 2 games since. The Dodgers amassed 17 hits over the 2 setbacks, but they went a combined 0-for-17 with men in scoring position.

The Padres have received good pitching and timely hitting in taking the series lead. In their combined 6 playoff games – 3 NL Wild Card games vs. the New York Mets and 3 in NLDS here – the Friars have overcome a high whiff rate by banging out 9 home runs.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Anderson appeared in 30 regular-season games, making 28 starts. He went 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and logged a 1.00 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 across 178 2/3 IP.

  • Owns 2.05 ERA across last 5 starts vs. Padres
  • Last pitched on Oct. 2
  • Making 2nd career postseason start but 1st since 2018

Musgrove went 10-7 with a 2.93 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 181 IP over 30 regular-season starts.

  • Tossed 7 one-hit, shutout innings against the Mets in NL Wild Card Series clincher Sunday
  • Allowed just 1 ER over last 5 starts, including 0 ER in last 3
  • Owns 3.38 ERA over last 5 starts vs. Dodgers

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:24 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+140) | Padres +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -101 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-120) are the lean, but the return for the risk makes the RL a stronger play. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Anderson has pitched well before when on extended rest, and he’s backed by a fresher bullpen.

Look for the talent-superior Dodgers to shake off their clutch-hitting slump. BACK LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

Dating back to the regular-season series between these clubs, the winning team has scored 5-or-more runs in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Mix in the batters’ familiarity with starters and relievers alike, a likely fatigued Padre ‘pen and some favorable batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures for both starters, and the OVER 7.5 (-101) is a solid play.

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NLDS Game 3: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Game 3 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet in Game 3 of an NL Division Series at Petco Park Friday. First pitch of the best-of-5 series is scheduled for 8:37 p.m. ET (FOX Sports 1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1

The Dodgers won 14 of the 19 regular-season meetings, but the Padres don’t care about that. San Diego went to Dodger Stadium, a place it traditionally hasn’t played well, and gained the split to seize home-field advantage in this NLDS.

The Dodgers won Game 1 by a 5-3 count, and the Padres returned the favor in Game 2 by an identical score. The Over cashed last time out after a push at most shops in the series opener.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. LHP Blake Snell

Gonsolin (16-1, 2.14 ERA) had a 0.87 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 130 1/3 IP in 24 regular-season starts.

  • Is a perfect 7-0 with a 2.66 ERA with a .187 opponent batting average with 64 K across 64 1/3 IP in 12 road outings
  • Went 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA with 14 K and a .156 opponent BA across 12 2/3 IP in 2 starts against San Diego this season

Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA) made 24 regular-season starts. He had a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 128 IP.

  • Was a dismal 4-8 with a 3.56 ERA with 108 K across 81 IP in 15 home outings
  • Managed an 0-1 record, 3.86 ERA and 10 BB with 23 K across 14 IP in 3 starts vs. L.A. Dodgers this season

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Padres +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 3, Padres 1

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-125) coughed up home-field advantage in Game 2, but it will wrestle it right back after Gonsolin pitches them back ahead in the series.

The right-hander has been untouchable, and he dominated the Padres (+102) this season, while Snell didn’t do very well at home. L.A. moves back ahead here.

Run line/Against the spread

DODGERS -1.5 (+135) is worth playing lightly. Each team has won by a 5-3 score in the first 2 games in this series, so why get away from what has been working. Los Angeles has won 5 of the last 7 meetings dating back to the regular season, and it has won all but 1 of those games by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-130) is a strong play with Gonsolin on the hill. The only concern is whether or not Snell can put it together and hold the Dodgers offense somewhat in check. The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings, although, again, the Over is 1-0-1 in this NLDS so far.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (106-48) square off against the San Diego Padres (86-68) for the second game of a 3-game series Wednesday at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 12-5

The Dodgers are now guaranteed to finish with the best record in NL as there aren’t enough games for the Atlanta Braves or the New York Mets to catch them. Los Angeles will likely be resting some of its starters down the stretch to avoid any notable injuries for the playoffs.

The Padres have done a stellar job trying to lock in a wild-card spot in the NL as they’ve won 8 of their last 10 games. San Diego is 2 1/2 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for the No. 2 wild-card spot.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Julio Urias vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Urias (17-7, 2.25 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 164 IP.

  • Has not allowed more than 2 ER in 12 straight starts
  • Sept. 10 at Padres: 7 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 K

Musgrove (10-7, 3.12 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 170 IP.

  • Has allowed 3 or more ER in 3 of his last 5 starts
  • Sept. 11 vs. Dodgers: 5 1/3 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 5 K

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Padres +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Dodgers 3

Money line

Only one of these teams has something to play for to end the season, so I’ll take PADRES (+120) in this game. San Diego has won 2 of the last 4 meetings despite Los Angeles having a massive lead in the season series.

Run line/Against the spread

PADRES +1.5 (-145) is where I’m going in this game. Even if you don’t believe San Diego can win this game, the game should be a close one at Petco Park.

Over/Under

We have 2 good pitchers on the mound in this game, but the Dodgers could be inclined to pull their starters quicker than usual. Taking that into account, Over 7.5 RUNS (+100) is the ideal choice in this game.

The Over has hit in 6 of the last 7 meetings between San Diego and Los Angeles and has also hit in 4 of the last 5 matchups at Petco Park. On top of that, the Over is 4-0 in the last 4 starts for Musgrove against a team with a winning record.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (95-43) clash with the San Diego Padres (77-63) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 11-4

The Dodgers tattooed LHP Blake Snell Saturday for 5 ER on 7 H and 3 BB over 4 IP en route to an 8-4 victory. They’ve now won 3 of their last 4 games and are 20-10 over the last 30 games.

Los Angeles is a dangerous team to bet on because it has very little to play for as it’s 7 games ahead of the New York Mets for home-field advantage in the postseason.

San Diego has a shot to take the series with RHP Joe Musgrove on the rubber. Saturday’s loss snapped a 3-game win streak for the Friars as they slid into the 3rd NL wild-card spot with the loss and trail the Philadelphia Phillies by a half-game for the 2nd spot. They need this game more.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Andrew Heaney vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Heaney (2-2, 2.94 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 in 52 IP.

  • Allowed a season-high 6 ER in 5 1/3 IP against the San Francisco Giants Monday in his last start
  • Allowed 3 unearned runs over 4 2/3 IP to the Padres Aug. 6.

Musgrove (9-6, 3.16 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 153 2/3 IP.

  • Struggled to a 5.52 ERA across his last 3 starts
  • 1 start against Dodgers this year: 7 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB and 10 K on the road June 30

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Padres +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Dodgers 4

Money line

The Padres are a solid 28-21 against left-handed starters this year. As mentioned, they need this game more, and Musgrove knows that. He leads the Padres to victory. Take the PADRES (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

I’m not a fan of the juice on San Diego’s side. I do think they’ll get to Heaney, though. He has allowed at least 2 ER in 5 straight starts. So let’s go with PADRES OVER 1.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-130). That’s a good price for something that shouldn’t be too tall of an order.

Over/Under

We’ve had 8 runs in both games of the series and in 5 straight matchups with these teams. The Dodgers are 8-1-1 O/U the last 10 games, and the Padres are 8-2. The wind is blowing out to right-center field at 8 mph. There is a 66% chance of rain to keep in mind, though, which is odd for Southern California. Take the OVER 7.5 (-130).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (94-43) clash with the San Diego Padres (77-62) Saturday in the second game of a 3-game set at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 10-4

The Dodgers fell 5-4 in 10 innings to the Padres Friday night. The game was affected early on by rain, but there was a dry spell after the 5th inning as only the winning run was scored.

The Dodgers are a dangerous play this late in the season because they’re 7 games up for the top seed in the playoffs and 18 games up on the Padres in the NL West. Keep that in mind when placing bets on them because they’ll likely be favored every game without a lot of incentive.

The Padres are fighting to keep the 2nd wild-card spot. They trail the New York Mets by 10 games for the top wild-card berth and hold a 1/2 game lead over the Philadelphia Phillies for the 2nd spot. They appear to have righted the ship after the splash made by acquiring OF Juan Soto wasn’t as big of a cannonball as expected. San Diego is 7-3 over its last 10 games.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Julio Urias vs. LHP Blake Snell

Urias (15-7, 2.29 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 145 2/3 IP.

  • Was solid in his most recent start against San Diego last Saturday: 6 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 3 BB and 2 K
  • Has been a little better on the road this year: 9-4, 2.07 ERA vs. 6-3, 2.54 ERA at home

Snell (6-8, 3.73 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 99 IP.

  • 1 start vs. Dodgers this year: 5 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 4 BB and 12 K in L.A. July 1
  • Strangely, has struggled at home: 3-6, 3.97 ERA, 11.9 K/9 vs. 3-2, 3.38 ERA, 12.6 K/9 on the road

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Padres +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-115) | Padres +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 3

Money line

This one shapes up to be a pitcher’s duel, but the Dodgers have a distinct bullpen advantage. Snell rarely goes deep, and the Padres used relief ace LHP Josh Hader Friday. He’s very rarely used in back-to-backs. The Dodgers have the 3rd-best bullpen ERA in MLB (3.03); San Diego’s is 13th (3.78).

I’ll take DODGERS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-117).

Run line/Against the spread

I prefer San Diego’s run line, but I’m not really keen on the -140 tag. So since both pitchers allowed just 1 ER each in their respective starts against each team, let’s go an unconventional route. Both should go 5 or 6 innings, so let’s take UNDER 4.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-155) for a FULL UNIT and UNDER 3.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+102) for a HALF-UNIT.

Over/Under

Both teams have been Over teams the last 10 games. LA is 7-2-1, and San Diego is 8-2 O/U. We’ve had at least 8 runs in 4 straight between these teams, but I firmly believe this pitching matchup breaks that trend.

Go easily, because we’re going against the grain, but LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-102).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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