Week 11 EPA Power Rankings: Cowboys knocked from top-offense perch

Cowboys force-feed Zeke in Week 10 despite data showing he isn’t near the most effective backs in the NFL this year.

The NFL was full of upsets this week.  Heading into Monday Night Football, seven underdogs had come away with a victory, including the Cowboys loss to the Vikings, the Titans over the Chiefs, and the Falcons taking down the Saints.  It was only fitting that it should end with another one as the Seahawks took down the previously unbeaten 49ers in an overtime thriller.

That being said, this single week’s games weren’t enough to change much in each team’s Expected Points Differential.

Expected Points, the foundation of many analytical arguments, uses data from previous NFL seasons to determine how many points a team is likely to come away with on a given play based on down, distance, time remaining, and field position. The difference in expected points at the start of a play and expected points at the end is referred to as expected points added, or EPA.

A play with a positive EPA means it put the offense in a better position to score, while negative EPA implies the offense is in a worse position.

Note: There was a bug within the program that scrapes all the NFL play-by-play data that affected the EPA on plays with challenges, which has since been fixed.  There was some slight movement in team EPA totals because of this, but nothing too major.

The top two teams stayed put this week despite San Francisco going home with a loss.

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott performed better than either QB from these teams, netting a total of 24 EPA across 47 plays, but it wasn’t enough to overcome a rough day on the ground for Ezekiel Elliott.  The underlying numbers for Dallas, however, still make them look far better than their 5-4 record suggests.

Pittsburgh and Oakland were the biggest climbers this week, moving up five and four spots, respectively.  The Steelers’ offense isn’t very inspiring with Mason Rudolph at the helm, but their defense ranks third in the NFL in total EPA allowed, trailing only New England and San Francisco.  Rookie linebacker Devin Bush has proven he was worth the trade-up, while in-season acquisition Minkah Fitzpatrick has picked off more passes than anyone in the NFL since moving up north from Miami.

We’ve got a new leader in total offensive EPA this week, as Lamar Jackson’s huge day put him in the top spot this week among offensive players.  Jackson’s 1.14 EPA/play more than doubled the amount of second-place Prescott (0.51 EPA/play).  Yes, the Bengals are bad, but nobody else has done that to them this season.  The next best performance against Cincinnati was Jimmy Garoppolo’s 0.66 EPA/play way back in Week 2.

Lamar Jackson has been an above average passer, ranking seventh in raw EPA/pass, but it’s his rushing success that has catapulted him to stardom.  Jackson now has started 16 games in his career, and if they were all in one season, he’d break Michael Vick’s single-season rushing yards record for quarterbacks.  He’s playing like 2013 Colin Kaepernick, if Kaepernick doubled his rushing yards and completed about 10% more of his passes.

Moving away from quarterbacks, let’s take a look at how running backs are doing in 2019 with their carries.  A few weeks ago, I found that teams are seeing more rushing success to the outside than they have been in the past decade, with the exception of short yardage situations.  With the help of NFL’s Next Gen Stats and Pro Football Focus, we can zoom in a bit more on specific running back performance.

What jumps out to me here is the 49ers stable of running backs.  Raheem Mostert, Matt Breida, and Tevin Coleman are all seeing above average loaded box counts, and yet Mostert and Breida are first and fourth in yards per carry.  Coleman, who sees more loaded boxes than anyone but Frank Gore, is still league average in YPC.

We can glean a better measure of effectiveness of the run game by using EPA/carry in this same fashion.

Coleman surpasses his teammates here even with the lower yards per carry mark because he’s seeing more work in short yardage situations.  Coleman has seen the 10th highest percentage of his carries in short yardage situations (3 or fewer yards to go) as well as the fourth highest touchdown percentage in the league.  Touchdowns and first downs are generally the biggest positive EPA plays, so it’s no wonder he looks better here.

Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook both appear near the top here, as expected, but the surprise might be that they are joined by Aaron Jones and the duo of Mark Ingram and Gus Edwards.  Ingram is the leader in EPA/carry this year despite seeing more 8+ man box counts than either McCaffrey or Cook.  The threat of Lamar Jackson keeping the football on any given play coupled with a scheme that might even see Robert Griffin III receive a pitch is proving to be enough to run over anyone, even when they are prepared to stop the run.

On the other side of things, last year’s top performers (Ezekiel Elliott, Saquon Barkley, Alvin Kamara, and Todd Gurley) are all seeing below average loaded box counts and still only producing at a near average rate.  Elliott has been the best of this bunch so far, even with his tough day last weekend.

If we really want to break down running back performance, we need to look for places a running back can separate himself from his team’s coaching decisions and run blocking performance.  For that, let’s take a look at Pro Football Focus’ yards after contact.

It appears that the 49ers backs are helped more by scheme than by running backs breaking tackles.  The best back by this measure is Seattle’s Chris Carson, who is gaining more yards after contact than anyone in the league, and yet is still below average by EPA.  This is a good reminder that EPA evaluations are often indicative more of team performance rather than individual performance, especially when we’re looking at rushing.

The Ravens and the 49ers are great reminders that rushing can be effective in the modern NFL, and the situations in which teams choose to run the ball tend to have a larger impact on rushing success than the specific ball carrier.

Elliott can be an effective piece for the Cowboys offense, but it’s crucial they continue to focus his efforts on the ground against lighter boxes, which he’s seeing more than the average back in 2019.  His yards after contact is only just above league average, while his quarterback happens to be one of the most efficient in the league.  Let’s hope Dallas only feeds Elliott in optimum situations going forward, because when the light boxes are there, he can eat.

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News: Cowboys wasting Dak Prescott’s greatness feels eerily familiar

Cowboys news and notes for November 12 2019.

Starting with Sunday night’s loss to the Minnesota Vikings, the Dallas Cowboys entered what could potentially be the deciding four-game stretch of the season.  The team had an opportunity to start this stretch on a high note by defeating one of the stronger foes in the NFC.  Instead, they like so many times previously, snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.

The Cowboys have to start trusting their quarterback.  Dak Prescott is playing at an MVP caliber level and Jerry Jones knows he will command an MVP contract once the season is over.  Which is all the more reason to not waste the talent his rookie contract affords them.

Cowboys still America’s team

Death, taxes, and the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.

Since 2010, the Cowboys rank first in the number of SNF contests averaging 20 million-plus viewers with 30 such games.  Whether they win or lose, people are intrigued by what happens with the Cowboys.  Both the NFL and NBC know this which is why the Cowboys are generally booked for the maximum allotment of SNF games every season.  Jerry Jones wants the focus of the sports world on the Cowboys every season, and the numbers back that up.

–CM


Cowboys Wire’s wall-to-wall coverage

Here are links to all of our in-house coverage of the loss.

— KD


Cowboys’ Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper blast team’s lack of execution in loss to Vikings, won’t blame coaches :: CBS Sports

Our good friend Patrik Walker checks in with a great look  at what the players were saying following the tough loss.

“Yeah, it’s frustrating — definitely frustrating,” Prescott said following the game. “We had a chance, an opportunity right there at the end. A quarterback can’t ask for more — the ball in your hands, fourth down, a chance to make a throw to win the game. They made a great play. They made more plays than we did when it counted and beat us situationally.”

— KD


The Cowboys Just Need to Trust Dak Prescott :: The Ringer

Prescott carved up the Minnesota Viking defense all night.  Two of his three receivers eclipsed 100 yards receiving, and when the game was on the line the Cowboys took the ball out of his hands and put it in their $90 million running back’s instead.  Ezekiel Elliott isn’t going to take this team anywhere this season, if the Cowboys want to play football late January it’s Prescott who is going to take them where they want to go.  It’s time they started to trust him.

–CM


Dak Prescott again leads NFL in QBR Rating after Week 10

— KD


The Cowboys are wasting Dak Prescott :: The Draft Network

Prescott is proving his doubters wrong by his play so far this season and his nearly 400-yard performance against the Vikings cemented his status.

–CM


The Cowboys failed to get a statement win in a critical game vs. the Vikings, and that’s on Jason Garrett :: Dallas Morning News

A victory over the Vikings would have sent a statement to the rest of the NFL that Cowboys are for real.  Unfortunately, they stuck to an ultra-conservative philosophy of running the ball straight into the opponent, no matter the result.

–CM


Film room: 3 takeaways from Cowboys’ loss to Vikings, including an outstanding Dak Prescott performance gone to waste :: Dallas Morning News

John Owning gives his three takeaways from Sunday night’s loss.  While he also focuses on Prescott’s greatness and taking the game out of his hands, he has other areas to take to task.

Missed tackles, poor LB pursuit ruin Cowboys’ run defense

The Vikings may have finished with 36 carries for 153 rushing yards (4.3 yards per carry) and a score, but it was the 10 straight runs for 61 yards and touchdown on Minnesota’s lone touchdown drive that really broke the back of the Cowboys’ defense.

It was yet another instance of Dallas’ poor run defense setting the stage for disappointment, harking back to losses to the Indianapolis Colts and Los Angeles Rams from last season. The Cowboys struggled mightily at bringing down Vikings running backs on first contact. In fact, 77 of Cook’s 97 rushing yards came after contact, illustrating Dallas’ tackling issues.

— KD


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NFL Week 10: 26 elite performances

Lamar Jackson was a human highlight reel to top the elite in Week 10 of the NFL season.

Lamar Jackson continues to stun, Ezekiel Elliott and Saquon Barkley failed to deliver and the Seahawks edged the Niners to complete Week 10.

Arizona Cardinals

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Christian Kirk had a huge game in the loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It was going to take time for Kyler Murray and the young Cardinals’ receiving corps — exempting Larry Fitzgerald — to gel. Murray and Kirk were on the same page Sunday as they connected six times for 138 yards and three TDs. Kirk outdid his fellow Texas A&M WR, Mike Evans, on the other side as the Bucs’ star WR had four grabs for 82 yards in the win.

Vikings get biggest win in the Kirk Cousins era

Cousins didn’t have the best game of his career, but he did what he had to do to get the win. 

The Minnesota Vikings are coming off an impressive 28-24 win over the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. In a pretty close to must-win game, the Vikings won on the road against a team with a winning record. 

The narrative of Kirk Cousins not being able to win in the spotlight came with him from Washington to Minnesota, but on Sunday night it didn’t seem to matter. Cousins didn’t have the best game of his career, but he did what he had to do to get the win. 

Cousins completed 23 of 32 passes for 220 yards and two touchdowns to Kyle Rudolph. Despite not having his number one receiver in Adam Thielen, Cousins was able to have another solid performance. The stat line falls right in the middle of the pack in terms of games in his career, but the most important stat was not what Cousins did, it was what he didn’t do. 

In spotlight games in his last two years with the Vikings, Cousins has gotten a lot of heat for the amount of times he has turned the ball over and held onto the ball too long while taking sacks. On Sunday night, Cousins was not only productive, but he also avoided a costly fumble by continuing his throwing motion while getting his arm swatted. 

Last season, Vikings fans would have expected a costly turnover on that play. This time it turned out in the Vikings favor, with Cousins being able to hold on to the ball just long enough to complete his throwing motion. 

There will be games down the road where Cousins will carry the Vikings to a victory with his arm. But this win proved that the Vikings are balanced enough to get away with an above average, mistake-free game from their quarterback.

Connor Williams to have knee surgery; Su’a-Filo to start in absence

Cowboys guard Connor Williams will undergo arthroscopic knee surgery on Tuesday. Xavier Su’a-Filo will start in his place.

The Cowboys let yet another game get away from them Sunday night, suffering a bitter defeat at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings.  They lost yet another winnable game to an NFC opponent.  While Dak Prescott and the Cowboys passing game shredded the Vikings’ defense, the running game was abysmal, tallying only 50 yards on 22 attempts.

To make matters even worse for the rushing attack, starting left guard Connor Willams will be out for some time as he will undergo arthroscopic knee surgery Tuesday.

Williams is in the midst of his second NFL season after being selected in the second round of Texas in the 2018 draft.  After struggling in his first year due to a lack of pure strength, Williams has played 100% of the offensive snaps so far.

In his place, the Cowboys will start sixth-year pro Xavier Su’a-Filo.  Su’a-Filo started eight games for the Cowboys in 2018 after being signed as a free agent.

Connor McGovern, whom the Cowboys selected in the third round of the 2019 draft still has not practiced after suffering a torn pectoral in the offseason and being placed on injured reserve.

Who danced it better, Dak Prescott or Jimmy Garoppolo?

Seems like quarterback are emulating each other when it comes to dance moves. Dak Prescott went viral for some of his before the Vikings met his Dallas Cowboys Sunday. Then, prior to the Seattle Seahawks visiting the San Francisco 49ers Monday, …

Seems like quarterback are emulating each other when it comes to dance moves. Dak Prescott went viral for some of his before the Vikings met his Dallas Cowboys Sunday. Then, prior to the Seattle Seahawks visiting the San Francisco 49ers Monday, Jimmy Garoppolo decided to take part in “So You Think You Can Dance,” NFL style.

Dak:

Jimmy G:

Kirk Cousins may have downed Dak and the Cowboys but don’t think his moves compete with his fellow quarterbacks.

 

Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph named to Pro Football Focus Team of the Week

The tight end had two touchdowns in the team’s 28-24 win over the Cowboys on Sunday night.

Vikings tight end Kyle Rudolph has been less involved as a receiver this season, but he made the most of his opportunities in Week 10 against the Cowboys in Dallas.

Rudolph caught four passes for 14 yards, scoring on two of the catches. His first touchdown was insane.

The veteran tight end finished with a Pro Football Focus grade of 86.8 on the week, landing him a spot on PFF’s Team of the Week.

No other Viking made the team from their 28-24 primetime win.

Rudolph has been more of a blocking tight end this season, and it shows his professionalism that he hasn’t really complained about it.

On the season, Rudolph has 24 catches on 30 targets for 184 yards and four touchdowns. That puts him on pace for 38 catches for 294 yards and six touchdowns. Those aren’t the numbers you’d expect from Rudolph, but he’s doing more than what’s simply on the box score.

Heroes and Goats: Cowboys staff chewing cud while passing game grazes

The Dallas Cowboys were almost saved by a few heroes against the Minnesota Vikings, but there were too many bad performances to get the win.

The Dallas Cowboys bungled away another game where the team killed its chances of walking away victorious. This time, it was a 28-24 loss to the Minnesota Vikings has put a playoff run in jeopardy with the tough, upcoming schedule.

Here are the heroes and goats from a disappointing Week 10 loss that dropped the club’s regular-season record to 5-4.

Hero: Dak Prescott

(Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

The only thing the QB didn’t do was put on a cape. Prescott tried to rescue the Cowboys on a night where the play calling put the offense in a bind for 60 minutes. Long second and third down conversions were easily picked up by Prescott, who threw the ball well all game. Prescott carved up the Vikings, throwing for 397 yards and three scores.

Goats: The rush defense

It was a sad performance from the run defense, who was gashed by RB’s Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison. The defense gave up 153 yards rushing and was bullied for most of the game. The most embarrassing part was the drive where the Vikings ran it 10 straight times, leading to the game-clinching score.

Hero: Amari Cooper

(AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)

Cooper continues to impress, despite his numerous ailments. The stud WR caught 11 passes for 147 yards and a score, and Cooper’s footwork along the sidelines was silly. Cooper played at a high level to help the Cowboys’ offense moving the chains and coming back from an early deficit.

Goat: Chidobe Awuzie

It hasn’t been a good stretch for the third-year CB and his shotty play against the Vikings continued. Awuzie remains lost in coverage and still has MAJOR issues with ball location. Awuzie’s poor play on the two-point conversion to Kyle Rudolph was a big part of stunting the comeback.

Hero: Randall Cobb

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

It was Cobb’s first 100 yard game for the Cowboys and he scored on a beautiful 22-yard strike from Prescott. Cobb made some big catches to keep drives alive after getting behind on the down and distances.

Goat: Sean Lee

As good as he played last week, Lee got smoked against the Vikings. Lee was beat twice for touchdowns and got washed out on too many screen plays.

Hero: Robert Quinn

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The veteran DE continued his stellar season with his seventh sack when he took down Vikings QB Kirk Cousins in the second quarter. It also netted Quinn a cool $800,000-plus bonus.

Goats: The coaching staff

We can sit here and talk about not being prepared to start the game, but that’s foolish. The coaches don’t drop passes or miss tackles. What we can blame them for is their decision making and stubbornness.

There is no reason to continue to bash your head into a brick wall; the running game wasn’t working, and the passing game was on fire. Yet here was Kellen Moore’s play calling on first down:

The Cowboys still had a chance to win the game late before two running calls essentially killed Dallas’ chances of winning the game. The play calling was a big issue in the loss.

You can chat with or follow Ben on twitter @BenGrimaldi

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‘Zeke’s not going anywhere’ early Cowboys theme, never changed tune

The Cowboys were unable to get a running game going against Minnesota, but that didn’t stop them from pounding Ezekiel Elliott anyway.

Of all the maddening storylines of Sunday night’s 28-24 loss to Minnesota, the Cowboys’ stubborn insistence on sticking with a rushing attack that simply wasn’t working is near the very top of the list. But that failure in and of itself has two different components to it. There’s the playcalling from coach Jason Garrett and offensive coordinator Kellen Moore. And yes, that was atrociously bad in key moments. But there’s also the ineffectiveness of the players actually executing those ground game plays, namely, defending rushing champ Ezekiel Elliott. And that’s the thing that might actually be more concerning for this team in the long run.

The Cowboys have made it clear since his rookie year in 2016 that Elliott is the centerpiece of the offense. With two rushing titles in three seasons (and an equally torrid pace in the season he was suspended for six games), the former top-five draft pick has performed like it, mostly. The message in Dallas is clear: when you play the Cowboys, you’re going to get a heavy dose of No. 21.

But according to owner and general manager Jerry Jones, a different message was broadcast early in Sunday night’s contest.

“You just basically could have put a sign on the start of the game that said ‘Zeke’s not going anywhere,'” Jones told the media after the loss in which Elliott gained just 47 rushing yards despite 20 carries, an average of 2.35 yards per run. “And that was the story of the game.”

“It’s definitely frustrating, Elliott said after the game, his fifth (including playoffs) as a Cowboy in which he gained under 50 yards on the ground. “They’re a pro team, too; they did a good job bottling up the run. They were better than us.”

Wideout Amari Cooper, despite his own performance filled with good numbers and highlight-reel catches, shared in that disappointment.

“It’s very frustrating,” Cooper told reporters. “We love to run the ball here. That’s part of our identity. So when a team takes that away, we’re limited. We have the best running back in the league, so…” Cooper trailed off, seemingly at a loss, before summing up, “We just have to be better.”

Last year’s midseason acquisition of Cooper as a legitimate downfield threat was- theoretically- supposed to not only make it easier for Elliott to find some running room, but also reduce his workload. After nine games thus far in 2019, Elliott has 788 yards on 178 rushing attempts, a per-carry average of 4.4 yards. Nine games into last season, Elliott had 168 carries for 831 yards and a 4.9 average. The first seven of those games came without Cooper on the team.

So let’s review. This season has Amari Cooper in the huddle, Michael Gallup no longer a secret, Randall Cobb in the slot, Jason Witten running Y-options again, Travis Frederick back on the O-line, Tony Pollard providing a speedy change of pace, and wunderkind Kellen Moore dialing up an offense that was supposed to be versatile and multifaceted. Yet in 2019, Elliott is actually getting more chances and doing less with them.

Is this pushing the panic button in the immediate wake of a demoralizing loss? Perhaps in part; no one was all that worried about an Elliott decline last week after he ripped off 139 on the ground in New York and averaged six yards per tote. Much of Monday morning’s concerns are indeed a direct result of Sunday night’s opponent.

“I think it’s definitely one of the best defenses we’ve played this season,” Elliott admitted of the Vikings squad. “Definitely, run defense did a great job just neutralizing our run and really giving us nowhere all day to run the ball.”

“Obviously, there was a lot of attention there,” Garrett told the press of Minnesota’s focus on Elliott. “They have a really good front, and they have good linebackers. They’re a good run defense. They were trying to make sure that they stopped the run. I thought that we did a good job responding to that; we were pretty effective throwing the football.”

Pretty effective. Quarterback Dak Prescott finished the night 28-of-46 for 397 yards and three touchdowns to three different receivers. He took just one sack and logged only one interception, the failed Hail Mary as time expired. Yes, Prescott was “pretty effective.” And that’s what made the coaching staff’s blind allegiance to the middling rushing attack so difficult to watch, especially after the passing game had put the Cowboys in a position to win the game late.

With under two minutes to play, down by four, and on the Minnesota 11-yard-line, Dallas ran Elliott on second down for no gain. And then again on third down for a three-yard loss. Prescott, incidentally, had gone 6-for-7 and 79 yards through the air on the drive up to that point.

So after the rally ultimately fell short, everyone with a microphone and a notepad wanted to grill the Cowboys players, coaches, and brass about why they seemingly took the ball out of Prescott’s hands in crunch time.

“You want to attack different ways,” Garrett said. “It’s important for us to continue to try to run the ball. In normal circumstances, you would think if we give it to Zeke a couple times, second and inside of two yards, we’re going to make that first down. Unfortunately, it didn’t happen in this game.”

“You ask that offensive line, you ask the running back, they’re going to say that they need to execute those plays,” Prescott stated in his postgame press conference. “We get that first down, nobody in here’s even talking about [how] they took the ball out of my hands, right?”

But Elliott didn’t get the first down. Either time. And so everyone is, in fact, talking about how the coaches seemingly took the ball out of Prescott’s hands.

Jones was blunt when asked about the ill-fated decision to force the run late.

“I’m not going to get into that,” he said. “Since it didn’t work, we’d all like to have that back. But you’ve got to keep trying.”

It appears that Garrett and Moore will do exactly that, no matter the opponent, no matter the situation, no matter if it’s working or not.

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Cowboys won’t question play calling; Garrett says ‘we had options’

While the team wouldn’t cast doubt on the playcalls in the Week 10 loss, coach Jason Garrett revealed more about their ill-fated late runs.

From the moment Kellen Moore was named the Cowboys’ offensive coordinator, the questions started. Who would actually be calling the plays? What plays would they use? Would it be all flea-flickers and Statues of Liberty as Moore reached back into his Boise State bag of tricks? Or would Moore just trot out the same predictably ineffective Scott Linehan/Jason Garrett plays that were already in place?

In the wake of a disheartening loss to the Minnesota Vikings, playcalling is once again the focus. The Cowboys were positioned to pull off a dramatic comeback after being behind for most of the game, with the ball deep in enemy territory and down by four points with under two minutes to play. That’s when the passing game that had found success all night was inexplicably shelved for consecutive runs by Ezekiel Elliott that lost three yards and wasted almost 50 seconds of precious time. The sequence put the Cowboys in a fourth-down situation where a pass was expected by everyone, including Vikings linebacker Eric Kendricks, who tipped the throw away and ended the Dallas drive 14 yards away from the end zone.

So who’s to blame? In a phone interview on Monday morning, coach Jason Garrett made it clear who’s selecting the plays.

“Kellen’s calling the game,” Garrett told 105.3 The Fan, “and in that situation, it’s 2nd-and-2. And he felt like he had a good opportunity against a favorable box to run the ball in those situations. On each of those plays, we had options beyond just the run. And unfortunately, we weren’t able to convert. We got into that 4th-down situation; we didn’t convert that.”

Garrett’s answer was interesting in several ways. First, it confirmed that Moore is the one actually dialing up the plays off the big laminated sheet, or at least the majority of them. Garrett still retains oversight, not just philosophically, but even on the sideline as the game is being played.

“We just try to communicate as an offensive staff throughout the ballgame,” Garrett explained, “and Kellen’s done a great job for us all year long. And I certainly have input throughout the ballgame. Situationally, I have input about how to handle certain situations. That’s how we’ve operated all year long, and that’s how we operated last night, and unfortunately we didn’t get it done.”

But the second part of Garrett’s answer is also telling. Quarterback Dak Prescott “had options beyond just the run,” according to the coach.

He had said as much in his postgame press conference late Sunday night.

“There are a number of different options on that play based on what they play,” Garrett told reporters. “If they heat you up, you have some answers. If they play a certain kind of zone, you have some answers. If they play man-to-man, you have some answers. So we wanted to give Dak some different options, depending on what they were going to play on a critical down situation.”

After the game, Elliott said of the play, “It was just an RPO [run-pass option]. It was a give read. There really wasn’t anywhere to go.”

That was the story all game, as Elliott finished with a mere 47 rushing yards on 20 attempts. With Prescott finding far more success through the air- 397 yards and three touchdowns- the obvious question swirling around Cowboys Nation is: why not just let Prescott continue to lay waste with his military-grade flamethrower instead of continually coming back to a pea-shooter that had been firing blanks all night?

It’s a matter of strategy. Some coaches tend to seek out an opponent’s weakness and then pull out whatever tool from their bag will work best to exploit that weakness. Others seem to want to establish an identity and then hammer it home, whatever it is… and whether it’s working or not. It feels like Garrett is firmly entrenched in the latter category. He wants the Cowboys to be a tough, physical football team who will run it right down anybody’s throat. So he does. Even if the passing game is doing all the damage in a certain matchup. It’s “we’re-going-to-do-this-because-it’s-who-we-are” versus “we’re-going-to-do-that-because-it’s-working.”

Prescott put it up 46 times Sunday night, Garrett explained on The Fan, to just 22 rushing attempts. He clearly wanted more balance, because in his world, balance is just objectively good. Maybe, but most who watched this particular game felt like one or two more throws (and one or two fewer runs) would have actually won it for Dallas.

Prescott was careful on Sunday night when asked if he wished Moore and Garrett had kept the ball in his hands with a pass on every play of the ill-fated second-to-last drive. “It’s safe to say I’ll throw the ball every play of the game,” Prescott smiled. “That’s the obvious part, right? So, for sure.”

But as Garrett explained during his radio interview, Prescott did have at least the option to throw on the run plays in question. So for fans looking to place blame after a difficult defeat, it seems there needs to be some to go around: some for Moore for calling the plays, some for Garrett for not stepping in and suggesting something else based on the situation, and some for Prescott for the option he finally went with as the plays unfolded.

“That’s the way we evaluate everything,” Garrett said Monday. “We’ll go in today- win, lose, or draw- and we say, ‘Okay, what was good about the game? Okay, let’s continue to build on that. What were areas that we as coaches need to do a better job? Maybe we didn’t communicate it well enough, maybe we didn’t practice it well enough, maybe it just wasn’t executed. I’m not talking about those specific plays, but that’s generally how you approach it.”

How to divvy up the blame for the Vikings loss may be up for debate, but one thing that was unanimous was the players’ reactions to any queries casting aspersions on the team’s playcalling or the coaches responsible.

“I’m not going to question the playcalling,” Prescott said. “There were opportunities; we’ve just got to do better and execute those plays, simple as that. And every guy in that locker room would say that.”

Wide receiver Randall Cobb did in his postgame comments. “I don’t call the plays. That’s not my job. My job is to make the plays and execute the plays that are called. The play that’s called is the play that we go out there and run, and we’ve got to make it happen on the field.”

“We would never question Kellen’s calls,” tight end Jason Witten said at his locker Sunday night. “That’s been a good run for us in third-and-short, kind of spreading them out this season, and kind of find[ing] the soft spot. Zeke does such a good job, Dak, they’re kind of used to running that type of play… That’s been a good play for us. I’m not surprised that he went back to that.”

Deep down, Cowboys fans weren’t surprised either. It’s just that they wanted to be. Because for all the early questions about the new-look Dallas offense and the glimpses of brilliance that peek through now and again, when the team had a do-or-die shot at punching it in, the answers they got were the same ones they’d been hearing for years.

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