CONCACAF Gold Cup: USA vs. Mexico odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s USA vs. Mexico odds and lines, with CONCACAF Gold Cup picks and predictions.

The CONCACAF Gold Cup final is upon us, and it’ll be Mexico taking on USA Sunday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the USA vs. Mexico odds and lines, and make our best CONCACAF Gold Cup bets, picks and predictions.

The USA beat Mexico 3-2 in the CONCACAF Nations League final almost two months ago; however, none of the three USMNT scorers will be playing Sunday. To get here, the USA took down Jamaica 1-0 in the quarterfinals and then Qatar 1-0 in the semifinals. Mexico beat Honduras 3-0 then defeated Canada 2-1.

USA vs. Mexico: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: USA +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Mexico +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Draw +210
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +145 | U: -180)

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Prediction

Mexico 2, USA 1

Money line (ML)

BET on MEXICO (+125) as it’s the more talented side.

Many of the young USMNT players aren’t in Gold Cup action. The USA managed to take down Qatar and Jamaica but won both games just 1-0.

USA should be able to get on the board, but the Mexican attack will test the American backline, one that could falter against the best offensive side it has played in the Gold Cup.

Without many key players on the USA side and Mexico is led by F Rogelio Funes Mori and F Orbelin Pineda. Both have had high levels of success so far this tournament, so I’d expect Mexico to find a way to break down the US and take the Gold Cup trophy.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” on the OVER 2.5 (+145) as the best value at plus-money.

The Mexican offense has been solid, scoring at least 2 goals in three of its last four matches. Mexico hit the Over in three of five matches in the Gold Cup.

The USA hit the Over just once in five matches, but playing against the best attack it has seen, it could be a different story in the final.

With F Daryl Dike attacking and M Cristian Roldan distributing, the USMNT scored in each of its five matches. Mexico has two of the top-10 scorers in the tournament.

Bet the Over but only for half a unit.

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