The Cleveland Indians (5-3) and Chicago White Sox (4-5) kick off a four-game AL Central series Monday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Triston McKenzie is the projected to make his first start of the season for the Indians, although he did log a long-relief outing April 5 in which he allowed 1 earned run across 3 2/3 innings.
As a rookie who appeared in eight games last season, he went 2-1 with a 3.24 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 over 33 1/3 IP.
LHP Carlos Rodon is lined up for his second start of the season for the White Sox. In three starts and two relief appearances over 2020-21, he is 1-2 with a 4.97 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 10.7 K/9, and 4.3 BB/9 over 12 2/3 IP.
Rodon had a big spring training with 16 strikeouts and just one walk over 13 2/3 IP. He tossed five scoreless innings against the Seattle Mariners in his season debut last Monday.
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Indians at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Indians +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | White Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-160) | White Sox -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
White Sox 4, Indians 3
Money line (ML)
This series features a White Sox club scoring 5.67 runs per game against an Indians team allowing just 2.75. Cleveland arrives in Chicago with a five-game win streak in tow; the Indians have allowed just nine runs over those victories.
Cleveland pitching won out when these division foes met last summer. The Indians took 8 of 10 games while holding the White Sox to just 3.0 RPG along the way.
The first meeting of 2021 doesn’t offer much betting value on the money line. Cleveland at +120 would be a consideration; Chicago at -130 would be as well. PASS on the bracketing lines the way they are.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
One of the likable plays right now is the White Sox bullpen. The Pale Hose were a top-10 group a year ago; their current support metrics tell a different story from an early-season 4.99 ERA.
There isn’t much value here, so tread lightly with a CHICAGO -1.5 (+135) play or consider waiting out a better price.
Over/Under (O/U)
A wind-out-to-left-center is expected, but so are some cool temperatures. Bank on the pitching on both sides and some undervaluation of the White Sox relief corps.
TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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