Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (25-20) squeaked out a one-run victory over the Detroit Tigers (18-29) on Monday, and they’ll meet again Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Aaron Civale is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 6-1 with a 3.30 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 60 IP over nine starts.

The strikeouts are down a bit for Civale this season, but he recorded a season-high 8 K in his most recent outing. He faced the Tigers in his first two starts of the season, winning both while surrendering 4 ER in 14 2/3 IP.

LHP Tarik Skubal is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 1-6 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 in 38 IP over nine appearances (seven starts).

Skubal recorded his first win of the season in his last start, one in which he whiffed nine batters. He squared off against Civale and the Indians twice back in April and served up 8 ER and 3 HR in 9 1/3 IP.

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Indians at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Tigers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Road -1.5 (+115) | Indians +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Indians 4, Tigers 3

Money line (ML)

When these same two pitchers went head-to-head back in April, Cleveland won easily both times by the score of 9-3 and 11-3.

Skubal has been showing some positive signs lately, though, including a 31.9% K% and 22 K in 16 IP over his last three starts.

Still, Civale is the pitcher in this matchup that we can be confident in. Back the INDIANS (-140) to come out on top Tuesday evening.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

While Cleveland should win this game, don’t expect it to be by as wide of a margin as previous meetings between these two pitchers.

Skubal has taken steps forward over the past few weeks, and the Indian offense is averaging just 3.54 runs per game in their last 13 contests.

The recommendation here is to PASS on the run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Most signs point to the pitchers having success in this game. Civale has been good all year, Skubal is improving, and they both get pretty good matchups.

Detroit is 28th in runs per game, while Cleveland is 26th in wRC+ vs lefties, has been struggling lately, and just lost Franmil Reyes to the IL.

Take UNDER 9 (-115) in what should be a low-scoring affair.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (24-20) and Detroit Tigers (18-28) open up a series Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET in Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Sam Hentges is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-1 with a 6.46 ERA, 2.09 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 in 15 1/3 IP over six appearances (two starts).

Hentges tossed 4 2/3 innings of shutout ball in his first start, but last time out was touched up for 6 ER in 1 2/3 against the Los Angeles Angels.

RHP Spencer Turnbull is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 3-2 with a 2.88 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 34 1/3 IP over six starts.

Turnbull has allowed just 1 ER in 15 1/3 IP across his last two outings, with a 16/3 K/BB. His most recent performance was a gem, as he pitched a no-hitter against the Seattle Mariners.

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Indians at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Tigers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-190) | Tigers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Tigers 5, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

Though the Tigers enter this game on a two-game skid, they have been playing pretty well lately, winning nine of their last 13 games.

Turnbull has been pitching at a high level, recording 33 swinging strikes in his last two starts.

The Detroit offense ranks dead last in wRC+ vs left-handed pitching, but they haven’t faced many with skills as weak as Hentges.

He is walking a lot of batters and allowing consistent hard contact, leading to five homers allowed in his 15 1/3 innings of work.

Look for the TIGERS (-125) to come away with the win.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Cleveland offense has scored just 3.3 runs per game in their last 12 contests, and they are faced with a stiff test today in Turnbull.

He should be able to hold their bats in check and Detroit should do enough against Hentges to come out on top by more than one run.

Take the TIGERS -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under (O/U)

With Turnbull looking so good lately and the Tigers facing a lefty, odds are against a huge offensive day for either team.

But Hentges was so bad in his last outing and has issued 7 BB in 6 1/3 IP in his two starts, making it difficult to side with the under.

Instead, we’ll PASS on the total and stick with the plays on Detroit.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (17-22) host the Cleveland Indians (21-17) Monday for the first of a three-game set in Angel Stadium with a 9:38 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cleveland lost the last three of a four-game series at the Seattle Mariners this weekend following a four-game winning streak. The Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 contests.

L.A. snapped a four-game losing skid with a 6-5 win at the Boston Red Sox in the series finale Sunday. The Angels are 4-10 in their last 14.

Season series: 0-0.

LHP Sam Hentges is on the rubber for the Indians. Hentges is 1-0 with a 3.29 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.76 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 across 1 start and 4 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 6 K Wednesday vs. the Chicago Cubs.
  • Career vs. the Angels: No appearances.

LHP Patrick Sandoval is the projected starter for the Angels. Sandoval is 0-0 with a 6.14 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 6.1 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 over 3 relief appearances.

This is Sandoval’s first start of the season and, according to MLB.com, Sandoval is “expected to be limited to roughly 60-65 pitches.”

However, L.A.’s bullpen ranks 20th or worse in SIERA, xFIP, K-BB% and left-on-base percentage.

  • Last outing: 2 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 1 K at the Houston Astros Wednesday.
  • Career vs. the Indians: 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 2 BB and 4 K in 1 start.
  • Cleveland’s lineup is terrible vs. left-handed pitching, ranking in the bottom-3 teams of the league in wRC+, wOBA and OPS.

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Indians at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Angels -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-165) | Angels -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Indians 4, Angels 2

Money line (ML)

Neither lineup hits well against lefties with Cleveland’s being exceptionally bad, but the Indians do have the fourth-highest BB/K rate vs. left-handed pitching and Sandoval has control problems.

Also, L.A.’s bullpen ranks in the bottom half of the majors in WAR, xFIP, home runs allowed per nine innings and K-BB%, whereas Cleveland’s is in the top 10.

Lastly, the Angels could be road-weary as they were in Boston for a three-game set this weekend and are traveling all the way across the country for Monday’s game.

BET INDIANS (+115) for a half unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” INDIANS +0.5 (-110) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a quarter unit since the regular run line for Cleveland is far too expensive and I have more faith in Hentges than Sandoval.

Cleveland has low-key been a pitching factory and Hentges being the 25th-ranked prospect in the Indians organization says something to me.

However, because Cleveland’s biggest edge over L.A. is within the bullpen units, the better wager is the Indians’ money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 9 (-105) for a half unit because both lineups stink against lefties and L.A. has a lot more bark than bite.

Over the past seven days, Angels hitters have the lowest WAR and wOBA (the Indians are 29th) and the second-lowest wRC+ (behind Cleveland).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (21-16) and Seattle Mariners (20-20) wrap up a four-game set Sunday at T-Mobile Park with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Shane Bieber is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 4-2 with a 2.95 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 13.9 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 55 IP through 8 starts.

Bieber allowed two earned runs, nine hits and three walks with eight strikeouts across 6 2/3 innings in a home win over the Chicago Cubs Tuesday. He has lasted at least six innings, posting quality starts, in each of his eight games to date.

RHP Robert Dugger is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 over 8 IP across four relief appearances.

Dugger will serve as an opener in this series finale as it will be a bullpen game for the Mariners. He faced the Indians Thursday in his most recent outing, allowing one hit in two scoreless innings with no walks and three strikeouts in relief.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Indians at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Mariners +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians -1.5 (-120) | Mariners +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (Over +100 | Under -120)

Prediction

Indians 8, Mariners 2

Money line (ML)

The INDIANS (-200) won the series opener 4-2 Thursday, but the Mariners followed with back-to-back 7-3 victories. Cleveland should be able to gain the series split before heading out of town as the M’s will have a bullpen game, and that’s not terribly even against the ace of the Indians.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

INDIANS -1.5 (-120) are worth a roll of the dice with Bieber on the hill as it’s hard to imagine the Mariners being able to scratch out much offense against the ace. When you like Cleveland, you should like the run line. The Indians have won by two or more runs in 18 of their 21 victories this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

The lean is the OVER 7.5 (+100) despite the fact Bieber is on the bump. The Under is 5-3 in Bieber’s eight starts, although the Over has hit in two of his past three outings.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (17-18) and Cleveland Indians (19-14) battle Wednesday at 1:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Davies is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 2-2 with a 6.30 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 5.4 K/9, and 5.7 BB/9 in 30 IP over 7 starts.

Davies is coming off his best start of his seven this season (7 scoreless innings vs. Pittsburgh on Friday). In a small sample, current Cleveland batters own an .868 OPS against the veteran righty.

LHP Sam Hentges is the projected starter for the Indians. He is 1-0 with a 5.00 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 8.0 K/9, and 2.0 BB/9 in 9 IP over 4 relief appearances in 2021.

Hentges has been stretched out to as many as 63 pitches thus far. Tuesday’s home start marks his first action in eight days.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Cubs at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Indians -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-200) | Indians -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Indians 4, Cubs 3

Money line (ML)

Wednesday’s matinee caps off an abbreviated two-game interleague set between Chicago and Cleveland. The Indians took Tuesday’s opener, 3-2.

On a slight fade of Chicago’s overall game, and on the top-10 ability of the Cleveland bullpen, peg CLEVELAND -120 as being a play with a bit of value.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on a run line loaded with too much juice to overcome.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under is 3-1 in Chicago’s last four and 3-1 in Cleveland’s last four. An inward breeze and cool temperatures get mixed with perhaps too much of a lean against the pitching on both sides.

BACK THE UNDER 8 (-105).

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[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (17-17) vs. Cleveland Indians (18-14) match up Tuesday at 6:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Adbert Alzolay is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 10.4 K/9, and 2.4 BB/9 in 26 IP over 5 starts.

Alzolay has been dominant against right-handed bats (.406 OPS allowed), but Cleveland bats many more lefties in its lineup (64% of plate appearances vs. right-handed pitchers vs. 45% MLB average).

RHP Shane Bieber is the projected starter for the Indians. He is 3-2 with a 2.98 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 14.3 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 48 1/3 IP over 7 starts.

Right-handed pitching pushes the Cubs onto the weaker side of their platoon splits (.694 OPS vs. RHP).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cubs at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Indians -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-145) | Indians -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Indians 3, Cubs 2

Money line (ML)

Tuesday’s game kicks off an abbreviated two-game interleague set between Chicago and Cleveland. Bieber is making just his third start at home where he has posted a sub-2.50 ERA over his last half-dozen turns.

Peg the Indians starter as being the best of these two and Cleveland having a significant bullpen edge. TAKE CLEVELAND (-185).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line with a Cleveland-and-Under lean, with two so-so offenses, and the run-and-a-half being more of an iffy hurdle.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both starters have done well to avoid hard contact. The weather forecast calls for cool temperatures and a 10 MPH pitcher’s breeze in from left-center.

BACK THE UNDER 7 (-120).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (14-15) travel in-state Friday for a three-game interleague series with the Cleveland Indians (17-13) at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Wade Miley is the projected starter for the Reds. He is 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA (27 IP, 8 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 5 starts.

One of Miley’s losses was against Cleveland April 18. He went 5 IP with 4 ER on 5 H, 1 BB and 5 K.

  • Last outing: Win in 5 IP with 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 3 K against the Chicago Cubs last Friday.
  • Career vs. Indians: 1-4 with a 4.95 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.76 WHIP and 5.7 K/9 across 8 starts.

RHP Zach Plesac is on the mound for the Indians. He is 2-3 with a 4.78 ERA (32 IP, 17 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 5 2/3 IP with 0 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 6 K at the Chicago White Sox Sunday.
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-2 with a 5.11 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 8.8 K/9 in 2 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Reds at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Indians -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-165) | Indians -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Reds 6, Reds 4

Money line (ML)

I “like” Cincinnati because Miley is a little more locked in through the first five weeks of the season and the Reds benefit from the AL-DH rule more than the Indians.

For instance, Cincinnati’s lineup is top-5 vs. righties in several advanced hitting categories such as wRC+, wOBA (first), OPS (first) and home run to fly-ball rate.

Also, Statcast grades Miley in the 82nd percentile of hard-hit rate and 96th percentile in exit velocity while Plesac grades below the 50th percentile in hard-hit rate, expected wOBA, K% and expected slugging percentage.

Since Cincinnati’s bullpen is awful and Cleveland’s is very good, the way I want to get money down on the Reds is in the First 5 Innings market.

Slight “LEAN” to the REDS (+120) for a quarter unit since their First 5 innings run line is a sharper wager.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the REDS +0.5 (-115) FIRST 5 INNINGS for three-fourths of a unit because of the aforementioned reasons and because Plesac is less effective on four days of rest.

Plesac is 7-7 with a 4.24 ERA on a four-day rest vs. a 3.31 ERA on five days’ rest and opposing hitters are batting 31 percentage points higher compared to five days rest for Plesac.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-115) for a quarter unit if at all because I prefer the Cincinnati side more than the total but Miley has struggled against Cleveland throughout his career and earlier this season.

Additionally, the Indians could plate runs late vs. the Cincinnati bullpen that has the worst left-on-base percentage, and second-worst SIERA and xFIP.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (8-11) go for a third straight win in this four-game series at the Cleveland Indians (8-10) Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-0 – they won 6-3 Thursday and 5-3 Friday.

RHP Gerrit Cole is Saturday’s projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He’s 2-1 with a 1.82 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.81 WHIP, 14.2 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 10 K vs. Tampa Bay Rays Sunday – Yankees lost 4-2
  • Career vs. Indians (regular season): 2-1, 2.79 ERA (29 IP, 9 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 4 starts
  • 2020 postseason vs. Indians: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 13 K in 12-3 road victory in Game 1 of best-of-2 Wild Card Series

RHP Shane Bieber is the projected Indians’ starter. The 2020 AL Cy Young winner is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 14.7 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 8 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 13 K at Cincinnati Reds Sunday – Indians won 6-3
  • Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 1-0, 8.31 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.62 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Career postseason vs. Yankees: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 12-3 home loss in Game 1 of 2020 Wild Card Series

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Yankees at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Indians +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Indians +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Indians 5, Yankees 4

Money line (ML)

CLEVELAND (+105) is the way to go. Bieber is the perfect medicine for the Indians to snap their 3-game losing streak. Bieber won his last two starts and has pitched well enough that he easily could be 4-0.

Bieber should be super focused for this one. In his last 2020 appearance, he lost a head-to-head matchup to Cole in Game 1 of their Wild Card Series. Bieber had all offseason to think about that outing when he was torched for 7 runs in 4 2/3 innings in a 12-3 rout. He should be ready Saturday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. The price is too chalky for my liking in Indians +1.5 (-175).

ATS records: Yankees 8-11 | Indians 10-8

Over/Under (O/U)

As long as the O/U line stays below 7, OVER 6.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. If it climbs to 7, the play becomes a HALF-UNIT wager

Both starting pitchers are each 1-3 O/U this season. Cole has allowed (in order) 2, 0, 1 and 2 earned runs in his outings, while Bieber has surrendered 3, 2, 0 and 3 earned runs.

At 6.5, I like the OVER’s chances but wouldn’t be surprised if one pitcher, with or without help from his bullpen, tosses a shutout. OVER 6.5 is just too tasty!

O/U records: Yankees 7-12 | Indians 7-11

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 28-16-1 8-4-1 +11.0275
2021 (all sports) 131-101-2 57-45-1 +24.5775
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (7-11) and Cleveland Indians (8-9) meet Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET to continue a four-game series at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. In 13 starts over the last two years, Montgomery is 3-4 with a 4.87 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 over 61 IP. The southpaw was hurt by 2 home runs in each of his last two starts, both against the Tampa Bay Rays.

LHP Logan Allen is the projected starter for the Indians. Over 3 starts and 3 relief appearances in 2020-21, he is 1-2 with a 3.97 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 4.8 BB/9 over 22 2/3 IP. Allen was solid but unspectacular over his first two starts this season, but he lasted only 2 innings in start No. 3 last Friday at the Cincinnati Reds.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Yankees at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Indians +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Indians +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Yankees 6, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees limped into this series with a 3-9 record over their last 12 games. New York had scored just 3.1 runs per game over that anemic stretch, and the batting slump was a team-wide one. Over the 12 games, the Yankees slashed .190/.274/.312. In Game 1 of this series, the Yanks scored 6 runs on 11 hits and 9 walks.

The Indians haven’t produced much on offense either, but Cleveland toted a 3.45 ERA into this four-game series against the Yanks.

New York is a lean on the ML but only at -140 or better. PASS otherwise.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Montgomery does well to avoid hard contact, but he’s been hurt by an unusually high percentage of fly balls leaving the yard early on. New York scuffles against left pitching, but they figure to be the better of the two attacks despite the poor start.

Plus, the Cleveland bullpen leans heavily to the right, so much of New York’s platoon disadvantage departs alongside Allen.

New York has the better bullpen; peg Cleveland’s 3.29 relief ERA as overbilling a unit likely more average in the long haul.

TAKE THE YANKEES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

There is a pull of gravity on these offenses — both operating with some bad luck in high-leverage situations — and Friday’s weather forecast calls for more moderate temperatures than the freeze of Thursday’s affair. The forecast also projects a slight batters’ breeze out to right.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105) and keep an eye on the line; the market has wiggled around +100 to -105 territory on the top side of the 8.5 total. Assume less risk when you can.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (6-11) and Cleveland Indians (8-8) meet Thursday at 6:10 p.m. ET to kick off a four-game series at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Domingo German is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. German has made 2 starts in and around trips to the alternate training site. He is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 through 7 IP.

RHP Aaron Civale is the projected starter for the Indians. He is 3-0 with a 2.18 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 across 20 2/3 IP over 3 starts. Civale has yielded just 2 ER over his last 13 2/3 IP. He makes this start on six days’ rest.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Yankees at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Indians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+155) | Indians +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Indians 5, Yankees 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees limp into this series with a 3-9 record over their last 12 games. New York has scored just 3.1 runs per game over that anemic stretch, and the batting slump is a team-wide one. Over the 12 games, the Yankees own a slash line of .190/.274/.312.

Save for a stretch with several games against the Detroit Tigers in the first 10 days of the season, the Indians have produced at a similar offensive level but Cleveland has pitched itself to a .500 record through 16 games. The Indians tote a team ERA of 3.45 into this four-game series against the Yanks.

The line here is well-made. Cleveland has seen snow the last two nights and is ticketed for a low-40s temperature Thursday. The Indians also have a solid group of hurlers in the rotation and bullpen alike. FIGURE A SLIGHT LEAN ON CLEVELAND (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID the juiced-up run lines here. Better margins can be found on the ML and O/U action.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses are struggling and both bullpens are strong, but on the pull of gravity with these offenses operating with sub-.260 BABIPs and those figures filtering heavily into high-leverage situations, and with some moderate fade lean on Civale, TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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