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Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (58-60) and Minnesota Twins (53-67) battle Wednesday in the finale of a three-game series at Target Field. First pitch is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Plesac is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 7-4 with a 4.64 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 6.2 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 in 97 IP over 17 starts.

  • Threw 101 pitches against the Detroit Tigers in his last start, his most in a single game since May 7.
  • Has faltered a bit in two previous outings vs. Minnesota this season recording a 4.76 ERA in 11 1/3 IP, but has held current Twins bats to an aggregate .629 OPS over his career.

RHP Lewis Thorpe is the projected starter for the Twins. He is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 13 H, 4 BB and 5 K in 14 IP across three starts and one relief apperance.

  • The  25-year-old swingman has split time between the big club and the minors over the last three years. Wednesday’s start marks his first MLB game since May 20.
  • Spent nearly two months on the Minor League IL with a shoulder issue before making his return to Triple-A action Aug. 8.
  • Has a 5.59 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 7.1 K/9, and 3.7 BB/9 over 58 IP in his MLB career.

Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Twins 5, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

The Indians are 11-16 with a 4.88 ERA over their last 27 games, and their play on the road has been a problem as they are 8-15 since June 25. That stretch started with back-to-back losses at Minnesota.

The Twins are 9-5 over their last 14 games, and many of those contests were against playoff-caliber teams. Minnesota has a solid .751 OPS against right-handed pitching. The Twins got off to a slow start at home, but they’ve notched a .798 OPS at Target Field since June 8.

Lewis gave the Twins solid starts this spring and fits into an overall pitching staff worth the value price in this one. The Minnesota bullpen has been sharp of late, recording a 3.06 ERA in August, and figures as a unit better than its overall season numbers when looking at expected-ERA metrics.

BACK THE TWINS (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Avoid the juice-drowned run line prices here. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

This one brings out signals that point both ways. Ultimately, some slight lean on Twins pitching and a fade of Cleveland’s offense makes for some leverage on the UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (57-59) and Minnesota Twins (52-66) tangle Monday in the opener of a three-game series at Target Field. First pitch is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Cal Quantrill is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 3-2 with a 3.13 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.0 K/9, and 3.0 BB/9 in 97 2/3 IP across 14 starts and 18 relief appearances.

  • Twins batters own a small-sample .790 aggregate OPS against Quantrill.
  • Has posted a 1.25 ERA over his last six games. However, that stretch has been artificially buoyed by a .228 batting average on balls in play and 3.7% home run/fly ball rate.
  • Statcast expected ERA (based on quality of contact) is more than a run higher than his surface ERA.

RHP Griffin Jax is the projected starter for the Twins. He is 3-1 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.6 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 in38 IP across five starts and four relief appearances.

  • Clocked a season-high 10 K in his start Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox.
  • Owns a 2.66 ERA over his last four starts despite facing the White Sox twice and Houston Astros once.
  • Allowed 3 runs on 3 hits and 2 BB in 4 1/3 IP June 25 against the Indians.

Indians at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-200) | Twins -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Twins 5, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

The Indians are 9-14 with a 4.93 ERA over their last 23 games. Despite an 11-0 win against the Detroit Tigers Sunday – and a near-no-hitter by RHP Triston McKenzie – Cleveland is just 7-14 on the road since June 25. That stretch started with back-to-back losses at Minnesota.

The Twins are 8-4 over their last 12 games, all of which were against playoff-caliber teams. Minnesota has logged an improved 4.17 ERA over that span and has continued to perform as a top-third offensive club.

Quantrill’s recent stretch has him too far out over his skis and Jax’s recent starts against top offenses have been encouraging. BACK THE TWINS (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Avoid the juice-filled run line and figure the true odds on both sides as being buried in the deep middle. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Parsing this one brings out signals that point both ways. Ultimately, some slight pull toward Twins pitching and a fade of Cleveland’s offense makes for some minimal value on the UNDER 9.5 (-110) on a night with a forecast of a 12 mph wind hurting balls hit to right field.

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Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (56-58) and Detroit Tigers (57-61) clash Saturday in the middle game of a three-game set at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Sam Hentges is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-4 with a 7.71 ERA, 2.04 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 5.2 BB/9 through 46 2/3 IP over 18 games (nine starts).

  • Swingman typically gives the Indians 2-4 innings in a starter’s role. Went 5 IP and yielded 3 ER on 5 hits and 3 BB at Detroit May 24.
  • Facing a right-leaning Tigers lineup that is on its best platoon side against southpaws with a .743 OPS vs. left-handed pitching.

RHP Wily Peralta is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 3-2 with a 3.48 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 through 51 2/3 IP spanning 10 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Albeit in a small sample, current Cleveland batters own a high-contact .992 OPS against him. He’s facing the Indians in a second straight start after allowing 2 ER on 6 H and 1 BB Sunday.
  • Owns a divergent 0.63 ERA at home and a 4.58 mark on the road.

Indians at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Tigers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-200) | Tigers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Indians 6, Tigers 5

Money line (ML)

Cleveland won 7-4 in Friday’s series opener. The Indians win snapped a three-game losing skid and served as a bounce-back from a 17-0 loss to the Oakland Athletics Thursday. Cleveland is just 8-13 since July 22 and the club owns a 5.09 ERA over that stretch.

Detroit has pitched much better of late with 2.90 ERA over its last 14 games and the Friday loss snapped a three-game winning streak. Before that streak, the Tigers dropped two of three to these Indians. For the season, Cleveland is 11-6 against the Tigers.

Detroit has had the much better bullpen of late, as the Tigers went into the series with an August bullpen ERA of 1.63. The Indians went in with a mark of 4.30 but Cleveland has the better ‘pen to lean on.

BACK THE INDIANS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Cleveland side bettors pegging this game as a high scoring one may want to consider the alternate run line of CLEVELAND -1.5 (+150). It’s a risk that should perhaps only draw partial-unit interest, though.

Over/Under (O/U)

The fade lean on Peralta, uncertainty as to what Hentges can provide, and recent struggles of the Cleveland bullpen all point to the Over but these clubs have some systemic Under lean based on their offensive performances to date.

Clock it all as a wash, and MOVE ON to a play with more leverage.

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Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (55-58) face off against the Detroit Tigers (57-60) Friday at Comerica Park with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Indians RHP Zach Plesac (6-4, 4.84 ERA) makes his 17th start of the season. He enters Friday with a 1.15 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 through 89 1/3 IP.

  • Hit hard last time out against the Tigers after having success against them in the first two head-to-head meetings of 2021. Is 1-1 with 6 ER and 16 K over 17 IP against the Tigers.
  • Detroit battered him to the tune of 5 runs (4 earned) on 2 hits, 3 walks and a home run over just 4 frames of work in his most recent game.

Tigers LHP Tyler Alexander (2-1, 4.35 ERA) comes into his eighth start with a 1.32 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9.

  • Allowed just 2 runs on 8 hits while striking out 6 over 9 1/3 innings across his last two starts. He beat the Indians on the road last time out, throwing 5 1/3 scoreless and striking out 4 batters.

Indians at Tigers odds, lines, picks, and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Tigers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians -1.5 (+130) | Tigers +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Tigers 6, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

The Tigers have won seven of their last 10 games while scoring 4 or more runs seven times during that stretch. Detroit won nine of its last 10 games when scoring 4 or more runs as well.

Lean slightly toward the TIGERS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Lean toward DETROIT +1.5 (-165). The Tigers are 7-3 with a .254 batting average and 2.86 team ERA over their last 10 games. They outscored their opponents by 14 runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Lean toward the UNDER 9.5 (-122), as each of Detroit’s last seven home games with a projected run total between 9 and 10.5 finished Under the line.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (61-51) and Cleveland Indians (54-55) are tabbed for a Monday makeup game at 6:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Reds vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Luis Castillo is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. Castillo is 6-10 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 3.8 BB/9 in 127 2/3 IP across 23 starts this season.

  • Owns a 1.80 ERA and 11.5 K/9 in four starts since the All-Star break. Has posted a 1.95 ERA over his last six road starts.
  • Is yielding ground-ball contact 53.7% of the time. Cleveland struggles against ground-ball pitchers.

LHP Sam Hentges is the projected starter for the Indians. He is 1-4 with a 7.86 ERA, 2.01 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, and 5.2 BB/9 in 44 2/3 IP across 17 games, including eight starts.

  • Makes this start as the opener for an Indians bullpen game. Appeared in back-to-back games on Aug. 3-4 in first MLB action since July 7.
  • Fronts a Cleveland bullpen which has trailed off a little in the second half but still own’s the league’s fourth-best ERA (3.44).

Reds at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Indians +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (-110) | Indians +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Reds 5, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

The Reds roll into this makeup game of a May 9 rainout under a full head of steam. Cincinnati is coming off a four-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates and is 10-2 over its last dozen games.

The Reds have tallied 6.75 runs per game on the strength of a .935 OPS over that span. Cincy has gotten into the NL postseason picture by playing .667 ball (22-11) since July 1.

Cleveland has essentially fallen out of contention. The Indians are 12-20 since July 1, but are coming off a 2-1 series win against the Detroit Tigers and have started to hit better as of late (.776 OPS last 11 games).

Cincinnati has been a solid play over the last month and Cleveland has been a consistent fade candidate. But the Reds have now burned through their upside in the lines.

Both clubs are too far over their skis with their current records and support stats. STEER CLEAR of a juice-laden money line here.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The most value in this betting matchup comes from Cincy having a more rested bullpen and from the Reds relief corps being likely counted as a problem area (5.82 ERA in the second half) when it is really more of a neutral factor (league-average expected ERA figures).

Consider a partial-unit play on CINCINNATI -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over is more than 10 games over .500 on the betting logs for both clubs. On a warm, wind-out night in Cleveland, that upside trend is figured into a lofty total.

With Castillo’s effectiveness and ground-ball stuff, the sway of both bullpens, the one-game “series” nature of the contest, there is some solid lean toward an Under.

Add in both teams’ offenses being overcooked compared to expected-runs analysis of support numbers and Statcast data. BACK UNDER 9.5 (-107).

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (53-59) and Cleveland Indians (53-54) will tangle in an AL Central contest Saturday. First pitch from Progressive Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tyler Alexander is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 1-1 with a 4.77 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 54 2/3 IP over six starts and 24 relief appearances.

  • Has logged a 5.74 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road across two starts and 14 relief appearances.
  • Making his fifth straight appearance as a starter. Has an 8.44 ERA in 5 IP through five relief appearances against the Indians.

RHP Eli Morgan is the projected starter for the Indians. The 25-year-old rookie is 1-3 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.1 K/9, and 1.4 BB/9 in 37 1/3 IP over eight starts.

  • Has allowed a home run in all eight starts and has yielded 3 or more earned runs in seven starts.
  • Has been undone by a 66.3% left-on-base rate and a 21.1% home run/fly-ball rate.

Tigers at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Indians -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-155) | Indians -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Tigers 4, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

Detroit lost Friday’s series opener, 6-1, and is now 6-8 since winning seven in a row coming out of the All-Star break. The Bengals clocked a 1.50 ER over their win streak; they’ve posted a 4.69 ERA since.

Cleveland has had its own pitching woes of late with a 4.84 ERA in the second half. Cleveland snapped a 3-game losing streak with its Friday win; the team owns a shaky 11-21 mark since June 30.

Detroit is a slight lean but with Alexander on the mound and a lukewarm (or colder) price with which to work, that lean – on the TIGERS (+130) – is perhaps worth just a partial-unit play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extra juice here.

Over/Under (O/U)

Detroit has played in eight straight Unders, and the lean is on that streak continuing on Saturday. The Tigers and Indians went into this series each averaging 4.28 runs per game. In both cases, that figure was a bit rich compared to support analytics.

Add in some play toward Eli Morgan and the Detroit bullpen as being undervalued by surface stats.

TAKE THE UNDER 9.5 (-105) in what marks the strongest play in this matchup.

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Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (52-51) battle the Toronto Blue Jays (54-49) Tuesday at 7:07 p.m. ET in what marks the second game of a four-game set at Rogers Centre. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Plesac is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. Across 14 starts Plesac is 6-3 with a 4.26 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 5.8 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 in 80 1/3 IP.

  • Has struggled a bit on the road posting a 4.59 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 33 1/3 IP through six starts.

LHP Hyun Jin Ryu is the projected starter for the Blue Jays. He is 10-5 with a 3.26 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 7.3 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 116 IP over 20 starts.

  • Threw 6 shutout innings against the Boston Red Sox in his last start.
  • In limited plate appearances, Cleveland batters own an aggregate .599 OPS against Ryu.

Indians at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Blue Jays -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-115) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

Cleveland took Monday’s opener but has otherwise been in a tailspin since late June. The Indians are 11-20 over their last 31 games.

Toronto has been quite good in the second half, posting a robust .852 OPS going into Monday’s contest.

Toronto is a lean at around -200. PASS on the current tag.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Toronto’s offense, Ryu’s history vs. Cleveland and the Jays’ average margin of victory over their last six wins being 4.57 runs makes for value to leverage in a TORONTO -1.5 (-107).

Over/Under (O/U)

Too many signals at cross purposes. PASS.

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Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (51-51) battle the Toronto Blue Jays (54-48) Monday at 3:07 p.m. ET in what marks the opening game of a four-game set at Rogers Centre. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Eli Morgan is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-3 with a 7.47 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 over 31 1/3 IP spanning seven starts.

  • Rookie who has exhibited good control but hittable stuff through his first seven MLB starts. Yielded 3 or more runs in each outing.
  • Right-handed batters own a 1.008 OPS against him. A way-above-average 78% of Toronto’s plate appearances against right-handed pitchers are logged by right-handed bats.

LHP Robbie Ray is the projected starter for the Blue Jays. He is 9-5 with a 3.04 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 118 1/3 IP across 20 starts.

  • Allowed 3 home runs in a July 21 clunker against the Boston Red Sox but bounced back to allow just 1 run over 6 frames against the same BoSox squad Wednesday.
  • Has benefited from a .266 batting average on balls in play and a 90.8% left-on-base rate.

Indians at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Blue Jays -310 (bet $31 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +2.5 (-145) | Blue Jays -2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -135)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

Cleveland has been in a tailspin since late-June and is 10-20 over its last 30 games.

Toronto has been quite good in the second half, posting a robust .852 OPS while going 9-6 through 15 games.

PASS on a money line that looks to have true odds well-bracketed on both sides.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The 2-and-a-half-run play is worth a line watch. With Morgan posting some serviceable innings over his last 2 starts and Ray coming off a 108-pitch outing, there is some value in Cleveland +2.5 if you can get a price of -125 or better.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Blue Jays offense has been cranking out impressive performances and a recent Indians downturn with the bats is partially due to some BABIP shortage.

Peg some fade to Ray’s overall numbers and figure the Indians as having a fatigued bullpen which could’ve used a Monday off day. TAKE THE OVER 9.5 (-105).

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Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (61-43) host the Cleveland Indians (50-50) in the second game of their three-game set Saturday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the series opener Friday, 6-4, with its standout performance coming from White Sox 3B Yoan Moncada who hit 3-for-5 with 1 home run, 1 RBI and 2 runs scored.

Season series: Tied 6-6.

RHP Triston McKenzie is Cleveland’s projected starter. McKenzie is 1-4 with a 5.61 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 13 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K in Cleveland’s 3-2 win over the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday.
  • McKenzie is 0-1 with a 10.32 ERA against the White Sox this year (11 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 7 H, 8 BB and 22 K in three starts.
  • vs. White Sox on the current roster (25 PA): 3.20 FIP with a .227 batting average (BA), .320 wOBA, .341 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 44.0 K% and 84.9 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Dallas Keuchel takes the mound for the White Sox. Keuchel is 7-4 with a 4.32 ERA (108 1/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 19 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-3, with a 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K at the Kansas City Royals Monday.
  • Keuchel is 0-1 against Cleveland this season with a 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 7 H, 6 BB and 6 K in two starts.
  • vs. Indians on the current roster (69 PA): 2.67 FIP with a .281 BA, .305 wOBA, .352 xSLG, 14.5 K% and 87.2 mph EV.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Indians at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:57 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | White Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-150) | White Sox -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

White Sox 9, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-155) only because there’s been heavy “reverse line movement” in favor of the Indians (+125) as Chicago opened as roughly -180 money line favorites and are getting a majority of the action.

However, McKenzie has gotten smoked in his three starts against Chicago, the White Sox have the highest home winning percentage in the majors (36-17 overall record) and Cleveland is free-falling out of playoff contention.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since Keuchel isn’t a starting pitcher I’d like to back on the full-game or First 5 Innings run line and Cleveland is 20-11 ATS as a road underdog.

Both bullpens are top-tier units and I don’t have enough faith in the White Sox’s lineup covering the run line if they don’t rake McKenzie.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (-110) for a half unit because these teams have a combined 18-14 O/U record when these starters get the nod, Cleveland is 24-16-3 O/U vs. AL Central foes and the Over has cashed in six of the last eight Indians-White Sox meetings.

That being said, the Over 9 (-110) is a fairly obvious play and the presumed “sharp” side of the markets is backing the Under while your “average Joe” is betting the Over according to Pregame.com.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (50-49) start a three-game series against the Chicago White Sox (60-43) Friday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Indians lead 6-5.

RHP J.C. Mejia is Cleveland’s projected starter. Heis 1-6 with a 7.52 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 over nine starts and three relief appearances in his rookie season.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-2, with 6 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 6 K Saturday against the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • 2021 road stats: 1-4 with an 8.34 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 27 H, 9 BB and 23 K through six starts and one relief appearance.

RHP Lance Lynn takes the mound for the White Sox. He is 10-3 with a 1.91 ERA (103 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 18 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 6 K Sunday at the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Lynn is 1-1 with 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 12 K over 11 IP in two starts against Cleveland this season.
    • vs. Indians on the current roster (59 PA): 4.38 FIP with .113 batting average, .210 expected wOBA, .317 expected slugging percentage, 30.5 K% and 88.1 mph exit velocity.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Indians at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | White Sox -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-110) | White Sox -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

White Sox 5, Indians 2

Money line (ML)

PASS because I’m confident enough in the White Sox to just lay it with their run line and I don’t want to waste any of my bankroll on Chicago’s bloated money line price.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TAKE the WHITE SOX -1.5 (-110) for 1 unit because their lineup ranks in the top 10 across several advanced hitting metrics such as wRC+, wOBA, BB/K rate and hard-contact rate against right-handed pitching.

Chicago also has the second-best cover rate as a home favorite at 27-19 ATS and four of the White Sox’s five wins over the Indians this year were by at least 2 runs.

Mejia has been terrible on the road this season and grades in the 20th percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage and whiff rate.

Not only do the White Sox have a clear edge in hitting and the starting pitching duel but Chicago’s bullpen has a higher WAR than Cleveland’s.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) because Lynn has been dominant at home and Cleveland’s lineup has been terrible on the road.

Lynn has a 1.50 ERA  and 0.85 WHIP at home compared to a 2.63 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the road. He has a 4.6 K/BB at home and 2.6 K/BB on the road. Plus, Indians batters rank in the bottom-10 on the road in wRC+, wOBA and hard-contact rate.

Finally, while Chicago’s lineup is ultra-talented and is getting healthier, the White Sox are still 19-25-2 O/U as home favorites because their pitching staff as a whole has performed well in Chicago.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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