Tag: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals odds predictions pick betting line spread

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (46-47) and St. Louis Cardinals (46-47) play the opener of a four-game set Monday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Alec Mills is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 4-2 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.41 WHIP with 7.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 over 48 1/3 IP across six starts and 12 relief appearances.

Mills posted a win last time out allowing three runs, five hits and a walk across 5 2/3 innings at home against the Philadelphia Phillies July 7. He has whittled his ERA down from 6.11 to 4.84 across his past four outings.

RHP Jake Woodford is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 1-1 with a 4.62 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 5.0 BB/9 across 25 1/3 IP in 17 relief appearances.

Woodford will be making his first start of the season and just his second major league start since Aug. 15 at the Chicago White Sox in his debut.

Woodford has faced the Cubs in relief twice this season allowing two runs, three hits with two homers allowed in just 2 1/3 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cubs at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Cubs 6, Cardinals 4

Money line (ML)

The CUBS (-120) are a decent look as short ‘dogs behind Mills. I just don’t trust the Cardinals (+100) with Woodford making his first start of the season, and he hasn’t fared well in his brief showings against Chicago.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The CUBS -1.5 (+135) are worth a roll of the dice at plus-money on the run line. In four victories across the past seven games, the Cubs have won by two or more runs in each of the outings.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-105) is the lean with two shaky starting pitchers on the bump in this series opener. The wind will be blowing in 7-10 mph from straightaway center field. So don’t expect to see a lot of homers, but the total should still inch across the finish line for an Over result.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-22) meet the St. Louis Cardinals (26-19) Sunday in Busch Stadium for the rubber match of their three-game series at 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Zach Davies makes his 10th start for the Cubs. Davies is 2-2 with a 5.58 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.76 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 this season.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 5 IP with 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 1 K in Chicago’s 6-3 win over the Washington Nationals Tuesday.
  • Career vs. the Cardinals: 2-3 with a 4.55 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.33 WHIP and 8.2 K/9 across 10 starts.
    • Vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 101 at-bats with a .376/.447/.634 slash line, 14/12 K/BB, 6 HR and 14 RBIs.

RHP Adam Wainwright gets his ninth start for the Cardinals. Wainwright is 2-4 with a 4.63 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 this season.

  • Last outing: Loss, 13-3, in 4 IP with 6 ER, 8 H, 3 BB and 2 K at the San Diego Padres on May 15.
  • Career vs. the Cubs: 17-13 with a 4.12 ERA (262 1/3 IP, 120 ER), 1.32 WHIP and 7.9 K/9 over 42 starts and nine bullpen outings.
    • Vs. Cubs on the current roster: 241 at-bats with a .249/.306/.411 slash line, 51/18 K/BB, 9 HR and 34 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cubs at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:00 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cardinals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-175) | Cardinals -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Cubs 2

Money line (ML)

PASS because I’m worried St. Louis’ bullpen is overworked and might not be able to hold onto a lead so I’m looking to play the Cardinals in the First 5 Innings. St. Louis used four relievers in its 2-1 win Saturday.

However, oddsmakers have noticed this plus the starting pitching edge the Cardinals have and priced them accordingly; St. Louis is laying -155 for the First 5 Innings.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the CARDINALS -0.5 (-110) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit because Davies has gotten lit up by St. Louis throughout his career, and advanced metrics paint a pretty grim picture of Davies’ season thus far.

Davies’ advanced pitching numbers are even more dreadful than his basic ones. For instance, Davies has just a 9.5% strikeout rate, 8.36 FIP, .459 expected wOBA and .861 expected slugging percentage vs. St. Louis’ lineup.

Furthermore, Davies grades below the 50th percentile in all Statcast metrics including in the single-digit percentile for whiff rate, expected wOBA, K% and expected ERA.

And, again, because Chicago’s bullpen is better and fresher, we’re going to bet St. Louis’s sizable edge in the starting pitching department.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for 1 unit because more than 95% of the money is on the Over (according to Pregame.com), and it’s more profitable in sports gambling to fade than follow this lopsided of a market.

Also, it would appear as though the market is robotically betting Over with two mediocre starting pitchers at best.

However, these teams have a combined 6-10 O/U record when these starters are on the mound, and the Under is 6-1-1 in the last eight Cubs-Cardinals meetings.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-21) and St. Louis Cardinals (25-19) play the second of a three-game set Saturday at Busch Stadium with a 7:15 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Adbert Alzolay is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 2-3 with a 4.62 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 over 37 IP through 7 starts.

Alzolay has struggled with the long ball recently. He had yielded just one homer in 16 innings over three starts from April 12-29. He has coughed up five homers in 16 innings in his three outings so far in the month of May.

RHP Miles Mikolas is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. Mikolas is set to make his season debut, and his first appearance since the 2019 playoffs due to forearm and shoulder injuries.

Mikolas was 0-2 with a 1.85 ERA across four starts in 2019 against the Cubs, his last appearance against Chicago.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cubs at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+155) | Cardinals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (Over -105 | Under -115)

Prediction

Cubs 6, Cardinals 5

Money line (ML)

The CUBS (-105) are short ‘dogs despite the fact they’re coming off an impressive 12-3 victory in the series opener on Friday night.

In addition, Chicago will be facing a pitcher who hasn’t pitched in the majors since Oct. 2019 during the postseason, as Mikolas missed the 2020 season due to a forearm injury, and the first seven weeks this season due to a shoulder ailment. There should be rust for Mikolas, and that works to the benefit of the visitors.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The CARDINALS +1.5 (-190) isn’t a bad play if you want the home side and a little bit of insurance. I don’t like Mikolas in this one, and he’ll likely be on a pitch count.

However, I also don’t like the fact that Alzolay has been so giving in the home run department, so I think the Cards can certainly hang around here.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-105) is the play, again, because of the expected rust for Mikolas, as well as Alzolay’s penchant for serving up the long ball. The Over hit on Friday night, and it will hit again in this one.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (22-21) start a three-game set with the St. Louis Cardinals (25-18) Friday at Busch Stadium with an 8:15 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago took three of four against the Washington Nationals Monday-Thursday but is just 5-5 in the last 10 games.

St. Louis won both of a two-game series vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates entering this series and has won six of the last 10 games.

RHP Kyle Hendricks is on the mound for the Cubs. Hendricks is 3-4 with a 5.27 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 across eight starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-1, in 8 IP with 1 ER, 8 H, 0 BB and 8 K at the Detroit Tigers Sunday.
  • Career vs. the Cardinals: 9-3 with a 2.88 ERA (128 IP, 41 ER), 1.06 WHIP and 6.8 K/9 over 20 starts.
    • Career at St. Louis’ ballpark: 4-1 with a 2.92 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.07 WHIP and 7.8 K/9 across eight starts.
    • Vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 238 at-bats with a .227/.278/.353 slash line, 48/13 K/BB, 5 HR and 15 RBIs.

RHP Carlos Martínez is the projected starter for the Cardinals. Martínez is 3-4 with a 4.35 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 20 ER) 1.16 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 over seven starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 9-8, in 5 IP with 5 ER, 6 H, 5 BB and 2 K vs. the Colorado Rockies May 8.
  • Career vs. the Cubs: 4-5 with a 4.69 ERA (111 1/3 IP, 58 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 across 16 starts and 20 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Cubs on the current roster: 222 at-bats with a .225/.311/.360 slash line, 63/25 K/BB, 7 HR and 26 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cubs at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+125) | Cardinals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Cubs 4, Cardinals 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the CUBS (-125) for a half unit because Chicago has a slight edge in the starting pitching matchup, hitting vs. right-handed pitching and there’s “reverse line movement” in Chicago’s direction.

For instance, both starters have spent several seasons with their teams and pitching in this Cubs-Cardinals generation-old rivalry.

However, Hendricks’ basic numbers and advanced pitching numbers are slightly better than Martinez’s vs. these respective lineups.

Also, I think Hendricks will start to pitch closer to his career norm because his exit velocity and hard-hit rates are still below the MLB average, but he has a .341 BAbip (.298 BAbip is league average).

Finally, according to Pregame.com, nearly 75% of the money wagered has been on the Cardinals yet the bookmakers are making the Cubs more expensive. It’s a red flag when the House makes the more popular side cheaper.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because none of the run line prices, either for the full game or First 5 Innings, are enticing enough to sprinkle some cash on.

Hendricks hasn’t put back-to-back quality starts together once this whole season, and the Cubs have played in 16 one-run games already.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit as a fade of a market that has 91% of the money on the Over, according to Pregame.com.

The Cubs-Cardinals total opened at 7.5 and has been steamed up a run, but the pitchers’ familiarity with their opponents and the Under going 5-0-1 in their last six meetings also add to the “lean”.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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