BYU vs Boise State Prediction Game Preview

BYU vs Boise State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 10 game on Saturday, November 5

BYU vs Boise State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 10, Saturday, November 5


BYU vs Boise State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 5
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
How To Watch: FS2
Record: BYU (0-0), Boise State (0-0)
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BYU vs Boise State Game Preview

Why BYU Will Win

What’s going wrong?

BYU was rolling along with a 4-1 record and only a loss at Oregon, but it all fell apart fast. Even so, the offense is working well enough – except in the ugly loss to Liberty – and it should be able to get things moving a bit against the Boise State defense.

Yes, the Bronco defense has been great lately, but it also hasn’t faced too many great offenses – that includes Fresno State before QB Jake Haener was back. Because he was out, the Boise State pass defense stats look great, but they’re a bit of a misrepresentation.

Oregon State was the one team that threw for over 200 yards, and UTEP was able to hit 90% of its throws. Those were Boise State’s two losses.

However, what is BYU’s big problem?

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Why Boise State Will Win

Welcome to the BYU run defense.

It was supposed to be terrific, but it’s been a total disaster allowing over 200 yards per game. It had problems in the first part of the season, and then it fell off the map over the last five games.

Teams aren’t just committing to the run; they’re busting through with big dashes when they try.

Boise State’s running game went from mediocre to unstoppable after the most to offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter, pushing for close to 1,000 yards over the last four games with 13 scores.

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What’s Going To Happen

BYU is still very good. It’s got plenty of talent, there are enough good parts to turn this around late, and the offense should be good enough to keep up.

However, Boise State will rip off 250 rushing yards and control the game throughout. The BYU defense can’t come up with third down stops and can’t make plays behind the line. Boise State will take advantage all of that.

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BYU vs Boise State Prediction, Line

Boise State 38, BYU 30
Line: Boise State -7.5, o/u: 55.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
BYU vs Boise State Must See Rating (out of 5): 3
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BYU vs Boise State Prediction, Game Preview

BYU vs Boise State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

BYU vs Boise State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9


BYU vs Boise State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 9
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT
How To Watch: ABC
Record: BYU (5-0), Boise State (2-3)
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BYU vs Boise State Game Preview


Why Boise State Will Win

It hasn’t been perfect, but Boise State has managed to get the offense going with over 400 yards in three of the last four games with the one outlier the tough 21-20 loss to Oklahoma State.

In a lot of ways, the pressure is off. It’s been a rough run with three losses and a 41-31 defeat to Nevada in Mountain West play, but the spotlight is all on a top-ten caliber BYU squad that’s really and truly in the College Football Playoff chase now – it has a nasty schedule, unlike Cincinnati.

The passing game could be more explosive, but it’s clicking well enough to get by. The defense is forcing a ton of takeovers, but …

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Why BYU Will Win

The Cougars aren’t giving the ball away.

They’re sixth in the nation in turnover margin with just two giveaways, and they’re doing just about everywhere else right.

There’s not a lot of penalties, converting on third downs isn’t an issue, and the O is scoring when it’s getting the chance. On the flip side, Boise State can’t run the ball a lick, the run defense is shockingly mediocre, and the third down stops aren’t there.

BYU doesn’t have to be explosive. As long as it’s able to be steady and balanced, that should be enough to get by because …

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What’s Going To Happen

No, really. Boise State can’t do anything with the ground game.

The Broncos are 2-0 when they run for over 120 yards and 0-3 when they don’t. BYU is allowing 127 yards per game and haven’t allowed anyone – including Utah and Arizona State – to take over.

The BYU defense will take over right away, but Boise State will keep pressing with a decent enough day from QB Hank Bachmeier to hang around. However, as is the case all year, Boise State will be good, but not good enough.

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BYU vs Boise State Prediction, Line

BYU 27, Boise State 23
Line: BYU -6, o/u: 57.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3.5

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BYU vs Boise State Prediction, Game Preview

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BYU vs Boise State prediction and game preview.


BYU vs Boise State Broadcast

Date: Friday, November 6th
Game Time: 9:45 pm
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Network: FS1

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BYU (7-0) vs Boise State (2-0) Game Preview

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Why BYU Will Win

America, welcome to Zach Wilson.

You might have heard about the BYU quarterback as part of the Heisman race, or maybe as a first round draft pick, and here he is with a national audience to make his case for both things.

He’s hitting 75% of his passes for 2,152 yards with 19 yards and two interceptions to go along with seven touchdown passes. He’s got a good enough arm, great mobility, and the deep ball ability to stretch the field. But it also helps that he’s got the running game to take the pressure off.

Wilson and the passing game have been so good that the ground attack doesn’t get noticed. The offensive line keeps Wilson clean, the pass rush has been great, and the run D has allowed fewer than 100 yards per game.

This is a tested, jelled team with seven games under its belt.

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Why Boise State Will Win

Boise State hasn’t been perfection its first two games, but it hasn’t been far off.

It’s not getting flagged, there’s only been one giveaway, and the passing game has been close to flawless no matter who’s been under center.

The D might have had issues with Air Force and its running game – it gave up 415 yards – but that’s Air Force. This is a better defensive front than it showed, the pass rush on the outside will be there to at least bother Wilson, and the offensive parts are good enough to keep up the pace.

For all the amazing things BYU has done it beat … UTSA? Texas State? WKU? Crushing Navy was nice, but whatever. Beating Houston on the road was great, but the secondary had issues.

This is by far the toughest game yet for the Cougars, but …

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What’s Going To Happen

Will it be Hank Bachmeier or Jack Sears at quarterback for Boise State? They’ve both been great, but the coaching staff has been mum on Bachmeier who missed the Air Force game. With or without him, this will be the game for the Boise State running game.

This will be more of a grinding game than anything high-flying. Wilson will be more steady than sensational, but he’ll be good enough to show what all the fuss is about.


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BYU vs Boise State Prediction, Line

BYU 31, Boise State 27
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BYU -3.5, o/u: 61
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 5

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1: EVERYTHING in the real world

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