Tag: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (47-41) and Tampa Bay Rays (47-40) play the third contest in a 4-game set at Tropicana Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rays lead series 6-2

The Red Sox have hit the skids. Boston lost the first 2 games of this series and is 2-6 across its last 8 contests.

The Rays have bounced back nicely after a stunning 3-game sweep at the Cincinnati Reds over the weekend. Tampa has outscored Boston 13-7 in the first 2 games of this AL East rivalry series.

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Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Josh Winckowski vs. LHP Shane McClanahan

Winckowski (3-3, 4.35 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 31 IP.

  • Is 1-1 with a 2.38 ERA and .286 opponent batting average with 10 K across 11 1/3 IP across 2 road starts.
  • Will be making his first career start against the Tampa Bay Rays.

McClanahan (9-3, 1.73 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 104 1/3 IP.

  • Has pitched 6 or more innings in 11 consecutive starts dating back to May 5.
  • Is 7-2 with a 1.88 ERA with a .193 opponent batting average and 91 K across 67 IP in 11 home outings.

Red Sox at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rays -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Rays -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -145 | U: +115)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Red Sox 2

Money line

The Rays (-180) are a little on the expensive side despite the fact they have one of their best pitchers on the bump. In addition, Tampa Bay has taken the first two games from the Red Sox, who are now trying to stop a losing skid with a rookie pitcher.

Still, AVOID, as this is too much juice.

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Run line/Against the spread

The RAYS -1.5 (+122) are a much better value on the run line. Tampa covered the run line in the series opener, doubling up Boston 10-5. The Rays did not cover the run line Tuesday in a 1-run win.

The Rays have won by 2 or more runs in 7 of their previous 8 victories, so if you like Tampa to win, you should like it on the run line.

Over/Under

The UNDER 6.5 (+115) is worth a shot Wednesday.

The Over has hit in 5 of the last 6 outings for Boston, but the Under hit Tuesday. The Under is also 11-4-1 in the past 16 for the Red Sox on the road against a left-handed starting pitcher.

The Under is now 6-2-1 in the past 9 meetings between these teams in St. Petersburg.

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (7-8) wrap up their 3-game set with the Tampa Bay Rays (8-7) Sunday at Tropicana Field with the first pitch scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series is tied 1-1. Boston took the series opener Friday 4-3 then Tampa evened the series Saturday with a 3-2 victory when Rays CF Kevin Kiermaier hit a 2-run walk-off home run in the bottom of the 10th.

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

LHP Rich Hill vs. LHP Shane McClanahan

Hill (0-1, 7.29 ERA) lost his last outing 8-3 versus the Minnesota Twins Monday. He went 4 2/3 IP, allowing 4 ER on 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 2 K.

  • vs. Rays on current roster: 2.60 FIP with a .211 batting average (BA), .257 wOBA, .301 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 34.1 K% and 83.8 mph exit velocity (EV) in 41 plate appearances (PA).

McClanahan (0-1, 2.40 ERA) got a no-decision in Tampa’s 4-2 win at the Chicago Cubs Monday. He went 6 IP, surrendering 1 ER on 4 H and 0 BB with 9 K.

  • 2021 vs. Red Sox: 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA (16 IP, 5 ER), 15 H, 5 BB and 15 K in 3 starts.
  • vs. Red Sox on current roster: 3.13 FIP with a .311 BA, .322 wOBA, .586 xSLG, 20.0 K% and 94.5 mph EV in 65 PA.

Red Sox at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rays -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Rays -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Red Sox 1

Money line

LEAN RAYS (-180) since the implied win probability on that line is 64.3% and Tampa should win this game at least 70% of the time. But, I’m confident enough in the Rays to take their RL instead for a better payout.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET the RAYS -1.5 (+122) for 1 unit because they have edges in the three most important phases of baseball: Starting and relief pitching and hitting.

McClanahan has elite stuff and would be a top-2 starter in most rotations in  MLB while the 18-year veteran Hill is definitely a back-of-the-rotation guy.

The Rays are missing a bunch of talented arms yet their bullpen still has a better xFIP, hard-hit rate, WHIP and K/BB rate than Boston’s bullpen.

Tampa’s lineup is fifth in wRC+ and seventh in wOBA versus left-handed pitching while Boston’s lineup ranks 18th and 15th in those respective categories.

BET RAYS -1.5 (+122).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-107) because Tropicana Field is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball, McClanahan is an All-Star-caliber pitcher and the Red Sox-Rays series has played a lot more to the Under in recent meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (6-7) stop by Tropicana Field Friday to start a three-game series with the Tampa Bay Rays (7-6) at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston lost its previous set at home to the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 earlier this week after splitting their four-game series with the Minnesota Twins last weekend.

Tampa split its six-game road trip to Chicago entering Friday after losing its White Sox series 2-1 last weekend followed by a 2-1 series victory at the Cubs Monday-Wednesday.

The Rays beat the Red Sox 11-8 in last year’s regular-season series and Tampa outscored Boston 106-104 in those meetings.

Red Sox at Rays: Projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Corey Kluber 

Wacha (0-0, 0.96 ERA) earned his second no-decision Sunday in Boston’s 8-1 win versus the Twins. He went 5 IP, allowing 0 ER on 1 H and 2 BB with 5 K. It’s a revenge game for Wacha who was in Tampa’s starting rotation in 2021.

  • vs. Rays on the current roster: 4.19 FIP with a .290 batting average (BA), .336 wOBA, .382 xSLG, 18.2 K% and 80.3 mph exit velocity (EV) in 33 plate appearances (PA).

Kluber (0-0, 1.86 ERA) also has two no-decisions under his belt, pitching 4 2/3 innings of scoreless ball in Tampa’s 8-0 win over the Baltimore Orioles April 10 and allowing just 2 ER over 5 IP in Tampa’s 3-2 loss at the White Sox Saturday.

  • vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 4.62 FIP with a .218 BA, .304 wOBA, .410 xSLG, 25.7 K% and 90.2 mph EV in 109 PA.

Red Sox at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rays -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-165) | Rays +1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Rays 3

Money line

TAKE the RED SOX (+125) because they have a slight edge over the Rays in the starting and relief pitching departments and these lineups are more or less equal.

It’s early but through two starts Wacha grades in the 95th percentile of EV, 85th percentile in expected wOBA and 99th percentile in xSLG, according to Statcast. Kluber is in the 50th percentile or lower in all of those metrics and Boston should have at least five hitters with a plus-run value versus curveballs, which is Kluber’s most used pitch of his arsenal.

Tampa’s bullpen will most likely finish as one of the better units in baseball but, at the moment, the Rays have a bunch of talented arms on the IL. Boston’s bullpen ranks fourth in FIP through the first three weeks whereas Tampa’s is 19th, per FanGraphs.

BET RED SOX (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I don’t like Boston enough to take its alternate RL and the Red Sox +1.5 (-165) is too expensive of a line versus one of baseball’s top-five teams in the Rays.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” towards the Over 7.5 (-130) because the Red Sox-Rays is 27-11-2 O/U in their last 40 meetings and neither starter is a “top-of-the-rotation” guy.

However, I don’t like the idea of laying -130 here since most of the situational trends point to the Under and the total is being lowered by a sharp line move perhaps.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (83-48) host the Boston Red Sox (75-58) Tuesday for the second of their four-game series at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 13 games including a 6-1 win in the series opener against Boston Monday.

Season series: Rays lead 8-5.

Boston hadn’t announced its starting pitcher at the time of publishing.

LHP Ryan Yarbrough is Tampa Bay’s projected starter. He is 7-4 with a 4.57 ERA (128 IP, 65 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 18 starts and six relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 0 K in Tampa Bay’s 7-4 victory at the Philadelphia Phillies Aug. 25.
  • Yarbrough is 0-1 against Boston this season with a 12.00 ERA (12 IP, 16 ER), 18 H, 3 BB and 8 K through two starts and one relief outing.
    • vs. Red Sox on the current roster (127 PA): 7.51 FIP with a .383 AVG, .466 wOBA, .616 xSLG, 15.0 K% and 88.1 mph exit velocity.

Red Sox at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:08 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rays -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-165) | Rays -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105

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Prediction

Red Sox 7, Rays 5

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Red Sox (+125) for a tiny wager, if at all, because Boston’s lineup rakes against Yarbrough and is solid against left-handed pitching in general. The Red Sox are 11th in wRC+, ninth in wOBA and 12th in BB/K against lefty pitching.

I’m hesitant to sprinkle on the Red Sox because Boston is 4-11 straight up with a minus-37.7% return on investment (ROI) as a road underdog facing a left-handed starter. Also, the Red Sox bullpen is in the bottom-third of several advanced pitching metrics since the All-Star break.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the RED SOX +1.5 (-165) for a tiny wager because the implied win probability of Boston’s run line price is 62.26%, but Boston has a 66.7% cover rate as a road underdog at 26-13 ATS.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-130) for a half unit because of Boston’s aforementioned production at the plate against Yarbrough and left-handed pitching.

Also, since the Red Sox haven’t officially announced their starter yet, I’m assuming it’s going to be a bullpen day, which isn’t a good thing for Boston.

On top of that, the Rays are 13-5 O/U when Yarbrough gets the start and the Over cashed in seven of the past 10 Red Sox-Rays meetings at Tropicana Field.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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