betting NFL Week 13 – Syndication Server

NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Week 13

Week 13 prop bet recommendations to win a few bucks.

We go across the board for prop bet talent this week by making projections on a couple of quarterbacks, a running back, a wide receiver and a tight end in hopes that spreading the bets across the board will have a better chance of taking you to the pay window this week.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Dec. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

The Lion King

Lions tight end T.J. Hockenson hasn’t been consistent in the new-look Lions offense, but both of Minnesota’s top linebackers (Eric Kendricks and Anthony Barr) are injured and he can create mismatches with safeties. His Over/Under is very modest (45.5 receiving yards at -114 for both). He has never hit that number in four career games as a Viking, but he is now the go-to guy in Detroit. He’s averaging less than 10 yards per reception, but the Vikings are vulnerable over the middle. It may take just one splash play down the seam to get you halfway home, and add two or three checkdown Charlies to seal the deal. Take the Over (-114).

Stuck in neutral

Raiders quarterback Derek Carr has gaudy season-long passing numbers, due primarily to an amazing start before the Jon Gruden/Henry Ruggs sagas played out. His Over/Under for passing seems reasonable (268.5 passing yards at -115 Over, -112 Under). He’s at home against Washington, which, on paper looks positive. However, Washington hasn’t allowed more than 24 points in its last five games (including Green Bay and Tampa Bay). The reason? Washington’s defense has started looking a lot more like its D from last year, and the team held the ball for 35 minutes, on average, over the last five games. That doesn’t leave a lot of time for an opposing QB to make big plays, especially without his big-play receiver. Take the Under (-115).

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Hot Mike

Tampa Bay wide receiver Mike Evans has had to share the wealth more than he typically has as Tom Brady brought a couple of his buddies down to Tampa to fatten up the roster. However, with Antonio Brown under suspension, the load of targets he would receive needs to be spread around. Evans Over/Under is surprisingly low given he’s playing the Falcons (59.5 receiving yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). In his last 11 games against them, he has topped that number eight times. With Tampa Bay still looking to lock down the No. 1 seed if the chips fall right, pounding Atlanta is on that menu. Take the Over (-114).

Barking Up the Wrong Tree

Giants running back Saquon Barkley continues to disappoint, but he continues to get respect when it comes to his Over/Under numbers compared to his production (55.5 rushing yards at -115 Over, -112 Under). After starting 1-7, Miami has rattled off four straight wins on the back of its defense – opponents have scored just 46 points in the last four games. Barkley will be targeted when he is in the game, and his lack of attempts in his return from injury may require him to pop a big run to hit this number. Is he capable of topping this modest number? Yes. But, he’s only done it once this season and that was with 57 yards in Week 2. Take the Under (-112).

Freedom and Justin For All

There are some numbers you check because you want to see how high they are – only to be shocked at how low the number is. Such is the case with Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert and his rushing projection (15.5 rushing yards at -112 Over, -115 Under). Not only is it a low number, but the line indicates that he should hit the Under. In the last two games, Herbert has had his two best rushing yardage games of the season – 90 against the Steelers and 36 against Denver. In two of his last three games, he has a single scramble that surpasses this number. The Bengals bring the heat and sacks don’t count against your rushing numbers. He will be flushed from the pocket, and it can reasonably be anticipated he will scramble three times. One of them will likely be with open real estate in front of him. Take the Over (-112).

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NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Week 13

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

The Huddle staff makes its weekly NFL game picks every Thursday.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Week 13 picks: Moneyline & Against the spread

Note: HC Green’s picks will be entered shortly. Our apologies for any inconvenience.

Season-to-date results: Moneyline

Season-to-date results: Against the spread

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: Moneyline

Straight Up	DMD	SG	KP	HS	CC	CJB	HCG
2020 Record	161-94-1	161-94-1	165-90-1	164-91-1	174-81-1	166-89-1	172-83-1
2019 Record	162-93-1	156-99-1	161-94-1	161-94-1	164-91-1	157-98-1	163-92-1
2018 Record	167-87-2	158-96-2	179-75-2	153-101-2	165-89-2	157-97-2	n/a
2017 Record	168-88	161-95	171-85	165-91	180-76	160-96	n/a
2016 Record	157-97-2	149-105-2	156-98-2	152-102-2	156-98-2	139-115-2	n/a
2015 Record	154-102	137-119	156-100	155-101	165-91	n/a	n/a
2014 Record	166-89-1	158-97-1	164-91-1	163-92-1	177-78-1	n/a	n/a
2013 Record	163-92-1	160-95-1	170-85-1	153-102-1	n/a	n/a	n/a
Accuracy entering 2021	63.4%	60.5%	64.6%	61.8%	65.9%	60.9%	65.4%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: Against the spread

Against the Spread	DMD	SG	KP	HS	CC	CJB	HCG
2020 Record	118-138	122-134	123-133	129-127	130-126	143-113	130-126
2019 Record	121-135	133-123	133-123	139-117	121-135	137-119	139-117
2018 Record	132-124	131-125	145-111	133-123	132-124	130-126	n/a
2017 Record	129-127	136-120	135-121	132-124	136-120	131-125	n/a
2016 Record	110-146	125-131	127-129	124-132	132-124	127-129	n/a
2015 Record	125-131	121-135	126-130	123-133	141-115	n/a	n/a
2014 Record	122-134	124-132	143-113	132-124	123-133	n/a	n/a
2013 Record	115-136-5	119-132-5	117-134-5	117-134-5	n/a	n/a	n/a
Accuracy entering 2021	50.8%	52.8%	54.8%	53.8%	51.1%	52.2%	52.5%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, KP – Ken Pomponio, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green

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Betting the NFL Line: Week 13

All of the key bets you need to place in Week 13.

Home-field advantage seems unlucky in Week 13, and eight home teams are underdogs this week out of the 14 games on the schedule. We break down all of them to find which of the available bets will be the best for you to explore to take home a little extra early holiday money.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Dec. 1, at 7:30 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 13

Dallas Cowboys (-220) at New Orleans Saints (+175)

Facing Dallas may not be the best defense for Taysom Hill to get his first start of the season against. The Cowboys are solid favorites (4.5 points at -110 for both the Cowboys and Saints). Things are in free fall in New Orleans, and the Cowboys are looking to stay on pace to compete for as high a seed as possible. Those two directions don’t bode well for the Saints. Take the Cowboys and lay the 4.5 points (-110).

Minnesota Vikings (-320) at Detroit Lions (+290)

The Vikings are a playoff-quality team but find ways to lose close games. That could be why they’re such a prohibitive favorite (6.5 points at -125 Vikings, +102 Lions). Detroit remains winless and Minnesota at looking at their 2021 playoff chances hinging in the next eight days – Sunday at Detroit and Thursday at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Even without Dalvin Cook, the offense has enough weapons to mow through a suspect Lions defense. Take the Vikings and lay the 6.5 points (-125).

Arizona Cardinals (-380) at Chicago Bears (+290)

The Cardinals are coming off their bye week in possession of the No. 1 seed in the NFC. The Bears are wheezing despite a narrow escape win at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. The intriguing number here is the Over/Under (45.5 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). I have little confidence that the Bears offense can put up the 14-17 points required to hit that point and, while taking the Cardinals and laying 7.5 points is tempting, I like the O/U bet more. Take the Under (-108).

Philadelphia Eagles (-300) at New York Jets (+230)

The Eagles have been a quirky team this year that can be dominant against teams ineffective at stopping the run. The Jets fit in that category. While I’ll never bet on the Jets to win me money, I love the Over/Under number (45.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). The Eagles are capable of putting big points, but when you suddenly want to run 35-40 times, that eats a lot of clock. It make take at least one special teams or defensive touchdown to hit this point. Take the Under (-112).

Indianapolis Colts (-450) at Houston Texans (+330)

I have no respect for how the Texans front office has gutted the organization, and the Colts have been one of the easiest teams in the league to predict – they lose to elite teams and beat up on the jabroni teams. Houston is an ultimate jabroni. The Colts are heavy favorites (8.5 points at -112 Colts, -108 Jets). It would consider boosting this to 10 points or even a tick higher, because this one could get ugly is Jonathan Taylor runs wild again. Take the Colts and lay the 8.5 points (-112).

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New York Giants (+170) at Miami Dolphins (-210)

I knew the Over/Under was going to be low, but I didn’t think it would be this low (40.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). Miami has quietly been on a roll, and the Giants have enough playmakers on offense to put up points. It may require a late score at garbage time to get it done, but take the Over (-108).

Los Angeles Chargers (+135) at Cincinnati Bengals (-170)

I’ve been bullish on the Bengals all season, and the Chargers do a lot of things I like on both sides of the ball as well. The Over/Under is the highest number of the week (50.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under), and I still think it’s too low. Of all the games on the Week 13 schedule, I think this one has the highest likelihood of being the 34-31 shootout we seem to see at least a couple of times a week. Take the Over (-108).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-650) at Atlanta Falcons (+440)

The Bucs are huge favorites (10.5 points at -115 Bucs, -105 Falcons). It’s as if the line is daring bettors to take the Buccaneers. Given how much is still up in the air in the NFC standings, the Bucs need to slap around every creampuff remaining on the schedule and the offensively challenged Falcons resemble that remark. Take the Buccaneers and lay the 10.5 points (-115).

Washington Football Team (+115) at Las Vegas Raiders (-140)

Washington has been my kryptonite all season, because I believed in their defense early coming off of last year and then didn’t give them enough credit. As such, I want nothing to do with the point spread. For two teams that are at their best when they run 30 times, I was a little surprised to see an Over/Under as high as this (49.5 points at -110 for both). I could see a 23-20 type of game, which leaves a lot of wiggle room. Take the Under (-110).

Jacksonville Jaguars (+550) at Los Angeles Rams (-850)

The Rams are the largest point-spread favorite of the week (12.5 points at -105 Jaguars, -115 Rams). They deserve to be in this position, and the Jaguars have fared a lot better when given points than actual final scores. However, I’m not buying into Duval County under any circumstances, even though it means leaving a lot of points on the table. Take the Rams and lay the 12.5 points (-115).

Baltimore Ravens (-220) at Pittsburgh Steelers (+175)

It was about at this point last year when the Steelers went from the last unbeaten team in the league to one of the worst teams that made the playoffs. The Ravens are a respectable favorite (4.5 points at -108 Ravens, -112 Steelers). They always say in this rivalry you can throw the records out the window. It’s going to be a bloodbath. While I don’t disagree with that sentiment, I’m keeping the records in mind. Take the Ravens and lay the 4.5 points (-108).

San Francisco 49ers (-175) at Seattle Seahawks (+140)

The 12th Man is getting too accustomed to teams coming into their house and leaving with a win. While this has all the makings of a proverbial “trap game” with the Niners as a road favorite (3.5 points at +100 49ers, -120 Seahawks), the Legion of Boom is dead and what has replaced it is a defense that struggles to stop the run, and few teams run better than the 49ers. Take the 49ers and lay the 3.5 points (+100).

Denver Broncos (+340) at Kansas City Chiefs (-475)

As of Wednesday, it officially became December. That’s when Andy Reid-coached teams start hitting their stride in preparation for the playoffs. The Chiefs offense hasn’t been what has taken them to the last two Super Bowls, but they’re still prohibitive favorites (9.5 points at -108 Chiefs, -112 Broncos). Arrowhead Stadium is miserably loud at a noon game. In prime time? It will be deafening and the Broncos will have a hard time calling audibles to change out of bad plays. They’ve proved me wrong before, but I would lay 13.5 points, which makes 9.5 a lot more manageable. Take the Chiefs and lay the 9.5 points (-108).

New England Patriots (+125) at Buffalo Bills (-155)

Nobody is hotter than the Patriots right now, which explains why the Bills are such slight favorites (2.5 points at +105 Patriots, -130 Bills). This has the makings of a statement game, especially seeing as the teams have their rematch in three weeks in Boston. I’ve learned not to underestimate the Patriots at any time, but getting less than a field goal to give at home for Buffalo in front of the Bills Mafia is tough to pass up. Take the Bills and lay the 2.5 points (-130).