Tag: Bearcats Football

What are Alabama’s statistical odds of winning the SEC & making CFP? FiveThirtyEight gives insight

The numbers have been crunched, what are Alabama’s statistical chances of winning in the postseason?

The Alabama Crimson Tide come off of a BYE week as the No. 3 team in the nation, and look to this upcoming Saturday to face LSU at home as the regular season begins to wind down.

Starting the season as the top-ranked team, Alabama seemed like a lock to make the College Football Playoff, which they have only missed once (2019) since its inception in 2014. However, a loss to a then-unranked Texas A&M team dropped Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide back all the way to No. 5.

Now, Bryce Young has helped his team climb all the way back up into the top-three, and back into contention for the College Football Playoff.

One small wrinkle is that Alabama will likely have to face a familiar foe in the SEC Championship game: No. 1 Georgia. While the Bulldogs have been led by Kirby Smart, the team has yet to defeat Nick Saban; but, then again, something feels a bit different with this year’s team over in Athens.

FiveThirtyEight, a data firm, reveals the updated  statistical likelihood of Alabama making their way back into the top-four to make the playoff and compete for national championship No. 19.

According to the numbers, Nick Saban and Alabama have a 37% chance to win the SEC title, a 52% chance to make the playoff and a 20% chance to win the national championship.

All of the aforementioned statistics improved from their previous findings last week.

Roll Tide Wire will continue to cover the Crimson Tide as they continue to play throughout the 2021 college football season.

Contact/Follow us @RollTideWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Alabama news, notes and opinion. You can also follow AJ Spurr on Twitter @SpurrFM.

Is Alabama projected to make playoffs? Latest bowl game predictions have interesting top-4

Some very big shakeups in these projections, and even more interesting matchups!

The Alabama Crimson Tide opened the season as the top-ranked team in the nation, following a fully-undefeated, national championship season in 2020. The team even operated as the No. 1 team for nearly half a season, before they fell to an unranked Texas A&M team on the road.

Now, Georgia is the highest-ranked team, and the three spots below it, which will join the Bulldogs in the College Football Playoff, have seen a starting lack of consistency since the Crimson Tide loss.

Alabama now ranks as the No. 3 team, with Cincinnati in second and Oklahoma at fourth.

USA TODAY recently released their latest bowl game predictions for the end of the season, including the Orange Bowl and Cotton Bowl, which are this season’s playoff semifinal contests.

In the Cotton Bowl, they have the Sooners of Oklahoma taking on the Georgia Bulldogs.

The Orange Bowl, according to the projection, is a rematch of the 2020 national championship game, which also took place in Miami, Alabama vs. Ohio State.

The projections don’t include the rankings, but the inclusion of Ohio State and the absence of Cincinnati are surely a big shake up compared to the current rankings.

Roll Tide Wire will continue to cover the Crimson Tide as they continue on through the 2021 college football season and look to capture national championship No. 19.

Contact/Follow us @RollTideWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Alabama news, notes and opinion. You can also follow AJ Spurr on Twitter @SpurrFM.