NFL Week 7 parlay: Let’s make some money

Analyzing NFL Week 7 betting odds and lines, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

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Well, no one said parlays were easy. This is why it’s wise to limit the number of plays included in a parlay — and stick to straight bets as our bigger wagers.

We failed to cash yet again as last week’s parlay went 0-3, though we did hit the “bonus” 4th leg. However, it will not stop me from taking another swing with another parlay as we look at Week 7 — plus, my bosses expect me to come up with one.

One of these will hit, and when it does, the payout will make up for any of the losses so far. So, let’s have some fun with another wager with a key being: Do not wager more than you can afford to lose.

After looking at BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL Week 7 odds, here is a “Let’s make some money” NFL parlay bet to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL Week 7: Let’s make some money parlay

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:43 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Leg 1: COMMANDERS -2.5 (-115) at Giants – 1 p.m. (CBS)

Washington (3-3) is coming off a good 24-16 win at Atlanta. The Giants (1-5) enter on a 4-game slide and with an injured QB in Daniel Jones, who sat out last week’s 14-9 loss at Buffalo.

Washington was able to get back on track at the Falcons after losing back-to-back games to the Eagles (Week 4) and Bears (Week 5). This Sunday will be a divisional test, but one the Commanders should be ready and able to manage.

Washington’s offense ranks 22nd, averaging just 302.0 yards per game, according to Covers.com. New York’s defense has been much more giving, allowing 364.5 YPG to rank 27th.

The Commanders have struggled on the ground, only averaging 87.8 rushing YPG to rank 25th, but they should fare well here. The Giants rank 31st against the run, yielding 147.5. Washington will use the run game to keep the Giants offense and RB Saquon Barkley off the field as much as possible.

WASHINGTON -2.5 (-115) is the better team and will cover as the 1st leg of our parlay.

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Leg 2: BUCCANEERS -2.5 (-110) vs. Falcons – 1 p.m. (FOX)

It sounds funny but, Tampa Bay (3-2) ran into a juggernaut last week when the Detroit Lions came to town as 3-point favorites and won 20-6. Atlanta (3-3) is not a juggernaut and has been living on luck for its wins this season.

Each of the Falcons’ last 2 wins have been on last-minute field goals at home — one as time expired and the other with 57 seconds to go. This game will be played outside, and it may not come down to a field goal despite the current line only being 2.5 points.

Tampa Bay will look to rebound from its loss to Detroit. It has the offensive weapons in WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to do it. Plus, QB Baker Mayfield has been rejuvenated with the Buccaneers. He’s been able to manage the game with 217.6 passing YPG with 7 TDs compared to 3 interceptions. Evans and Godwin have made the transition easy for Mayfield — they are the best pair of receivers he has worked with in his career.

While Tampa’s run game needs to continue to evolve, the pass game will be enough to win this game.

If the number remains under 3.5, TAKE TAMPA BAY as the 2nd leg of this parlay.

Leg 3: PACKERS -1 (-110) at Broncos – 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

How the mighty Denver defense has fallen.

The Broncos (1-5) rank last in the league in yards allowed (440.3 YPG). This will be a welcome sign for the Packers (2-3), who are 28th in offensive yards (281.6 YPG).

The Broncos also rank last in yards per play allowed (7.0), rushing yards allowed (172.3 YPG) and rushing yards per attempt allowed (5.6). They are 30th in passing yards allowed (268.0).

This will be a game in which Green Bay will look to get RBs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon going and improve on its 27th-ranked rush offense (81.6 YPG). When the Packers need to throw, QB Jordan Love will be able to find some success against the Broncos’ bad defense, which allows a league-worst 76.4% completion rate.

However, the Broncos always seem to keep games close in Denver. This will be another tight one — between 2 disappointing teams. But with the Packers only favored by 1 point, they should be able to pull of the victory and cover the number here.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $58.14 (payout = $68.14).

Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.

Leg 4-*: Dolphins at Eagles OVER 52 (-110) – 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

*-If you want to add a 4th play to this parlay.

This is a difficult game to pick a side between two 5-1 teams. Miami has been stellar all season. The Eagles, who are favored by 2.5 points, have also been superb — though they did lose 20-14 as 6.5-point road favorites at the Jets in a shocker last Sunday.

While picking a side is a tough call, the wager to make is OVER 52 (-110).

Miami is on pace to set the regular-season record for offensive yards and has yet to score under 20 points in a contest.

The Dolphins lead the league in scoring (37.2 PPG) and offensive yards (498.7 YPG). The Eagles are 5th in scoring (25.8 PPG) and 2nd in offensive yards (395.0 YPG). You read that right, Philly averages 103.7 YPG less than Miami but is still 2nd.

Meanwhile, the Miami defense has allowed 26.0 points PPG, ranking 26th. Though, it’s easy to take the foot off the gas when owning a big lead — remember the Dolphins’ 70-20 rout of the Broncos in Week 3.

Both teams will score Sunday. Philadelphia QB Jalen Hurts will have a better game than his 3-interception performance against the Jets. Miami does average 3.6 sacks per game (ranking 5th), but Philly has only allowed 2.3 sacks per game (13th) thanks to Hurts’ rushing ability. He’ll be able to avoid the Dolphins pass rush and find WRs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith down field for big plays.

On the other side of the ball, Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa will look to find WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle for big plays.

While 52 points is high, this number should not be in doubt.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $120.08 (payout = $130.08).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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